저자: GaryFitzpatrick · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라·홀푸드·핏빗 세 종목의 실적과 차트를 분석한 2016년 5월 영상이다. 테슬라: 실적은 무난하지만 주가가 이미 급등 후 저항선 부근에 있고 삼중 고점 가능성이 보인다. 시간외 상승이 저항선 앞에서 약해지고 있어 하락 전환 시 숏 기회로 본다. 변동성이 매우 커 초보에게 적합하지 않다고 경고한다. 홀푸드: 차트 구조가 불안하고 상승 여력이 제한적이라고 본다. 공매도 잔고가 있어 단기 숏커버링 랠리는 가능하나, 갭상승 후 음봉 마감 등 약세 신호를 확인한 뒤 숏을 고려하라고 조언한다. 매수는 피하는 편이 낫다고 한다. 핏빗: 주당순이익이 예상치 3센트를 크게 웃도는 10센트로 호실적이었으나, 시장은 실적보다 가이던스(향후 전망)에 주목하며 가이던스가 약해 주가가 50일 이동평균선까지 갭하락했다. 거래량을 동반한 돌파가 나오고 주가가 15달러 부근에서 열리면 50일선 아래를 손절선으로 한 저위험 매수 기회로 본다. 전체적으로 실적 발표 직후 차트 흐름과 가이던스 해석에 기반한 단기 매매 관점이며, 진입 후 손절선을 미리 정하라는 리스크 관리가 강조된다.
다듬은 글
i'm dan fitzpatrick at stockmarketmentor.com every night we watched the same shows right well good trading takes more than just punch in the buy button the next morning on the tickers you saw last night on TV okay we're going to look at earnings here Tesla whole foods and Fitbit first earnings decent guidance decent hey everybody loves Tesla right I don't think so frankly I think this is a selling or shorting opportunity even this is the a really volatile stock I'm telling you it is not for the faint of heart and it's not for the non committed either the deal is we've got what could be a triple top if you look at this on a daily chart you can see the stocks up after hours i'm going to show you what it looks like right now okay big move to the upside now this is fading here again it's up i think this is a stock that's moving right up into resistance if the stock moves through this big area of resistance and the reason I'm drawing a red line there is if you were buying it back here wouldn't you kind of be anxious to get your money back after the stock fell this low and is now just moving higher so I think this stock moves up a bit that move may be done tomorrow may take till the end of the week might be the first to next week but I'm telling you if this thing even twitches if it starts to roll over I think this is a good shorting opportunity now Whole Foods interesting here different chart I think it's probably about the same thing here you look at the weekly chart this stock looks kind of scary I like whole foods though where I'm from they call it whole paycheck for obvious reasons but here's another thing where um this short interest is pretty decent you know good enough to make this a little bit of a short-covering rally but I'm going to do this again there's a whole lot of regret going on there I think there's limited upside here what I would suggest doing because look there's two sides to every trade um I could be wrong about wanting to short this stock but here's your upside or I've excuse me here's your downside if you are buying the stock on this gap I draw a line here this is a new low on this chart so you're buying the stock right here dan you don't know a darn thing I'm buying this stock you put your stop down there if you're stopped out fine you know that's a trade you took your shot you decided what your loss was going to be and then you took it on the other hand if you are shorting the stock what I want you to do is wait for evidence that this stock has petered out wait for a box that kind of looks like this or like this what you want to see is a solid red box which indicates that the stock gapped up and then ultimately closed lower on the day from where it gapped it will gap up tomorrow no question about it but you want to wait and make sure that the stock has you know has stalled by the way you don't have to short this stock I'm just saying you don't want to be buying it up here I would rather be selling it now Fitbit this company reported kind of blowout earnings if you call earning a ten cents a share versus estimates of three cents a share I mean so they tripled their fun here what's the problem the problem is guidance and nobody really cares except for a split second when earnings are first released nobody really cares so much about what the company earned as what they're going to earn going forward and so their guidance was a little weak but unlike whole paycheck and Tesla this is a more interesting chart to me because the stocks gapping right down to the 50-day moving average where it's been up for a while so we get this volatility squeeze here a breakout on volume and now I think you're getting a second bite of the Apple if the stock opens right around 15 bucks this is another low risk trade even lower than if you're buying whole foods you just put your stop a little bit below the 50-day moving average and that's your bogey right there ok that's it for these three stocks I saw on TV hope to see over at stockmarketmentor.com
Comments 0