저자: 미상 · 외국인
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NVDA 단기 조정 후 반등 가능성 및 지지대 185~180달러 제시 트위터(TWTR)는 거짓 돌파 후 하락 전환, 하단 추세선 부근 반등 기대 테슬라는 돌파 실패로 하락 전망, 335~336달러 단기 반등 구간 제시 넷플릭스는 실적 발표 후 약한 반응으로 189~190달러 재테스트 전망 페이스북은 주요 저항 위에서 유지되어 저점 매수 대상으로 제시 바이두는 251~252달러 매수 구간, 상승 추세 유지 관점 알리바바는 상승 쐐기 패턴과 MACD 음의 다이버전스 경고, 175달러 이탈 시 하락, 180달러 돌파 시 상승 신호 진행자는 거짓 돌파가 일반 돌파보다 성공률이 높다고 강조하며 기술적 지표 단독 매매는 위험하다고 언급 단, 대부분 2017년 10월 시점의 단기(수일~수주) 가격 전망이며 1~3개월 방향 예측은 명확하지 않음 출연자 전망 및 리스크 조건은 각 종목별 지지·저항 이탈 여부에 따라 달라짐
다듬은 글
VDA and NVDA this is a very bullish stock overall here very very bullish bullish reaction to earnings and everything like that bullish chart everything is going to spectacular for this stock but at this very moment I think we're due for some kind of a rest period and if you're bullish on this stock you know this should be welcomed because then you can get in at a lower price and then when it breaks out more you're gonna be able to make more money so right here I'm going to tell you exactly why I think NVDA needs some kind of arrest and you can see we came in to this level right here this was I believe Monday of this week we've got Tuesday cam into this level and with a spinning top doji and then right here we have a hanging man candle right here came into this level as well and got rejected so we've got hanging man and then spinning top both are potential reversal candles all right so when I say potential it means potential because you know you get a lot of you know spinning tops you know here we had a spinning top right here and obviously we went higher after that so it's really about more than just being a spinning top it's about seeing if that spinning top actually confirms to the downside and today and the following day we got this inverted hammer and today we got that gap down and we made a lower low and a lower high and we end up closing still below this level to me I think that NVDA is going to need at least some sideways trading here before potentially moving higher but as far as bounce zones below which is really what I think you should be paying attention to on NVDA is this trend line we've got this really nice trendline it's been valid since back here in July we've kind of bounced right there off of it right here in September right here later in September so really nice angle you can see that this stock is really paying attention to it and that is right around where the between the 20-day and the 50-day moving average so if we do head lower like I think we're going to could get a nice bounce so down here and they're around you know let's call it 185 to 180 is that bounce zone that you can be looking for and I'm also going to draw the Bonacci retracement level from this major low right there let's see if it matches up with the trendline right against that little right there okay so is down here near about 180 so you can see that right there sixty one point eight and that's also right here at some support so I'm going to draw that support line right there so you saw this resistance there here here here so for about a week straight and then previously for two days straight it's all sideways trading against that level so that's creating a nice level of support so to me that's great bye zone for a quick little bounce so yeah those are my thoughts on NVDA by the next one we're gonna cover is Twitter and Twitter is a stock that you know to review we liked it for a break out here a here's the resistance there's a resistance but then yesterday we did a video saying that Twitter was likely going to head lower and that's because we broke back under this support because once we break over resistance it turns into support and it turned into a false breakout so this was a false breakout right here as we broke back under so now it turned into a short and really the best setups out there are false breakouts or false breakdowns to me they're better than breakouts or breakdowns because what I've experienced in my almost decade of experience in the markets I've seen that breakouts tend to fail you know maybe 40% 30% of the time which is still a really good trading strategy but false breakouts and false breakdowns end up working out maybe 90% of the time so really I like this setup a lot and you'll hear me talk a lot about it because I really like it and I think it really works so that was the setup here that's why we liked it for short I still think it's gonna head lower than where it's at right now we could get a bounce today maybe back up to this level 18 30 but to me that's a resource as I do think we're going to head back down to this lower trend line which is where I think Twitter can get a bounce on you can see it bounced here there right here against that trend line and we're coming into that level soon so just be ready for that on Twitter now the next one is and Tesla here is one that to me again looks like a false breakout we broke over this resistance right here right there yesterday and we mentioned here that Tesla longer-term likely was gonna head lower we did like Tesla for a bounce up to this trendline but we said most likely Tesla is gonna get rejected up there and then it was going to break these lows and had lower so we didn't even get that chance to break out here to me this is a clear sign of a rejection of this breakout point and that we broke lower right here so to me that's another false breakup we broke over this resistance we can clearly see the resistance level here clearly see it right there and we broke over that yesterday we closed over it we gapped up we closed over it later knew I broke over it and then today we gapped below it and ended up closing below the low of the previous day all right so to me this is a clear reversal sign I think that Tesla is gonna head lower from here as far as targets and we've got some pretty decent support right around right around here you can see we bounce from it here several times and here several times right here that level is right around 335 to 336 is where I think that we could see a short-term bounce on Tesla just remember you know to review why we think Tesla's gonna head lower we called for the breakout here on Tesla it hit our target near 390 then after hitting our target we ended up heading lower right here and this is a weak reaction when you get a triangle like this you know this big coil you want to see a bigger breakout then to just this target okay that was our target in the short term and in order to remain bullish on Tesla we wanted to see it bounce off of this trendline and off of this support again but we broke back below it to mean I was weak like a price action and as you can see we also broke that that trend