저자: VincentDesiano · 외국인
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엔비디아가 일봉상 장기 하락추세선 돌파 및 210달러 지지를 확인하며 기술적 상승 돌파가 나왔다고 분석. 같은 날 270달러 저항을 돌파 후 리테스트에 진입해 단기 옵션 매매로 약 200% 수익을 냈고, 수익 일부를 다음 주 280 콜로 롤오버. 테슬라·애플도 유사한 돌파 패턴을 보인다고 언급.
다듬은 글
yo what an insane day we saw on nvidia today up over 10 on the day and this entire move all stems back to the breakout that we saw on the daily chart last week on friday we talked about this in my sunday video talking about the technical breakout that was forming and how we should expect more upside into this week if the nasdaq continues its way higher nvidia broke over a key level at 270 made a very nice profit on my swing trade and also day traded it today using the break and retest we're going to go ahead and do some analysis on nvidia today show you guys why this occurred you guys can go ahead and check out my sunday video if you want to see what it looked like prior and how this sword is set up and we're going to really break down the trade that i took today on the break and re-test extremely clean trade and i want to go ahead and reiterate how awesome this break and retest strategy is because today it yielded me about a 200 percent winner so let's go ahead and jump into this vide make sure to come hang out in the pre-market live streams where we analyze all of these charts on a daily basis all right guys so we're gonna go ahead and start today's video on the daily chart on nvidia talk about what we saw last week on sunday i made this video talking about the technical breakout that was forming and why we should expect more upside into this week so here on the daily chart it was very clean guys a very nice 210 hold we held this about four times over the last two months since about since about january 24th we have held this 209 210 level and what we can see in the daily chart we had a very nice downtrend a downtrend creating somewhat of a bull flag now on thursday and friday of last week we broke above that downtrend a very clean breakout right here huge breakout on nvidia and when i saw that i knew that that would start to ignite some buying i knew that a technical breakout like this would start to go ahead and possibly create more upside if you consolidate for two months at a key level and break out of a potential downtrend a potential bull flag there is going to be some more pressure to the upside we saw that last week and you can see the day we saw today with some intense volume up about 10 so here on the daily chart the entire analysis starts here on the daily chart i can't stress enough how important it is to zoom out look at the dailies look at the key levels the 210 level the downtrend on the daily the breakout that occurred last week and that should give you some insight into what you could see in the following days huge breakout we've seen this across many stocks right tesla had the same downtrend guys right around here we talked about this last week tesla saw the exact exact same downtrend for about a month and a half held a key level and had a monster breakout nvidia same exact thing and then if we go to apple we saw the exact same thing on apple guys look at this downtrend on apple we have a downtrend forming forming forming big key level we hold it and look at the reaction on apple so this is the common theme right now we're getting breakouts on the daily charts and you want to be someone that is trying to spot these downtrend breakouts because there is a lot of momentum that seems to be coming into this market right now so nvidia that's the daily chart let's go and i'll go ahead and jump into my day trade today which was about a 200 winner which was right off a break and retest off a key level intraday all right guys so coming into today i was looking at a very key level right around 268 to 270 it wasn't an exact perfect level but it was a range that i've been watching on nvidia we can see this was previous support turned into resistance turned into resistance right here turned into resistance again and then earlier this week on tuesday and wednesday we started to reject off this 268 to sit 270 level so we knew coming into today if you zoom out and you look at the longer term time frames we knew coming into today that this zone right here was going to be a very difficult level to get through now i want to go ahead and share with you guys how i traded the breakout of this level intraday using the break and retest so if we zoom in here now on nvidia's chart i'm gonna break down some of the things that are on my screen the blue line that you're seeing is the nine ema on the one minute chart the green line is the 40 ema the gray line that you see is the view up and the red line you see is the 105 ema in this example i was really only looking at the 9 ema on the one minute chart this is something that i look at on a very frequent basis if you guys want to watch my a plus video this trade is an exact example of my a plus type of setup so we can see that early morning we pushed into that 269 we rejected that was sort of concerning to me right because we pushed right back into it we rejected it again i said to myself well this might just be another day that nvidia rejects this key resistance point and we start to slip back to the downside however intraday you guys can see nvidia held the green line very nicely now that green line the 40 ema on the one minute chart that is the nine ema on the five minute chart i don't have to change my time frames because i set up my ema's that way but if i do change the five minute chart you are going to see that the blue line is back to your 9 ema and look at where nvidia held here the 9 ema on the 5 minute chart on this pullback we held that ema perfectly so back on the one minute chart i noticed that we were starting to hold that 40 ema which is the nine ema on the five minute this is just a way for me not have to having to change time frames i just use different emas on the one minute chart to signify different time frames so we can see we pulled back to that ema right here that green line started to hold and we started to get a push higher now we got the breakthrough around 269 right here around 10 36 you guys can see we got a candle through that level what did nvidia