저자: CarterFarr · 외국인
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테슬라 주가가 급락한 상황에서 매수 기회인지 분석. 2023년 가격 인하로 영업이익(-52%)·순이익(-43%)·현금흐름(-35%) 감소, 매출은 소폭 감소. 애널리스트 평균 목표가 $248(약 15% 상승 여지), 의견은 중립~매수 혼재. RSI 20 이하에서 반등하는 경향을 근거로 제시. $200 이하를 분할매수 기회로 보고 AI·소프트웨어 성장성을 강조. 사이버트럭 가격 인상과 판매 우려도 언급.
다듬은 글
hey guys this Carter welcome back to the channel now in today's video we are going to be talking about one of the more popular stocks out there it's Tesla TSLA we're going to be talking about should you buy this stock what's going on with it so guys I hope you guys all enjoy it if you guys do hit that like button and subscribe if you guys are new subscribe right now we talk about everything money from stocks money management trading investing so subscribe and join the team also if you guys want to learn how I've been a full-time swing Trader for six years and the strategies and mindsets that I use on how we find stocks and how we swing trade I released a brand new swing trading course where we talk about all that it's a One-Stop shop I'll put it down below you guys can use code YouTube to get 20% off so make sure you guys check it out down below but guys let's dive into this so what is going on with Tesla so in 2023 Tesla really didn't have honestly uh it it didn't do that much right we still had great growth growing from about $100 hitting Highs at about $300 sold off and kind of Consolidated in between you know about $260 and about $200 it kind of just traded in between there now obviously a lot of the reasons why we're getting a lot of volatility among Tesla is because Tesla this in this past year in 2023 they had to cut their price of most of their vehicles now anytime when you cut a price of a product where does that money come from well it comes from the profit margin you know so what this means is there's not going to be as much money left over with Tesla by the time they sell a a car that they can use to reinvest into the business to grow it larger but looking at the revenues you guys will see that yes we're still up on the revenue you know up about 8% in the past quarter but as we look at it you know a little little more here the revenue here went from about 24.9 billion to about 23.5 5 billion so we did get a little decrease in Revenue the operating income is down 52% the net income is down 43% as we continue to go down here the cash flow is down 35% so like I said it's not a huge surprise that the cash flow is down just because they had to cut their the their vehicle prices you know that money comes from somewhere now I understand why musk you know is cutting the prices of his vehicle to keep up with you know inflation to keep up with interest rates to make it more affordable for people to buy you know buy their product now as we go up here you guys will see that he's done a good job this is the uh vehicle deliveries um you guys will see that you know in their last quarter here it was pretty solid right they pretty much delivered about 400 you know about 461000 um this R here is 419,000 so obvious obviously increasing deliveries but the reason why is because the because the prices are cheaper now as we go and we look at more stuff here you guys will see that Tesla is just very very very volatile you guys will understand the the average price Target right now for Tesla is about $248 for 2024 for a stock right now that's $ 218 meaning this Stock's going to go probably up you know what would that be about 15% as well as as we look at most of the analysts um you guys will see it's a it's pretty mixed most of them are buy most of them are hold and then about 19% of them are sells so you know it's at a moderate buy as we scroll down here you guys will see that one of the more important indicators is a bullish or bearish indicator you guys will see that we could see a lot of buying pressure start entering Tesla now the reason why on the technical side is looking at something called the RSI line the RSI line is the relative strength index so in simple terms it determines if a stock is overbought or oversold or undervalued or undervalued in simple terms so looking at it here you guys will see that every time it's traded you know below a 20 we've seen Tendencies of getting buying pressure shortly after so let's just go ahead and look at some so you guys will see right here it was at a 14 and what do we have great buying pressure as well as right here we had buying pressure you know so as we continue to go through this line you guys will see that every time it it falls below this point we get recent Tendencies of getting buying pressure so answering that main question that I'm sure all of you have is Carter should you buy Tesla well Tesla is you know it's a growth stock for sure so it's going to be a little more volatile than investing into companies like apple or Microsoft or you know more stable companies I guess even like Coca-Cola here but Tesla it's growth like I said so it's going to be higher risk higher reward you know the best strategy and mindset that I have with Tesla is dollar cost averaging so you're just investing consistently you know rather than a lump of money as well as you know a good a good thing to understand is just basic support and resistance so anytime the stock is pretty much below $200 this represents a great opportunity to buy Tesla at a very very affordable price you know you guys will see it was trading for almost 400 $14 that one point so it sold off almost half of its value so you know I do think under 200 would be a good opportunity to start picking up some shares and and you guys will see we have this old resistance acting as new support so we could see a little buying pressure there as well I just think Tesla for me it's a technology it's a AI play you know artificial intelligence is rated to grow at about 37% annually for the next 10 years so if we can make some money off of Tesla off of you know its AI off of its software I think that's going to be a great thing for for us and the company now another thing I do want to bring up is the Cyber truck the cybertruck is a huge competitor in my opinion with like the F-150 but I don't know if they'll sell that many of them just because of their more recent price you know issues with it you know the Cyber truck was supposed to be about $39,000 starting out 39 to 35 starting now it's about $660,000 which is a lot more expensive you know it's almost double the price so there's going to be a lot of people that were looking to buy it that are now going to sit on the sidelines and not buy that truck because of the price hike so you know we're we'll definitely see some growth out of that just because it's another product which will mean more Revenue but I do think we'll see you know maybe a missed uh you know projections stuff like that so guys that's what I think is going on with Tesla I'm going to be buying it I think it's a great play under 200 is an AI Technology stock so guys I hope you guys all enjoyed this video If you guys did hit that like button subscribe and we'll see you guys tomorrow and another one take care guys
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