저자: YTFinance진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
소피(SoFi) 주식은 CPI 호재로 반등했지만 여전히 약세 기사 입장이 있으며, 진행자는 3.34달러(유형장부가치) 부근까지 하락하면 추가 매수하겠다고 함. 학자금 상환 유예 종료는 이미 반영됐다는 견해도 언급. 팔란티어는 투자한 파스트 레이디우스(FSRD)의 파산으로 타격을 받았으나, 장기적으로 상업 부문 전환과 119억 달러 TAM을 근거로 6달러 이하 평균단가면 장기 보유 가치가 있다고 주장. 단기적으로는 거시 압력으로 추가 하락 가능성 언급.
다듬은 글
y's Sofi stock and palantir Technologies pltr stock we're going to start off talking about Sofi Technologies and how this particular author believes the Sofi stock price could fall in price and that right now is a good time to sell this company and I will be adding my rebuttal to this as we go on and analyze his particular very negative bearish article after that we're going to move on and particularly about how one of palantir's Investments have gone bankrupt and then from then on we're going to determine where the long-term price target for palantir is and if this particular forecast could be met regarding their future stock price prediction so if you want more updates on palantir or Sofi into today's stories right now the sofa stock price trades for 5.95 so the range of six dollars and eleven dollars last week if you've been paying attention to the stock price action of this stock you can see that the Sofi share price has moved higher and it has surged by around 19.5 percent a lot of this has to do with the overall Market rallying based off of very good news regarding inflation data so clearly if inflation data comes in good the overall stock market's going to rally and that would include Sofi Technologies however the author believes that this particular full-on rally has nothing to do or very little to do with Sofi Technologies themselves and this is not a time to buy this company according to him because he says that the fintech could fall further and it hasn't turned a corner yet now I would somewhat disagree with him I would say that the current company trades at a pretty good share price but I do want to say that the there is one particular price that you would want your average cost basis for this company at and clearly the lower the better but in this article I will agree with him on that point when we go to it but as of right now I think Sofi Technologies is a pretty good BET right now to buy it if you plan to hold it for the long term so I would disagree with him about him saying that you should sell the company the Sofi stock price rose with other speculative growth stocks because we got really good news from CPI data which is the Consumer Price Index which is showing signs of slowing inflation and another Catalyst for this company is that the student loan repayment moratorium is set to expire on December 31st so if inflation is lessening and we are approaching a catalyst of the student loan moratorium we could see the Sofi stock price surge even more than 19.5 percent which it's done recently so despite the recent sharp upward shift in the stock price this particular author is still bearish on this overall company and he wants to sell the company any High highlights two main reasons for this he says that the CPI data only came in positive one time this isn't to say that the inflation is actually getting under control yet and it's not enough to Pivot the fed's overall very hawkish stance on increasing interest rates so right now because we don't know he's saying to sell the stock but I would say that this isn't a opportunity to sell the stock if anything you would just hold this company because if it's a fundamentally good company and if you're not Overexposed to this company more than five percent there's no reason why you wouldn't hold on to this company particularly in regards to their long-term at Price appreciation and ability and forecasts to increase their stock price so I would disagree with him on that the second reason he gives is he believes that the student loan moratorium ending has already been priced into sofi's stock price mainly because management has already taken that assumption into consideration when forecasting their overall earnings and revenue so he says that that's already been taken into consideration and as of right now it's not going to move the stock price he also properly identifies that if the macroeconomic environment doesn't change and it continues to be very negative the shares of Sofi can go lower and I agree with him on that he says that one of the lowest prices that it could reach is around three dollars and 34 cents which is their tangible Book value and let me tell you if the stock price reaches 3.34 cents two things will happen the first thing that's gonna happen is I'm going to buy a load more shares because right now I have around a four percent allocation for my portfolio but if the stock price drops to 3.34 cents that's going to lower my overall allocation to this company to around two to three percent and then I'm gonna use the remaining percentages to get me up to five percent to buy this company because if it drops two or below 3.34 cents which is their tangible Book value I'm going to load the boat but he believes the company will fall to that particular price the next thing that's going to happen if the stock price Falls to that particular Target it would be that management I think will Implement a reverse stock split to where one share would be worth around 33 dollars and a 40 cents but overall I would say that would be good news because it allows us to buy this company at even a cheaper price point now will it go that low I'm not sure we're gonna have to see if the current macroeconomic continues to be negative but if we get positive CPI data and that inflation is becoming under control by the FED that would be a very good news for not only Sofi but the overall stock market next we're going to move on and talk about palantir Technologies and their pltr stock palantir Technologies is known for investing into very speculative companies through various deals or their Foundry for Builders program right now the pltr share price is 8.41 while analysts believe this company should be worth between five dollars and fifteen dollars many people depending on who you ask would say that the current stock price is overvalued but other professionals would say that it could be undervalued because it's not trading at its intrinsic value but for this story we're going to focus on their investment in fast radius ticker symbol fsrd which went public back in February via a SPAC merger palantir as a part of a deal invested around 20 million dollars into this company buying 2 million shares at 10 each but recently the company is going bankrupt which doesn't reflect very positively on palantir even though the pltr share price is up 2.96 percent the fsrd price has fallen around 47.79 as their announcement of them going bankrupt is still taking effect in the overall stock market but what does this say about palantir's long-term investment thesis well I'm glad you asked because over the long term this company still could be a shining star if you get it at a good average price and to me a good average price would be around or below six dollars per share the overall investment landscape has pressured palantir stock price to go lower and lower because as interest rates increase to get inflation under control many investors are liquidating the risky growth companies which would include palantir Technologies palantir is not the only technology company that has been struggling literally the entire NASDAQ essentially has been struggling which is very technology heavy and many other speculative technology growth stocks are also falling due to the macroeconomic environment but for investors who believe in the long-term potential of this company they may think that it's relatively cheap right now because it's trading at almost its cheapest that it's ever traded at or at least in the range according to these investors anything below ten dollars would be a good average cost basis to have for this company now I personally think in the short term the pltr shares will drop further in price due to macroeconomic pressure but over the long term I do think this company could be a good holding opportunity if you have an average cost basis of around six dollars and here is why I think that palantir's man management believes that it's well positioned to continuously transition more to a commercial data and analytics company rather than a government data and analytics company and I've said this so many times over the last two years that palantir's main bread and butter will become the commercial space and their commercial segment so this means that palantir is going to start pulling away more from government revenue and more toward commercial Revenue sources now I'd also want to point out that the growth hasn't been spectacular overseas in Europe I think the company could do a lot better trying to infiltrate the European market because right now they are extremely reliant on the United States Market but regardless palantir predicts that its overall data platform will be and can be used across all Industries giving them a total addressable Market of around 119 billion dollars now this doesn't mean that palantir will be able to gain this entire Market of 119 billion dollars so I'm not saying that their market cap could be one 119 million dollars I'm saying palantir will gain itself a slice of that 119 billion dollar industry which is rapidly growing additionally I'd like to point out that this bear market and negative macroeconomic environment that we are in right now will not last forever it could last for the next year the next two years the next five years or even the next decade which I highly doubt however eventually it will end and companies like palantir or other companies that have solid fundamentals will rise above the water as long as you have a cost basis that is somewhat realistic preferably below ten dollars and ideally around six dollars however in the long run this company still looks like it's going to do well it's growing their overall revenues pretty consistently and I'm excited to see what palantir can do in the future so with that being said I' videos like this one
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