저자: John · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아는 단기 과열로 조정 가능성이 있어 익절과 손절 강화를 권하고, AMD는 약세로 10달러 지지선 이탈 시 추가 하락을 경고하며, 테슬라는 350달러 회복 전까지 하락 위험을 본다. [엔비디아] 일봉상 220달러 종가 돌파 여부가 관건이며, 돌파 시 230달러 방향 상승이 가능하지만 거래량 동반이 필요하다고 봄. 주봉상 20주선(180달러) 대비 과도하게 이격되어 있어 시장 조정 시 함께 밀릴 가능성이 높다고 경고. 2017년 5~8월 102달러에서 216달러로 100% 이상 급등한 점을 닷컴 버블과 비교하며 장기 과열을 지적. 연말 산타랠리 가능성은 언급하나 시장이 조정되면 종목도 함께 조정된다고 봄. 목표 하락 구간은 200달러, 180달러대, 궁극적으로 일봉 150달러 가능성 제시. 100~200% 수익 구간에서는 익절과 조정 대기를 권고. [AMD] 일봉상 약세 패턴(하락 쐐기형 성격)이 반복되고 있으며, 20일선 위에서는 버티지만 200일선·50일선 아래 횡보 중. 실적 발표 후 하락 중이며 추가 뉴스나 상향 조정이 필요하다고 봄. 10달러 갭 메움 구간과 8달러대 하단을 주시하고, 10달러 지지 붕괴 시 추가 하락 경고. 상방 조건은 14.27달러 돌파. 주봉에서도 20·50주선 아래로 약세. 6~7달러까지 열어두며 200주선 근처에서 매수 관심 표명. 방향은 조건부로 하락 쪽에 무게. [테슬라] 공매도로 큰 손실을 본 뒤 청산했다고 언급하며 익절 원칙을 강조. 300달러 전후 저항과 함께 350달러 회복이 상승 전환 조건이며, 회복 실패 시 하락 가능성. 242~243달러, 270달러, 290~300달러 구간을 저가 매수 관심 구간으로 언급. 주봉 50주선 아래에서 횡보하면 추가 하락 세팅으로 판단하며, 하락 시 매수 또는 콜·풋 옵션 활용 가능성을 언급. [공통] 고변동 성장주는 시장 조정 시 함께 크게 하락할 수 있으므로 손절 타이트하게 관리할 것을 강조. 포지션은 전체 포트폴리오의 10% 수준으로 관리하라는 자금관리 원칙 제시.
다듬은 글
hello traders John at / bromo / stock bookie th let's get into NVIDIA daily chart 4.5 million on the day point nine four percent up or two dollars and three cents Green had a great day on Friday a half day going into the big shopping weekend of the year and NVIDIA is holding up without a problem we did get higher above this trendline this was a big one came back retested it popped up on some news I believe came back kind of stalling out we've been doing this for the last nine ten days sideways still above the twenty the 50 and the 200 still in a good stance guys so this one could go higher I want to see on the daily close above the 220 area then we could see two to two twenty to fifty to twenty five to twenty seven fifty than 230 but I want to see a close above the 220 area before we do any any more upside action on this one and I want to see more volume than the 4.5 I don't want to see a good push through this area and a close with some follow-through on the next day with a nice close not just another reversal coming in but I want to see some follow through on these up on these upside moves with volume period weekly chart weekly charts starting to get a little bit extended from the 20ma at 180 to 29 this is at 216 96 close so this is getting a little bit extended and you can see where this thing's going to I mean guys we had a move from 5-8 2017 from 102 to 216 over a hundred percent in less than about six months on healthy guys this is like the dot-com and remember when the.com well they all will come in eventually this will be a market trade understand what a market trade is guys markets continue to grind higher through the December the holiday the santa claus rally this can go high if the markets are gonna pull back this will pull back with the markets period I don't care what stock it is what name it is markets pull back these will come in especially when on the monthly your extended from the 20ma and I talked about these this is Adam 111 68 this thing's at 2:16 this will eventually go down it's just the stock of the year all the hype 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 months up into a key area the 200 225 let's see if this thing can pull back just tighten the stops that's all I'm saying guys on this one if you're long awesome trade hold on to that but if you've got the hundred two hundred percent gain and you're not pulling profits and waiting for a pullback and doing it again not my problem so just watch out for these high-flying stocks guys these can be a disaster when they come in just like a aoi we all know what happened to that one not that this companies that a aoi but that was another one that just kept going and going and going and everyone was hyped and next thing you know they pulled the plug and brought it in so in video guys hey hats off to this thing nice run just be careful at this point especially if the markets are pulling back I would expect at least 200 and then one in the 180s and ultimately on the daily 150 could be your price target or wherever the 20ma is alright let's get into AMD AMD we haven't done a video on this in a couple weeks so let's see if we can take a look at this one I'll think it's been going anywhere yeah see we talked about this it dropped we talked about this bearish pattern here we popped it up they popped it up on news again guys this is a daily chart we did have what do we have we only had 10 million on Friday no point nine percent up penny off so no big deal but you know we talked about this even here popped up came right in bearish pattern popped it up one more time can couldn't keep it above that 14:26 area and then they dropped it right back down now it's going sideways again still below the 200 and the 50 back above the 20 so it's not terrible but man this this downside rays pattern and now you're popped up try to get everybody on board