저자: John · 외국인
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결론: 지수 전반은 소형주 중심 약세 흐름 속에서 팔란티어 등 고평가 성장주가 조정 위험에 있다는 기술적 경고 영상. [시장 전반] 소형주 지수(IWM)는 반등했으나 추가 하락 시 주요 지수로 확산될 수 있어 경계 필요. 거래량이 적은 장세라 주가 조작성 움직임이 쉽다는 견해. [엔비디아] 일봉상 200일선 이탈 시 하락 가능성 언급. 주간 차트에서 전고점 대비 추세선 지지 여부 확인 필요, 주간 종가 기준 1,160 부근 이탈 시 위험 신호. 월봉 기준 높은 추세이나 단기 조정 가능성. [AMD] 1,187 이탈 시 추가 갭 하락 가능, 991 부근 이중바닥 확인 중. 200일선 이탈 시 10달러 수준까지 하락 가능성을 언급. 월봉상 1,341 상회 전까지 하락 쪽으로 봄. [테슬라] 330달러 부근 이탈 시 303달러, 주간 기준 285~270달러 갭 메우기 가능성. 200일선 또는 250~236달러까지 하락 시나리오 언급. 반등 가능성도 열어둠. [조언] 포지션 크기는 전체 자산의 10% 이내. 단기 매매 원칙 강조. 출연자는 특정 종목 보유 여부를 밝히지 않음.
다듬은 글
hello traders John at stock boog / promo / stock bookie sign up they'll give you a call back I've been using Cobra four years guys and styling the best in the business I never had an issue great guys if you're an active trader give these guys a shot Cobra trading dot-com check them out alright so daily chart on in Vidya 21 million on the day it was down eight dollars read up a little bit after hours no great shakes but check this out so we get the upgrade I think it was a double upgrade and then the talk and the stock of the year they bring it up three days here and then chop chop boom right back down to gap window almost filled the gap today and we're holding the 20ma and this big trend line right here so we're holding this area in the 50 ma this is okay if this gaps down it starts to roll then you're looking at this pivot this gap fill right around 150 649 then ultimately this little pivot here around 150 366 if the markets start the move won't lower this starts rolling we are heading down the 200 ma well first stop I should say this little pivot here around 130 907 it's pretty close to this but the 200 ma will be the magnet the 200 ma will be the target for a lot of these high flyers to watch for that but ultimately guys we have gap window 114 and we still have a big gap fill right around 102 81 so be careful in this in the stock guys I mean it's it's came in bounce stuff came in one last bounce does this where they put the bag holders on possibly guys possibly if we can hold this area here in this trendline it might actually go sideways and then maybe the next move up for 200 if the spy the IWM the queues keep selling or keep moving lower I mean the IWM was positive today but if we get a little more action to the downside this will start to slip and you will see this hidden the total 200ma in no type just be uh be awake in these markets guys that's all I could say let's go to the weekly on this one weekly chart you know and still nothing wrong here's that trendline but look at this thing just moving up guys we did have a tail here and you know what we have Knut gosh last week we did not confirm so we still didn't confirm on a weekly above all the MAS and stuff so this thing's still trying to break out still have a little bit of a tail here let's see if we could come in and come below if we close below one 6809 then we could be in trouble and then we could probably go to the 158 90 120 338 and then right around the hundred dollar even number where gap fill is on this one so but the day are the weekly still a little bit stretched coming in but the monthly guys high-flyer this is at ninety 345 this is even giving us a little tail and we didn't have a little tail here as well we did close above it last month let's see if we confirm we still have a couple days left and September so let's see what happens in the next couple days on in video but still a high-flyer this one will be coming eventually it's just the stock of the year guys so that's what's holding this thing up and then 20 people upgrade it that's why it's moving now AMD guys completely different story here gosh you know I thought for sure we'd actually get above this 1477 there are 717 area you have the big trend line here you had the channel and it was once in tried going for it everybody started getting bullish right here and boom right back down up just unbelievable I mean this is a great trading stock I didn't showed it here I would have probably gave it a shot up in this area maybe 16 22 but right now it's just too choppy for me to start okay hit this line let's take a short I mean it's after the fact of course guys it's always easier to see down retrace into the sixth one eight trendline into these little pivots here right back down this is down in sideways guys this is still a bearish pattern holding on to the 200ma and back below the 50 and the 20 so be careful with this one here I mean it's holding on to this I'll say if it cracks 1187 then you're going to you're gonna start filling some gaps down here easily and you got a gap down here and ultimately into 991 or double bottom down in this area so if the 200ma gives away off the slightly bearish choppy pattern then we could easily see ten bucks in the near future market sell will definitely see ten bucks on this one so be careful if you're long or short guys for all I know we hit the 200 today this thing might bounce this thing right back up and come right back to 14 by the end of the week so watch out for this one I don't not have a position in this one and until we find a good bottom or a lower price or a higher price to short I'm just gonna watch this one and help some people out I get a lot of emails during the week to say you know help me out what's going on with AMD you know you've been pretty much pretty good with this one we've been calling it pretty good I just can't I just don't it's just 2 to 3 bucks