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결론: 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라·마이크론 모두 실적 발표를 앞두고 방향성이 불명확해 신규 대규모 매매보다 소액 또는 관망이 적절하다는 주장. 시장 전반: 개별 종목은 시장(SPY) 방향을 따라가는 '시장 매매' 구간이며 실적 발표가 변수라고 설명. 엔비디아: 일봉에서 500일선·피보나치 0.618 저항에서 밀렸고 20일선은 지켜 중립. 주봉 대음봉 이후 2주간 횡보, 235달러 아래에서 횡보가 이어지면 하락 가능성을 언급. 실적 발표 후 급등하면 숏 전환 의향을 밝힘. AMD: 주봉상 하단 박스권에서 20일선 아래, 9~10달러 지지 확인. 실적 전 50:50으로 보고 신규 진입은 관망, 905달러 이탈 시 청산 권고. 실적 후 14달러 돌파 시 상승, 6달러 부근 하락 시 매수 희망 언급. 테슬라: 헤드앤숄더 목표가 도달 후 롱 청산, 실적 전 대기. 주봉 반등에도 상단·하단 채널 횡보 예상. 307~308달러 위 주봉 마감 시 강세 전환 여지. 마이크론: 일봉 52~53달러 저항 확인 후 조정, 38% 피보나치 되돌림 근처에서 지지 확인 중. 숏 포지션 일부 익절 후 반등 시 추가 숏 계획, 20일선 하회 시 하락 가능성. 리스크: 실적 결과에 따라 급등·급락 모두 가능, '재료 소멸(sell the news)' 가능성 경고. 출연자는 소액 포지션 또는 무포지션 권고.
다듬은 글
ollow check them nd don't forget to tell him stock bookie sent you alright so daily chart nvidia 12 million shares on the day 1.3 two percent red three dollars and 10 cents down on the day we hit the 500 moving average we hit the 6 1 8 Fibonacci level at 2:30 609 and the even number as well so had real good resistance up in this area pulled back as the markets pulled back because everything is a market trade guys we did hold the 20ma so we are still still okay i mean we're in the 50% retrace guys we have a 50% shot that it's going up we have a 50% shot that it's going down so let's see if we could get a pattern here sideways going into earnings as well another 50/50 shot guy so at this point i am not doing a lot of things here trading wise i want to see what direction these markets get because everything is a market trade as the so you know what let me show you this really quick so tell me to chart down sideways down what are the spy do 10 minute chart down sideways down everything's a market rate let's just go through AMD if we could get down this one went a little bit more up but then sideways down let's go to Tesla Tesla was a different thing but still down sideways down everything is a market rate guys it goes with the spy spy has light volume this is what's gonna happen so so let's go back to the daily so daily we're right in that range let's go to the weekly let's see what we closed down to weekly since it was a Friday closed so this one though I like this one a little bit more I mean really retrace was a little bit shallow I'm looking at this big red bar from last week as long as we stay under say it a 235 area and that this thing keeps chopping around I think we're setting up for lower prices we are going into earnings this could pop if it pops guys I will be shorting Nvidia whether we're shorting calls or we're buying some puts one or the other on this one four we are still in a pretty good bullish scenario above all the MAS but now we're starting to chop sideways for two weeks now so let's see where we are in options X next week if we close back below the 20 and towards this lower range we're gonna be watching for some action and see what the markets give us remember we are following the spy the cue is the iawn on the overall trades those all go up everything should go up those all go down everything should go down unless it has earnings on that day earnings could go up or down everything could be huge red and you get the one stock like Tesla green on the day because they had good earnings or what-have-you so but at this point guys it's a market trade alright AMD AMD 38 million shares traded on a day one point four nine percent red 15 cents right on the day you know no great shakes it's holding this $9.00 well $10 level it closed a little bit below it but it's holding this level of the range the range has been up to 1556 and up to this 14 dollar area and then the lower range has been 990 and at this point is 944 we did Pierce step up boom right back up someone came in and saved it but overall this is a weak looking chart you're below the 50 or below the 20 MA starting to set up I need more this is the weekly I need a little bit more on here actually a lot more probably four to five weeks of it consolidating let the 20 ma come in and then possibly lower prices again though going in there earnings this could pop the 14 this could drop the $6 I don't know guys I'm gonna play it after the fact and I'm gonna see if it goes up here I'll be shorting if it goes down there I'll be going long at this point there's nothing really to do you to go long here you could possibly take a shot if you crack the 905 level you got to get out because most likely you're going here for me too short it's got to be up in this area period back in the good resistance maybe the 12 88 and then maybe take it down but right now again nothing to do guys and if you have to do something you have to trade small small small positions guys we held this though the 1020 resistance went into the 20ma pulled it back filled the gap back coming back down we're back below the to 500 retrace are coming from the higher point the 7500 retrace still in the lower range chopping around so lower prices look pretty good with this chart but earnings coming up guys we could pop 3 bucks and it's over so I'm gonna wait for earnings I would love for this to go to six bucks 655 because I would love to buy AMD and just hold it so everyone's gonna buy the dip it'll go up four weeks and we'll make a lot of money but right now guys nothing to do on AMD still in the lower range still slightly bearish and going into earnings it's a 50/50 shot again so for me and my members guys we're gonna just go take a slow for the next couple of weeks we've had a really good three months and this is what I do guys I'm not changing what I do you know because earnings are coming up and I want to be in a trade don't care at this point I had great winning trades I'm not giving money back period so that's how I do it and that's I'm sticking to it alright guys so again weekly chart in the lower range below the MA still above the 200 so it's still okay but if you take here there's really you know we're just in the lower range there's just just if you were short here just pulls pull it off if you were short from this pattern a lot to look at this week guys if you're short from this we were talking about alright if this thing goes sideways we have a good shot of going down but if you're a short from this level here take something off the table going into earnings guys keep it small alright let's go to Tesla Tesla two point three one three