저자: JimCramer · 외국인
요약 보기
Jim Cramer는 2023년 4월 실적시즌 본격화를 앞두고 개별 종목 투자는 실적발표문·콘퍼런스콜·애널리스트 리포트를 직접 검토한 뒤에만 해야 하며, 그렇지 않다면 지수 펀드에 투자하는 편이 낫다고 강조한다. 실적 일정 및 주요 기업 관전 포인트: 코카콜라, 퍼스트리퍼블릭(위기 은행, 저점 안정 평가), 클리블랜드 클리프스(자동차·철강 경기 지표), 와틀풀(주택 경기 지표)을 주목하며, 3M은 소송 리스크로 실망 가능성을 언급한다. 맥도날드는 주가 300달러 돌파 및 3대1 액면분할 기대를 밝혔고, GE는 항공 사업 중심으로 보유 선호 의견을 냈다. 제너럴모터스는 브레이크아웃 분기가 필요하다고 평가했다. 주택주: 풀트그룹은 캘리포니아 노출이 많아 레나어·DR호튼보다 부진할 것으로 전망했다. 레이시온은 중국 제재 영향 우려를 언급했다. 차트·실적 기대 기업: 치폴레는 2000달러 도달 가능성, 마이크로소프트·알파벳도 주목 대상이다. 보잉 실적은 기대치가 낮다고 봤다. 메타플랫폼스는 릴스·인스타그램 가속을 근거로 가장 기대되는 종목으로 꼽았다. 캐터필러는 인프라·IRA 자금 수혜를 근거로 조정 시 매수 의견을 냈다. 허니웰은 후임 CEO 체제 전 큰 결정이 없을 것으로 봤다. 일라이릴리는 알츠하이머 약 및 비만 치료제 마운자로 관련 로드맵에 관심을 표했다. 헤르쉬는 기대 이상 실적 가능성을 언급했다. 아마존은 AWS 성장 둔화(15% 이하 가능성)와 추가 구조조정 가능성을 짚었다. 쉐브론·엑슨모빌은 엑슨 우위를 봤고, 콜게이트는 행동주의 투자자 압박 가능성을 언급했다. 거시지표로 PCE 디플레이터 발표를 주목하며, 물가가 뜨거우면 기업 실적과 무관하게 시장이 흔들릴 수 있다고 봤다. 개별 전화 상담에서는 피오니어(PXD)는 더 매수 가능하며 주가 300달러 이상 가치를 언급했고, 페라리는 250달러 아래 조정 시 추가 매수를 권했다. 모토로라 솔루션즈는 꾸준한 승자로 평가했고, AMC는 장기 보유 시 낙관적 견해를 드러냈다. 디즈니는 3분기 스토리로 보았다.
다듬은 글
hope you will not just entertain but that you can't teach you so call me at 1-800-743 CBC or tweet Me Gently at Jim Cramer if you want to know why the Market's so darn confusing and overwhelming next week is the perfect example we've got a gigantic number of companies reporting earnings or once I think it's a major reason why so many experts default to this big picture back row numbers because following all these individual companies frankly it's just too darn exhausting but you still have to do the work you simply cannot buy a stock before you go through the process I'm about to show you and what is the process you got to read the earnings release got to listen to the conference call then you look over the reviews from the analysts and you gotta because they know it best of all and only after that can you pull the trigger that's true every day including this one where the Dow gained 22 points has to be Advanced 0.09 NASDAQ decline Point eleven percent now what do I mean by this well okay let's start with Monday in the morning Coca-Cola reports okay going into the quarter you need to know what wall Street's expecting then you see that news release from Coca-Cola you listen to their conference call you go over all the anal studs in this very well covered company if you can't do these things or we don't own the stock for the travel trust where we do this stuff for you you probably shouldn't be picking individual stocks at all without the homework you really are much better off parking your money and something we think is very good around here and Index Fund now after the close Year from First Republic that's why we considered the most endangered Regional Bank out there although it seems to have stabilized at very low levels we also hear from two deep cyclicals that are just interesting to be able to get a read on certain parts of the economy Cleveland Cliffs the steel maker great read on the Auto industry because they provide a lot of the steel to the Auto industry and Whirlpool which always gives you a great read on housing the next three days they are positively exceed awesome Tuesday starts with 3m now we've come to expect disappointment from these guys frankly I bet this quarter is no different given the horrendous litigation risk everything from groundwater contamination to allegedly faulty earplugs to the military going wrong here McDonald's reports too I think this will be the quarter that takes the stock above 300 perfect time for the golden arches to announce its three for one split I don't think they're going to do it but I sure would like one next up general election has been one of the best stocks in the SB 500 this year can you believe that I believe CEO Larry Culp will deliver another magnificent quarter pleasure where he outlines how the final spin-off in GE the uh energy section is actually breaking off but I don't want to bury the lead because GE is all about Aerospace which is in Fuego I'd rather own this one than Bowen which reports Wednesday and then there's General Motors will they react to all the price cuts from Tesla well they reveal more City Center for autonomous driving will they step up their EV schedule I think this stock needs a breakout quarter right now hey we know housing's been on fire right despite the fed's attempts to blast