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Jim Cramer reacts to Monday's market sell-off: Fall back on bullish themes

CNBC Television · 2021-01-04 · 유튜브 시청 114,061 · Board Views 4 · International

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저자: 짐크래머 · 외국인

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시장 급락일에는 장기 강세 테마에 기반해 매수 기회를 찾는 것이 최선이라는 결론. 시장 상황: 다우 383포인트 하락, 나스닥 1.47% 하락. 바이든 당선 후 상원 결선 결과에 따른 증세 우려, 트럼프의 선거 불복 움직임, 백신 유통 차질 등이 하락 요인으로 지목됨. 테마 1 - 이커머스: 아마존, 쇼피파이, 월마트, 코스트코 등 온라인 유통 성장이 지속될 것으로 봄. 물류(운송주)도 저평가 상태라 매수 대상으로 제시. 테마 2 - 여행·레저: 백신 유통 물류가 해결되면 보잉, 우버, 에어비앤비가 회복할 것으로 전망. 테마 3 - 디지털화: AMD(자일링스 인수), 엔비디아(ARM 인수)를 언급하며 2021년 매수, 2022년 성과를 기대. 클라우드·디지털 전환 관련 기업 전반이 유리하다고 주장. 테마 4 - 사이버 보안: 크라우드스트라이크, 옵티스 스케일, 팔로알토 네트웍스, 노턴라이프락 언급. 테마 5 - 5G 구축: 마벨테크, 퀄컴, 스카이웍스, 텍사스인스트루먼트, NXP 언급. 테마 6 - 경기부양책: 월마트, 타겟, 홈디포, 로우스, 달러트리, 달러제너럴 등 2020년 봄 부양책 수혜주 재부상 가능성 언급. 테마 7 - 중국: 바이든 행정부는 대중 강경 노선이 완화될 것이며, 중국이 보잉 항공기 및 캐터필러·3M 기계 주문으로 화해 제스처를 보일 것으로 전망. 마스터카드, 비자, 아메리칸익스프레스도 언급. 테마 8 - 자산관리·증권: 골드만삭스, 모건스탠리, 로빈후드 언급. 주식 선별·자산관리 시장 호황 전망. 테마 9 - 원격근무: 줌, 세일즈포스(슬랙 인수 마무리 후), 애플 긍정적. 마이크로소프트, 델, HP는 언급되었으나 긍정 평가 여부는 불명확. 테마 10 - 헬스케어: 민주당 정부에서도 ACA(오바마케어)가 유지될 것으로 보고 managed care 기업 CVS, 휴마나, 유나이티드헬스 선호. J&J도 언급. 기타: 페이스북은 성장률 대비 저평가, 애브비·달 배당주, 펜 내셔널 게이밍 언급. 장기 테마 중심 접근과 하락 시 분할 매수를 권고.

