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한 줄 결론: 비트코인 규제 가능성을 논하며 정부 규제 시 단기 급락을 경고하지만, 장기적으로는 과세 방향이 더 유력하다고 본다. 비트코인 규제 시나리오: 정부가 거래소를 금지하면 비트코인의 달러 환산 가치가 급락할 것으로 보며, 이후 지하경제로 이동할 수 있다고 주장한다. 과세 가능성: 전면 금지보다 과세 방식의 규제가 더 가능성이 높다고 보며, 일본의 법정화폐 인정, 호주의 이중과세 폐지, 뉴욕주 BitLicense 등을 사례로 든다. 달러 가치 우려: 법정화폐 가치 하락 상황에서 암호화폐가 대안이 될 수 있다고 보며, 달러는 부채 문제가 크다고 지적한다. Paragon ICO 경고: 해당 ICO는 큰 손실 위험이 있어 피하라고 권고하며, 팀·자문 신뢰도와 마케팅 과다, 레딧 조작 의혹을 근거로 든다. 보안 권고: 2FA 설정, 거래소에 자산 최소 보관, 하드웨어 지갑 사용을 권한다. 시장 동향: 비트코인 약 3900달러, NEO 24시간 23% 상승을 언급하며 한국 거래소 상장 기대감과 한국발 펌핑 패턴을 짚는다. 일본 감독 강화: 일본 당국이 개정 결제서비스법 준수를 위해 거래소 감시를 강화하고 있으며, 일본이 채굴 강국이 될 수 있다고 본다. 출연자 전망: 비트코인 규제는 단기 충격을 주지만 장기 성장은 이어질 것이라는 입장이며, 과세 시나리오를 더 현실적으로 본다.
다듬은 글
well before you hit the dislike button you hit it didn't you yeah what I mean to say is that what's this Jamie Palacios Martinez wants me to do a shout-out if you think I've got time for something like that then you'd be right this one goes out to chris fourtner thank you for the support genuinely I'm not talking about when Jamie Dimon said that bitcoin is a fraud because he's wrong about that he knows it I know it you know it what he is potentially right about is when he divides bitcoin the technology to Bitcoin the cryptocurrency or a currency can you really divide the line like that no not really but he's attempting to so let's explore them countries form the currency they like to control their currency so right now I say these the crypto things are kind of a novelty people think they're kind of neat but the bigger they get the more government's going to close them down and the more and they're also used a lot for illicit purposes this whole illicit purposes argument is super weak and I think he knows that the number one currency used for illicit purposes is most likely the dollar that mean we should ban dollars according to his logic yes look I get it he's a popular guy to hate right I mean that video where I like physically attacked him and then not two days later on my latest video did someone comment can you do some more bashing of Jamie Dimon and I was like did you watch that video where I attacked him and he said yes but he'd like to see some more slightly vindictive but I get it I really do he messed with a dollar valuation of our bitcoins in a big way this is my opinion but there are a few rules to trading never sell your whole position buy the rumor sell the news what I want to focus on today is to not be emotional let's take a look at what he could potentially be right about okay and they say a no end when governments when people lose a lot of money the government's going to come down when people say they use it as an investment or it becomes too big what government say we want to control it now and I've had many people say well how can you control a bit quick very simple if I said they're in this room if you buy yourself a bit clever abet the bias of the corner the a or or bet anything where I'm gonna put you in jail it's over and so watch this could happen in China it doesn't mean people won't do it you know just means you'll be the black market which is a whole different thing so what are you talking about here he's talking about cutting the life line between Fiat and Bitcoin which is something that's possible technically no kind of a gray area but say our governments wherever you are I'm in England say my government says Bitcoin exchanges are illegal you're no longer allowed to buy or sell cryptocurrencies we're shutting down the exchanges this means coinbase for example would no longer be accessible to me I use coinbase I know it's not the cheapest but I like it what would immediately start to happen is people with 10 Excel a Bitcoin because they're no longer I'm gonna have access to sell it in the future their feeling and so it's gonna tank in a major way potentially and after that what Jamie is saying is it'll go completely underground it'll be used for drug trafficking and ransoms kind of like the dollar says that's an illegal currency it's against the laws the United States the land if you do it again will put you in jail it's over so you really know is you there will be this is my personal opinion there will be no real non controlled see in the world there's no government that's gonna put up with it for long anybody it's kind of cute now you know a lot of the Senators and Congress would say I support Silicon Valley innovation there will be no currency that gets around government controls anybody here want to take a opposite view the fact that this is a potential should be addressed it is a potential like absolutely if bitcoin is going to remove the power of governments a centralized banking like we hear a lot of the big pro bitcoiners talk about then why wouldn't they I mean essentially they've got a few options one they can attempt to ignore it which if it works they're not going to be able to do forever two they could enact a legislation and attempt to tax it or three outright ban it I'm not trying to say I know which option they're gonna go with but I don't feel like they would ban it I don't feel that they would continue to ignore it if it continues growing I think what's most likely is they will attempt to tax it for example Japan recently legalized Bitcoin as a legal tender Australia recently ended the double taxation for Bitcoin Russia is still kind of making up their minds let's not forget Bitcoin already has some legislation enacted in the states in New York State for example there is what's known as the bit license which is sort of legislation for Bitcoin although it's widely criticized as being over encumbering and stifling growth out of cryptocurrency businesses but legislation nonetheless there are many third world countries that stand to gain a law third world up