저자: PatrickDesjardins · 외국인
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팔란티어는 주식기반보상 우려와 정부계약 한정성 우려가 오해라고 주장한다. 상용 B2B 시장 확대와 소프트웨어 범용성, 전문 인력 수요 증가로 확장 여지가 크다고 본다. 주가 하락은 기회이며 현재 12달러는 매우 저평가라고 주장하고, 2024~2025년 기준 대략 22~28달러 목표를 제시한다. 과거 상승 시 열광, 하락 시 비관하는 군중 심리를 비판한다.
다듬은 글
hello everyone welcome back patrick here in today's video we are going to talk about pound tier this is a company that i'm quietly making one of my top positions and you know what the company is very controversial you guys know that a lot of people completely despise it and think it's worth two dollars or five dollars or another like goofy price in my opinion the fact that people completely misunderstand the company is what creates this opportunity for us as investors and if everyone like saw the picture the big picture and the stock went back to 40 bucks it wouldn't be a great opportunity it's the fact that it's at 10 12 15 bucks that makes it in my opinion a great time to actually load up on shares and build a big positions so that's what i want us to talk about today like what is it that they don't understand or even in some cases like it's either they're dumb and they don't get it or it's by design and they're just frankly lying to you right so it's either one of those and i'll try to like demystify it a little bit for you so first you guys know one of the big criticism for the company has always been the stock based compensation i've made a video about that before a lot of people have been talking about it on youtube right it's debunked already everyone knows that it's not the case but just to make it very very short they're not creating millions and billions of new shares of thin air they're not diluting it's just the people that actually have been working there for years and the executives the reason why they did that direct listing right was so that they could create some liquidity and they could actually sell some of their shares on the open market so that their entire net worth wasn't linked you know stuck in pound here now people want to like go buy a house or go buy a yacht or whatever they want to do with their money right and that's what created like the selling pressure that we've seen over the past couple of years that people have misunderstood as the company diluting a lot of shares now i hope we've finally cleared that off right that's not a real concern alex carp already mentioned in the conference calls that they are fully aware of this and they want to align the company to other businesses right other tech companies now if let's say i don't know microsoft offers stock based compensation palantir is going to offer stock based compensation but if microsoft offers let's say uh 120 k plus whatever stocks well pound tier is not going to offer like 500 000 and 10 times more stock based compensation they're going to align the different companies together to where they can attract great engineers but at the same time they're not going to give them 10 times more all right so i hope we like clear that people that talk about stock based compensation they just clearly don't understand what they're talking about so i want you to basically ignore that right we have to keep monitoring but it's not that big of a deal now another thing that they often talk about and you guys know that kathy would actually sold their position and since then the stock has started to do better well it is the government contracts now again like who cares about the government contracts like there there's just a limited market when it comes to that like there's what 170 something countries in the world and we don't want to actually uh transact with half of those so that was always going to be a limited uh total addressable market meanwhile the actual business to business market is gigantic and the company is just hitting like the tip of the iceberg there there are like hundreds of billions of dollars to actually be made in that market over time look at what microsoft has achieved microsoft in my opinion is like the best model for pound tier to follow over the next like 20 years because microsoft actually started like when they were just doing windows the company like made some money right but it wasn't the giant that is now uh right now it's worth what like i they must be getting close to 2 billion so now they have multiple multiple different products in like they have some business consumer products they have business to business products they deal with governments so you have to realize that pound here that's kind of what i see happening with them in the future is that they are going to expand into other aspects of the like business to business and even maybe at some point business to consumers right the sky is the limit because they're both focusing on tools they're not dedicated to one niche industry let's say that you're a healthcare business right you're only going to be doing like one thing and that is healthcare so that's a pretty big market itself but you can't like all of a sudden like uh go from healthcare to hey let's also do real estate right they're completely different but when you're doing software and you're actually like agnostic to a specific industry well that software can be used for every single industry meaning that the sky's the limit right they can do uh right now remember like they started a new module for crypto so they're very very um flexible when it comes to the products that they can do in the future so right now a lot of people actually like analyze the company based on what they're doing now the government contracts or the little uh you know their new contracts with the commercial businesses they don't really see like how they're going to be expanding in next 10 years 20 years and the array of different software that they can do so that is one of the big things that people have totally misunderstood so far and let me show you something i'll switch to my computer so i'll show you something else that's another criticism that started to like take root recently which is completely illogical so let's talk about another new thing that people have been knocking pound here on which is that supposedly it's not scalable and once again that demonstrates a complete like lack of understanding of the tech industry so yeah right now it does need to have a forward engineer that's going to help