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hey welcome back to two stupid guys TR Soxs I'm Dylan and I'm Vinnie and we are going to talk about is it time to maybe increase the cash position and sell some some Holdings all right there's multiple variables that are happening in the market I full disclosure melling a little bit not a lot but a little bit we're going to look at why and what two stupid guys TR STS all right so this happened over the weekend right this is obviously not ideal we're not going to get into the news portion of this but it seems like we we may be okay all right it it says you know Iran uh told the UN the it's concluded we might be okay um I don't trust that a lot I don't have a lot of weight into that um but hey could be great so that's obviously what we're hoping for um the vix which is it's kind of like the fear index you're familiar with the vix yeah absolutely it's pretty low right now too which is crazy yeah we had one Spike up you know it's that's it's not super crazy we've been low for a while I I put this graph in going all the way back like two years so you could see we were much higher before right so you know not not too crazy there is some weird stuff that's happening that usually happens before a crash I guess you could say um this is one of them this was kind of crazy uh one of St Louis's tallest Towers which initially fetched 205 million in 2006 just sold for 3.6 million we went from $140 a sare foot to $2.50 a square foot um absolutely wild because there are houses in California that cost more than this that people are buying and you could have built an entire Tower not built but homes around me cost more than $250 a square foot which is bananas yeah I would mind living in a tower like that I agree this would be a pretty awesome place to call home right um yeah so that's not ideal once again all of these things on their own not a big deal but as this stuff keeps racking up like for instance uh all stages of credit card delinquency the 30 60 90 days past two Rose to the highest level uh since it's been recorded um being they started record that data in 2012 uh this last quarter yeah it's only it's only like 11 years um so you know not a deal it is also the fourth quarter you are also expected to have higher deliquency rates it's just higher than it has been previously um the thing that I'm looking at this coming week is this okay so Nvidia and certain like five companies meta Microsoft Google Apple they have all been floating the market so hard like the like the amount that the are up are almost directly because of those five stocks we've done multiple videos on that I'm not going to rehash it it's it's it's obvious right yeah it is theorized that we're in a a new pc cycle okay uh starting in the last quarter Taiwan semiconductor if they don't beat could be a huge blow to those five stocks mainly Nvidia would be the biggest one obviously because it's a it would be a direct problem and the other ones are more indirect um if they don't beat we could be looking at a little bit of a weird situation or at least meet right if they for some reason like underdo what everyone was thinking this could be a little bit of a red flag and the market is not going to respond well let's let's go with that you know what I I picture the entire time you were talking about that I picture one of those scenes from Looney Tunes where Wy coyote goes off the edge of the cliff and he's just standing there in the midair with his like little sign it's like waiting to fall yeah there you go I mean you know you don't want to fearmonger too much I'm I'm once again I'm not selling my whole holding not doing that I'm just offloading a little bit and I'll show you which ones um one I am thinking of offloading a little bit of my Google just a little bit I have 125 shares um let me move my face we did a a video actually on there you go 315 or no 33 sorry March 3rd um I got some for this actually uh but oh wrong button sorry I said uh I was going to buy more right here and I had also done a video previously where we bought right here uh it worked out very well it's up 177% in the time that the cues are down 1% so I was pretty happy about that uh yeah my Google cost Bas is like $97 a share so I'm like I love Google it's the right price I I don't want to sell a lot um but I I am looking at sound a little bit but yeah I got I got for this buy when it happened but um I also got craft for this one this is Schwab um do you remember their whole crash deal yeah the video bottom right yeah so March 18th we we did a video I I said I was going to go Fairly heavy into into Schwab but I I put like seven Grand or something I have like 170 shares 175 shares um I am looking at offloading that a little bit we're at about 70 um my cost basis was I believe 54 which I did not time well the lowest was like 44 so whoever time that well congrats that's it's pretty awesome um so I am looking at that one uh might offload a little bit and Bank of America so we did a video of this we did multiple videos on this one of when I was buying I bought at 27 we're at about 37 36 right now do you have you Bank of America I did at one point I don't anymore um but if you saw like we did that video about Charlie M monger's kind of Alibaba shars being sold they also were decreasing their Bank of America Holdings by about 14% I want to say yeah I was going to not I'm I didn't want to actively sell Schwab or Bank of America I was going to do covered calls that I think are going to get called so to get more premium because if I'm going to sell I might as well try to get cover calls and then if I don't sell I still have the shares that I'll just hold on to um that was my plan with those I did already sell about 25 % of my holding in Oxy at 70 um do you remember when we were doing this we were doing these uh puts at 57 55 yeah I'm actually still doing the wheel on oxy you what what's what are you doing so I I've been selling puts and then when I get assigned shares I've been selling calls um I've been I've been trading oxy for the last like year or so still doing the same kind of Weedle strategy what's your call at uh I don't recall currently I want to say it's either 6 250 or 65 it's somewhere in that ballpark so you're definitely getting called away then yeah yeah yeah yeah the most recent one I want to say yeah yeah all right I I can show you after offline I forg get exactly off the top of my head but I I've traded it numerous times in this like high 50s to low 60s range yeah I I did about three and I I did the same thing I wanted to own oxy but I I was greedy so I wanted a little bit of money for buying it so I did I did 58 puts to try to get called when we hit this level um I have now 200 125 shares I sold at 67697 uh 25 each I'm looking at just like another 25 just offloading just a bit this is um this is not part of the video I just want to show you how big of a mistake I made um so I I bought AMD at $92 and I was like all right I think it's going to go a lot higher can you see my mouse yeah okay so right here is where Nvidia started going crazy um like guess the crazi relative they they were going crazy for like a weird amount of time but we have this huge Spike and it had nothing to do with the stock at all mhm I should have sold when we hit like 200 I didn't because I was too afraid to not have any exposure to AI but this is this is my biggest mistake of the year is holding on to it when it should not have been that high there's no reason AMD should have been that high yeah I know but you start playing that game and like yeah you're going to end up selling uh your meta shares at 200 or whatever it was do you remember what was the price end up selling your meta shares at I well I didn't I had a limit order at 84 and it never got uh picked at 86 oh but I I sold some at 250 but I bought them back at 300 okay yeah I mean that's that's the problem is that you're still predicting the future there and you you never know really how high it's going to go and this whole offloading thing I I get the idea but like I forget the exact number but it's something like if you miss like the 10 best like days of the the stock market year you lose like 70% of the gains so that's why I I'm choosing not to do anything like that if anything if we get a significant sell off I may increase my contributions to my like Index Fund uh retirement accounts that's kind of my more my thought process there well if we get if we get a selloff I have money aside to put into it so yeah I'm not I'm not trying to stay out I just I think I think things are looking a little over over the top right now in certain sectors um I don't know if I'm going to pull the trigger in Google because I'm I really like that stock but that is what I'm looking at there is a little bit of fear in the market there's a lot of weird things happening um yeah that's where we're at let us know what you guys think if you guys are adding or not adding y after the whipsawing we saw this week it makes good sense to kind of think about from that perspective all right guys let you let us know what you think down in the comments below
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