Is Vinfast Stock Price Headed Lower? Jim Cramer Weighs In

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결론: 빈패스트(VinFast) 주가는 추가 하락 가능성이 크며 투자 매력이 낮다는 취지의 기술적 분석 영상. [주가 흐름 및 기술적 분석] 8월 28일 하락 반전 패턴(island reversal) 출현 후 주가가 93달러 고점에서 밀려났고, 8거래일 연속 하락 흐름이 이어지고 있다고 설명. 이 종목은 빠른 상승 후 조정 중이며 '컵 앤 핸들' 같은 바람직한 패턴이 아니라고 평가. 진행자는 종목 자체에 긍정적인 요소가 거의 없다고 부정적으로 봄. [회사 현황 및 상장] 지난달 나스닥 상장 후 시가총액이 한때 약 231억 달러까지 올랐다고 언급. 모회사의 지원으로 상장과 자금조달을 분리했으며, 나스닥 상장으로 향후 자본시장 접근성이 개선된다고 설명. [자금 조달 및 수익성] 4월 모회사에 25억 달러 지원을 요청했고, 이는 향후 18~24개월 수익성 달성 경로를 유지하기에 충분한 규모라고 언급. 지금까지 약 100억 달러를 투자했다고 밝힘. [미국 시장 전략] 미국 노스캐롤라이나 공장이 2025년 생산 예정이며, 이를 통해 비용을 크게 낮추고 합리적 가격에 제품을 공급하겠다는 전략 제시. 미국 전기차 세액공제(EV credit) 대상 여부는 상업 리스 외에는 해당이 없다고 답변. [시장 가치 비교 및 리스크] 주가는 전일 26% 하락했으며 시가총액은 약 850억 달러로 포드(480억), GM(450억)보다 여전히 높다는 점을 지적. 발행주식수 약 24억 주 중 공개 유통 비중은 약 1%에 불과하다고 언급하며 유동성 리스크를 부각. [가격 전망] 진행자는 주가가 추가로 더 하락할 여지가 있다고 봄. 하락 후 되돌림 시 랠리가 시작된 기점까지 되돌아갈 수 있다고 예상. [출연자 전망 요약] 출연자(Madame Toy 등 경영진)는 수익성 달성에 대해 강한 자신감을 보였으나, 진행자는 영상에서 회사 가치 및 주가에 대해 부정적 입장을 취함.

다듬은 글

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01. ever since we had this island reversal bearish pattern on August 28th in which the stock hit a high of 93 dollars vinfas is on Pace for an eighth day losing streak no no this is not a cup you want to be involved with it's been fast I don't like anything about it not a lot of cars so please stay away from this it's the kind of thing that should not be public shares of the company last month went public threw us back in which the market cap reached an eye pop in 231 billion dollars on August 25th congratulations are in order how are you feeling thank you very very excited it's a big milestone for winfest okay even though this is not the IPO that you initially wanted well here it's still a big my stone first to be listed in in the US I mean we already decoupled the listing from the fundraising with the support from our parents company so this is a wonderful step first the listing in NASDAQ is going to open access to Captain markets for us in the future and in terms of capital uh commitments Madame toy how much I I know that you're in growth mode in the US you broke a new ground on new manufacturing plants there how much do you need to deploy to really fulfill your aspirations of uh building market share in in the North American Market so back in uh in April we went back to our parents company Bingo and our chair our chairman we asked for commitment for 2.5 billion dollars and that would be enough for us to continue on our path to profitability for the next 18 to 24 months um and then now tomorrow we're going to be listed on NASDAQ and that would open up um our passport capture racing in the future as well right and and you mentioned profitability there Madame toy can you tell us where you are in terms of that aspiration and is it a sustainable path towards profitability I guess we're very very confident about it we have built a lot of foundation towards profitability we have made significant investment in being fast so far almost 10 billion dollars so far and uh we um we have invested towards the future and we believe that we with our lineup of vehicles and oil investment will not pay off so are you eligible for uh credits for Ev credits in the US market the moment other than through commercial Leasing and it is an exceptionally the reason I ask it's an exceptionally intense uh competitive landscape that you are participating in what then is the value proposition off of infos TV uh we of the our strategy is always offering premium quality products at affordable pricing with the excellent after sale service and we are executing on that strategy uh in in the US with the um plants in North Carolina in in production in 2025 we expect that we'll be able to significantly reduce the cost and bring the um the products at affordable pricing to the customer in the U.S nevertheless shares closed yesterday 26 percent lower as we did have a gap down from Wednesday's close however the market cap is still roughly 85 billion dollars still more than Ford at 48 billion NGM at 45 billion so the stock has more to to fall reason being that's roughly 2.4 billion shares however only one percent of those Shares are publicly traded look for price and continue to move down look for price to retraced all the way back to the origin of the strong move higher which started the crazy rally up to 93 dollars