저자: Clay · 외국인
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8/23 주간 기술적 분석 Top 10 종목 브리핑. AMC는 32달러 지지 확인 후 35달러 돌파 주목, NAKD는 0.53달러 지지·0.57달러 저항, 금(GC)은 10달러선(수치 불명확) 지지 여부가 핵심, 엔비디아는 205달러 지지·209달러 돌파 관건 깃발형 패턴, BABA는 155달러 바닥 반등 가능성, TSOI·RGBP·SRGA·GOVX·GRQ 등 페니스톡은 추세 지지/저항 레벨 중심 분석. 주로 차트 패턴과 지지·저항 기반이며 리스크 관리 강조. 동시에 교육 클래스 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
hey it's clay at claytrader.com this will be my top 10 stocks as we head into monday august 23rd this will be a technical analysis breakdown so for somebody that uses charts within your decision making process as a trader or maybe you're just new to charts want to learn more about how they can be used as a tool to make good decisions as a trader then this will be a video for you real quick before i get started i just want to personally invite you to get signed up for this freelance class that i'm offering next week so just keep in the back your mind that if you like what you're hearing and you want to learn more about technical analysis and how they can be used as a tool to like i said make good decisions and build consistency as a trader then like i said just get signed up for the class if you're watching on youtube there's a link down in the description box or if you're watching at claytrader.com there's an area on the webpage itself that you can click on to get signed up so like i said just keep it in the back your mind and if you like what you hear then i just want you to personally invite you to get signed up for the class so first stock here ticker symbol amc and overall a good solid day started off a little shaky i mean there's no doubt about that started off with a bit of a pullback in the morning but to give credit where credits do things fully recovered so like i said this morning things pulled back here but the good news was never violated down through that green line there right around the 32 mark talked about that in previous videos because that's been a good solid area of support before you can see right there example a of it you know providing support and having people want to come in and buy and sure the price didn't get down there exactly but once again got down into this general vicinity of the chart people very clearly wanted to buy and that's illustrated by you know via the fact that it basically bounced from late morning for the remainder of the day so nice recovery there still more work that needs to be done obviously but overall it seems as though this pretty big amount of downwards momentum that had shown up um has at least now been wiped away like i said still more work to be done maybe this is a dead cat and it rolls right back over but also hey maybe this is the start of a bigger move and this thing's just going to keep on moving to the upside so as far as areas to watch now moving forward in terms of resistance levels definitely the key level still remains right up there around that 35 mark and you also have not that far away the purple line there the 50 paired moving average currently valid at 35.50 so between 35 50 to 35 gonna be some key areas of resistance there uh but like i said that the big step the big kind of box that has been checked is yeah some strength has shown up very much so now it's just a question of okay can we get that next box checked the second box being can this momentum can the strength you know continue on forward we'll see what happens with it next week but definitely all eyes gonna be watching that 35 dollar mark next one here ticker symbol nakd and a very interesting setup here and i like these setups because you don't have to worry and for those of you that have watched past top 10 videos you've heard me talk about this before but there's always that worry or at least there should be the warriors traders of okay am i chasing the price am i you know am i just you know suffering from fomo fear of missing out and that has been you know that has been alleviated no you ha you definitely would not be buying because of fomo because there has been this pole back here now there was a couple of poor souls out there today that suffered from fomo bought up there and they're probably not going to have a very good weekend but assuming you're not in assuming you weren't one of those people then yeah you got a pullback here no that doesn't guarantee anything but from a reverse reward standpoint it really leverages things back more so into uh you know a more favorable um you know standpoint of things because you don't have to worry about like i said you know buying some sort of you know complete top here and overall though still a nice healthy pattern i mean you had this big move up sure the prices come down here but i'm drawing this kind of very crudely but what we would have here is a bull flag bold planet pattern you know whatever you want to call and you also have a very well defined area of support that being that pink line there the 200 period moving average which i mean the power of charts do charts guarantee anything no there's no such thing as a guarantee but what a coincidence right where that price happened to bounce today right there at that 53 cent mark so 53 cents certainly going to be an important area of support and then from a resistance standpoint the main area of resistance that stands out to me going to be right up there at the 57 cent mark and the 57 cents can be broken especially if it's a high volume break then you got to like the chances it makes at least a move up to that 59 cent mark if not higher than that but overall good move got the pullback not just a question of is this a healthy pullback we'll see