line too so not only that but we're also have the 20-day moving average crossing bearish below the 50-day moving average so not a lot of great signs here I think the Tesla's gonna head lower the next one is Netflix and Netflix we've been calling for lower prices ever since the reaction to earning so here was that earnings reaction we said since then Tesla I'm sorry that Netflix was going to head lower and the reason being was Dave before we have this inverted hammer which honestly could have led to a big breakout because you know here's an inverted hammer hammer right there but then the following day we had earnings and you can see that big breakup so me this this on its own is pretty meaningless but this combined with and this with heavy volume combined with the following day with heavy volume on the reaction to earnings on that clear reversal candle to me that's why we got a bearish here because if it can't break out on the reaction to earnings how is it going to break out after that and this was the the worst reaction to earnings that we've seen in a while obviously it wasn't you know some big horrible reaction we didn't gap down huge down to 173 or something like that but it wasn't it wasn't great it wasn't strong so we've been targeting from lower and we hit down here your 191 today I still think it's going to add a little bit lower just to retest this support down here and there about 190 to 189 50 I think it's at the very least gonna retest these levels right here so but right there the risk versus reward on the short side them kind of putters out so so yeah playing from short from about 200 down to 189 that's a $10 game that's what a 5% gain on that short right there and if you're playing those options like some of our members did then you're gaining you know multiple hundred percents and gains on that so it just kind of depends on what you want to do on that so as far as support again we could definitely see a bounce off of 189 150 and I don't really like it short beyond that point and that is unless you know we break back under this but let's take it one level at a time with Netflix the next more undercover is Facebook and Facebook to me Facebook is the best candidate to buy the dip right now and that's because we're still above this major resistance we had here right there and here we are coming down below and then closing back above it with a reversal candle I think that Facebook is going to continue higher from here and that's what we should expecting and the next one want to take a look at is Baidu and Baidu very bullish stock here and this is another one that I really like to play for bounces and that first bounce zone that you want to be keeping an eye on is about 251 to 252 so it looks like we could definitely be coming into that level but you definitely want to be paying attention to it so just to know that you know why that level is key because it was previous resistance back here going back to the end of 2014 we broke over those highs right here last week very strong action so if we do come into those levels to me it's a good buy zone you know honestly I can even lower this support just a little because the close of this week over here was to 4970 so that's that's a better level right there is closer to 249 250 against that level which is just you know a couple bucks lower but the other thing too is we got this trendline that has been keeping Baidu up right here right there right here gotta bounce there here's a bounce and that's a nice bounce so if and when we do get down there I think you can get a balance especially because we have this gap up here that that really may want to fill and we may not fill it you know until after getting down here so that's definitely a level you want to be aware of the next one is Alibaba and Alibaba here again you know we liked all Obama for a short up here against this trendline from about 185 we've been doing these videos on Alibaba ever since it hit that level we said Baba was gonna head lower we got that it in our target down here near this trendline and we said this is a key level here for Alibaba now this is definitely a pattern here that you definitely want to be aware of what I want to point out is we've got a bit of a somewhat of a rising wedge pattern you know I'm not too technical on on patterns I don't like to use you know the the technical terms or the patterns or the technical ways that you know a pattern forms I just like to use you know my experience and seeing things happen before because if you get too technical you're going to get bogged down and you're gonna miss you know a lot of plays because you know it doesn't always work like they write them up in the textbooks okay you'll learn that after being in the market for almost a decade so what I want to point out is it looks pretty similar to what we saw over here on this action on on Alibaba before eventually consolidating loan obviously we rocketed up after that and there's probably what it'll do after it consolidates but right here you want to see Alibaba hold this trend line because if it hope it doesn't hold this trend line to me it's going to be a nice short play another thing too is what you want to notice is while we've been trending up you can see that we've got MACD has been trending down so we've got a negative divergence now you don't want to short blindly off of indicators I think that's a horrible idea I think taking any position based off of indicators alone is a really bad idea but it's just something that'll could be a potential warning sign so but with this said with this said we still are within this trendline we're holding this trendline and I guess we got to give it the benefit of the doubt especially if we break the highs right here so if we break about 180 to me that's gonna signal a nice move higher for Alibaba and that could still end up breaking you know to the downside afterwards but you know I like to play it day by day day by day if we break these lows here you're about 175 from break 175 we're gonna head lower if we break 180 these are really simple easy levels to use great point eighty I think we're gonna head higher so really you know we're trading sideways within this range here for about three days and this is gonna give it some nice energy from whichever direction it decides to go so bullish over 180 bearish below 175 so let's keep it simple on the Alibaba l learn a lot from this it took some notes love to see you back in these videos and keep learning even better if you want us further your trading and receive profitable rate alerts like our current members are getting running just like our members
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