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Ray Dalio & Peter Schiff | Calculating On A Market Crash in 2020 !!

Info Edge · 2019-11-23 · 유튜브 시청 111 · Board Views 7 · International

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Ray Dalio believes that 1937 is the most similar period to the one that we are in today the economy is tanking the markets are in a separate world from the rest of the economy and certainly has no relative bearing towards meeting expenses or the overall welfare for Americans on the home front anyway corruption is at all-time highs and the corrupt fed and corrupt Treasury are on a mission to do whatever it takes to keep the markets up to satisfy the elite candidate Trump for his re-election and are using all the resources and funds available from the US government the timing and sequence of events show clearly the corruption in 2018 the markets had the worst October November and worse December since the 2008 financial crisis Powell and the Fed did nothing for the markets but now because of the reelection of Trump they have repo injections 150 billion Treasury's purchase of 60 billion three interest cuts and the list goes on and on it is pathetic and all politically motivated they are using all available resources and funds from the US government to fund the corrupt Trump campaign it is very pathetic welcome to the Atlantis report in his most recent podcast Peter Schiff said something that seems somewhat perplexing on the surface he said that the current stock market rally isn't being driven by a strong economy it's actually being driven by a weak economy how can this be well the underlying economic weakness is what keeps the Federal Reserve in play and it's the feds loose monetary policy that's goosing this market the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its October FOMC meeting the Fed cut interest rates for the third time this year during that meeting but the committee gave some indication that it would likely pause future hikes the minutes indicated that the majority of the committee believed that monetary policy after the 25 basis point cut would be well calibrated to support moderate growth a strong labor market and inflation near its symmetric 2 percent objective and that it would continue as long as incoming information about the economy did not result in a material reassessment of the economic outlook but the committee gave no indication about what if material reassessment would actually in as Peter noted while the central bank did hint at a pause in cutting after the October meeting it effectively took future rate hikes off the table during the post meeting press conference Powell said the Fed would need to see a really significant and persistent move up in inflation before considering rate hikes that leaves just two options for the Fed in the near term all that's going to happen now the only two possibilities is that rates stay the same or that they get cut there really wasn't anything in the Fed minutes to change that view meanwhile the Fed is continuing not QE and expanding its balance sheet everybody is in favor of doing that but no one is actually in favor of calling it quantitative easing markets didn't respond much to the minutes because there really wasn't anything new it was kind of a yawn nothing really happened stocks bonds precious metals nor the dollar moved significantly after the minutes came out peter noted that even with the loose monetary policy gold remains below $1,500 one of the exciting things about the gold market is that even though we've had this significant rise in stocks we haven't seen a substantial drop in the price of gold I mean yes it had already dropped and it's back below $1,500 but it does not see significant weakness it's just kind of treading water as the stock market is going up meanwhile we do not see a lot of dollar strength with the rising stock markets either I would think that would be another troubling sign for the market that it's not really as strong as people think because if it was so strong foreigners would be buying into it they would be buying dollars if there was a strong economy that was driving this market if it was a good economy then a strong economy would be dollar positive the dollar would be going up with a strong economy but it's not because this rally has nothing to do with a strong economy in fact it's a weak economy that's more instrumental in driving the market higher because the weak economy keeps the Fed in play it keeps quantitative easing in play it holds interest rates going down peter said ultimately the dollar is going to implode I'm not even sure what's keeping it other than ignorance but at some point the ignorant are going to have some type of Epiphany at least a significant minority of the ignorant and you're going to start to see the dollar moving down in this podcast Peter also talked about the possibility of a phase one trade deal saying perhaps Trump should consider a phase one a trade deal he also delved into the problem of government spending citing a report that compared the expenditure during the first two and a half years of the Obama administration in first two and a half years of Trump spending is up 13 percent under Trump from his side according to The Wall Street Journal world's largest hedge fund raid a Leo using options to wager that either S&P 500 euro stocks 50 or both fall by March of 2020 The Wall Street Journal wrote a quote Bridgewater associates LP has bet more than 1 billion dollars that stock markets around the world will fall by March said people familiar with the matter the wager assembled over a span of months and executed by a handful of Wall Street firms including Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Morgan Stanley would pay off for the world's biggest hedge fund if either the S&P 500 or the euro stocks 50 or both declines some of the people said end of quote Ray Dalio bets 1.5 billion dollars that