what happens on monday next one here ticker symbol gc very impressive move but it really all boils down to okay yeah i get it from where the price was to where it is all the way up there good solid move but the big question moving into monday is okay yeah that's great but i mean is there any sort of true power behind this price movement and i have no idea but the good news is because of charts and their power we can make answering that question very straightforward in my mind it all revolves around that area right there at 10 and why is 10 important i'm not saying this will occur but for example explanations say if the price were to come down to 10 behave that matter and then continue on down what would you have at that point you would literally have the price having gone right back to where it was and i mean not to insult your intelligence but price movements that go back to where they were not exactly a sign of true power true strength but i mean to be fair no pricing goes straight up so maybe the price does need to come down but the difference being behaves in that manner and then starts to come back up now all of a sudden what would you have well you'd have a set of those right there you'd have lows down there and if you envisioned those as stair steps you would still have stair stops progressing in the upwards direction so to me it is all about ten dollars next week because that's going to be the point that's telling us whether or not the price is making progress or if the price is going right back to where it was and as long as this thing continues to show signs of progress then yeah you can have faith that this move here is indeed strong and it could very well turn into something much bigger as far as areas of resistance are concerned key area of resistance now going to be right up there around the let's see what is that yeah we'll call it the 13 mark so 13 public enemy number one from the resistance out of things but yeah all in all no doubt about it very nice move today not just a question of is this move truly powerful is it truly bullish let's see if the price can at least start to make some progress next week next one here ticker symbol nvda absolutely beautiful looking chart here and quite the impressive turnaround i mean you stopped thinking about the fact that just on friday morning or excuse me on thursday morning the price has dropped all the way down there and now it's recovered all the way up there a very very impressive past couple of days and it's set up with a nice pattern here headed into monday so let's just get this pattern mapped out we have the resistance part of it right there we have a nice area of support from this former breakout point down there at let's see what is that the 205 mark and then just to finish off the pattern so if i draw that down like there and just to keep it all the same color do something like that and then for you golfers out there to make it a little bit more visually uh appealing there so what we have here is a bowl pennant pattern so that's really the easiest way to summarize this one headed into the weekend bowl pennant pattern key breakout area of that pennant is gonna be right up there around uh you know we'll call it the 209 mark and if 209 can get the break then at that point you have you know intentional jargon a technical pattern breakout and from a bullish side of things that is exactly what you want to see if you're somebody that likes to play pullbacks uh then you know the pullback area that makes a whole lot of sense would be that 205 mark even that was the previous breakout point uh so keep an eye on that but overall anyway look at it very nice pattern has formed not just a question of can this pattern get continuation next week we'll see next one here ticker symbol b-a-b-a and this is one where i mean i realize this is not news to anybody but this thing has just been absolutely destroyed i mean gap down gap down gap down gap down gap down actually gapped up but then after the gap up crushed back to the downside so at some point when things get beaten down this much for this long it doesn't guarantee anything but you got to think there's got to be at least some sort of bottom there's an a bottom that doesn't necessarily cause everything to reverse back to the upside but i mean even even just a mediocre bounce at this point could still add up very nicely and then you factor in all this volume and you got at least throughout the question is this finally some sort of capitulation that's happening is this finally the the seller's just getting out and now you have people that are absorbing all that selling and yet still gone down uh but it's stabilized relatively speaking compared to all that volume now this could definitely not matter maybe this thing is going to continue to get beat to the downside which is why risk management is so important but from uh is it at least valid is at least a rational thought to throw out there that hey you know what maybe just maybe this is some sort of capitulation that's happening yeah absolutely and in my mind that's what makes this a very important level and nothing fancy or complicated behind it at all but all about that area right there at the 155 mark you can see several times today the price try to get down there this afternoon and bounce right off of it and then you just look at all that volume a nice green candle for the final 30 minutes to close out today so while that doesn't guarantee anything because again guarantees don't exist is it at least rational to think that some sort of bounce may be getting ready to take place and i think so in my mind i