저자: Matthew · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라는 시총 650억 달러 수준이며 기술주로 볼 때 합리적이고 향후 성장 여력이 크다고 봄. 차트 패턴상 과거 박스권 돌파 후 이번에도 신고가 시도 패턴이 반복된다고 판단. 향후 2~3개월 내 400달러 돌파, 신고가 420달러 부근 도달이 가능하며 450달러 테스트도 가능하다고 전망. 500달러는 가능하나 2020년엔 상단 시나리오로 봄. 주봉 RSI·MACD가 과매수 영역이라 400달러 돌파 전후 1~2회 저항 테스트가 필요할 수 있다고 언급. 과매수는 수개월 지속될 수 있다는 점도 강조. 하방 리스크는 시장 전반·정치·무역 이슈에 따른 것이며, 최악의 경우 180~230달러 지지선까지 밀릴 수 있으나 현재 추세상 가능성은 낮다고 봄. 2020년 말 가격대는 상단 420달러, 하단 약 280달러(상승추세선) 사이로 제시. 제품 라인업(사이버트럭, ATV) 강화와 현금 소진 개선을 긍정 요인으로 언급. 발표자는 기술적 분석 강의 홍보도 함께 진행.
다듬은 글
hey what's going on everyone Matthew from the right trader.com back again with another video today we're going to be talking about Tesla and my price prediction for 2020 uh where I think the company is heading and the stock itself as well we're going to be doing a technical analysis as always and I'm going to briefly discuss the fundamentals as well where Tesla is standing right now make sure to let me know your thoughts on how Tesla has been uh recently and also let me know if there's any other stocks you want me to cover so Tesla currently sitting at a $65 billion market cap which is definitely higher than in recent times but when you think about it 65 billion for really I think Tesla can be looked at as a tech company right of course uh it's main focus is uh automobiles but as far as the technology is concerned um 65 billion is you know reasonable and I think that it can definitely grow pretty easily from here uh especially in the next 5 10 years um and even less to be honest even in the next two years I do think it's going to do pretty well now of course the market has been uh pretty high right now we've seen a big increase and Tesla has benefited from that as well but uh All Things Considered if we look at a bigger picture time frame here what you're going to see is we Tesla tends to have these consolidation periods basically so over here obviously at the beginning you know not much was happening got it first Spike higher went up to this $250 range struggled to break above that for you know uh basically 3 years and then we broke above that we made our way all the way up to uh $383 and you know Consolidated then we had our drop right like we had back here after our consolidation and then our Spike higher I think that the pattern is uh repeating itself right here so I think that this Spike higher is the equivalent of this one here and I do believe that we're actually going to move higher on this Spike uh so I'm expecting Tesla to move higher within the next two to three months I think we can get back above 400 uh sorry not back above we're going to break above $400 right that's uh that'll be a new all-time high we've never been above $400 a highest is 383 like I said uh but I think that on this uh new move higher we'll be able to break out of this consolidation and put in a new high right so probably uh new high will be uh will top off at around uh $420 on the low side but most likely it will test that $450 and who knows maybe even $500 right um that's not out of the cards I think Tesla will reach $500 can it will it be in 2020 not sure that would be you know like I said really On The Higher Side I'd say um but definitely uh reaching 420 $450 I think that's doable in 2020 and I do absolutely think that at the very least in the next 2 to 3 months we're going to test and break above uh $400 so uh as soon as you break above a big number like that that's been causing resistance you're going to get a move usually to 45420 $425 pretty easily right so that's why I had that $420 uh number in mind now going over to the technicals here uh we're going to cover the weekly time frame and also just a quick look at the daily but uh if you want to learn more about technical analysis make to check out my technical analysis Master course uh link to that in the description it teaches you everything you need to know uh buying and selling opportunities how to spot them candlesticks we've got everything covered and uh it comes with a 30-day money back guarantee so if you're interested make sure to check that out Link in the description but getting into the technicals here what we're going to see is we're going to start off with the weekly uh time frame so each Candlestick is going to represent one week right since we're thinking about a whole year ahead um so over here this this little uh Gap over here is from 2020 to 20 1 and that's exactly what I'm going to be trying to analyze and predict here so like I said I think that the fact that we got this big dip lower and that we actually managed to get back uh you know almost to all-time highs is obviously the market helped but it's a sign that Tesla is going to put in a new all-time high and you know it makes sense right the market is new making new alltime highs only makes sense that Tesla would do it especially that it was in a bit of a rut right while it had this big big drop I'm not going to lie even back here I had lost a lot of Hope in Tesla and I didn't really see it as the company that I once side it as uh it seemed like the product line was on on uh kind of on edge and a lot of things within the company the massive cash burn Etc now things are looking up right the product line is very strong we've got the Cyber truck uh let me know your thoughts about that I think it's going to do pretty well and it's going to be you know a good add-on to the lineup I even saw they had an ATV so that's pretty cool but uh just a lot of things going on that uh really it's in much better standing I believe the cash burn is better as well now so all that is going to help to you know make uh the stock a new high and right now on the RSI we are definitely on the higher side we are not completely overbought yet but we will probably be like I said we will probably be breaking out above $383 I'll put in the resistance there and that would likely lead to a move above $400 that would definitely put us into an overbought position at that point we'd likely get a breakout above $400 like I said where would probably reach around 420 on that initial you know breakout we'll just need to pay attention to especially on the weekly time frame uh this overbought signal now keep in mind it can stay overbought for quite some time right like right here or right here even I mean look at this it stayed overbought for you know several months uh obviously on a weekly time frame but several months it was overbought on the RSI before falling back down so this could happen very well again right here we're extremely high on the macd here so uh probably going to have to test $400 once before we can fully break above it maybe even twice uh so keep that in mind as well right we may not test $400 and instantly break above it it's probably going to take uh around one or two times to fully break above it and uh and get that clean breakout uh as far as the potential for a move lower on Tesla uh is it possible of of course uh I think it would have a lot to do with the market at that point and you know uh political drama uh trade World drama I think that Tesla wouldn't be one of the most affected Stocks by it but it definitely you know it's going to have an impact on the whole Market if something bad happens uh I don't really see Tesla moving any lower in a worst case scenario here than its a $180 um support level right here uh on this drop I really don't think uh we could ever see Tesla uh except if some kind of major disaster happen going back below that level so if we draw our uptrend line right now it's looking like this so this is going to be you know the level that we really want to uh see the stock keep above uh just to make sure we're you know trending higher really and of course we have our shorter term uh uptrend line right here which is much steeper it's going to be harder to hold but it will probably carry us above $400 and then you know we'll probably come back down where do I think we'll be at the end of 2020 probably somewhere around in between where we are now and $420 on the bullish side and on the bearish side you know like I said uh it could be somewhere over here near $280 on the uptrend line uh or maybe a little bit lower you know like I said $230 $180 if things turn bad but for now you know everything is pointing towards Tesla making a new all-time high so a move lower isn't really in the cards at least right now like I said something could happen later in the year but for the next two to three months and even six months Tesla should be doing good uh doing good especially the next two to three months we're going to be looking for that breakout above $400 uh with that being said this is the end of the video thanks for watching everyone if you enjoyed it make sure to leave a like And subscribe for more videos like this uh make sure to follow me on Twitter for Market updates and like I said I've got my technical analysis Master course in the description uh 30-day money back guarantee everything you need to know about technical analysis trading make sure to check it out if you want to uh learn more and you know take your trading to the next level thanks for watching everyone and have a great day
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