저자: PeterSchiff · 외국인
요약 보기
한 줄 결론: 피터 시프는 연준이 인플레이션을 통제 불능이며 달러 가치가 붕괴 위기에 있다고 보고, 연준의 안심 발언을 믿지 말라고 주장한다. [인플레이션·통화량 논리] - 돈을 대량으로 찍으면 달러 가치가 떨어지는 것은 당연하며, 최근 수년간 그렇지 않았다고 해서 앞으로도 그렇지 않다고 볼 수 없다. - 정부가 국민에게 100만 달러씩 나눠줘도 실물 재화가 늘지 않으면 가격만 오르므로 모두가 부자가 되지는 못한다. - 금을 채굴하면 새 자원이 경제에 들어오지만 돈을 찍는 것은 새로운 재화를 만들지 못하므로, 재화 없이 통화만 늘리면 가격이 올라야 한다. [연준 비판] - 파월 의장의 일시적 인플레이션 발언은 경제 기본 원리에 대한 무지이거나 의도적 거짓말이라고 비판한다. - 연준은 자신들이 만든 위기를 인정하면 달러 보유자들이 달러를 팔아 위기가 가속될 것을 우려해 안심 메시지를 낸다고 본다. - 연준은 신뢰 유지를 위해 공포를 억누르는 홍보 기관 역할을 하며, 독립성은 허구라고 주장한다. [향후 전망 및 리스크] - 위기가 실제로 올 경우 연준은 금리 인상, 정부 지출 삭감, 기업 파산, 부동산·주식 폭락을 강제하게 될 것이라고 전망한다. - 연준의 경고 자체가 위기를 앞당길 수 있으므로 위기는 더 빨리 올 것이라는 입장이다. - 인플레이션 은폐 사례로 포장 축소, 저품질 원료 대체, 소비자 조립 요구 등을 든다. [출연자 전망 요약] - 달러 가치 하락과 인플레이션 확대, 금융위기 가능성을 경고하는 장기 비관론자이며, 구체적 가격 목표나 단기 방향 예측은 제시하지 않았다.
다듬은 글
we have been talking a lot about the specter of inflation despite the fed's assurances not to worry because any price increases we are seeing are transistory some people are indeed worried peter schiff is one of those guys who are worried about that he believes that the central bank is powerless to fight it talking about powell's statement peter said that in the past printing a lot of money would have been negative for the value of that money would have been negative for the dollar which is obvious for the last several years that hasn't been the case but to say that it will never be the case makes no sense whatsoever because you are saying that the law of supply and demand has been suspended that somehow it no longer matters obviously if the us government mailed everybody for a check for a million dollars we wouldn't all be millionaires we couldn't all go out and buy expensive sport cars there's just not enough of them to go around the prices would have to go up they can't make everybody a millionaire by giving them a million dollars they could make them a millionaire but you'll have to be a billionaire to buy things at that point because being a millionaire won't matter because everybody will be one peter says that when you are printing paper money you are not mining gold whereas when you bring gold out of the ground you are introducing a new resource into the economy you are bringing gold which has all sorts of uses so the world is wealthier because the resource has been harvested and now is available for use but when you print money we don't have anything that we didn't have before the money was printed so all money does is enable you to buy the goods and services and if those goods and services are not there the money means nothing it doesn't matter how much you produce if there's nothing to buy you just can't keep printing money prices just have to go up what we need is more goods not more paper to buy the goods so peter says that powell's statement is just so assining and it reveals either a complete misunderstanding or lack of understanding the basic economics or he is just lying and just figures that nobody is going to pick up on it he doesn't really believe it he just doesn't want to admit the problem they are creating by printing all this money or get holders of us dollars to start to worry more about the value of all the dollars they are holding on to and not just foreigners but americans who may have dollars and that they are holding on to or saving that they are hoping to use to buy stuff in the future if they understood the truth that those dollars may have no value in the future of very little value they would not hold them they would be getting rid of them right now which is not what the fed wants because that would accelerate the crisis powell is going to be a smart guy he could be smart and intelligent but there are a lot of smart people that believe a lot of dumb things so for sure intelligence is not necessarily something that's going to keep you making these mistakes it's to keep everybody calm to avoid the crisis mindset everything is gonna be okay it's just that narrative a large part of the fed's job is public relations and spend and to try to create a false sense of confidence in the u.s economy in the us dollar the fed is supposed to be independent these fed guys the fed chairmen they are just like people from the propaganda from the government they think that confidence is very important they don't want to do anything to shake confidence in fact they want to try to instill confidence if they think confidence maybe is vanning so they look at it as like oh we got to talk how great everything is even if they think that there's going to be a recession or a crisis or the dollar is going to crash they are not going to say it as per peter even if they say that the dollar is going to crash then it's going to crash even sooner even if it wasn't going to crash their statement warning of a crash could cause one so they are very very concerned they don't want to accelerate the onset of the crisis they see by acknowledging that they see it they want to postpone that as long as possible and they think one way to postpone it is just to pretend it's not even a threat and get everybody to not be concerned and then hope that maybe it works out better or that maybe they are wrong or we never have a crisis peter wants everyone that do just never believe anything that they say at the fed don't believe what politicians say either they are truly not independent they want to pretend they are independent but that's part of the stuff to instill confidence in the dollar they would never allow inflation to get out of hand they are going to raise rates they are going to force the government to cut spending they are going to force companies into bankruptcy they are going to force real estate prices to crash they are going to force stock prices to crash because they don't care about politics if they want to preserve the dollar they care as much about politics as the elected representatives who appoint them peter said that there is a bit of irony in government officials and central bankers constantly complaining about not enough inflation there are things that hide inflation for instance shrinking packaging so there is less product sold at the same price or substituting low quality ingredients or requiring consumers to assemble items themselves now i would request you all to let me know your thoughts in the comment section below also convert that like button into blue smash that subscribe button and wait for our next amazing video
Comments 0