here and there I want something that goes up up up up up and then then pulls back real nice this one is still still using technicals working pretty good on this one to just be just be careful guys I mean everyone hopped in here on that news with Tesla and they're all getting slammed right now it's and another thing especially stocks like this or Tesla or AMD or I mean I NVIDIA any of these high flyers guy just be really really careful and even on this one if you go to the monthly and this is why we were playing this one more to the downside I mean like I said I don't have a position now but we before when the the 20ma was down here around six bucks 650 that was telling me definitely coming in it is coming up a little bit more you're gonna have a cross here eventually but slightly still bearish here bullish stands above the mas on the monthly bigger timeframe but slightly bearish inside this bar until we pop above 1341 and close on a monthly chart I still think this one is going lower so just be careful with AMD Nvidia any of these it might get a downgrade upgrade downgrade that's that's the games are playing right now in the light volume markets just a little bit easier to manipulate stocks up and down at least in my opinion or what I've been told by some other pros they're actually in the industry so just be careful with this one and Tesla guys what can I say with this one someone needs no lower prices so they're just bleeding this thing out one two three four five five days of downward action we did come into this high though you know the double top here you know and boom that was it right back down and when we were chopping I mean where it was chopping going slow and then finally they popped it up right here and then boom right back down so we're back below the 50 and the 20 ma and a little bit of a weak stance if we get some follow-through tomorrow we closed below this 336 54 to the 331 area 332 anywhere in this vicinity let's see let me put this and if we crack this trendline - this is a big one as well so and that's what if you kind of hit today and gave that a little bit of a bounce up we could pull the FIB off Bonacci off there for now but yeah that's what we're gonna watch you got this trendline coming in here connecting the lows you are in a pretty good channel I mean we popped up here chop-chop-chop came right back into the channel we had this little bit of a little bit of an area for a bounce as well off this trendline that's a week or why I mean now we're going through price but you know I'm gonna keep it in there but this is the trend line or the channel and then you had this one here which was nice he had a nice break out on this one but then I said to myself you know what it's coming up here you have gas fill you up double top you have the 400 even number let's see if we could get there and boom right back down so a little bit weak right now but nothing crazy might be a little bit oversold you're coming into some good areas of support so will they bounce this one or is this a candidate where they gap low and we go right to the 200 ma or double bottom here around the 303 area where it was falling apart back here so another great trading vehicle just like AMD just like Nvidia and let's see what happens in the next couple days guys Friday clothes will be very important for this one but if you're long Tesla don't worry about it yet nothing crazy you start getting below the 336 335 area then then it's gonna well you know what let's give it a little bit more you fill this gap you get the double bottom and get right here to the 303 then you are gonna hit the 200 ma and this could be a bounce area or this might be the time where they send it through and they start filling gaps down below so let's look the weekly real quick here so the weekly trying to I want to see okay so we're holding to 20ma we're still inside this bar yeah I mean look at that nice retrace to the top boom right back down yeah I think we're going to 303 and then there's a 285 area down in here in gap-fill around 270 881 when it's all said and done so the spice starts to sell a little bit more then you're looking at lower prices you might even tap the 250 area 236 200 ma I'm the bigger timeframe so you did still had what do we have seven million on the day it was down six dollars and ten cents there not a great showing but it's Tesla people buy the dip watch out for that and one more thing to keep an eye on guys watch the spy we're still going into the 56 million 50 million 45 million still like volume if the volume picks up on that one we should still we should see a little more selling if we do start selling on the overall indexes these stocks will go lower in a heartbeat so watch for that stay stay awake in these markets and just keep trading guys you know what just don't let one bad trade get to you just keep putting them out there getting in getting out covering your position don't be a pig don't go you know crazy positions we only do ten percent of our total portfolio so if you have a hundred grand no more than ten grand so if you have a trade upside down in you're not getting beat down that bad so that's how we do it that's how we keep trading and that's how we make money here at stock book e.com so all right guys that's gonna be it for these three and just a point in these markets we had a little bit of sell-off in tech the last couple days let's see if this one continues into the new month of October
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