저자: BrianBolland · 외국인
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Zacks 랭크 1위 Zendesk(ZEN)와 랭크 2위 Surgery Partners(SGRY)를 공격적 성장주로 제시하고, Tesla(TSLA)도 여전히 긍정적으로 본다는 2019년 12월 연말 종목 소개 영상이다. Zendesk: 최근 4분기 연속 실적 서프라이즈(평균 100%), 매출 성장률 36%, 주가수익비율 약 240배, 주가순자산비율 19배로 고평가 구간이라고 인정함. 주가는 76달러 수준이며 2018년 이후 상승 흐름이고, 올해 초 다시 상승했다고 봄. 100달러 수준까지 추가 상승할 것으로 기대. Surgery Partners: 최근 7분기 연속 실적 미스였으나 주가는 한 달 반 만에 약 두 배 상승. 공매도 잔고 비율 약 32%로 높아 숏 스퀴즈가 일어난다고 판단. 주가순자산비율 1배 미만으로 가치 매력도 언급. 60일 기준 추정치는 오히려 악화. 시장 전망: 올해 상반기는 강하고 하반기는 다소 우려되나 상반기 전반은 긍정적이라고 전망. Tesla: 주가 약 405달러 수준으로 급등한 상태이며, 사이버트럭 구매 의사를 밝힘. 500달러까지 갈 것으로 전망. 출연자는 Zacks 소속 전략가이며 연말 이후 다음 영상은 2020년에 올린다고 안내.
다듬은 글
the Zacks rank value momentum growth and income all factor in to Zacks rank bonds of Zacks ranked by I am Brian Bolland and I am the aggressive growth stock strategist here at Zacks Investment Research and I've got two more names for your aggressive growth radar screen so let's jump right into it we've got the first one on the screen already it's Zendesk its ticker is Z II n and it's right there it is a Zacks ranked number one that is a strong buy strong buy for number one we got an effort value and a B for growth I like to see that divergence right there of a strong growth style score and a weak value score because that tells me right away I'm on the right path cos value investors and growth investors are inherently looking for different things so let's take a look at why this stock is as acts ranked at number one so first off we can see the company loves to beat the number two hundred thirty three percent they're 66 percent they're Amit's and then doubling up a hundred percent over the last four quarters are positive average earning surprises one hundred percent I'll get that out of the way so you can see it now see estimates um flat and flat but ticking higher ticking higher 27 to 32 cents so that's a it's a move like that and this is flat you know I think it's a little bit out of the visibility right now they don't analysts don't have the visibility for next year but still that gives us a good Zacks rank and you know when we take a look at the valuation here and I think this is kind of you know where I'm in on this story and why I have this one as our as our play right here 36 percent top-line growth that's outstanding on a year-over-year basis are you paying up for it two hundred and forty times yes you are at 19 times book yes you are its operating margins I don't know what's up through that and I don't know why our net margins are negative because we just saw that the earnings it's positive so maybe there's a little little something the ghosts in the machine that's what I'm gonna call that but still outstanding growth and then if we take a look at the chart you know this has been really up up in a way situation for the last since the beginning of 2018 the stock was in home run investor and we ran it nice and long and we had a great run with it you can see it had another excellent move here beginning of the year so beginning of this year right there beginning of this year right here and what do we have coming up right here at this year the beginning of the year are we gonna have another big move up to this magical 100 dollar level I think so I think that's what's that's it's store for for Zendesk you know the market looks good and I think the first quarter of this year is gonna be outstanding for the market just in general probably first two quarters first half we'll say it'd be very strong second half I'm a little worried but first half we're still gonna be good and that has really sets up well for Zendesk so that's ze n is the ticker 76 bucks it looks looks really solid right here so I like it all right let's move on to our next name and it's surgery partners now this one this is X ranked number two and so it's a SG our Y as our ticker and only a c4 growth uh and a b4 value a better value score than a growth score and you're like Brian why are you telling us about this stock well let's go right here to the chart I'm just gonna show just the abbreviated chart right up here we see right here this was an earnings meet and then the stock boy oh boy I mean we're talking about a double we're talking about a double in a month and a half and I see it continuing to roll let's just take a quick look at it and at the numbers here oil boy all these red numbers here all these misses you don't normally see these in my videos you always see green numbers down there for some reason but this one's got a lot of red red and the estimates you know yeah over the last 30 days it's ticked higher smaller loss to their and then smaller loss here and smaller less here but over the last sixty days it's really not that much improved it's actually worse on a 60 day basis so what is going on here with this stock and and you know no growth 2% as you can see here from the highlighted area a bunch of Na is because the valuation is bad but the valuation here you're getting it at less than Book value boy and and here's the chart and we talked about that that spurt higher after all of these misses seven misses in a row that's a lot of misses and now I'm realizing that I didn't have the one chart that I want to have up there but the idea here behind why this thing is moving up in in a huge way is is this number I'm gonna put it up here I'm getting better and better at my drawing skills 36 percent short interest so what does that mean that means of the outstanding float and let me I'll give you the number right here there's 20 million shares to the float and 50 million shares outstanding I'm sorry and it's not 36 percent it's actually 32 percent so let's get rid of that and I'll give you a 30 whoof it that's a terrible one what's not let's just let's just go with the idea we know that it's 32 32 percent short interest so fully one-third basically of all the shares outstanding has been missing the number miss miss miss miss miss miss miss and the stock has been going down and the shorts stayed in there and now with a meet the stock has turned around and it is up up in a way and they are still heavily short now the idea the market is is pretty strong right here you know I think there's a lot of ideas out there for the first order being you know gonna be super solid we're gonna have great earnings coming in the whole market is gonna be lifting things higher this is one of those very very heavily shorted names and for that reason I see a squeeze happening now boy when we talk about squeezes there is a name that comes to mind and it it's this name it's this Tesla and I mean look at this size this is a Zach's ranked number two maybe I should have done this name instead but I think we all know Tesla's pretty good right I mean everyone loves Tesla don't they I mean in social media all I hear about is Tesla and how happy people are with with the stock and the valuation and this thing has just blistered we're trading over 400 4:05 talk about a growth name there you go and by the way I'm gonna be buying that cyber truck I've got a Model X I love it it's outstanding but when this cyber truck comes boy I'm buying it you know why because with when you see that thing rolling down the street you're gonna be like boy who's the jerk in that car and I'm like it's me I'm the jerk in that car alright so there you go it's almost like a Christmas special as X ranked by video we did Zendesk we did surgery partners and a little taste on Tesla still loved the Tesla still think it's gonna go to 500 no problem alright that's it for me be sure to join me next year that's right I'm not doing a video next week or later in December but next year in 2020 so merry Christmas to you all and Happy New Year take care from Brian Bowan you
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