저자: EmmanuelFinance · 외국인
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결론: 유튜버는 캐시 우드(ARK)가 테슬라를 대량 매도한 것을 과열 신호로 보고 차익실현을 고려해야 한다는 입장이다. [ARK 매도 사실] 8월 18일~21일 동안 ARK 계열 펀드들이 테슬라를 합계 약 82,699주 매도했다고 설명한다. [ARK 펀드 구성] ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK), ARKQ, ARKW 등 액티브 ETF에 테슬라가 편입되어 있으며, 당시 비중은 ARKK 약 10.64%, ARKW 약 10.51%, ARKQ는 7월 14일 기준 11.91%였다고 언급한다. [캐시 우드의 과거 목표가] 캐시 우드는 테슬라 5년 목표주가 7,000달러에 높은 확신을 보였고, 최상 시나리오는 2020년 말 15,000달러, 최악 시나리오는 1,500달러라고 말한 바 있다. [가격 괴리 분석] 당시 주가는 약 2,000~2,049달러로 우드의 5년 목표가보다 높아 매도가 이해된다고 본다. [매도 이유 추정] 우드가 테슬라 가격이 탐욕으로 고평가 구간에 들어섰다고 판단했을 가능성을 제기한다. 우드의 베어 시나리오 1,500달러 조건(라이드헤일링, 대규모 자율주행 미구현)이 아직 충족되지 않아 현재 가격이 정당화되지 않는다고 봤을 수 있다는 추측이다. [리스크와 조건] 가격 조정 가능성을 언급하며, 주식분할과 배터리데이 이벤트 외에는 기술적 진전이 발표되지 않았다고 지적한다. [출연자 전망] 유튜버 본인은 ARK의 매도를 근거로 테슬라 보유자에게 차익실현을 고려하라고 제안한다. 단기 하락 전망을 명시적으로 밝히지는 않았다. [면책] 유튜버는 본인이 재무 자문가가 아니며 자체 분석이 필요하다고 덧붙인다.
다듬은 글
on the 18th of august 2020 arc invest funds ark at arkw sold a combined total of over 40 000 shares of tesla now on the 20th of august 2020 arc invest funds ark a rkq and arkw sold a further combined total of over 22 000 shares of tesla surely you think that's enough by now right nope on the 21st of august 2020 arc invest funds ark arkq and arkw sold a further combined total of over 19 000 shares of tesla stock so in total guys for this week alone kathy wood the leader of arc invest and one of tesla's biggest bulls sold off a whopping 82 699 shares of tesla stock warren buffett famously said be fearful when others are greedy what's going on guys my name is emmanuel and welcome to my channel and yes guys as unbelievable as it sounds kathy wood the leader of ark invest who is also arguably one of tesla's biggest bulls has been selling off their tesla shares in large quantities this week now it's important to remember guys that arc invest is an actively managed etf okay which means that the fund managers or the teams responsible for managing that fund are in charge and in control of portfolio allocation they can also change the sector allocations and they can also market time trades and the unique quality of arc invest and why i actually respect them the most is mainly for their complete transparency they are completely transparent with all the trades made in each fund the average retail investor like us are able to go onto their website and track their daily trading decisions but this week's massive tesla sell-off i believe changes everything and it's something us retail investors need to be aware of we need to keep a close eye on the big money movements in this game guys so in this video i'm going to show you the different types of fund accounts and which ones hold tesla positions i'll also show you in detail their recent tesla trades from this past week we'll look through some of the things kathy woods and archinvest have previously stated regarding their tesla price targets and also we'll take a look at their bare thesis and lastly guys we'll try to figure out why kathy woods and arkhan vest have been selling off their tesla stock before we dive into this video guys if you appreciate the exclusive insight scoop that i'm giving you please give this video a thumbs up guys and if you're new make sure you my latest stock analysis any major stock news that i find and everything related to stocks we are closing in on the 2000k subscriber mark guys and it'll be really amazing if we can cross that milestone so with that said guys let's hop into today's video okay guys so we are now on ark invests homepage and the link is ark dot okay and straightaway you can see they have five actively managed etfs which they have branded the innovations etf okay so you have the ark which is the arc innovation etf you have the arkq which is the autonomous technology and robotics etf you have the arkw which is their next generation internet etf they have the arkg which is to do with genomics uh revolution etf and they have the ar k f which is their fintech innovation etf so they are all actively managed innovations etf guys okay so of the five etfs their tesla holdings can be found in the ark innovation so that's a rkk and you can also find their tesla holdings in the ark as well as the a r k w okay so these are the funds which hold their tesla positions okay and just by taking a look at the ets performance guys you can see why they are one of the most sought after etfs right now due to their incredible growth i mean year to date guys they are up over 70 and just within the last three months alone they are up 40 and for the last month guys they are up over 15 okay these returns are phenomenal especially for an etf okay and they are making a strong argument for the benefits of an actively managed etf over your traditional passively managed etf okay guys so we're now in the ark innovation fund and to have a look at their holdings you just literally click on top 10 holdings and as you can see in the ark funds 10 of that fund is tesla okay in the ark fund tesla currently takes up 10.64 okay and finally in the arkw fund tesla takes up 10.51 currently okay guys and if you've been paying attention to tesla's recent exponential growth this year you can appreciate that the massive growth of these three funds have been largely due to tesla and that's a fact guys you can't argue with that so let's move on to the trades that they've made this week in greater detail okay so as you can see here guys we are now looking at the trades that arc invest made this week and this is specifically on the august the 18th 2020 all right