저자: PeterSchiff · 외국인
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연준은 인플레이션보다 금융위기·침체를 더 두려워해 결국 인플레이션을 감수하고 QE·금리인하로 회귀할 것이라 주장. 정치인은 단기 재선을 위해 고통을 미루며, 재정적자 해소 없이는 인플레이션을 잡을 수 없다고 봄. 중앙은행 디지털화폐(CBDC)와 현금 폐지는 정부의 감시·통제 수단이 될 수 있다고 경고하고, 현금 폐지의 실제 목적은 탈세 단속이라고 주장.
다듬은 글
that's exactly what the FED is going to do unfortunately you know when the FED is surprised by the fact that we go into a severe recession and inflation actually gets worse right which is a situation that they think is impossible they think well if we go into a deep recession at least we won't have inflation to worry about anymore and we could just go back to what we've been doing which is creating inflation but if we go into a severe recession and inflation is still high well I mean you know they're at a tricks right but I think that despite that when push comes to shove the FED is going to pick the poison that it thinks is the least toxic right and it's going to say you know what inflation is bad but a financial crisis and a depression is worse so we're just going to have to have more inflation we're just not going to get back down at 2% maybe 3 or 4% whatever they're going to say but hey we're never going to get to two because the cost of getting there is is too high so we're just going to have to get used to living in a world with higher inflation because it's better than the alternative now it's not better than the alternative it's way worse but the fed and the government won't won't know that and even if they do know that all they really care about is the short run and yes if the poison they pick is inflation and they go back to QE and they cut rates even though inflation is still high the shortterm campaign will not be as great as if they did the right thing and continued the inflation fight in fact turned it into a real fight with big cuts in government spending which is of course you're not going to fight inflation unless you get rid of these deficits so we need uh spending cuts uh maybe tax increases if we can't get spending cuts spending cuts are my preference uh tax increases would be the next choice and not on the rich unfortunately that's not going to work so you got to raise taxes on the middle class and the Working Poor so you I'd rather cut spending to do that uh but the inflation tax hits the poor harder than you know a sales tax would when the politicians have to decide pain now or pain later well that's a no-brainer for the politicians it's pain later because later I might not be in office anymore in fact if we have pain now I won't be in office because I'm going to lose the next election so the way to minimize my own pain as a politician is to Kick the Can down the road right so I'm gonna do whatever it takes to get me reelected so if inflation now means pay later instead of now even if it means some pain now but the worst pain is later on that's what I'm doing the politicians will always sell out the long-term interest of the country for their own political benefit and so that's what's going to happen and the central Bankers are really no better than the politicians I mean they're really Political Animals there and and they're going to make the same Choice they're going to choose pain later because you know as far as Pal's concerned hey I'm just going to finish out my term and it's somebody else's problem right I don't blame me right I you know I don't want to be the one that gets blamed for all this pain let let let it happen on somebody else's watch the only time that they will do the right thing potentially potentially I mean it's not a guarantee but let's say we're at a real crisis right where the dollar is imploding prices are skyrocketing right inflation is I mean we're on the verge of becoming you know Argentino or zimb way you know where it's like you know it's going to be awful with you know price control shortages riots looting you know civil unrest I mean things are just I mean it's just like an apocalyptic environment right in that environment where it's like crap you know no matter what we do we're screwed maybe then they'll do the right thing it's like only but they're going to exhaust all the other possibilities they would have done everything they could possibly do wrong and then it's said okay no matter what we do we're we're we're screwed maybe then they'll do the right thing assuming they understand what the right thing is I mean I'll be there to tell them you know but the question is you know will they listen it's going to lead me into the next question here is like what is it that they are going to do for this next issue or what is it that they are planning on doing to create like the mon monetary stimulus or whatever that's coming Central Bank digital currencies what's going on here I mean this seems to be pushed worldwide and almost guaranteed to be coming yeah but that's more an element of government government control than than monetary policy although it may make it easier for governments to inflate the money supply and to try to Target their so-called stimulus uh because you know sometimes they get frustrated they they send people stimulus checks and they don't necessarily spend the money oh my God maybe they save it and so what they could do is say hey we're just instead of