저자: PeterSchiff · 외국인
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결론: 피터 쉬프는 비트코인 가격이 붕괴할 것으로 보며, 달러 기축통화 지위 약화에 대비해 달러 자산을 줄이고 금을 보유하라고 주장한다. 비트코인: 실물 담보가 없는 투기 자산으로 더 큰 바보에게 팔아야만 수익이 나는 구조이며 피라미드식 구조라고 비판한다. 기관투자자는 2021년 고점 부근에서 진입해 손실을 본 뒤 이탈했다고 주장한다. 비트코인이 10년 이상 유지된 점은 인정하나 결국 대재앙으로 끝난다는 입장이다. 금: 실물 상품이며 산업·보석·중앙은행 수요가 꾸준하고 5,000년간 수요가 있어 가치가 지속된다고 본다. 금 가격은 현재 대비 수 배까지 오를 수 있으며 2040년 무렵 상당히 높을 것으로 전망한다. 중국 인민은행의 금 매입(3월 18톤, 최근 5개월 100톤 이상, 총 2,068톤)을 근거로 든다. 달러·환율: 미국이 러시아 제재로 달러를 무기화하면서 탈달러화가 가속되고 있으며, 달러 기축통화 지위가 갑자기 붕괴할 것이라고 경고한다. 미국 무역적자(연 약 1조 달러) 구조가 무너지면 미국 생활수준이 하락한다고 주장한다. 달러 자산 축소를 권고한다. 금·은 등 가격 흐름: 금 광산주(시니어 광산)는 52주 신고가 대비 약 20%, 주니어는 25% 이상 더 올라야 한다는 괴리를 언급하며, 투자 심리 부정적이지만 랠리는 진짜이며 대단할 것이라고 주장한다. 은행 예금: 장기 여유자금을 은행에 두면 은행 실패나 화폐 가치 하락으로 손실 위험이 있으니 금·은 등으로 옮기라고 권고한다. 출연자 전망: 탈피아트 흐름은 진행되지만 그것이 암호화폐 확산으로 이어지지 않고, 금 선호가 지속된다고 본다.
다듬은 글
I think Bitcoin is going to plunge at at the same time that goal is going to be making new highs I mean I think goals broken out it's taking off it's about to hit new all-time record highs it's already hit all-time record highs in you know pounds in euros and yeah and all these other currencies we're just a few bucks away from an all-time high in the dollar euro-pacific Capital CEO and renowned Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has raised concerns about the future of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin predicting an imminent collapse Schiff has suggested that a worldwide transition from Fiat currencies to digital Alternatives could be the cause of this potential downfall in the world of Bitcoin longevity may not necessarily mean success according to Peter Schiff if a cryptocurrency manages to survive the next 20 to 50 years it may only lead to more people losing money Schiff believes that bitcoin's success is dependent on more people buying it which is the only way to drive its price up unlike traditional assets like real estate stocks or bonds that generate income Bitcoin does not provide any tangible benefits it's not a commodity like oil or gold that has industrial or practical uses making its value highly speculative therefore shift suggests caution and warns potential investors to be mindful of the risks involved before starting the video please subscribe to our Channel and click on the notification Bell to receive more informative content the problem with Bitcoin is you've tokenized nothing right so at least with gold you tokenize something uh you know Bitcoin can't work I mean yes as long as there are people foolish enough to buy it you know the price could go up um but eventually the people who are buying it are going to want to sell it because they don't want their Bitcoin they want to buy things they want to buy a car or a house take a vacation buy food and the farmer doesn't want Bitcoin you know the guy that's selling a car doesn't want your Bitcoin you know so in order to buy anything with Bitcoin you got to sell the Bitcoin well now you need somebody else to buy it well if you run out of buyers uh then the whole thing implodes right that just like any pyramid or Chain Letter you know I call it some blockchain letter it's the same Principle as a chain letter uh so it doesn't work in contrast to gold right gold is a real commodity there's always a market for gold at any price Jewelers will buy gold if gold is five thousand dollars an ounce they're gonna buy it the electronic industry needs gold if it's five thousand dollars an ounce they're going to be buying it right there's always going to be buyers for gold and central banks around the world if I'm right they're always going to be accumulating gold they need gold as a result serve especially if they move away from the dollar so you always are going to have uh demand for gold there's been demand for it for 5 000 years uh and it's because of its actual properties as a metal that it's so valuable bitcoin's only properties is that people think they're going to get rich if they buy it and they can only get rich if they buy it if there's a greater fool willing to pay a higher price you know now yes this thing has gone on for a decade you know it's gone on longer than the Tulip bubble so you know it's it's setting a record in longevity you know but uh you know it's still going to end in disaster uh I the reason I think that the institutional adoption is over is because you know I think that that was big in 2021 they kind of got in at the top the institutions kind of put their toe in the water at 40 50 60 000 Bitcoin and they don't like the temperature you know even though it's come back to thirty thousand they had to write it down to sixteen thousand uh I think they're gone and Peter's View point there will come a time when the world will shift from relying on Fiat currencies leading to a Resurgence of gold as a popular medium of Exchange additionally Peter expressed his belief that despite the hype around Bitcoin it is unlikely to replace traditional currencies or gold as a widely accepted means of transaction in his words I know there are some people out there that think they're going to use Bitcoin that ain't going to happen Pierre posted a tweet the Dollar's Reserve currency status is in Jeopardy as is the American standard of living that depends on it the best move you can make to mitigate your personal loss is