inflation I bet Pulte Homes will be very good but probably not as good as Lennar or DR Horton because it is too much California exposure and we have had a lot of Silicon Valley layoffs I expect many more we got something very revealing coming from Raytheon as the company's top Executives have basically been blacklisted by China because of their defense work is raytheon's commercial Aerospace divisions which is the crown jewel is their division threatened by this Charizard gigantic market for them I gotta know I've been trying to find this out oh well let's not forget Jeff marks and I host the CNBC investing Club monthly meeting on Tuesday where we run down all of your stocks and answer your questions about them hey how about some winners after the close Chipotle and Microsoft report I think both will cause the analysts to raise numbers the Genesis of all big rallies I've been adamant that chipotle is headed to two thousand dollars and I think Microsoft puts me on for the travel trust if you talk about the revitalized search engine now that they're partnered with open AI how much is that alphabet reports at the same time same exact time these these companies have become sworn enemies we'll find out how much hate you're doing from Microsoft and AI maybe they'll finally announced some layoffs that are large enough to actually move the needle that has not occurred yet from that company Wednesday morning we find out what's going wrong at Boeing this week the only people left in this doctor the ones who don't do the homework this is the gang that could not shoot straight that said the bar is so low that I bet the stock can go higher if nothing bad happens between now and the conference call next I think the most exciting stock will be meta platforms because I believe that both reels and their Tick-Tock killer that's a tick tock killer and Instagram have re-accelerated maybe Instagram as much as 300 basis points Mark chainsaw Zuckerberg I say that affectionately well chop more Deadwood I'd like to hear him close the New York office even if he has to sell out 100 million dollars to get out of these expensive leases I like that stock it's big for the trust I would double down if I didn't own so much already Thursday we hear from Caterpillar the last time cat reported they told a good story but nobody seemed to care we bought some for the investor club that day look right around that period because we couldn't believe that the stock didn't move and we're looking to buy more on weakness because we believe cat's the best way to play all the infrastructure money that will be flooding the country next year I always hope for deep pullback so you can get better entry point do not be concerned about the near term and focus on the chips hack and the IRA money that will be showered upon them bye bye bye we'll also here find out if Gary should damn check he's the CEO of Honeywell he's going to go out with a bang this should be this swan song he's got a new SEO coming in but I'm not looking for much because Honeywell won't be making any big decisions until the successor takes over that said the guy's being dealt a great Hand by Darius I like the stock very much next up wow this big one Eli Loi will they talk about the Alzheimer's drug they just completed a clinical trial well give us a more will they give us a more refined road map about when Manjaro their diabetes drug slash weight loss pill uh vaccine well it's a needle we'll get FDA approval there's a lot on the line for this club name and it's been among the hottest stocks in the market I think that there could be a better entry point Stock's really been on the run if you want to know which stock I think will have the biggest upside surprise next week it's going to be believe it or not the very boring Hershey the out of here Hershey's delivered a stream of great numbers yet somehow the analysts keep lowballing them and then the company beats those numbers they have to close yeah perhaps the most important company report next week and that is Amazon I expect to hear about the slowing of Amazon web services maybe down as low below 15 used to be a 35 and hopefully they'll tell us about some aggressive new layoffs time for Amazon to clean house again the Stock's three percent gained today made perlite be a Prelude is something very positive that