again they dropped it right back in this is down in sideways again this is a bearish pattern below these two moving averages as long as it stays above the 20 it's okay but let's see what this thing can do if we just you know do we just go sideways see how the volumes disappear now we have some pretty good value amount earnings now it's dropping dropping all they need guys is more news maybe in an upgrade to get this thing higher for me AMD I you know I'm gonna wait for the $10 area gap fill maybe but it may be to go long if the markets are coming you know coming in I salumi could go to the this gap fill here at 868 and then possibly down in here around the $8 8:28 level so watch for this area down in here this thing's looking a little bit weak we shorted this one here took the profit and I mean ever just great trading vehicle I just can't I mean it pops up two bucks three bucks up down up down I just can't follow this one you know I've been calling it pretty good we called it bearish here in sidebar comes up retraces - you know the big pivot here and then boom on earnings put on earnings it could it could easily went up as well this time it came in so I'm waiting for lower prices I'd love to go long because you will get by the dip in this stock but guys just be careful if you're long it's in a weak stance right now and easily could go to ten bucks or fill this gap button and say 14 or so so watch for that let's go to the weekly weekly in my opinions even looking worse and you know I mean we talked about this inside bar couldn't you got above it never confirm got above it again never confirmed came right back in got above it again never confirmed again so this big big red bar this is what's holding it down as well as these guys here these two red bars retrace big red bar a lot of sellers came in here and a lot of people got stuck up here so every time it comes back up you get a lot of people who are stuck here they just become sellers and this goes right back down even on the weekly chart you're below the 20 and the 50 and let me tell you guys a lot of times these big red 200 moving averages these are targets and this one's at 582 not that it's going to five bucks or six for seven bucks you know what I wouldn't rule it out I still like this area here for a bounce 8:35 but if we come down here straight down off off a bearish pattern if we go three four more weeks sideways below these mas I think we're definitely going to ten then the eight and then whatever this 200 ma is it could be a six six 57 that's what I'm watching on this one if we do hit the 200 ma I will be a buyer down here but I got to see how it comes down into this area and then again just like the high fliers this will be a low flier down in here extended from the 20 ma on the weekly that will give it a better chance of it a bounce so let's keep an eye on this one if you're long just tighten those stops up and if you're short just just hang on that gives a little pop you could probably add more if it gets above these moving averages then you got to tighten that stop if you're short and this this will be the big area though right here this trendline there if you could get above that and keep going then you're probably going to the 15 area so downside 10 to 8 upside you got to get above the moving averages here and then and then possibly to the 1348 14:27 and then here but right now we're kind of in that middle range where it could go up or down right now but to set enough to go lower unless some news comes out you know how it goes guys with the news on these stocks and then the monthly monthly has good support at 10 right there with the two moving averages cross and so you know that that's another thing if we get below that man holy cow we can easily go down to that $6 lira level this is huge the 988 area breaks and can't make it happen with support then you better tighten those stops and look out below again upside you got to get above this trendline 1427 then you'll probably go here downside if the ten dollar area cracks look out below so be careful with AMD guys you know either way I have no position in this one so I could care less just give me my technical advice on this one for up and down action now Tesla guys this was an interesting one we got caught in the short on this one and we finally covered it the whole trade and this was the best one because where was it so it came up here we took another trade then it fell down here came in had faked and then came in we took half off here anything it was 294 popped back up we shorted again here at 316 we covered half again at 303 304 it popped again we shorted on that this was a great fake this was epic we short it again here covered half and then cover the complete trade here so we even though we were in this thing since I think it was May right in here and just got killed on this move we held strong came right back in we were at even here