so as you can see guys they bought a few shares of a couple of companies they sold a few and here we are guys look at ark they sold tesla right on the 18th of august they sold tesla they sold 37 767 shares of tesla so that's from the ark fund all right and that's not all guys if you take a look here they sold even more tesla in that arkw fund again on the 18th of august so this is your week just gone and they sold 2 950 shares of tesla so moving on to the 20th of august and you can see they've been buying and selling a couple of shares as well and even look guys a familiar name square they sold 14 496 shares of square on the 20th of august but we're not here for square we're here for tesla so take a look guys just two days after the ark fund they sold even more tesla shares they sold 18 919 shares of tesla and it wasn't only that fund that was busy because you can see here the arkq fund also sold 1300 shares of tesla and lastly guys the arkw fund they sold 2657 shares of tesla this is slowly racking up guys and you would think this is it but nope on the 21st of august guys there was even selling more tesla so the ark fund here sold 9285 shares of tesla the ark fund sold 5076 shares of tesla and lastly guys that a rkw fund sold 4734 shares of tesla so guys these are massive massive sell-offs okay and i actually revisited a video of mine that i posted on the 14th of july all right it was a video describing workhorse okay but you can see here tesla inc is ranked number one okay and that was in their ar k q fund the portfolio weight of tesla was at 11.91 which means since the 14th of july at least for the arkq fund they have now sold over one percent of their tesla position as the price continues to rally okay now this is significant because kathy wood has always been extremely bullish on tesla i mean suggesting extremely optimistic price targets as you can see from this headline back in february it reads money manager says she has a very high confidence tesla's share will reach 7 000 per share in the next five years so kathy wood is extremely bullish okay so moving on the oscar also reads that money manager catherine wood told cnbc on wednesday that she stands by her latest five-year price target of 7 000 per share for tesla okay it quotes her by saying our confidence level that this stock is heading for seven thousand dollars over the next five years is very high okay would the founder and ceo of arc investment management said on fast money okay and even more bullish guys it says the firm's most recent best case scenario is for tesla to reach 15 000 a share by the end of 2020 while their bear case is 1500 a share so if their price target is 7 000 a share then the question is why have they been selling at 1800 1900 and even on friday as you saw from their latest trades they were selling at 2 000 a share and i think the answer to this question can be found in a very recent interview that kathy woods did on ibd's youtube channel and i strongly suggest guys that you go and watch this interview it was posted a couple of days ago but she goes into detail regarding her thoughts about the recent price moves okay but to summarize that interview guys and what she described to be the bear thesis for tesla at fifteen hundred dollars a share is that price target of fifteen dollars a share is assuming that tesla has no ride hailing service and that they also have no large-scale autonomous driving okay well if you look at tesla right now their ride hailing and their fully autonomous driving is still a work in progress and has not yet been rolled out in a large scale as they would have expected however when you take a look at what tesla is currently trading at it's currently trading at two thousand and forty nine dollars a share so nothing new from a technological advancement standpoint has been announced yet the price has been parabolic guys it's trading at two thousand and forty nine dollars okay and we know that the only rational explanation for this parabolic move is the news of the stock split and also the upcoming battery day event within the next few weeks that's it that's literally it guys so here's my thoughts i do think that kathy wood feels that greed has pushed tesla's stock price into overvalued territory her barest thesis for tesla is 1500 and you could argue that tesla is currently in her bare thesis right now as certain criterias haven't yet been met so i don't think that she thinks that this price is justified and possibly this is me speculating possibly there might be a significant price correction that could be looming guys and therefore it makes complete logical sense to start taking some of your profits now as arc invests are clearly doing guys share in the comment section below what you think of kathy woods decisions to start taking profits and also if you're a tesla shareholder are you also considering taking some profits in the next coming week whatever your thoughts are guys just comment in the section below and let's get the conversation started ultimately guys make sure you do your own due diligence and your own analysis before you decide to invest in any stock remember i am not a financial advisor i just love researching investing and talking about stocks all the links to help you with your investing are in the description below including some books that i highly recommend plus my broker trading212 will send us both a free share if you sign up using my e thank you for watching guys and i'll catch you in the next one peace you
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