저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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시장 상승이 엔비디아·브로드컴 등 소수 기술주에 편중되어 폭이 좁다. 브로드컴 AI 매출 호조로 긍정적이며 액면분할 전 상승 여력을 언급. 반면 은행(헌팅턴 가이던스 하향), 운송·철도, 식품·음료, 외식주는 약세로 매수를 꺼리는 상황. 헬스케어는 방어주로 약세 시 매수 추천(아스트라제네카, 머크, 나스닥 소재 TOA 언급). 아메리칸익스프레스는 조정 시 매수 관점.
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AR I people make friends I'm just trying to make you a little money my job is not just to entertain you but to educate to teach you so call me at 18743 CMC tweet me at your C look people we're losing some themes and that's causing trouble for this Market even as the averages were basically flat today Dow dipping 65 points just be inching up 23% and then as like advancing 34% it's narrow unless more companies and more sectors start doing better you aren't going to get the kind of healthy breath that so many investors want to see before they dive in now we've had a terrific market for most of the year but many if not most of the people I talk to believe the rally is unsustainable they think we'll have to pull back unless things broaden out now we know the rally is driven by a handful of stocks Nvidia Apple Microsoft alphabet Amazon Oracle uh and now broadcom which we own from Chapel trust we put out a bull into all club members that told the tale broadcom's equipment is integral to gener of AI it makes much of the plumbing that goes into the data center it has many other Tech businesses including a very big Telco division that's been in the do drones for ases but broadcom's incredibly strong artificial intelligence Revenue 3.1 billion up from 2.3 in the previous quarter totally out shown anything negative as we told members of the club its air related business saw a continued surge in Sales Management raising its full year outlook to 11 billion backing up our view that this is one of the best AI chip stocks in the market and that's how this $770 billion company that you may never heard of could jump more than 12% today oh that in the 10 for one stock split that's designed to make the stock more enticing to home Gamers hasn't even happened yet and it's already working so as usual there was the PIN action from a major tech company they reported a good number Nvidia rallies 3.5% Dell up 2.4% arist up 6.5% third happen to be broks partner M CR up 1.7% Tech might continue to lead tomorrow as Adobe which is on later in the show reporter Stellar quarter this that Graphics Company does actually so much more than Graphics it gave you an excellent forecast like broadcom last night this stock is soaring in after hours trading we can have an exact repeat of what happened today bears and Keet Bulls dislike it this markets led by a handful of tech stocks I'll kind them play them I prefer to see many more sectors participating sure that would be great the problem is that they often can't participate because of issues in their sectors that make it difficult for you to own their stocks without the potential to lose a lot more money than you do if you own Tech so let me take down some of these issues so you know what I'm talking about and have a better idea why we are not putting out and then make a decision whether you want to be in Tech because of the issues that I'm talking about about you might not want to in the others let's start with the backs this group of bell weather sector for the market have been producing some really solid gains ever since we realized the Fed was done raising interest rates last fall we got solid beat and raise numbers when they reported the first quarter results but this week the winning streak ended and it ended in a very strange way an unnerving way frankly Huntington Bank Shar hbam one of the best Regional Banks cut its forecast because of what's known as lower net interest income or nii this was totally out of the blue people just this we Huntington CFO traveled with UBS to Europe and told a really compelling story earlier this week the same CFO went to a sector conference and said net interest income guidance would come up short projecting it'd be down 1 to 4% previously it was supposed to be flat maybe somewhere between plus or minus two now that may not sound that much to you but when you think everything's fine you get Gaff like that you start thinking honey can't Huntington you can't possibly just be Huntington right who else is the cut number someone else is lurking that's that's why investors collec decide to sell the banks first and ask questions later why take the risk with the average at such high levels now I personally think Huntington will prove to be an aberation but it doesn't matter what I think personally what matters is that stock which was about 14 and a quarter a month ago is now at $2.34 that's a roughly 133% decline so for the moment nobody wants to go near the banks for fear that they'll have a huntingt on their hands second Healthcare has been a reliable group until very recently when it started rolling over once again I like the stocks down here we're doing a week- long series of the most attractive Growers and Pharma they're what you should be buying in a Slowdown where inflation is going lower that could be the fit could fit our description of our Market but last week we got a very strong Employment Number robust hiring so we don't know the direction of the economy overall without any degree of certainty and no call from the FED saying the Slowdown is imminent the recession resistant Healthcare stocks have been getting hammered I think you should buy the weakness I already recommended Astro zenica M and Nar TOA this week I got another one later tonight that has a good dividend still one more tomorrow now I like these kinds of stocks more important I like to buy when they're going lower not higher but again sadly that's not