저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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영상은 테슬라 주가가 급락 후 반등 중이며 단기~중기 상승 여력이 크다는 주장. Cramer는 FSD 무감독 주행과 로보택시 확대 기대를 근거로 연말 500달러를 언급. 트럼프 정부 관련 정치적 리스크와 높은 밸류에이션 불확실성도 인정. 초빙 기술적 분석가 Larry Williams의 밸류에이션 모델(저평가 구간), 전문가 매집 지표, 계절성 패턴, 사이클 예측(6월 중순 눌림 후 상승, 과거 80% 확률 상승)을 제시하며 매수 관점을 전달.
다듬은 글
so Jim Kramer tells investors to buy Tesla stock he didn't really really say buy Tesla stock but he says that Tesla is going back to like $500 so he's basically saying that Tes buy Tesla stock because it's going back to $500 and if you can buy it under 250 you double your money um I you know a lot of people say that every time Jim K is bullish the stock crashes but um I honestly think that by the end of this year Tesla will be $500 because Elam said that there will be unsupervised FSD and if that happens the robo taxi service will be you know widespread you know like if every hardware for car is unsupervised FSD I think Tesla is going to be trading at500 plus dollars that's my opinion I could be wrong and it may not happen but this is again this is my opinion let's play and see what he has to say rebounding now that they've enlisted president Trump as car salesman and chief this stock roared after Trump won the election because Co Elon must spend a fortune to help put him in office and Wall Street figured that being titled with Trump pay off right in the last couple months that the stocks just been obliterated now some of that's because mus playing a much bigger and more controversial role in the administration than most of us expected and not paying enough attention to business controversy is not good for sales we don't like controversy especially overseas some it's simply that Tesla's a high-flying growth name and a market that lost all appetite for highflying growth names although today it seemed like it was going to get it back now yesterday the stock started rebounding and today attacked on another 7.6% so got to ask could this be the real deal now listen it's hard to predict the f here in large part because Tesla trades on the potential of it self-driving technology something I very much believe in but that could be years down the road it's also hard to put a value on your CEO being the rightand man of the president no one's ever done that it's definitely worth something but how the heck do you put a number on that what's the PE multiple in that so rather than trying to game this one out you know what I rather go off the charts and I never do this at the end of the show but this is really important because we're going up the charts with Larry Williams he's the legend technician and Market historian who's been the best in the business since before I learned how to drive he's written over a dozen books created a ton of proprietary technical indicators and most important he's got a stunning track record especially over the past 5 years and I rever him always have Larry's the one who called the co bottom for instance in April 2020 back when just about everyone was terrified that would' be stuck in a prolonged government mandated recession and you know what he's doing tonight he's calling the bottom in Tesla first I want you to take a look at the weekly chart of Tesla paired with Larry proprietary valuation model uh according to this model Tesla's finally reached undervalued territory and when the stocks come down to these levels in the past it typically attracts real buyers leads to a big bounce speaking of buyers check out this chart of tesas paired with Larry's measure of professional accumulation even as the stocks come down this picture shows very aggressive buying not selling but buying that's typically an arbinger of higher prices professional money man have begun adding to positions while individual investors have been throwing in the towel that's what you've seen and it usually means that you should be buying alongside of these investors I agree but it's just the right moment to pounce on Tesla or could it have another leg down the brutal stock market okay I want you to take a look at this daily chart with Tesla true seasonal pattern in blue okay Larry loves to look at how stocks tend to trade over the course of the year he goes over the history then finds the seasonal pattern it plays out time after time the true seasonal pattern in blue shows that Tesla typically begins rallying at this time of the year sure enough the stocks already going up so I've got to tell you I'm with that now L also likes to hunt for cycles that seem to be repeating themselves beyond the annual seasonal cycle now he'll identify a bunch of these then combine them together into a wave that predicts where the stock is likely headed so here's what Tesla looks like with this cycle forecast attached to it the forecast is blue on the way up gray on the way down right now suggest the Tesla should be ready to Rally maybe furiously with a pullback creating another buying opportunity around mid June Larry notes that we've seen this wave in Tesla stock numerous times before historically stocks ried 80% of the time during this time for year I think that's pretty good odds so if you believe Larry Williams and he's earned a lot of credibility over the years and this is a gentleman starer electric engines moment for Tesla assuming he's right the stocks rebound of the past couple days is just the beginning of a huge move and I got to tell you all aboard I'm with Larry I'd like to say as always bu Market my PR just for you right here M money I'm J
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