would not be shocked i think a bounce is coming around the corner on this one but once again could totally be wrong that's why stop losses that's why risk management matters but from uh just a technical point of view a risk first reward scenario i think this one has a very interesting setup here on for monday and tuesday of next week next one here ticker symbol t-s-o-i we're going in the world of penny stocks there and this is going to be kind of a theme that you'll see with several more of these tickers coming up here but it's always a very interesting you know kind of setup and the setup is a sign of strength and then you have a very big pullback now the thing is maybe this is not a pullback maybe this is a reversal and this thing is just going to keep on crashing so because of that again as i was just talking about risk management matters however there is still the but but maybe this is just a healthy pullback and this thing's getting ready to continue on with the overall trend because as of right now there is a nice overall trend easily seen by that purp line right there the 50 period moving average which as you can see has a nice upward slope to it so again is it guaranteed to turn around no no guarantees is it at least valid is it at least rational to think that it's possibility that this is a healthy pullback well yeah because it's all this is occurring in an overall uptrend so in my mind the level that really stands out quite a bit from a pullback standpoint is right down there around .09 now does it go down to nine cents i don't know but i mean even if it came down to that area you know behave like that that would still give you a very nice overall high or low meaning you'd have a set of those right there you'd have lows right there you'd have lows right here you'd have lows down there and as i mentioned previously if you envision those as stair steps then from a big picture perspective you would still have stair steps making progress you know in a very nice fashion so nine cents to me seems to be that key level but like i said to be fair maybe this is not a pullback maybe this is the start of a continued reversal and in that situation well then you know you don't want to buy it nine and then hold and hold hold and hold hope you got to make sure that you have the risk management protocols in place but overall big momentum bit of a pullback is this pullback a healthy pullback monday tuesday will be very interesting staying down in the world of penny stocks and rgbp did this one in the previous video and i mean the uptrend continues talked about that area right there as being an area of resistance you can see got the breakout of it late day on thursday and then today just got continuation and up it goes so i'm going to go ahead and do some house cleaning here just get rid of these lines as they've now served their purpose and the newest area of support to watch moving forward now again more so for those people that try to like to play pullbacks right there at 0.036 is now going to be that ideal level of support ideal meaning if the price could stay above there that would make this chart look very very impressive with that being said don't get me wrong if the price falls below that level doesn't mean everything's destroyed doesn't mean everything's ruined but yeah preferably speaking if the price could somehow manage to stay up above that area that would definitely be a very impressive sign of strength and then as far as the areas of resistance are concerned i want to say this thing is at highs that have not been seen for yeah for a very very long time and we're going all the way back here until april to figure out these net areas so i realize the chart's kind of hard to see right now but that's always definitely a good problem to have so let's see here oh yeah wow so next level of resistance now going to be right up there about .043 so 0.043 and again that's coming from way back here in april so in other words it's been a long time since the price went up this high but i mean look at that uptrend great stuff here just high higher lows higher lows higher lows and even higher lows and that's the name of the game next one here ticker symbol srga and what a great looking chart i've been tracking this one for a while now so for any of you that have watched the past top 10 videos and have parts participate in this one congratulations i mean talk about just a beautiful uptrend um and updates need to be made here so first area to keep an eye on now from a trend perspective gonna be right down there at the dollar 23 mark again does it go down there i have no idea but as i was just talking about that would be the ideal level so if the price can say above 1.23 that would make the chart look absolutely fantastic but again not a do or die level or anything like that but if it can come down there behave like that and continue on up you would still have just a great set of lows and then when you compare that to the previous sets i mean those stair steps would still very clearly be in full tack so 23 or excuse me a dollar 23 in my mind very important level of support and then as far as resistances um let's see we're gonna have to squeeze and go back quite a bit aways which is again like i was saying always a good problem to have so that next key level of resistance gonna be let's see what's that former yeah and i am talking myself right now yeah right up there at a dollar thirty seven so a dollar thirty seven next kilo i'm in fact i better add in one more resistance given the way this thing's been moving and then after a dollar 37 next level up there at a dollar 45.
