Tesla selloff is an opportunity, says Wedbush Securities' Dan Ives

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테슬라 주가가 1월 취임 이후 약 40% 하락하고 7주 연속 주간 하락을 기록했으나, 이는 기회라고 주장. 자율주행(FSD)·로보택시·옵티머스가 기업가치의 대부분을 차지하며, 자율주행만으로도 현재 테슬라 전체 가치를 넘는다고 평가. 머스크의 정치·DOGE 활동과 브랜드 이슈 영향은 제한적이라며(고객 이탈 5% 미만, 서베이 기준) 목표가 550달러와 아웃퍼폼을 유지. 6~12개월 내 주가 두 배 가능성 제시.

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01. let's get to Tesla this morning on track for seven straight weeks of declines that is the longest weekly losing streak for Tesla on record shares have lost about 40% of their value since the president took office in January W wipes out about half a trillion dollars in market cap since then it's larger by the way that is larger than the market caps of Costco Exon Oracle and Netflix our Our Guest today name's Tesla though his best idea are adds it to the list and his outperform rating is intact Target of 550 joining us here at Post 9 this morning is IES web Bush Securities Global head of Securities Dan good to see you happy Friday was this a tough call a tough reiteration I mean to some I think this selloff is going to be an opportunity I think years from now it's a generational opportunity because it's myew I get you in terms of all the the frustration noise the Doge the distractions the brand issues even some of the sales numbers that we've seen in Europe China I think it's going to be shortlived I mean my view is they have probably from a technology perspective in terms of autonomous terms of the lower cost vehicle and where where I see things over the next 12 to 18 months I think they're actually going to go in to their biggest part of their technology cycle that they've had maybe forever maybe in the last decade does that require Elon to distance himself from the brand or recommit himself to the brand look I think this is one where I continue to believe the bet for the Ages was musk bet on Trump because of autonomous deregulatory and I believe autonomous is worth ultimately trillion dollars alone to the ultimate story from a brand perspective look they're we think about 10 to 15% of maybe the sales the clients related to some of the brand issues but based on all of our survey work we think only about less than 5% of Tesla holders today so Tesla owners will ultimately think twice potentially from a brand perspective because of must that's still pretty limited relative to where I view actually the whole growth opportunity what about the whole distraction I mean he's always had a lot of jobs and a lot of roles and so this has always been a constant question but now that he's spending so much time in Washington with the president you know working on Doge does that make you wonder about who's running it yeah look we went through similar things when it came to Twitter X I mean we've gone through other situations as we've talked about I believe this is something where 3 6 months from now I think you'll see him a lot more dialed into to Tesla in terms of as we go into FSD as we go into autonomous I also think you know perception's reality and get that but from all the work that we've done talking to people at Tesla I actually think he is driving a lot of the the bigger initiatives at Tesla despite the view that he's basically 110% into Doge and that's where all of his time is where do you come up with this 5% number I only ask that in terms of people who might change because you know typically I think it's fair to say his customer has been sort of Center left let's say they've been environmentally focused Republicans perhaps not as much so at least in certain parts and so less likely to buy one I don't know you know the journal today the story they cite a lot of people it's anecdotal saying I'm going to give it up at the end of the lease where do you come up with 5% yeah I mean for us a thousand T owners I mean it it's actually it's less than 5% you did a survey of so to me of a th000 customers plus and I I could also tell you this is something as I've talked to others at dealerships whe whether it's in Europe you know what we've seen even in China and what what I believe we're going to see in the US I get the brand words it is a dark time right now for Tessa but to me it is not the time to head for the Hills this is actually time to double down the reason we add to the top pixel is I think we look out 6 12 months from now I think this is ultimately the stock is a double over the next not on cars though right is it on Optimus what's it on I think 90% of the value is going to be autonomous and Optimus trip and I I continue I think autonomous itself is worth more value than all of Tesla today and I just think as we've gone through many periods despite the frustration over the years that is always been the opportunity and I just think right now we are going into what could be actually the biggest golden path for musk and Tessa despite right now what feels like very like a white knome moment just bad news after bad news you're right there have been those moments in the past and the stock has has recovered uh Dan we got to keep it a little tight today it's good to see you thanks for coming Dan I