저자: TheTradingAnalyst · 외국인
요약 보기
NVDA·AAPL·TSLA·NFLX·FB·AMZN 단기 차트 분석 영상으로, 대부분 단기 하락을 전망하며 FB만 상승 쪽에 가깝게 봄 [NVDA] 실적 후 반전 캔들과 고거래량 음봉으로 단기 하락 전망. 목표 구간은 약 180~189.5 지지선, 50일선·피보나치 61.8% 부근 반등 가능성 언급. RSI 95 과열도 근거로 제시. 장기적으로는 강세 견해 유지. [AAPL] 베어 플래그 하향 이탈 후 153 부근까지 하락 가능성 제시. 이전 영상 예측이 맞았다고 강조하며 153 테스트를 예상. [TSLA] 상승추세선 이탈과 거짓 돌파 패턴을 근거로 최소 336 부근까지 하락 전망. 다만 실적 발표가 임박해 방향성이 불확실하므로 실적 전 포지션은 비우고 관망. [FB] 저항 돌파 후 지지 유지 중. 170~360(종가 기준) 위를 유지하는 한 상승 쪽에 우호적으로 봄. [GOOGL] 저항선 근처에서 횡보하는 약한 흐름으로 중립. 전일 저점(990.73) 이탈 시 숏, 전일 고점(1008.65) 종가 회복 시 강세 전환으로 판단. [AMZN] 실적 후 대형 갭하락으로 형성된 저항대 아래에 머물고 있어 단기 상승에 부정적. 1020 부근까지 반등해도 저항 아래라 하락 전망 유지. 장기 추세는 여전히 강세로 언급. 출연자 전망: 사회자 중심 단기 기술적 분석이며 장기 견해는 NVDA 강세 정도만 언급됨.
다듬은 글
flawed etflix and what we mentioned here last week early last week is that we were likely gonna head lower after earnings and we got just that so just to show you so you can learn exactly why we thought Netflix was gonna head lower and why that happened here in the short term is because we had earnings reaction right here as you can see this was the day after earnings and you can see it was a reversal candle here tried to break these hives but ended up closing here right at the lows and we did so with heavy volume then the previous day was a hanging man candlestick right here with heavy volume as well so we've got a reversal signal right here and that's why we headed lower I still think we have to tag 192 189 before potentially bouncing I think it hasn't yet seen the downside that it's gonna see just yet so still targeting down there again trim and trail your stops on those shorts and then we'll see kind of how it reacts to this level about 189 50 or so and just to kind of go over exactly why this is the level that we're watching it's because it was previous resistance right there and right there so this is clearly a level of support that you want to hold on Netflix if you a in NVDA longer term we're very bullish on this stock but like we mentioned last week because of the action that we're seeing up here we think it's due for a little bit of a pullback and I'm gonna go over exactly why so as you can see we've got some sideways trading here we've got a doji hanging man doji right there and then we've got a gap down right here that ended up closing below these highs so to me this was the reversal signal or the confirmation that these sideways trading candles were actually distribution because you know a lot of times you get candles like this and then a strong stock like NVDA it just bust through them okay it just keeps busting through them and heading higher so right now we got that confirmation because it did a gap down and then closed below those highs so and then again as you can see right here on Friday when the rest of the market rocketed up to all-time highs we had NVDA that still got rejected so again I think that if you know Friday's market action didn't break this stock out I think you know this is even more confirmation that this stock is gonna head lower and I'm talking about just in the very very short term okay so let's touch on some bounce levels the level that I like for a bounce the most is right around one eighty twenty one and I've got a couple of reasons you can see there's some sideways training right here this is previous resistance there and right here for about a week straight so as you can see there's a lot of support right there and if you draw Fibonacci retracement from these lows to these highs the you can see that number in there sixty one point eight a perfectly with that level and we've also got some moving averages the 50-day moving average which by the time price gets down to here the 50-day moving average could be right there we could get a balance off of that 50-day moving average you can see just in the recent history you know we've bounced off the 50-day here and the red line is the 50 days I didn't already mentioned that you can see we bounced off okay so clearly that 50-day moving average is important for the stock and one last reason that I kind of forgot to mention why I think NVDA is gonna head down and again I always like to point out if you're shorting or getting along purely based off of an indicator and nothing else you're gonna have a bad time but it is still good to use these indicators as just another reason to tack on to why you think what you think is going to happen on the trade so just another reason that I think NVDA is going to come down is because we're at you know 95 on the RSI just super high for a stock to be up here without seeing any kind of new tradesmen and again you know we're not talking about any kind of a crash or anything like this just kept talking about healthy consolidation back down to some support before potentially making some kind of a bounce so yeah that's it on NVDA pointed out this bear flag right here right there we pointed that out on the last videos we've been doing on Apple and right here boom we broke out of that that bear flag clearly you can see that we've reacted to that bear flag and to me you know this is just another sign that you know Apple is gonna head lower from here I think and come up here maybe fill the gap potentially but to me that's a great shorten opportunity I think Apple is gonna come down at least test about 153 as you can see here was a big level here for Apple previously I think it's gonna at least tag down there and this is just more confirmation to me you know we've got this uptrend line that broke here and in fact we called for downside on this move right there we nailed that you can go back to the videos we did you know back here on September 12 and September 13th watch those videos and you'll see that we called for downside on Apple perfect execution on that and here we called for downside on Apple again as we reached the top and in this Bear Flag and we