to divest of dollars and dollar denominated Financial assets describes what's been going on with the United States and I think that when the dollar crashes it's going to happen abruptly and the Dollar's Reserve status is going to be lost before anybody realizes that it's happened and I think that the writing is there on the wall for anybody who wants to take the time to read it if you look at some of the events that have taken place ever since we were foolish enough to weaponize the dollar and apply sanctions onto Putin I think that really highlighted uh the need a political need for the world to move away from the dollar I think they already had an economic incentive to do so but then we gave them a par of powerful political incentive to accelerate the process to de-dollarize and that is exactly what's happening and you know most people don't have a clue to the degree to which the United States depends on that dollar Reserve status because our whole economy is built around a service sector but without Imports there's nothing to service I mean we're just a gigantic uh Logistics Center where we distribute merchandise that we import and then you know distribute it to the population but if we can import all the goods well then there's nothing left to distribute I mean the whole thing comes collapsing down and how do we pay for a trillion dollars a year worth of imports with our dollars that's our trade-offs it's a trillion dollars a year in goods and we pay for it just by printing money but the money doesn't cost anything to print it's free but all those goods require the expenditure of significant resources land labor Capital goes into the production of these goods and we basically get them for nothing off of the reserve status of the dollar and the foreigners who are selling us all this stuff uh they just take our paper and they buy Treasures or they buy mortgage back Securities but when that stops and the dollar crashes Americans are going to be too broke to afford to import stuff and we don't have the capacity to produce what will no longer be able to afford to import and so it's going to be a collapse in the American standard of living China's buying spree for gold continues as the People's Bank of China pboc reported an 18 ton increase in the country's gold reserves in March the nation has been consistently adding to its gold reserves since November acquiring more than 100 tons in the last five months alone China now has a total of 2068 tons of gold in its coffers cementing its position as one of the world's top holders of the precious metal recently Peter said in his tweet today it had a gold price closed in a new 52-week high it senior miners still need to rise by over 20 in juniors by over 25 percent to hit new 52-week highs the Divergence is due to negative sentiment investors still don't believe the rally is real it's real and will be spectacular so yeah the smart money is buying gold I mean they've been buying gold for years because this train wreck was obvious for years but now you know it's happening uh gold is I think this morning a 2040 I think it's headed significantly higher uh from here you know multiples of its current price uh and and if people were smart they would take their money out of the bank their long-term savings I mean obviously if you need money in the bank to pay bills you know short-term operating cash yeah leave it there but for longer term don't leave any long-term Savings in the bank as you're going to lose it either the bank's going to fail or the money is going to fail but either way you know you're going to lose so you got to take care money out of the bank and do something else with it you could buy gold and silver because it's much I think safer than owning cash or you can invest it so these countries are going to have gold and that's much better because gold is not simultaneously somebody else's liability it's a real asset nobody can sanction your goal nobody could take your gold away from you assuming you store it yourself so if China and Russia have their gold reserves in their country and the Chinese decide to do something that America doesn't like well America has no retaliation financially exactly they can't do America can't do what it did to Russia and Putin and so people want to put themselves in a position where they're not beholden to the whims of American politicians but also they don't want to have to loan all this money to the US government they don't want to have to have these huge trade deficits with the United States Peter Schiff has predicted a global shift away from Fiat currencies but he does not believe that this will lead to widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies as a staunch supporter of gold shift has long argued that digital assets like Bitcoin are unlikely to be embraced globally instead he sees a continued preference for gold as a store of value and medium of exchange this concludes our discussion for today do you agree or disagree and what are the reasons for your stance we encourage you to share your thoughts in the comments section below if you found this video informative please give it a thumbs up don't forget to subscribe to our channel to stay informed on the latest news and videos thank you and we'll see you in the next one
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