all the way to superpower countries there are more businesses and jobs that are created through Bitcoin every single day and it keeps growing so essentially you might have the scenario where okay so Russia's fed up of the dollar being the world reserve currency it wants its rubles to be how is it going to become that powerful how can it get a leg up over America potentially cryptocurrencies they are growing rapidly I know we're not talking about it right now we're still too early for that but potentially in the future could that happen with enacting some legislation with legalizing it yeah maybe I don't know the technology will be used it may be used to transport currency but it will be US dollars did I think Jamie would absolutely love that if that's a scenario keeps him in business but let's assume for just a moment let's explore the government bans crypto currency exchanges what happens after that the immediate US dollar valuation of Bitcoin is in big trouble people would rush to their precious coin based GDX before next whatever it is that ties you to Fiat because they don't have another way essentially bitcoins not big enough now to stand on its own two legs it needs to be tied to a dollar valuation like think about it if you're attempting to buy something online with Bitcoin the amount of Bitcoin they charge you is the USD equivalent we're still not ready for a society that can price things correctly in milla bits and no they're getting a good deal for it without the dollar valuation I mean of course there will be some examples where that's not the case but the majority it's too early to sever its ties with the dollar and a lot of big bitcoiners know that this is why you have I don't know if it's head in the cloud type of talk but Roger were talking about a freedom island where it's all built using Bitcoin and whatnot I don't I don't line under understand that I haven't really looked into it but essentially a state where they can use Bitcoin because then they could get away from fiat and watch a ver could be a trillionaire so if the governments around the world decide to ban Bitcoin immediately everything's going into tank I personally would also sell everything very quickly wait until just about the day before the exchange is about to close and buy back in again and then I would wait I'd keep my private keys and then I would wait wait for what decentralized exchanges we already have a few but I'm talking ones that also offer fear for crypto and I get popularized by the fact that there'll be a huge demand for it they are in the works and these ones won't be taken down anywhere near as easily you'd still have the problem of attempting to account for where your money came from once it hits your bank accounts if the government says it's illegal then you can't exactly say to the taxman or this was from a sale of Bitcoin so there'd be some type of laundry Rampur no doubts which would kind of suck but but still this would prevent a lot of businesses from using Bitcoin as a payment method and we need businesses otherwise you know if you're gonna buy Bitcoin and you're gonna sell it one day and that's the only thing it's used for then it is a giant Ponzi scheme if that's all it is it's a Ponzi scheme but it's that's not all it is it's attempting to replace currency a better system of money I want to see that but how are we going to achieve mass adoption when businesses can't legally run and use Bitcoin there are a few potential ways currently we can still pay using cryptocurrencies a point-of-sale terminals you know you sent your card you 10x cards that type of deal that exists right now but yeah pure businesses that accept Bitcoin unfortunately might not be possible if the government has banned it please remember I do not think this is likely but I did want to explore the possibility with you guys to kind of have a look at it I think the government is more likely to attempt a profit of a Bitcoin then outright ban it we will need to see China's going one way but I feel that potentially other countries are going to go the other while we can say yeah governments are corrupt these are people that we elected and I can't say that these all of these people don't want to make the world better or want to make the nations they represent better I I have to have faith that some of them do and that's the reason they got into politics taxing Bitcoin thinks this is a more likely scenario the declining value of fiat is not an it's not an alternative you've got two choices you've got the kind of risky potentially cryptocurrency investment or you can hold your fiat 1 you can win or you can lose and the other one you guaranteed to lose what would you prefer rich people don't keep all of their money in a bank accounts best believe they don't why don't you see affordable housing in London one of the main reasons is that rich people around the world will buy up property in the center of a big because it's better than holding money even though it's crazy expensive and they might not even let it out to anyone it still offers better return than savings account Bitcoin is perfect mathematics dollar coin is 20 trillion in debt so in summation yes potentially jamie is right about some of his statements however one of the major values of Bitcoin is censorship resistance can it live after it essentially suffers the worst fate possible by all of the nations in the world which technically can't happen there are too many people to earn too much from legalizing Bitcoin in their country but assuming no whole world banza Bitcoin would still be around they can't shut it down think about that for a second that's pretty amazing am i a Bitcoin maximalist no am i aware that bitcoin needs to succeed for cryptocurrencies in general to succeed yes ok rant over