but at the end of the day as long as the price keeps on building those higher bases higher lows that's what matters most and that's exactly what this one has been doing so again congratulations all of you that have been playing this one just an absolutely beautiful uptrend next one here ticker symbol g-o-v-x and this one and the next one they're all going to be based on the same thing and the overall idea is this huge move up very very dramatic move to the downside but as i was talking about with a previous one is this just a pullback or is this the beginning of the end is this going to morph into something much more uglier to the downside so yes risk management matters but these ones are always so interesting because the ones that have these big gap ups and then it gets so nasty i mean it's one of those where it's so nasty that it's actually very interesting it's so nasty that it could actually be very profitable relative to the risk now it could still be a losing trade but again risk management if you keep the risk small but then you actually do get the move i mean the reward compared to what you were risking in the first place can be very very favorable and that's what we have here so again one of those that's so nasty but yet a very interesting setup and in my mind this setup is all based around yeah let me make sure this this area right here of support at five dollars you can see here through the history of things was an area of resistance resistance right there so when the resistances are broken they tend to act as support so if this thing can close that gap again doesn't mean that it's going to bounce no guarantees but again is it a valid is it a rational thought that you know it could close the gap it could back test that breakout point and then get a move back to the upside yeah that is more than valid thought process to have and that's why if you have the risk mod or you know monitored then you could have a very minimal risk compared to potential bounce to the upside direction so yeah in my mind not interested in this one you know unless it's down around the five dollar mark if it does decide to it wants to try to bounce back upwards key area of resistance gonna be right there at five dollars and ninety cents but yeah in my mind five dollars is a very intriguing area moving forward next one here ticker symbol g r and q and again same exact premise as what we just talked about so so nasty that it becomes very very interesting and i'm not going to go through all that again but you get the idea price gapped up made a move all the way up there and i think some poor souls were buying at that area yeah they're not they're not having a good weekend because after hitting that high i mean just absolutely destroyed to the downside so oh so nasty but now oh so interesting in my mind it all revolves around that area right there could this thing actually get nasty enough to head back down to that 65 mark and create some sort of double bottom pattern meaning price comes down there gives back all its gains and then could it get a bounce back up now i'm not saying reverse all the way back up to that area but even a mediocre bounce would still be a very profitable scenario again relative to the risk that would be put up front so you got to be good at managing risk you got to be disciplined for these to work out but if you are disciplined and if you can honor risk then yeah this could be a very interesting scenario because like i said sometimes things just get so nasty that it seems like it can't get any worse this is the terrible and then usually those are the moments where things can get turned around so yeah can this panic can this bloodshed carry it down a little bit further to 65 mark if it can it becomes a truly interesting scenario so that wraps up the top ten again just want to personally invite you if you did enjoy what you saw if you like the the structure of how charts can be used as a tool to again not guarantee anything but make good decisions to make non-random decisions then i want to personally invite you to the class so it'll be thursday of next week august 26th at 7 p.m eastern time always important so definitely get signed up for the class if you're interested in learning more about why charts work how they work how they should how they should not be used and a whole lot more than definitely get signed up as far as the top 10 videos are concerned if you enjoy this format if you want me to keep making videos like this then please let me know and you can do that very easily hit the like button leave a basic comment even if it's just saying hi even if it's just a smiley face but those two things communicate to me that it's worth the time and effort to put these videos together and as long as i know it's worth the time and effort then i have no problem doing them at all so again just let me know that communicate that to me by hitting that like button leaving a very basic comment below and again if you want to learn more about charts and how to use them to build consistency then definitely get signed up for the class next week hopefully everybody had a great week and i wish you all a great weekend
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