stimulus checks we're going to give you some digital money with an expiration date so here's your you know we're going to load up your wallet and you know you got 24 hours to spend it or you lose it right everybody's like you know but then they might say okay you can spend it but here's the only places that it's good right I don't know they might try to M micromanage oh you can't use your money to buy a gun you can spend it at Walmart or whatever I don't know but I mean the part that I don't like about government issued you know digital currency as long as they don't eliminate cash right and it's not as big a deal but they want to eliminate cash that's what their goal is is to get rid of all bills so you have no alternative but that digital currency and the reason I don't want to live in a world where you're stuck using a digital currency for every transaction you make and there's no way to transact in private is that the government knows every single thing you spend money on and that can give governments a lot of information about you even if you're you're not spending the money illegally for the government to know everything that you like every cause that you support every you know everything that you do they can create a profile of you and potentially that that they can use that profile in ways that could be harmful to you and you know a lot of the things that you're doing today with your money may be legal but what if they're illegal in the future because people just assume that governments are benevolent and they're and they're good but they tend to get very corrupt and and get very evil and a lot of times the governments become the bad guys and the resistance is the good guy and how do you overturn a corrupt government well it's a lot more difficult if that corrupt government knows every single thing you're doing and can see all the places that you're spending your money uh and and and they can crack down on anybody that becomes part of a resistance and and once the government knows that it's harder for the people to resist tyranny well they're more likely to become tyrannical so it becomes a self-perpetuating prophecy you know that Lord Acton said power corrupts absolute power corrupts absolutely and so the more power you give government the more corrupt government becomes so you always want to be vigilant when it comes to government you don't want to give up your Liberties uh just because you know you'll get some extra safety and because what the politicians are going to say is oh if we just eliminate cash we'll make it harder for the drug de dealers and the terrorists and the money launderers and maybe that's true but you know what they're going to we're going to we're going to lose a lot of our individual rights and freedom and it's just not worth the tradeoff and you know from my perspective being in the financial service industry I already see through uh this charade all of the anti-money laundering that we have now the laws on the books all that stuff yes they say it's here because of terrorists and and and and drug dealers and but that that's just to for the public to get them to approve the the laws the one goal that all these governments have in mind the the criminals that they really want to catch are the people not paying their taxes that's really what they're going after right uh they want the tax money and so they think that if they eliminate the cash economy then they're going to collect more taxes because there's still a lot of people today that do some work under the table get paid in cash that's who the government is going after not the drug dealers right it's the guy that's driving his Uber and he's getting some money in cash or he's doing some odd jobs and you know that's why they now want uh all these uh payment companies to report all these small transactions like $600 or more you know they want all these transactions reported why because people were were having income and they weren't paying taxes and yeah I mean I guess a lot of these people are breaking the law but a lot a lot of people are in a situation where if they don't break the law they don't eat I mean there are some people that you know hey I you know this is what I've got to do to make ends meet because if I paid taxes I couldn't earn enough money after taxes to cover my expenses so the only way I could I could do it is uh to to not pay the tax and I'd rather have somebody working and not paying taxes and just sitting on welfare I mean because you know that at least they're productive at least they're providing goods and services and you know when the government says we we need all these IRS agents to go after the rich that's a lie they're not going to go after the rich they're going to go after the middle class they're going to go after the small business owners that those are the ones that are cheating the rich don't have to cheat they have loopholes to reduce their taxes the average guy doesn't have a loophole so his loophole is well I'm going to make some money on the side and I'm not going to report it right or I'm going to exaggerate some of my deductions but you know the minute you you eliminate cash they crack down on uh on that the underground economy
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