let me know you what you guys think there's some really great conversations happening in the comments I do read them moving on cygwin now accounts for 5% of all transactions the red is non Segway the blue down here is Segway you might think 5% that doesn't seem like a lot you should know what the core client that most nodes run or businesses run the software isn't very easy to adopt segue this is actually intentional the Bitcoin core developers are very conservative and not without good reason for upgrades such as this the next core client updates zero point one five point one aims to make it easier for people to move on to Segway so we could see ten percent of all transactions being Segway enabled ones fairly shortly and on to paragon ICO what an amazing opportunity this is to potentially lose a lot of money there are three reasons the stay away from Paragon coin I will leave this linked down below this website essentially reviews.i cos and I quite like their thinking so the concept gets a big no resolving simple issues surrounding the marijuana industry with blockchain technology the team appears to be real although the CEO appears to be paid off as a figurehead with a clean record I kind of disagree with this for if I do my own research and type in Paragon I see oh and yes again a website which kills my CPU look at this 75 percent usage just by loading the stupid ICO page with these lines I don't get it is it really mining Manero are all I see owes my knee Manero on your browser that'd be crazy so their page says our team is a few people there's also a dog the Advisory Board says Jayceon Tyrell Taylor aka the game okay I used to listen to this guy quite a lot his music he's a rapper when I was younger believe me seeing him as an advisor does not fill me with any sense of confidence whatsoever they're paying a ton of money for marketing essentially lastly execution company has nothing to show for besides excessive marketing looking to raise an absurd amount of money for a niche concept and on this post it shows that there's some Reddit manipulation going on and that they have proof I'm not saying to stay away from this I co-invest if you want but I can tell you I certainly won't be this is a public service announcement I think this is really important if you are not doing this you are driving a car without a seat belt I am of course talking to 2fa on your accounts any exchange that you go on to enable 2fa I will leave this link below it'll show you how to set it up if you think hacking can never happen to you believe me you're in one of the most hacking the next step would be to keep no meaningful amount of money if possible on an exchange as well as that is calling your cell phone provider and saying my account is a risk one I want you to put a passphrase whenever I call that you have to with me because I think other people might call most companies will allow you to do this lastly keep as much as you can on a hardware wallet because that's just the safest way moving on to a video about the top 10 cryptocurrency youtubers not to brag or anything but hmm that's awesome link to this guy's channel down below if you want to check it out onto the market we are seeing some growth Bitcoin 3900 neo has had a 23% growth in the last 24 hours why so the very interesting project it's not like it's going away there could be some speculation about the first Korean exchange that will open using neo and as we've seen in the past the Koreans have been behind some major pumps for pretty much all of the top 10 currencies in recent times we've seen a Korean pump for Bitcoin cash like coin - iota Monaro neo seems like a likely target this is before the Chinese government news so whether or not it would be a massive punt like we've seen before if any at all is anyone's guess a lot of what we see on the biggest growers is simply because these are good projects that are recovering because there was no good reason for them to fall in the first place that coupled with a rising dollar valuation for Bitcoin will automatically have these coins come up again then to coin is down vert corn down rise but I actually not a lot of coins falling at least in the top 100 if you want to be really crazy go have a look at all the coins you'll find coins that in the last seven days have lost ninety seven point eight five percent of its value likely because it's almost worth very very little in it someone bought high in someone sells low and all of a sudden it's a hundred percent a lot of strange goings-on when you have a look at all the coins this is pump-and-dump territory down here in the news Japanese authorities are increasing surveillance on the exchanges this is stated to be because they want to ensure that companies comply with the revised payment services law pass an April this year I think Japan is going to be a very growing country in cryptocurrency we can already see they're starting to invest heavily into mining Japan could be the new China in terms of mining and Bitcoin we'll have to wait and see oh yeah I didn't upload yesterday and I might not continue to do so on Sundays I know I'll have to change kind of the name a little bit I might put it on the the wallpaper art and say crypto daily sometimes if anyone's good at Photoshop drop me an email I'll send you over the high-res form if you want to do something to it that'd be pretty cool the reason I kind of need to do this is because to maintain motivation I kind of need a day off but not just that in order to keep the content strong and not watered down I need to learn I need to spend time researching I need to get more and more information I need to keep progressing all right guys thank you for watching and I'll see you in the next one
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