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결론: 코인베이스 단기 숏 매매를 설명했으나 결국 손실 거래였으며, 원칙(분할 익절·손절 준수) 위반이 실패 원인이라는 복기 영상. 전날 SEC 조사·내부자거래 이슈로 코인베이스가 쉬운 숏 종목이었고, 당일도 같은 패턴을 노렸다고 설명. 진입 근거: 55달러선(프리마켓 고점)과 57.25달러 채널 상단을 저항으로 보고 숏 진입 조건을 설정, 장 초반 53달러 하락 세팅을 기대. 실행 과정: 3~4개 포지션 중 한 종목을 숏으로 들고 55달러 앞에서 진입, 고점 대비 1:1 지점에서 일부 익절 후 나머지는 보유. 실패 원인: 횡보 구간에서 추가 익절 기회를 놓쳤고, 세 번째 프리마켓 고점 테스트 때 재진입해 손절로 마감. 3차 테스트에 물량을 늘리지 않는 원칙을 어김. 진행자는 55달러 지지가 유지되면 돌파형 롱 거래가 더 나았을 수 있다고 복기. 결론적으로 이 영상은 특정 가격 방향을 예측하기보다 단기 트레이딩 원칙과 실수 복기에 초점.
다듬은 글
welcome we're going to talk trade of the day here and we always get the question why don't you guys show a losing trade every now and then so why not lots of great long opportunities today but let's talk about coinbase yesterday coinbase was an easy short they had that investigation sec investigation insider trading issues from before lots of pressure in the overall market yesterday easy short idea came in today looking for the same thing off some key levels and we're just going to show you how to end up breaking down obviously a higher time frame here we're going to have a look at this it's a 15-minute chart because i just really wanted to highlight yesterday's trade we just died off of the open like this is the kind of thing you're sitting in that short or getting that breakdown it's just a matter about where you want to get out i actually had the 60 level sort of pinned just because it was psychological but once i came in uh in the morning there's a couple of things you have the 55 that's the obvious sort of like line in the sand uh 55 even dollar range the pre-market high if i'm playing off of 55 and then this is the other man i was looking at with a 58 top and then you had like this little channel here at about 57 and a quarter so if this is a wide band i was willing to be patient for it but i also just wanted to be short the same way we were sitting in the short and looking for that trade in yesterday's action so we come in and here's here's the thing about executing this trade look at what happens right at the open now you're going to get a little bit of a test of the pre-market high and then a flush into 53 that's more or less exactly the setup we're looking for like yesterday maybe it doesn't follow through like yesterday but that's the trade that you want i was in maybe three i want to say three or four positions that were not coinbase should have just been sitting in this one locked and loaded and ready to go and we always have an adage here like sometimes when you get it the second time you can't anticipate it's going to be as good and i did mention that for another trait but here i did not heed my words and this is why it turns into a losing trade instead of being able to salvage what wasn't a bad move it's gonna come back in and this is a three minute chart here so you're only about like eight to ten minutes in when it makes a test lower high fantastic i'm short in front of 55 here i take some out when it's about one to one to that high of the day and now i'm thinking let it ride but in the back of my mind i'm remembering that i got out of 63 at 60 and what happened yesterday right so you can't try to recreate that trade it's just not going to come back for you when we stall out here this is exactly where i should have been looking to take some more shares out it gives me two opportunities to take more out and bank profit it has made the wipeout bottom and i've missed that move i'm getting the secondary push and rather than get more shares out i end up just doubling back in on the third test of the same pre-market high now but the only thing that goes well is i adhere to my stop i simply get out and then show patience but there's no need to be adding to this aggressively when this is the third test and i don't usually like to have more shares on the third test so that's the mistake it's also not getting enough shares out i mean you can talk about how this turns into like a breakout style trade we had some longs that maybe should have included paypal sorry uh coinbase and you're going to see it actually end up holding support at that 55.
the other thing we showed patients with which what which clearly would have worked if we just gotten in early is that top channel we got to the bottom of the channel that we're looking at for that short that 57 and a quarter the bottom of the channel without entering it and then just showed resistance so if i saved a little that aggression for the top i might have been able to work back into a short trade truth of the matter is if you were short this morning you were struggling to try to find a way not to lose the longs were all fantastic but there is a way if you adhere to your basic principles pay yourself when it goes down the more it tests that level in a strong market understand it's more likely to break and join everything else so lots of ways that i could have actually ended up green on that call but i didn't and we're showing you why that's why it's the trade of the day here and as always brought to you by day trade the world if you want to be a day trader many executions trade the capital you need then check out day trade of the world
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