저자: YTFinance진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
팔란티어(PLTR)의 9월 14일 AIPcon 행사를 호재로 보고, 행사 전 모멘텀에 따른 주가 상승 가능성을 언급. 비관 기사(고평가·규제·이익실현 우려)를 반박하며 장기 보유 관점을 강조. 현 주가 약 15.44달러, PS 약 16배, PER 약 70배로 고평가 인정하나 9~12달러 부근 매수 선호. 본인 포트폴리오 2~3% 비중, 5~10년 장기 보유 전략.
다듬은 글
I will be analyzing two articles to where the first one is titled palantir customers to Future artificial intelligence platform in action at aipcon with 30 plus presentations and demos so this catalyst is going to be done on September 14th and hopefully this should increase the overall hype surrounding pltr stock and benefit their overall share price we're going to talk about what is going to be presented and demonstrated at aipcon which is going to show the market palantir's overall capabilities and how they can benefit companies and even government agencies so that is going to be a very positive news Catalyst which should increase their overall share price but after we analyze this article we are going to be moving on to a very bearish and negative article that I personally will critique because I don't think this bearish critical naysayer understands what he's actually conveying here and the title of the article is called pltr stock alert three reasons to avoid palantir right now and honestly spoiler alert I don't think his three reasons are very good and I honestly don't even think he has three real reasons if anything he's just telling investors to be cautious but he shouldn't say that investors should avoid palantir instead I would frame it as investors should have palantir on their watch list and they should make sure to do their own research to determine if it would be good for their personal portfolios because to say to avoid the stock completely I think is extremely presumptuous but I will get more into those details when we go to this article so for more videos like thif you didn't already know is a big data and analytics company that specializes in artificial intelligence they have two main business segments one would be their commercial Enterprise segment and the other one would be their government agency segment and right now now pltr stock trades at around 15 and 44 cents the main reason pounder Technologies is in the news today is because they recently announced their next AIP con customer conference which is going to be held on the date of September 14th and it's going to be live streamed online AIP con should increase the overall hype surrounding palantir's artificial intelligence platform which will feature more than 30 organizations which are going to Showcase how they have used palantir's AIP platform to drive positive business developments and various positive outcomes so this is just going to show and demonstrate palantir's Innovative platform and the use case in the General market AIP is already used in more than 100 organizations in sectors ranging from energy Finance hospitality and even health care so for more commercial Enterprises to understand the benefits of this overall platform it should drive further contracts and more relationships between various commercial clients and Enterprises with with palantir Technologies thus leading to contracts business deals and higher revenue and hopefully positively impact their bottom line clearly palantir has a huge setup of more than 30 organizations which will showcase and demonstrate what palantir's AIP platform could actually do for their company and what it has already done but we will also hear from palantir's CEO their CTO and their head of global commercial who will all take the stage at various times to give an in-depth look at palantir's artificial intelligence platform and give specific examples on how it benefits customers which should not only drive more publicity and more exposure to palantir's overall capabilities but this should lead to more Market deals and developments which will help grow palantir's Revenue especially considering that AIP revolves around artificial intelligence literally it's palantir's artificial intelligence platform that's what AIP stands for and this is all happening on September 14th so you have a limited time either to make trades or buy and sell options before this time period And if you want to watch AIP con yourself you can always go to palantir's YouTube channel if you go to the link in the description box down below under sources I will link this article which has a link to their YouTube channel if you're curious the live stream is going to begin at 9 00 a.m Pacific time on Thursday September 14th of 2023 so we should see some price fluctuations so we should see palantir's overall share price have some fluctuation on the positive side after or during this overall conference so that's definitely something that investors need to keep an eye out for because there's only so much time between now and then now if you're watching this video after September 14th don't worry by that time I would have uploaded another palantir video which will discuss the major highlights of AIP con so go ahead and watch that but now before we analyze this bearish negative article about palantir Technologies where this author is advocating for for three reasons for investors to avoid palantir stock right now and honestly I don't think he has a very good reasoning I'm not going to go through the points one by one because I don't think this article is very well structured but I will critique his General View and honestly if you read the article I think it's actually more bullish than bearish which kind of undermines the title of this overall article but nonetheless let's dive right into it the author starts off by saying that one of the more impressive winners year to date in the stock market due to an AI driven rally thanks to artificial intelligence is palantir Technology's pltr stock which has surged nearly 140 percent since the beginning of the year so far so good yes he is correct and we even predicted how palantir would surge multiple times however for me personally I do think that palantir could potentially drop lower which would give us a better buying opportunity the author goes on to say that artificial intelligence was mentioned in a plethora of q1 to 2023 earnings calls with the term AI or artificial intelligence or machine learning surging by 64 year over year as companies try to encourage investors that they are an artificial intelligence play however for palantir Technologies this is chump change considering that palantir has been involved in big data and analytics and artificial intelligence for decades and since policy Technologies has a long lineage of artificial intelligence products this newfound love for artificial intelligence advancements have helped the company's overall share price Surge and that's what we have experienced a year to date now with that being said the author correctly highlights The palantir Remains more than 50 percent below its all-time high and he thinks that there is more downside on the horizon and let me agree to disagree with him on that yes palantir originally regarding their all-time highs was extremely overpriced and they really should have never reached those highs to begin with the only reason they surged that high was because a plethora of financial reporters were pumping this stock well over its overall fundamental value basis and let me also agree with him on the fact that there could be further downside on the horizon but if you are a long-term investor like me and you're willing to invest into this company over the next five to ten years the future looks extremely bright for this company so with all of those out of the way the author will now tell you why he thinks pound to your stock is an investment that investors should be cautious about which honestly