저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
영상은 누리엘 루비니를 'Dr. Doom'으로 소개하며, 2023년 경기침체와 금융위기 가능성을 경고한다는 내용이다. 루비니의 주장: 2008년 금융위기를 예측해 유명해졌고, 2023년에도 유사한 침체가 올 수 있다고 본다. 주요 위험 요인으로 1년 가까이 이어진 경기 둔화, 유럽의 부채 위기, 스태그플레이션 세 가지를 꼽는다. 스태그플레이션 설명: 인플레이션과 실업률은 높고 GDP 성장은 정체되는 상태를 뜻하며, 수요 감소와 고용 악화가 동시에 나타날 수 있다고 설명한다. 회복 전망: 침체 이후 회복에 10년 가까이 걸릴 수 있고, 주식·채권 시장이 크게 하락한 뒤 수년간 약세가 이어질 수 있다고 본다. 인플레이션은 약 6%로 높게 유지될 수 있으며, 전통 자산의 실질 가치가 줄어든다고 주장한다. 금은 위기 중 급등했지만 이후 변동성이 있을 수 있다고 언급한다. 2023~2030년 사이 큰 어려움이 있을 것이라는 경고도 포함된다. 인도 관련 전망: 인도 경제는 성장할 가능성이 크며 연 7~9% 성장도 가능하다고 본다. 구조개혁(은행 개혁, 세제 개편)이 전제되어야 한다. 루비니의 견해로 전해지는 내용으로, 루피화는 무역 결제 확대와 국제화 가능성이 있으나 자본 유입과 정책이 뒷받침되어야 한다고 한다. 인도의 과점(oligopoly) 문제와 경쟁 부족도 지적되었다. 영상 후반부: 진행자는 인도가 2008년 위기에도 대비했던 것처럼 이번에도 준비되어 있다고 말하며, 인도 내 은행의 Nostro·Vostro 계좌 개념과 디젤 배출 규제 관련 댓글 질문으로 마무리한다. 종합: 영상 내용은 대체로 루비니의 거시 경고와 인도 경제 전망에 집중되어 있으며, 대상 자산에 대한 구체적인 단기 가격 예측은 제시되지 않았다.
다듬은 글
Hello Jai Hind, welcome to all of you. The world economy is doing a total shoot, and we have to understand for how long can we survive this phase. Watch this entire video and you will understand which country is actually having a very positive economy and which are the countries that are on the verge of failure, where the banks are getting bloated.
Let's discuss. Before discussing, let me tell you about this doctor whose name is Doctor Dum. Although his name is not Doctor Dum, this name has been given to him. This was the economic surprise of 2008, which badly devastated the market and its economic repercussions were seen all over the world. He had predicted in 2006-7 that there would be a recession in 2008 and this market would fail.
And since then, people have started listening to him very carefully because he had accurately predicted that the 2008 crash was going to happen. His prediction was again a And in this prediction, they have elections in 2023. According to them, the same problem is likely to come again in 2023 and things have already started.
On three major issues, they said that this economy will be completely ruined by 2023 and the responsibility for this lies on them and on Europe, even the king will not be able to handle this decline. There are three issues. First, they have been appealing for almost the last one year, so whatever effect this recession has in 2023 will be seen in every country.
Second, the debt crisis which is pushing Europe into the Gulf and the pressure on them is increasing. This is where people used to go to the safest destinations of Europe, like Swiss banks to Switzerland, the debt crisis has started there too, they are also worried there and third is stagflation. This trio has written the name of this 2023 as the ruin of the economy.
Almost developed countries are not developing, their trade has reduced, the demand has decreased. It has already happened and they are just facing the devastation, although they do not tell it to be very exposed, but if you look at the trends and the figures they are troubled, then we should understand one word.
There can be many parameters. Purse taxation is a very good parameter to understand that your inflation is present and the rate of unemployment is very high, your GDP is not growing, then it means stagflation. There is inflation, GDP is growing, plus your rate of unemployment is very high, which means employment is not being generated.
In such a condition, investors put their money in any market and people do not have money to generate demand, then GDP also does not grow, GDP is not growing, employment is increasing, inflation is also increasing, in this cycle, fans are going on in the whole tomorrow and it may take a lot of time to find a doctor, if you tell them in the year 2008, it was a long time ago, but he had also said that maybe in two-three years we will emerge from this and By 2011-12, the market had bounced back, but the current situation is very worrying.