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01. homework a i'm creamer welcome to mad money welcome to paymark other people my friends are just trying to make you some money because my job it's not just entertaining but to educate teach and put bad days like today in context so call me at 1-800 743cmc or tweet me at jim cramer themes i always fall back on bullish themes that's the best way to approach a sell-off like we had today with the dow oh geez losing 383 points he hasn't been seeking 1.4 percent nasdaq falling 1.47 but believe me it was much worse at one point themes are very useful if you've got some cash stockpiled after last year's remarkable run uh remember the s p was up 16 percent that's that some of these names just roared higher endlessly it was insane so look on a bad day it's easy to eyeball the stocks that went up and assumed that maybe there are the screaming buys for the year i mean there were plenty like that cvs jumped 2.5 after jp morgan berkshire hathaway and amazon abandoned their joint venture that was supposed to transform the health care industry and it doesn't hurt the cbs stands to make a fortune from vaccine distribution i see pvh parent company calvin klein and tommy hilfiger up nearly three percent won a brokerage push hey same with lululemon that rallied eight points financial management well you know what those are starting to take off modest rallies led by former underperformer goldman sachs because this is a good time to be an investment bank tesla jumped again i mean that but why not man that feels unstoppable now you rarely go wrong buying up stocks like those on a down day if we catch a strong day tomorrow those stocks will be the first to rally because they were stone walls when everything else was crumbling and you can but that's a short-term idea that's not where what we're battling money we're not looking for stocks that can stand stay here's what we want we want stocks that can stand the test of time not for tomorrow not for next week but for the year and beyond because there are real reasons why the market went lower today so you need stocks that actually get more enticing as they go lower from these exogenous reasons what's driving us down well first wall street's eager to have a divided government that can because they can't accomplish anything for the next years but we've got these two senate runoffs in georgia and the president's recent annex could throw both races to the democrats if that happens there's a chance biden could raise taxes although i think it's pretty slim we don't like taxes if we like higher stock prices second stocks are up so much that i think plenty of people are just kind of waiting to bring the register uh in the new year take some profits third president trump doesn't seem to believe he needs to leave the white house right now and some republican senators want to follow his lead and challenge the election okay seems like a doomed effort but wall street hates uncertainty most importantly there's the vaccine now we've got two of them with a third that should be approved soon the scientists did an incredible job operation warp speed was pretty good but we're doing an oh just a horrendous job of actually distributing them to people the states have no idea what the heck they're doing well why should they vaccine stockpiles continue to grow how is that possible some of them are going to expire before they can be used even though we have a serious shortage the new more frightening more transmissible strain is on the rise and we can't even stop it without a vaccine the white house has dropped the bull here and that means the pandemic could last longer than we expected so which themes in that environment can we fall back on okay let's go right through them first e-commerce it's still growing not shrinking well i like amazon i like shopify you know that i'm betting this will be the year of walmart and costco walmart's digital business is already well on its way now costco's been behind but now they've gotten serious and when they get serious about something bingo even when nobody's uh wait let's say we get everybody's vaccinated i mean god knows when that's gonna happen right um e-commerce is here to stay americans have tried it they like it they trust it it's a bargain they're not going back and that also means the freight forwarding stocks are bargains too and they got slammed i mean they were crushed today look at them now second theme this is a new one for you you i i want you to start buying the travel and leisure stocks on down days because sooner or later we're going to figure out the logistics of the vaccine and then these industries are going to come roaring back now you know i've already told you that i like boeing for world travel but uber for local transit airbnb for the safer cheaper alternative to staying at a hotel airbnb is a huge advantage during the pay debit but even when we go back to normal i'm telling you they will keep these customers and it will grow 13 digitization hard to believe that this story isn't already played out but it's not so many companies still think the cloud has something to do with the weather others don't want to take the hit from switching software systems doesn't matter though at this point they have to the value proposition is just too good to refuse how do they play it well how about amd hey why not nvidia you see that stock today um these are major digitization uh theme names that are engaged in uh takeovers amd's buying xilinx nvidia's buying arm holdings now these aren't going to close anytime soon but it's going to make them stronger 2022.

02. people will buy them in 2021. theme 4 is cyber security now we've had all the major ones all the major ones on our show we have crowdstrike and optus scale or palpato networks i like them all they all work in a world that's embracing the cloud and digitization because businesses have a lot more data to protect and by the way i also like norton lifelock which is a very cheap stock with a good dividend that seems right for a takeover that does personal security fifth theme the 5g build out now this is going to be huge and it's only just begun now my favorite 5g name as you know is marvel tech which had had its numbers bumped just today but almost all of the semiconductor plays have tons of 5g exposure qualcomm and skywars can be your placeholders uh throw in some internet of things how about texas instruments yes uh nxp semi up today well and then you get the picture theme six the stimulus package we saw how the we we saw how this works in the spring you remember this remember what worked okay i'll refresh your memory walmart target home depot lowe's dollar tree dollar general don't overthink it that's the movie we've seen it before seven please don't forget china no matter what you hear about the people's republic where in the world is jack ma president-elect biden simply won't be as tough on the chinese government as trump no he won't be if uh buying ratchets down the trade war you have to expect china will extend an olive branch by ordering some boeing planes along with machinery from caterpillar and 3m china needs more aircraft anyway so it's easy for them to throw biden and bone by ordering some 737 maxes and 787s this is the primary way about how the us government could possibly be paid back remember here here's what you need to know boeing employs 2 million people directly and indirectly and they've spread spread that over a ton of congressional districts stock got crushed today on 787 order worries other potential china winners how about mastercard how about visa about american express they can all work if they're allowed to operate independently over there and i think they will they will dovetail nicely with the travel and leisure theme about eight there's a bull market in stock picking and wealth management and that means goldman sachs that means morgan stanley and yes here how about robinhood once it comes public bye bye bye nine remote work is going to be the new norm it's more convenient for employees it's much cheaper for their employers that's not changing so i still like the remote work facilitators hey zoom was finally up there you see that salesforce.com once it closes on the slack deal microsoft down really badly even dell hp and apple hey by the way you know me i stand by apple as always i i would say own it i i wouldn't trade it new theme for 2021 not finally 10 healthcare a democratic white house means the affordable care act is here to stay and that's great news for the managed care companies which practically wrote the law again i like the cbs as well as humana united health group and then j j with ladder being best position for both earnings new products and maybe the vaccine when they finally get it done oh by the way it's also the best weak dollar play there is now there are plenty of other one-off ideas that work here you know i think facebook's cheap versus its growth rate i like abby and dal for their dividends penn national for gaming but the bottom line it's these long-term themes that work the best you can buy them tomorrow and then you can buy some more if they get knocked around the next day and the next the great thing about these theme stocks is they all do get cheaper as they go lower

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