the companies integrate the software so people are using that to say that hey paluteau is not actually scalable so they're always going to be limited in uh how much revenue they can get and their growth rate now like in the common sense would say yeah that makes sense but when you actually understand how the game works then you'll realize that that's a completely silly argument to have and that's not a limiting factor for the company now let me ask you like i don't know if you you're familiar with microsoft azure or google's cloud or amazon web services do you guys think that like the random programmer can just focus on hey my company has this uh let's go sign up and implement all of that of course not they're huge projects which involve a lot of engineers to like integrate all of that so every company has that problem so the way that they're actually solving that is by creating people that have experienced doing that and certifying them so this is an example here where pound here is going exactly that route they created that certification program and what you're going to see in the future is that there's going to be more and more demand for people that have actual like pound volunteer experience so this is indeed you guys know you can find jobs there look at companies like these mantech international corporation i've never heard of them but they're looking for volunteer field service representative right so you are going to see this more and more over the next decade where people that have experience with pound here people are going to be certified on fondry or gotham or the other products that they're going to launch they're going to be deployed in like other businesses other businesses are actually going to be hiring them and building teams around them you're also going to see new businesses coming up that are going to be like doing more consultant work and helping businesses integrate pound here uh if foundry or whatever like program that they're going to build in the future the same way that they're doing that now with microsoft azure amazon web services and those like that so that's one of the things here that i feel it's another criticism of the company that's based on what exactly like people are looking for problems with volunteer that don't really exist right so it's more like short-term little blips on the radar and if you guys are actually looking for a job and you want to work on that in the future that's probably going to be a really really good way to like really get a very good salary i was looking at them like some of them are 120 000 or more right last thing i wanted to talk about today about pounds here is we see this recently where people are really focusing on the price rather than the business itself all right so here's a guy on seeking of making articles on pound tier look at how the guy over the past year year and a half he was so bullish on the company look at all these buy ratings you know so 20 some 20 25 all over the place buy ratings over and over again in office articles even above like what's this like 28 all of a sudden the price drops to 12 bucks and the guy hates it do you guys see how illogical that is right the more the price drops the more excited you should be that's where the opportunity is to actually build your position and be excited about the stock because now if you buy a 12 you only need it to go to 24 for you to double your money when it was at 28 or even at 40 dollars well you needed it to go to 56 bucks to double your uh your amount of uh your your profit right so it actually it absolutely doesn't make any sense when you analyze it like that they've done the same thing with facebook recently so not this guy specifically but if you guys remember when the stock was above 350.
people loved facebook oh my gosh facebook it's a complete revenue like oh they get so much profit and the metaverse we're so excited about the metaverse this is the way of the future they're gonna become like the number one company in the world with the metaverse they're gonna make so much money that was when the company was at 350.
then it dropped to 200 bucks or even under 200 and everyone hates facebook facebook is doomed to fail now no one's using instagram and no one's using uh facebook oh they're getting so damaged by tick tock tick tock is going to overtake facebook and the metaverse or you can manifest a complete joke i mean who who's gonna go on the metaverse you guys realize how stupid this is right the more the company drops the better it is for you as a shareholder as long as you have money to buy more shares of course so just to conclude on that i and i haven't soured on facebook but since the company like it's not like they're going to 10x from here at least not in the short term i'm not as excited as about facebook as i was before you know when i just started my position but when it comes to pound here completely different story at 12 right now i am extremely extremely bullish on it i do a decent position and i do want to buy more so currently i am scraping my drawers uh i might actually be selling out a fan face since it ran up a decent amount and my goal is to actually redeploy some of that cash back into pound tier so guys let me know in the description what you guys think do you think it's a two or five dollar stock like and or do you agree with me that over the past over the next couple of years this stock will very very easily double triple or more like my projections is very conservative compared to some of the big pound tier bulls like based on my comparisons of the price sales ratio p ratios and all that between pound tier and other companies i'm looking about like 28 between 2024 and 2025 i'd be very very happy with it and i feel like that's fairly conservative based on their 30 percent annual growth that they project now if they exceed that maybe we'll see higher than that i could be overestimating it a little bit and it's going to be like 22 bucks but either way the point is right now at 12 this stock is a complete steal so let me know what you guys think i'll see you guys later and by the way i changed the patreon a little bit if you guys were looking into it right now it's only five dollars for the discord warrior so coming out with us in the discord and i'll see you guys next
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