I can agree that investors should be cautious and practice proper risk management by not investing into any singular risky Growth Company because that would be improper risk management and it adds unnecessary risk of losses however what I don't like is that he is conflating the terms being cautious and avoiding the stock altogether for instance you can be cautious of a stock that you own you can constantly keep up with it listen to its latest news updates without fully avoiding the stock so although he's trying to package this in the sense of oh investors should be cautious which I can agree with he's also conflating that with investors completely avoiding this stock altogether which I think is disingenuous and I would completely disagree with however I would Advocate to add this company to a watch list and all always make sure to do your own research he even highlights how he would Bush analyst named Daniel Ives who we've talked about a plethora of times on this channel has a 25 price Target despite pounds here having a valuation of 16 times their overall Revenue meaning that they have a price to sales Ratio or a PS multiple of 16 which is rather High ideally we would want to snag shares at 10 or lower considering the current growth metrics of this company but let me pause right here by the author even saying that some analysts like Daniel Ives are very optimistic about this company this undermines his overall point regarding how investors should avoid this company Daniel Ives is a very prestigious five-star analyst and he knows what he's talking about so this optimism from Daniel Ives is going to benefit palantir Technologies not hurt them so I don't know why this author is mentioning Daniel Ives and how bullish he is about palantir Technologies just to write an article saying that investors should avoid them because he doesn't state in the article that Daniel Ives is wrong but here is where he died lives into some criticism he says while palantir's Cloud software and palantir's AI platform are generating attention the company hasn't produced new guidance even though their customer base grew by 38 percent which is actually a Slowdown from their 50 growth as seen in 2021 however this is nothing against palantir Technologies just because they haven't produced new guidance doesn't mean their management won't produce new guidance and this guidance could come in the form of that AIP conference on a September 14th or their next earnings report so that's not a reason to avoid the stock it just means that there hasn't been any new updates regarding their forecasts for the remainder of this year or in 2024.
on top of that they're customer base growing by 38 is still very impressive even though it's not as impressive as them growing by 50 in 2021 but according to the law of large numbers as time progresses NS palantir Technology's customer base increases clearly their percentage basis is going to decrease for their growth rate that is not shocking at all again this is not a reason to avoid this company this isn't naturally anticipated he has yet to produce any type of substantial evidence to say to avoid or sell this company he actually says the opposite because he says despite this they have a clear growth trajectory and their AIP platform triggered growth in their overall share price so again he is undermining the title of this entire article again I think this is actually more of a bullish article considering the things that he is citing another reason that he cites is regulatory issues regarding palantir and artificial intelligence he cites a CEO who says that ongoing irregulatory challenges within the artificial intelligence space is going to be a significant factor to Monitor and it could significantly affect companies again why is this a reason to avoid AI stocks it doesn't make sense if anything regulations are going to allow these companies to operate in a framework that will benefit their overall safety and their implementation in to various sectors so again I don't see why this would be evidence to avoid artificial intelligence stocks or palantir stock in particular and I understand how regulatory challenges could significantly affect connected companies we don't know whether this effect will be positive or negative the author is insinuating that this is only going to be negative but like I said earlier this could actually be a positive development because it allowed these companies to follow a framework of regulatory guidance so again I don't see how this is a reason to avoid this company altogether it just doesn't make sense especially considering that this is not something that only affects palantir Technologies this is going to affect all artificial intelligence platforms period in the end he wraps up this article saying that palantir's Stock May face hurdles due to forward-looking guidance and profit taking again profit taking is going to happen to essentially any stock that surges and then investors and Traders are going to take profits off of that bullish momentum which honestly they should unless you are a long-term investor like me meaning that you're going to hold the majority of your overall position for the long term because you believe the company is going to be worth substantially higher and more over the next five to ten years than it is currently so if using policy Technologies is going to be worth more than 15 dollars and 30 cents in the next five to ten years then honestly holding this company for the next five to ten years could be a very bullish lucrative strategy the author ends in his last sentence saying that until the firm shows consistent cash flow generation it remains a speculative stock best observed from the sidelines but my criticism here is you didn't even talk about cash flow in your article if you look at their cash flow they are doing very well they are a profitable company they're going to be included in the S P 500 they have virtually no debt they have loads of cash on their balance sheet they are growing very rapidly considering that they are increasing their revenues to have a cagr of around 20 percent over the next five years therefore the future of this company looks extremely bright again this article is a disaster considering why investors should sell or avoid this stock the only thing that is not really mentioned in the article that much is their valuation and then I would agree with the author saying that yes palantir Technologies is trading at a premium whether or not you look at at their p e ratio which is above at 70.
their PS ratio which is above 15 or even their PEG ratio which is above 1.3 these accounting ratios show that pouncer Technologies is overvalued considering their current growth rates and for their PEG ratio even their future growth rates but if investors are willing and able to wait for this company to grow into their overall valuation then they would be smart to do so as long as they capture this company at a cheap price and ideally you wouldn't want to snack shares between nine and twelve dollars and if the author just went into detail about that then I would completely agree with him but I think the reasons that he gave to avoid this stock are just unconvincing to Me overall with that being said I personally only have a two to three percent portfolio exposure and allocation to palantir Technologies however I plan to hold my position over the long term for the next five to ten years if you know me I am a long-term ETF investor I like investing into vti schd and qqqm but with that being said I'd love to hear your thoughts down below about either of these articles and their upcoming Catalyst on September 14th and I'll see you in the next YT video
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