they announced next week Friday's all day as we get results from both Chevron and Exxon in this battle the Titans do two former Standard Oil divisions exxon's been winning lately Chevron CEO Mike worth is a competitive guy but exxon's really become very aggressive and it's working my money is on Exxon again now we'll Colgate well Colgate feel the heat of the extraordinary quarter that that club named Proctor and Gamble reported this morning I don't think so it'll take a well-financed activist campaign to wake this company up curiously though it's becoming evident that if Colgate doesn't deliver a good quarter you might very well get an activist to push up the push out maybe a big shake-up maybe do something with a pet business which used to be the best and now I regardless it also ran hey by the way we also get an important government number the personal consumption expenditures deflator that's a mouthful which the FED seems to see as the best way to measure inflation if it's too hot it might not matter what any of these companies have to report so keep your powder drive for lower prices mid day bottom line next week and the week after the only peers where we can expect a wholesale reshuffling of the Guard that's right eight weeks a year just a mad house you have your game plan and I think you know the drill so do the homework or let someone else help you but never ever fly blind into earnings season let's go to Jimmy in Florida Jimmy Jim Booyah from Florida and thanks for taking my call my friend of course man good to hear from you what's going on hey from the bottom of my heart I want to thank you for all of your help your recommendations and your expertise over the years oh thanks Jimmy thank you we sure are trying thank you appreciate it so much um I've recently taken a position in Pioneer ticker symbol pxd and Jim I'm just wondering should I buy more hold or sell Pioneers let's buy more PhD there for next week I think it's going to be good quarter uh Scott Sheffield is a total winner I think the Stock's worth north of 300 pxd is for me let's go to Nick in Pennsylvania Nick hi Jim how you doing thank you for taking my call of course dick what's happening I like to get your opinion on Ferrari I've owned it for a while and recently had a nice run-up this stock you know when it came public I was skeptical that was wrong this company is unbelievable and it's got a very high price hearings buildable but it's the best there is and I'm going to tell you to stay in it if it comes back down below 250 I think you can pull the trigger for more Timothy in Florida Timothy hey there Jim thanks for taking my call uh Booyah from Ocala Florida oh man I've been okay many times what's up yeah man I was calling for uh Motorola Solutions MSI I'm angry at myself I'm angry at myself Motorola Solutions has been a constant winner I don't know why I've avoided I have to ask them to come on because wow I just feel like I've left the last hundred points and I've not been able to help people with you got a real good one there and it's I think it's going hard James and Tennessee James yes James Jim Kramer yeah Jim Cramer big big fan of your show thank you about calling about AMC I I've been having it for a minute ever since before the pandemic right and it's been up and down but I'm still trying to keep it okay now the balance she's not that good Adam iron has done a great job saving the company but that doesn't necessarily make the stock a great buy I think you ought to be thinking about owning if you want entertainment this stock of Disney they don't report till May 10th but I do expect an ice I think Bob Iger should do some great things there it's a set it's a third quarter story not a second quarter story though but I'd rather see in dis next week marks the beginning of the earnings Onslaught where my wife hates me because I refuse to see her but you know I have priorities came out wrong I want you to make sure you do your homework oh man money tonight from RSV vaccine to the state of covert 19.
I got a lot to discuss with the CEO of modern and you don't want to miss it then we're wrapping up our series on 2021 IPO winners by taking a close look at the healthcare stocks that travels the others plus some miscellaneous some would say cats and dogs IPOs that pique our interest so foreign
Comments 0