They say that it could take a decade to recover from the 2023 recession, because this thing will absorb almost everyone's money, and GDP will not increase, there will be no growth, the value of assets will continue to depreciate. It is worrying that even after almost 10 years of our effort, they believe that recessionary trade and this market failure is probably not a flood, but they believe that all the money invested in stocks and bonds is now falling badly and will continue to fall for some time to come.
This is their claim, they note, what is going to happen, but their claim is that the stock and bond market will fail badly and the market will continue to fall for the next few years. Although we have been seeing for the last three-four months that the stock market is on the verge of crash, but they say that it could take a decade to recover, even if a significant amount of money has been invested.
But people also buy physical assets. They say that inflation will not be two percent, but according to them, inflation is going to be around six percent. They calculate the global average and say this. Looking at this inflation, one thing is that the value of all the traditional assets in which people keep their money will keep decreasing.
Next, if you look at the price of Loss Gold, it did skyrocket in the middle because the economy was falling, but if you own land or any other physical asset, then it is certain that the value will fall, and falling does not mean that it will fall below its base value, that is, as you were seeing, my value will increase, it will not increase.
They have warned that there will be a lot of trouble for this card from 2023 to 2030. They have predicted a lot of trouble for this card from 2023 to 2030. There is good news for us in the midst of this trouble. They are liking the Indian rupee very well. They say that India will grow and the Indian rupee has the potential to become a global reserve.
Special Dada Indian Rupee Jump B D New Dollar Yes, absolutely the dollar which is trading in India. The demand for the rupee is increasing, and our policies are such that we are lost, and this is what they say, and it has already begun, and India is extracting a lot of water from it. The value of the rupee will increase.
They say this, but they have warned that the value of the rupee will increase only when capital income is good. The Indian government will have to take some structural measures so that the rupee can gain dominance here. They believe that the rupee has indeed started trading. South-South trade is taking place, and if we look at South-South global cooperation, there is almost trade in the rupee.
If you look at Iran, there are talks with Australia, there are talks with Russia. If you are trading in the rupee, then the value of the rupee can really increase, in which trade can take place, there can be means of payment. You can see that if its demand increases, its value will increase. It can be used as a reserve, as a unit of account, and it can create its own store value.
So, the strength of the rupee is its power, and if the strength of the rupee increases, then naturally it will also increase as a global trade factor, and if it increases, then the value of the assets that we have can increase. The value of which can increase. Doctor sahab told that India's growth rate can be around 7% and it is reported for 2023 that it can be around 7% but if India wants, it can also reach 8% or even 9% if it brings about structural changes.
There is a lot in structural change, we have banking reforms, our taxation structure. If changes are made in these things and some reforms are brought about then perhaps our growth rate can be even better. So it is good news for India that our rupee will also be internationalized. The Chinese currency will also start trading early.
But whatever schemes we have or whatever powerful things we are trying to implement, our rupee can actually fail a lot in trade and other places as well. For this reason, we have tried to open accounts of other banks or banks of other countries here. We have opened bank accounts of 18 countries here, which we call Astro Account, that is STR Wash full count.
Please tell us by commenting below. What is the difference between Nostro and Vostro? What is the difference between ₹900 and Vostro account? Please tell us by commenting below and let me tell you that they had one more warning and that warning was that growth is happening in India and it should happen but this growth story is not stopping and that group has been there because they see that oligopoly practice is rampant in India.
Now understand the meaning of oligopoly that they believe that there is less competition here. The big businesses are one or two and they just keep competing among themselves. Unless the efficiency competition does not increase in India, the real potential of India will not come to the fore. The government should promote more companies as well.
Our business and our resources are not made for just one or two companies. If other companies also get support, they will also come forward. If the competition increases, then the oligo practice which is less will reduce. Plus, if this decreases, then perhaps our economy can get a further boost and personal income is the power of the people and we can really achieve that.
We are trying to find developed status, we can become it, so this is with some warning, maybe an attempt, nature has warned us, but according to the day of 2023, we will have to be completely ruined, we will have to always be alert, IAF will have to be alert, World Bank will have to be alert and every agency will have to work according to its own at this time so that if any such assistance is seen, we can be alert for it in advance and India is absolutely ready, that is why we were alert last time also, in the crisis of 2008 and in 2023 also we are strong for that, that is all, please tell us by commenting below when the latest diesel norms have been implemented in India and which are they, which diesel norms have been implemented in India and since when have they been implemented, please do tell us by commenting below, thank you everyone, thank you so much, take care Jai Hind
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