저자: Felix · 외국인
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엔비디아는 보유 관점이며 신규 매수는 현 주가가 너무 높아 비추천, PER 20~25 수준까지 기다리라는 결론. 기업 펀더멘털: 2010~2019 매출 연평균 약 15%, 순이익 약 225% 성장으로 매우 빠른 성장. 최근 5년 매출 23%, 순이익 56% 성장으로 둔화. 주당순이익은 연 55% 성장. 실적 전망: 2019 회계연도 EPS 약 6.63달러 수준으로 언급되며, 2020년 EPS 예상치 약 7.30달러, 2019년 예상치 약 5.56달러 언급. 향후 이익 성장률은 약 20% 전망. 배당: 배당성향 약 11%, 최근 5년 배당 성장률 약 15%, 7년 연속 배당 증가. 다만 11월에는 배당을 동결했다고 언급. 밸류에이션: 현재 PER 약 36배(5년 평균 수준)로 역사적 평균 대비 높음. 공정가치 추정치는 여러 모델 평균 약 147달러, 현재 주가 약 212달러로 약 30% 고평가. 배당할인모델 기준 예상 연수익률 약 11.6%. 투자 판단: 이미 보유 중이면 장기 성장 기대로 계속 보유 권장. 신규 매수는 PER 20~25배 구간(주가 하락 시)을 기다리라고 조언. 출연자는 엔비디아 GPU를 실제 사용하며 게이밍 및 전문 시장에서 경쟁력이 있다고 평가하고, GPU가 CPU보다 공정 처리에서 우위라 장기 수익성이 높을 것으로 봄. 리스크로는 높은 밸류에이션과 최근 성장 둔화, 암호화폐 채굴 수요 영향 언급.
다듬은 글
hey and welcome to another video here a physical voyage I'm Felix and we're gonna talk about nvidia and video was suggested by aj thank you - for suggesting video you guys could leave a comment below suggesting another video a company you would like me to analyze next so with that let's start we're going to determine if nvidia is a buy hold or sell and a five-minute stock analysis coming right now all right let's start with the 5-minute stock analysis on nvidia corporation could be found in new york stock exchange as an v d-- a funny note and video is actually for latin the way they come up with a name for nvidia which is envy so they just took out the eye and just call it nvidia it's interesting note there but invidious a technology company incorporated in Delaware and based in Santa Carla California a design graphics processing units or GPUs for the gaming and professional markets as well as systems on chip units for the mobile computing and automotive market a primarily GPU product line labeled g-force is direct competition with the bank's Micro Devices in AMD Radeon product alright let's one of the fundamentals the company grew its revenue at fifteen point zero two percent from 2010 2019 in that same time period net income grew at a whopping two hundred twenty five percent which is unbelievable currently have an espy credit rating of triple B plus investment great an operating income group basically the same rate as net income are you could share that same time period from solid ten 2019 as almost sixty percent compounded growth Li annually however the last five years revenue grew at 23% and net income grew at fifty-six percent so it's much lower than a ten year component annually and however earnings per share grew at 55 percent this I think is it could be the cause of the mining with Bitcoin as more people wanting to mine they started by graphics cards look at more fundamentals for their 2019 earnings which was fiscal year 2018 that you've reported on January 1st till the nineteen for their earnings came in at $6.63 net margin and thirty five percent return on equity at fifty percent that the cap very low of that as 70% however currently they have a load every new appoint 31% which is extremely low ITC company is at at least two point five or higher three point five or higher where I like to to invest in companies how are they have a great payout ratio 11% and they've been growing dividends at a nice rate for the past five years with a growth rate of 15% and been growing dividends for seven years net margin is expanding versus their last year of 31 percent of fiscal year 2018 ah the most imminent most recent dividend increase was 6.7% last year November and I didn't they actually have been increased with dividends this November so it looks like they're freezing it so we'll see if they have announced an increase for next quarter announcements future outlook for twelve nineteen fiscal years which our report in January 2020 it's gonna come in at five dollars and 56 cents and 2020 is affected at seven dollars and thirty cents so earnings are growing CFIA projects like earn equal twenty percent and my dividend drill return model comes in eleven point six percent projected return however they have for PE of twelve 29.54 this is a five-year average of 36 currently is that 36 PE so its current price is actually quite high the PE we see here the fast graph we see that the black line is the monthly closing price the blue is our normal PE and the orange is the earnings with a ratio of 41 so it's much high so we look at the fair value price see you Freya 129 Morningstar 145 simply warrior 140 past grabs at 201 yeah booth 232 and my dividend discount analysis at 36 that's low because they don't actually pay a nice high dividend so that's why that's at 36 but if we average out the the six we get a fair price of 147 currently and you get the company at 212 so that means the company is all valued by thirty point five percent however I recommend it's a whole instead of a sell the reason why I have it as a whole is if you have shares already you know just continue holding it and I'm sure a bunch eventually you're gonna make money because of the growth but I wouldn't buy it at this time I would like it with a p/e of around 25 between 2025 but I think I consider it as a buy I loved end video products I that's the my go-to product for a graphics card if I remember looking for a graphics card or the graphics cards what up is what I recommend for people is Nvidia graphics card I like the fact that they're growing dividends however they did freeze it for November but I don't like the dividend yield at current price I think this company would be profitable for a very long time because GPU process is much much better than CPU but at this price I'm not buying I would like to see it much lower between 20 and 25 p/e so with that I recommend it as a whole and if you have a company that you would like to see next please leave a comment let me know thank you for watching and you find this video informative please hit the like button and subscribe to my channel for more videos like this and you could I have my folio in the description link and don't forget to look at my website disco boys calm have a great one guys
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