the stock market will crash following the largest stock market rally in the last 40 years Ray Dalio is betting that the stock market will crash a combination of actors have led to a market that only trends in one direction low corporate taxes and record low interest rates have translated into the most significant corporate buybacks in recorded history corporations are borrowing billions of dollars to fund share buybacks to increase their earnings per share numbers currently corporations in the S&P 500 are the largest purchasers of stock in the open market by far companies are buying back more stock and pouring more money into the market than any other group of investors by far the million-dollar question is whether or not this is sustainable some market participants would argue that this trend is unsustainable and at one point this non-stop corporate bid behind the markets will come to an end at the moment we have not seen any meaningful trade deal between the United States and China even though President Trump continues to argue and push the narrative that we are approaching one we have the Federal Reserve which is pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into the market and we have corporations who are spending hundreds of billions of dollars per year buy back shares in the open market with the largest hedge fund in the world Bridgewater associates betting on a significant market crash correction as the stock market ready for a pullback billions probably trillions of dollars our mouseclicked into the cyber economy in nanoseconds nobody knows when this charade blows up Japan proves that it can go on for decades that being said all it takes is something to the herd and the lights could go out this afternoon the odds are that the long decline will continue but there is a significant chance of systemic collapse nobody knows what those odds are food fuel bullion bullets and cash along with a backyard garden are not a bad idea don't go all in on any prediction at best predictions are just a guess from President to president the fraud continues in the form of printing trillions of counterfeit dollars but this fraud must come to an end and usually when the stock market hit the stratosphere signaled the end is near however Trump believed he is the cause of the market going so high and he will have to take also the credit for the crash even though he had nothing to do with it he was the Patsy that happens to be at the printing press visiting when the raid occurred free markets create bubbles waves of greedy optimism countered by a wave of pessimism and depression the government seeks to harness these markets and normalize them into a more or less a flat line of control and predictability not realizing that in the real world stasis is death life is the energy generated by the waves of up and down instilling those waves as the death of our economy the US market and its franchise markets around the world are so unstable that a slight decline could be catastrophic because of this the markets are being propped up daily by massive monetary operations over 100 billion dollars per night in short-term repos this money is being rolled over not new money plus over 60 billion dollars in monthly QE this is newly printed money without this recent fed market operation the markets would have collapsed massively over the past 30 days the dollar has crossed the rubicon and is now in the hyperbolic stage hockey stick graph I'm curious to see how they pull another rabbit out of their hat on this one maybe rate a few more countries and steal their oil and gold they've amazed me so far it couldn't be more obvious yet we danced merrily along just like the fools in Europe prior to August 1914 if you were reading about this in a history book knowing how it ends well how does it end because what we're living through is the intro chapter to a book mostly devoted to what comes after 2020 and we all know that most people skip the preliminaries when reading books it's not even that important we're the appetizer before the appetizer before the first course this is a cursed time we are so miserable because we are after all animals and we can sense danger no matter how hard we tried to smartphone reality away from our minds it's coming and it's going to take a lot of us with it the 2009 crisis should have been allowed to play out rather than Kallang it while the big shots guarded themselves technically the collapse will still happen but only the peons will suffer while the rich are safely in their bunkers all the nuances of fairness equality and freedom disappear when the rich are vulnerable they bend the rules and place themselves above the law quantitative easing was in essence a ten-year timeout for the rich typically people have to play through the difficulty but not the oligarchs just how do you prepare for a stock crash you can cash in take your money out of the banking system and trade it in for anything other than fiat currency not seeing any of that and Jamie Dimon would be on Dancing with the Stars telling people how good the banking system is right now and as long the club Fed keeps pumping and dumping stocks with some insider trading info on who they are pumping today you could make a killing but anybody else you'd be better off going to Vegas the real problem is the government pension system if the markets crashed those pensions go with them stock values have been kept artificially high to make it look on paper as if future pensions are all well covered but if stocks would they suddenly be valued only for their fair value like they eventually will it would become clear for everybody to see there are no pensions for the next retiring generation for long all have been used for public spending deep state government and pampering of boomers who are the biggest voting group this was the Atlantis report please like share and subscribe thank you

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