got that right there and not only that but it was heavy volume breaking out of that bear flag right there as well so to me Apple doesn't look the greatest it's confirming the Bear Flag by breaking out of it and we're back below the 20 I'm sorry back below the 50-day moving average so apples really got to prove itself I think it's going to come down to at least 153 the next one is Tesla and Tesla is another one here that we called for downside we call for downside here because as you can see we had this trendlin's a mount and then we ended up breaking below that trend line right there and that was not very healthy action and then we came up the other reason why we thought it was going to head lower is because we came over here and we clearly on this day this is Wednesday yeah Wednesday of last week we broke over that resistance clearly okay so we're thinking okay me it's bullish here and we were calling for a rejection up here and then BOOM following day we gapped down and closed below the previous day's low closing back below this resistance which then turned into support so this ended up being a false breakout false breakout this is a great setup you'll hear me talking about it time in and time again when the level is clearly broken to the upside and then it breaks back down under it that is a false breakout there are also false breakdowns as well both are equally as effective it's one of my favorite it is actually my favorite set up here and again I think that Tesla is going to head lower because of it and again we got confirmation again we called for a downside on Thursday and we got more confirmation that on Friday as well I think that Tesla is at the very least going to come down to this about 336 level right here at the very very least so definitely looking for downside on Tesla and just to kind of put out a disclaimer here earnings is coming up in Timmy earnings is always a crapshoot and I don't feel super confident in either direction on on Tesla so as far as earnings is concerned I'm just going to step aside and I'm not going to hold any positions through earnings and just let it kind of do its thing but overall you know I would slightly favor downside but again you know earnings you know it could just surprise everyone and just gapped up and close over these high you never know so that's why we're stepping aside and not going to play it through earnings the next one is Facebook Facebook here very strong you can see here we broke over this resistance there here's the resistance there's a resistance an on Thursday we came down tap down and then it ended up bouncing right off the support Friday got in okay bounce but we're just holding these levels so it's still very bullish and to me you know what earnings coming up I would favor to the upside on this stock because we're holding this support level as long as we're above about 170 360 on a closing basis to me I would favor Facebook for an upside move and if you look just to kind of review back here here's the another time that we ended up breaking over it's very similar looking resistance right here and you can see that move right there and we broke out about 155 all the way out to about 175 so is one that that I was looking very bullish hernd here we are breaking over that resistance but right here we're kind of just puttering around right here we broke under that resistance on Thursday and then Friday we kind of closed like right at that resistance pretty much right on the dot we're a few cents away from this resistance we're literally a few cents above it and to me you know this is kind of a weak action it's not a full-blown false breakout so I'm not going to call it that but it is to me having me kind of stay a little bit neutral I'm neutral on Google just because of how close we are to this support and resistance you know we're kind of just puttering around from side to side against this level if we break Thursday's lows to me it's going to turn into a short so if we break Thursday's lows which was 990 7:30 then it's going to turn into a short if we end up closing back above this support right here it closed over Friday's highs of 1008 and 65 cents then it's going to turn back to bullish so we can kind of play with Friday's highs Thursdays lows for which kind of direction to go from here as it stands at this very moment I'm neutral this is one that we had been calling for some downside on Amazon we've been mentioning here for quite some time that we still had to deal with this resistance level here that was created by this big gap down on earnings so this is the last earnings reaction right here you can see the day before the earnings big red candle with some big volume down here following day was the reaction to earnings big volume gap down the following day big red day with some big volume as you can see look at all the volume right here didn't see any big green volume days right here and we still remained below this resistance point right there so we remain below that resistance point and as you can see we came up we got rejected so to me Amazon is not looking great for the upside move I think it's still gonna come down from here you know even if it heads back up to 1020 that's still gonna be below this resistance level that we're seeing and we got a big rejection candle here on this day on Wednesday so to me that is a clear sign that you know we're not doing so so great on this stock and I'm just talking about in the very very short term for Amazon because obviously if you look at the long run on Amazon we're still very very bullish here if you look at from just the beginning of 2016 we've gone virtually straight up so just kind of keep it in context I'm just talking about the very short term here on Amazon and that's we got to be focusing on here 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