again it was like oh my gosh we're making a little bit of money and we held again went up in our face and then went up in her face again and I knew this thing could go to 400 with the hype and then it came right back in and took it there that's why I was telling everyone guys take profits right here take profits take profits everyone laughed going up booked you told us to take profits and I said well yeah here let's go back I told everyone to take profits here because when this thing ran from 182 to 300 you're not taking profits in here you're you're you have to you're a if you don't you know sorry that that's just the case then I when it went up everyone uh-huh you're wrong you're wrong and then it came right back and it was like wow you know if you weren't start you know how stuff may take profits because then a 350 take profits 375 take profits guys so it comes right back in pops up you know well this this is how the stock is 100 point moves no problem up and down now if this patter starts to play out guys this is a weak pattern below the 50 and the 200 you're still above the 20 but this is down in sideways here guys so let's keep an eye on this the only way this thing can go higher you need to get it back above the moving averages and you get to get back above let's see here this would be the area of the 350 area if you can't get above the 350 or get above this trendline here all right there 350 I'm gonna say then that then this this stock is gonna have a problem I'm sure eelain's gonna pump pump pump it up there'll be some upgrades in the stock it's a great trading vehicle guys you know we trade this one a lot now that I'm out of my swing we'll look at some other trades on this and hopefully hopefully we get another pop we can enter it again with a short and then boom if it drops then we'll be looking for um lower entry prices maybe the 270 I love this area down here guys at 242 that - 29 - 31 area let's go to the weekly chart on this one so again great training via we traded we went short so many times short hair short hair short look at that goes up makes a high pivot comes back in you got a short that thing again get get your 50 you know 50 30 whatever box out of this pops up again same thing pops up again same thing this is the one where it caught us but again you're going from 182 into the 300 that's why I was telling everyone take profits take profits holy cow you got a great trade this thing goes up look at this so everything so if you would have held held held for the next couple of months this thing went nowhere nowhere and right back down so if you sold around even 315 320 330 you could have bought back at 290 yeah it takes a couple months but who cares this thing starts to drop this is my area right here - 30 - 43 gosh that would be a dream area for a buy guys even have this low pivot but if this area cracks you better step aside this thing's going right back to these lows and then this low so right now it's not terrible but this inside bar right here retraced a hundred percent to this top and then they slammed it so that's why it was so important here guys when I was telling everybody to take profits take profits but it was a little early but again what I was looking at which people don't explain cuz they were all making well stock bookie told everyone to sell right here yeah because if you took it from 180 to 300 wasn't you sell hello pops drops pops drops here we are again I wouldn't doubt if we're back here and now if you would have sold at 333 2310 it comes back to here you look like a genius so anyways my shorts over on this one thank the Lord this one was a brutal one guys we were upside down I don't know 50 60 bucks on this one but again if you're taking 10% positions of your total portfolio not getting whooped so and that's the biggest thing with us money management here at stock book e.com so Tesla guys just be careful with this one we are holding this on the weekly that fifty ma if this weekly starts to go in or if this starts to go sideways and starts hugging this fifty ma this thing it could be setting up for the next drop so bottom line Bulls you got to get above the 20 ma or two 340 350 area and then continue higher if it stays down here in this lower range and these lower pivots and continue sideways I believe this thing's setting up for lower prices this is where I will be buying long or do some calls or even write in some puts and play in the decay we'll see how this one works out all right guys that's enough for today hopefully this is helping some of you NVIDIA guys AMD guys and test the guys out there and again just looking at the technicals and trying to make this trade anything easy guys really appreciate you stopping by watching my stuff don't forget to like the video and right here you'll have a subscription thing just click on that and we'll go from there
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