percent Green six dollars and 26 cents on the day when seven million shares trade it comes off the head and shoulder hits our target and we go long we cut that off we did another trade here in the money on that one and then now we're just waiting for earnings again guys this is a great bullish pattern up sideways one two three four five six but you're still in this down downward or lower range of the pattern here live down sideways now here's your top of the channel here's your lower end of the channel so now what do we do just chop around like Tesla usually does we're gonna find out again earnings coming up don't do anything if you have too small small position we did recapture the 20ma here though and we are consolidating nicely we are inside this big breakdown bar though that's why it needs a little more steam when we started picking up volume here on this candle this candle and down in here now see how it lightens up it has a little bit tougher time going through here we had some big volume like these guys we had already been up here possibly retest in the 350 area and this area up in there so watch this micro bullish pattern in a macro bearish pattern let's go to the weekly weekly chart not telling us too much either great reversal off the lows remember this was the spot we were buying talked about this in my videos for a long long time head and shoulder pattern plays out targets were around 260 we went almost 15 dollars lower got the bounce now we're just got to see what happens for all I know we click over and go straight back down or let's see if this gives us a pattern gave us a great reversal almost engulfed this but that doesn't mean we're gonna keep going higher so let's see what we get next week and the Friday closed if we do close above the 307 89 that will be slightly more bullish and let's see if we can attack the 50 ma in the tour the 20 ma and the 50 ma and get above there so again earning skies earning seasons full blown if we start getting bad earnings most likely that markets are going to dump if we get good I almost want to say the markets are gonna dump it look at the banker in these guys they the CNBC talked oh my gosh it's gonna be the best ever they had decent earnings and they flushed it it might be a sell the news events be very very careful in these markets again light light positions or no positions at all my opinion but that's how I'm doing it with me and my members guys I'm in long term trades for shorts on extended charts monthly charts that's the only thing I'm really in right now guys I'm playing those monthly charts and if I'm not doing anything for the next couple of weeks and the mark is pull back I'll get paid on those trades that's why I'm keeping to keep it simple guys keep it simple now mu we had four what do we have 143 million on the day point six eight percent down or 36 cents in the red we had a nice pull back on the weekly let's go to the daily first on this one so daily chart guys coming off this high pivot we went down retraced up down again into this area of support right here bounces up goes back to the three eight to retrace in the 20 moving average and this is a big area here to right around the 53 52 on this pivot here we pivot up and then we gapped lower engulfed it and went straight down to this area here which was support as well so that's gonna be really good resistance there as well 53 52 we hit that area on Friday pulled back slightly so one two three we had six days up into a real good area resistance we got the pullback and then we're gonna see how you know let's see what pattern this gives us but again earning I'm gonna drill this into you every day this week earning seasons don't load the boat you have 50/50 shot I don't care what stock it is you don't want to get killed and then guess again go again and then you wipe yourself out been there done that seeing guys just wreck themselves in the market take it slow and easy it's a marathon guys so we're back into the three eight to retrace 20 mas holding this thing down still in the lower range consolidating sideways let's see what this thing gives us this week with earnings and stuff like that guys I'm just sitting on my hands guys taking it easy enjoying the markets enjoying a little bit of time off going into earnings because this this is a time guys where I you know I take it easy lay back let the markets tell me what to do here you have good reason or support that's what it's trying to hold here you got the 20 ma I mean on a weekly though guys you're still bullish you're still above the mas great stance but this pullback you engulfed follow-through and follow-through you'd expect some sort of it you know buy the dip retrace here we're back into the 3/8 to my guess if the markets stay green and get a bid next week we'll probably go back into the six one eight maybe the seven five o if it does that I'll add some more to my shorts again we pulled half off I'm gonna let a retrace we'll do it again guys we rinse and repeat we are short mu and we'll see what it gives us next week guys it was a good trade we got to pull back let's see if it bounces up and do it again as long as we stay above here Bulls you're good if we start slipping below the 20 MA then there's some watch out for this one guys again market trade spike use all that sells this will sell as well let's watch the pattern we go sideways down in this lower range off the pivot that's setting up for lower prices in my opinion alright guys I think that's gonna be it for this weekend update' for these four again take it easy in these markets I you know with the if you got a play the earnings go small maybe by a small put position small call position you know couple hundred bucks nothing crazy or if you have a bigger account a couple thousand dollars if you can handle some pain just go slow in these accounts play or in these markets please take it easy don't forget about venom trading com tell them I sent you and like the video all that good stuff subscribe to my youtube channel and send me email and let me know what your thoughts are and what you're thinking in the market if you see anything that you like pattern wise head and shoulders stretch charts and remember stretched charts can go stretched on the upside and stretch to the downside it doesn't matter high flier low flyer doesn't matter again
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