do after holding after pushing through that level we went ahead and retested the previous highs all right here look at the strength that was showing here after we broke above retested those previous highs and what else was right there on nvidia the nine ema the nine ema was supporting nvidia to the upside it was holding a retest level of previous high of day and not only was that previous high a day that was the previous resistance on the four hour chart that was back from about a month ago these all all these things lined up beautifully right here and when i noticed that intraday i had to take my shot this was a trade that i had to take put some risk on i saw that we were holding the 9 ema holding the retest level intraday which was not only high a day but it was previous resistance on the four hour and daily chart that is something that is quite beautiful in my opinion and i had to go ahead and put some money on the table so right here guys straight from the discord chat where i post every single trade that i take or we trade them live right in the voice chat calling these trades as i take them real time here was my entry 10 38 i took five contracts of nvidia 270 calls for four dollars and nine cents 1038 was right here it was this candle right here as i saw nvidia pull back to the nine start to wick and hold that previous retest level the nine ema as well i wanted to go ahead and put risk on the table here my stop loss was below the nine if nvidia cracks below the nine cracks below my retest i get out of the trade pretty much unharmed it's a very easy level to go ahead and stop out at because we are up above the resistance trying to turn it into support if it fails to hold it at support i'm out of the trade i don't want to be in it however after my entry there was no signs of concern we continued to hold the nine continued to hold the retest level you guys can see right here here's the retest level earlier in the morning which was not only high a day but a previous resistance and we can see i went ahead and got in there so you can see i did start to scale out because this is what i like to do i like to take risk off the table so i started to take some off at 10 45 which was on this push took some off on this big push at 10 45 took some more off at 10 46 and then took some more off at 10 57 when we broke the 9 ema and i had one left and this is where all the money was made my runner was what made me the most money and this is what i love about scaling out because i scaled out of three i'm sorry four of my five contracts you can see right here sold two sold one and sold one i sold four out of my five and when i sell four out of my five with the profit i can sit back relax and let the last runner go until i see signs of weakness that last contract cannot affect me i can maybe lose a little bit give back some profits but there is no way that with one contract left i can go right on this position if i am actively managing it so i take my risk off the table after i get my profit and i let the runner ride so you can see i left one contract ride i went i had was still holding it at 11 45 and i finally took it off i finally took it off at 3 24.
i took my last contract off at 324 scaled out of nvidia for about 100 winner and i rolled it into some next week 280s i did this because it's basically a free contract all of the profits that i gained are back into the contract uh for next week i did this because if nvidia falls tomorrow my zero dte contract the one that i have left would be pretty much obliterated and i didn't want to expose myself to that type of risk so i rolled those profits into some next weeks looking for more upside in nvidia because i believe it is potentially there and i'm not going to be so affected if we get a little bit of a pullback on friday which is tomorrow so i sold the last one around 324 there really wasn't a technical reason as to why i just wanted to go ahead and reduce my risk into tomorrow what you guys can see for the rest of the day since my entry nvidia did not break below the 9 ema until around 11 48 so since my entry here you could have just rode that 9 ema ride the 9 all the way until it breaks and closes below this was the first time that nvidia broke and closed below at around 11 50.
i did take one off here when we broke below the nine that was my last and final exit there my four out of five exit right here around 11 58 11 57 but i wanted to let one ride because i knew nvidia could have more strength after a major breakout over 270. held that last runner the last runner was the one that is up over 200 percent the one that made me all of the money today i hope to see more upside on nvidia tomorrow we'll see what happens guys but basically to recap this trade it all stemmed from last week seeing that daily chart break out noticing that on the larger term time frames we were getting a big big technical breakout and trusting that we could see more momentum behind that break the trade today was just a textbook trade that i love to take the break and re-test the 9 ema hold if you guys go ahead and watch my a plus set up video which i'll put up on the screen right now it is basically everything that i talked about in that video and it all perfectly aligned here today hopefully this video gives you guys some insight on what i look for in a day trade what i look for in my options trades how i did it how i executed it how i scale out of the position to make sure my risk is smaller and smaller as the stock goes higher and higher and letting that last one ride to try to just rake in any additional profit that i can thank you guys for watching i hope these videos are helping you if they are press that like button if you want to come hang out in the discord chat where we trade live every single day we talk as a group every single day about what's going on in the market a very collective and educated group of people i couldn't be more happier with the people we have in there so shout out to everyone that's watching that is in the group thank you guys for everything you do on a daily basis within that community so with that said guys thank you so much and i hope to see you in the next one peace
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