Ken Griffin's Bold Move: Investing in Blink Charging Stock

요약 보기

블링크차징(Blink) 주가는 월봉상 역사적 저점 부근으로 장기 매집 구간으로 보이며, 주간봉에서는 이중바닥 형성 가능성이 있으나 추가 하락 위험도 남아 있다는 판단. 차트 분석: 월봉은 최저가 근처의 매집 구간, 주봉은 추가 하락 리스크가 남아 있지만 이중바닥 형성 중일 수 있다고 봄. 일봉의 410달러 매도 저항선은 이미 무효화됐다고 판단하고, 3달러 부근을 지지선으로 제시하며 역헤드앤숄더 가능성도 언급. 뉴스 분석: 켄 그리핀의 시타델 어드바이저스가 61만 주(지분 약 0.9%)를 매수했다는 공시를 근거로 주가가 5% 상승했다고 설명. 시타델의 평균 보유기간은 약 19분기(약 5년)로 장기 보유 가능성이 있다고 봤으나, 포트폴리오 비중은 0.001% 미만이라 과도한 기대는 경계할 것을 당부. 실적 분석: 3분기 매출 4,300만 달러(전년 대비 152% 증가), 매출총이익 1,300만 달러(167% 증가), 매출총이익률 28%에서 30%로 상승. 2023년 매출 가이던스를 1억1천만~1억2천만 달러에서 1억2,800만~1억3,300만 달러로 상향. 내년 조정 EBITDA 흑자 전환 기대. 거시 분석: 금리는 더 이상 오르지 않고 하락할 것이며, 자본비용 하락이 블링크 같은 기업에 도움이 될 것이라고 봄. 결론 및 리스크: 최악은 지나갔다는 입장이며, 장기적으로 믿는다면 분할 매수(달러 코스트 평균법)나 편안한 가격대에서 진입을 고려하라고 제안. 다만 주가가 최저점 아래로 더 내려갈 가능성도 배제하지 않음.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. this is Blink charging on the monthly chart and as you can see price is near all-time lows this is what I consider the accumulation area where big money smart money adds and develops a position to go long so just keep that in mind however the weekly chart suggest there is still more downside risk however price may be in the process of forming a double bottom that would be bullish typically when a stock reaches the lows it just doesn't shoot up right because this move higher meant that there were some unfilled remaining buy orders that did not get filled because of the steep increase in price so just keep that in mind potentially price is going down to form a double bottom doesn't mean that price can't go lower than the most recent lows but again because we're in this accumulation area now this is the daily chart and this daily sellers level at 410 did hold once you had a drop in price base and then a drop price pulled back and then dropped again so I'm going to take this level off because it's no longer valid now before we continue with the analysis let's look at this article so blink charging stock is up more than 5% after Ken Griffin's Citadel advisors disclose purchasing shares of the company Griffin disclos ownership of 610,000 shares through a regulatory folling equivalent to a .9% ownership stake now if you don't know if you don't know about Ken and his Citadel advisers um they are the money maker on Wall Street most trades go through electronically and they are responsible for uh matching uh the buy and the sell orders just keep that in mind Citadel carries an average holding period of 19 quarters almost 5 years so for stocks in its 13f portfolio as a result shareholders could estimate that the fund plans on holding blink charging stock for the Long Haul uh blink charging share holders shouldn't get overly excited however as of the third quarter Citadel held a position of 5800 stocks with an asset under management of over 90 billion based on the current price of of blink charging and cadel's third quarter s on the management cadel's portfolio allocation towards the company is less than 0.001% so so nothing to get too excited about now Griffin is the only one who has recently purchased shares in the company it's top shareholders include Black Rock Vanguard and State Street now together they control roughly 46 trillion dollar around the world control meaning they manag the funds of the wealthy and the entities which amounts to $46 trillion just keep that in mind during the third quarter blink report a revenue of 43 million up by 152% year-over-year gross profits cha chied in the 13 million up by 167% while gross margin grew 30% from 28% in Q3 of last year Additionally the company raised its 2023 Revenue guidance to between 128 and 133 million up from the prior guidance of between 110 and 120 million blink expects a positive adjusted iida run rate by next year this time all right so that's all positive that's all positive news now this is going back to the daily chart and I do have this line in the sand at $3 cuz that was support uh somewhat support now you could also see that potentially price has formed a reverse head and shoulder shoulder shoulder so you know again on the weekly chart price is potentially forming a double bottom which would kind of be in this area here and as we saw in the monthly chart these levels are down at the accumulation phase so I would say that the worst is in for Blink and if you think about it on the macro standpoint interest rates are no longer going higher they will be going lower again cost of capital will be lowered and that's definitely going to help companies like blink so um if you believe in blink longer term uh you may consider dollar course averaging or pick an area where you're comfortable going long