what most people like to do they like to chase I don't like to chase but most people do third there's the transports now this is a fol Grom group that does have me concern because the transports are trading like the economy might have a much more abrupt slowdown than we especially me are thinking now some of these names have V perform quite a bit United pars for example see a stock fall 14% for the year with a precipitous drop in the last month 150 to 134 and change that to me is worrisome Trucking giant JB Hunt it's down 20% for the year thanks to multiple points of weakness when it last reported inter modal down 9% Contract Services off 2% integrated capacity Solutions off 26% truckload where revenues declin 133% operating income out of 75% no that is terrible how about the ugly action in The Rails all of a sudden this normally robust group has been smacked down hard CSX in northw southern down 6% Union Pacific off 9% for the year these are Relentless grinding downward moves and they don't seem like they're stopping anytime soon when you compare that to Apple or broadcom or adobe I mean GE fourth we witnessed a sudden precipitous decline in the food and beverage group the very reliable molsen core symbol tap has gotten clobbered falling over 177% for the year it just dropped from 69 in April to $50 and change today hitting a two hitting a 52e low today craft H is down 12% for the year back yielding 5 5% PepsiCo which is not known as a wild Trader right it's gone from 183 a month ago to 163 today I mean that's just un nerfing oh and obviously there are stocks like McDonald's which has falling from 302 in January 253 and change today just eight points up from its low in October of last year before the fed's big pivot it joins the likes of Starbucks which is off over 14% And for the for the year and can't seem to get any traction the restaurant cord has been very disappointing aside from some extremely positive exceptions Chipotle Wingstop dominoes today the Bears even got to Aerospace as GE got smacked declining more than 3% thanks to a number cut from JP Morgan related to supply chain issues Boeing was thrown back for 1% loss but Boeing's always seems to be thrown for loss problem is I'm not charry picking here people those are the largest sectors in Decline I could have widened my net to include oil and gas retail non-farmer Health Care drug stores entertainment these are all very weak sectors but weaker for reasons that are understood numbers are either bad or starting to roll roll over their stocks cannot hold these levels if numbers are being cut lots of landmines so understand it's not that the market needs to broaden out it's that buyers can't let they're afraid to go they their buyers are afraid to broaden out it's too risky too much uncertainty away from Tech too much certainty in Tech because of the coalesence of accelerated Computing and generative AI because of what Jensen Wong has told us he's the CEO of Nvidia here's the bottom line EST yourself without the AI related Tech names where would we be but more important if you sacked them out because you waited for the rails to catch fire or the foods that gets fir or the banks well you've missed out on some major gains and that's our job is to find them sometimes you just have to accept that it's worth trying to make money in a market that has some really bad breath and no mouthwash in sight let's go to bill maters please Bill oh yeah Jim how are you today I am good Bill how are you doing can I just take 30 seconds and talk about uh the club Jeff marks the morning meeting and you sure that'd be nice you know I I didn't put you up to it I'm I'm I'm thrilled that you mentioned it thank you it's all me I just want I want to give a special shout out to Jeff Marx he's coming into his own he keeps you grounded in the meetings I love how you guys bounce things off each other today's meeting was great well thank you that is what I Bill thank you that Jeff and I sit next to each other and what you see is what we try to do for the club or the whole day we're doing that back and forth and back and forth including for broadcom which we had and was terrific but for Starbucks which we had and is miserable so we go over the good and the bad now how can I help you now well Jim I I I've been doing my homework on this company I feel very bullish on American Express please give me your opinion I like American Express very much I was sad to see it downgraded the other day I don't think it should be I think Steve squer is doing a terrific job the Stock's 22 points off it's high that makes a lot of sense to me I know the chart looks terrible I think that's driving a lot of the downward momentum I think you buy some and then you wait 10 and I'm going to tell jar well Jeff's watching the show and I know you're going to make him feel great cuz he is great he's just a terrific partner anyway look sometimes you just have to accept that it's worth it to try to make money in a one particular group even if there isn't participation away we must always be opportunistic people if you've been sending out the big Tech names and hopes for board rally then you've missed some of I I once in a lifetime gains well man by signal Jewelers reported light sales sending the stock lower but could it up toing engagements be an opportunity to get in on this name I'm chatting with the co and it's really a forecast is lighter I I thought the quarter was pretty good then I'm continuing my series on Healthcare Stocks by seeing if fizer could be poised for a comeback after its pandemic Peak and later I'm checking with the Doby CEO here where the software stock stands in the competitive digital design space that I think they dominate except after big earning speed
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