저자: VincentDesiano · 외국인
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브로드컴이 구글 capex 호재로 227달러(일봉 20SMA) 돌파 후 리테스트를 확인, 그 레벨을 손절선으로 잡고 진입. 이후 230 부근까지 반등하며 일부 익절. 엔비디아는 주간 상승추세와 일봉 115달러 지지, 130달러 돌파 시 갭 메우기 가능성 및 강세 다이버전스를 근거로 장기 보유 관점 유지.
다듬은 글
what's up guys welcome back to the stew today we are going to go ahead and break down a Breakin retest on broadcom broadcom really strong overnight Google capex spending and uh breaking through a very key level the $227 level per share we got the break we got the retest the retest of 227 which was a daily 20 SMA as well so we got a morning pullback into that daily 20 into the major retest level that I was looking for and I had to just go ahead and trust it I sat in this position stayed patient for quite some time had to let the level play out let the trade go was down about 18% at the peak Peak draw down around 18% ended up being profitable of around 35 40% was down pretty nicely this morning I think at Peak today I was down around $88,000 not because of uh broadcom but because of other positions so sort of put myself into a stupid hole today but I was able to dig myself out of it with a quality setup an A+ setup and that's the one I want to go ahead and break down today so we're going to break down broadcom we're also going to take a little look at Nvidia man a little sneaky look at Nvidia don't call it a comeback Nvidia is starting to look pretty interesting here man and I would be paying attention to it I still have a pretty large position in Nvidia you guys know I'm an Nvidia lover I'm a delusional Nvidia bull you know that about me and uh I don't know man it's starting to look pretty good so let's go ahead and break down broadcom today break down Nvidia I hope that this video helps you guys let's jump into it Desi Vlogs man Desi Vlogs he's coming he's coming let's go ahead and jump into the charts let's get serious now um so broadcom we're taking a look at broadcom today and broadcom number one let's go ahead and make something very clear broadcom is the strongest semiconductor right now in my opinion it is trading like the leader the price action is great it's strong when the Market's strong it's stronger than the rest right it outperforms the rest of the semis it's a beast it's a very good one and it's pretty much filled the deep sea gap down it's almost there and I would not doubt that it does it by end the week if the market stays strong so broadcom beautiful trade beautiful stuff here's the levels that I was watching so once we got back over that 211 spot that we've been talking very much in detail about and holding that 50 SMA broadcom was in the driver seat for upside right we got back above this low back above this low and we reclaimed that low last week into this week that was key now the level that I was waiting to see if we can get a break and retest above was this rejection right here recently we got a rejection right here of the daily 20 SMA and that 227 level now 227 was was also a previous low here a previous rejection here right and we can see there was previous reactions at this 227 as well so I knew that broadcom after seeing that Smackdown of 227 we needed to get this to hold up right and get back above that 227 and if it could do that then these shorts right here would be underwater right the shorts under 227 would be underwater and we can go ahead and look for a break and retest long entry right that is exactly what I was looking for today and I'm going to go ahead and now break this down to the 1hour Chart when we look at this on the 1hour chart now we can very clearly see where that 227 comes from right here 227 daily 20 SMA we popped into it we got smacked right but we recovered we saw that recovery over the following days and yesterday we got a squeeze above that level now why did we squeeze above that level we squeezed above that level because of Google capex spending which was benefiting broadcom now today I was was basically just looking to see if broadcom sort of retraces off that squeeze and comes back down to this previous high right here does that turn into a new low right what else was perfect there it was right at the daily 20 and you guys know I love my daily smas so we saw that beautiful Confluence there break retest previous High holding as new lows daily 20 SMA and all it takes from that point guys is some confidence and some patience patience in your setup right and so let's go ahead and break this down on the 5minute chart you guys can see today all morning we basically just traded down into that 227 level so if I go ahead and put on the highlighted extended hours you can see Market open we tank straight to the downside now this is the beautiful beautiful thing that you will start noticing in the market if you actually are patient and you don't panic on every second of the day this is exactly what you want to happen into your level there there is nothing better than a panic downside into your level right if you actually trust your setup and actually trust your level this is exactly what you want right that is a be trap into demand that is a retail trap people thinking that broadcom's going to go back down they're not paying attention to where the level is and if you know your level and you know the retest and you know where it can hold that's where you can start to set up your risk your reward and your game plan so I saw broadcom breaking down to the downside and I started to go ahead and average into my position at these lows pretty much bottom ticking broadcom today with the group live so we started to average into our position here we trusted our 227 we trusted our daily 20 we knew that that could be a break and retest long and that is exactly what it was beautiful from that low from 227 to a peak of 237 that is a 10-point range that is a monster opportunity if you held throughout the whole thing I held it to a around this 233 234 point where it went ahead and took me from red to Green on the day and I went ahead and took the piece that I needed right I didn't need the whole thing I took my piece I took my profits and I got out however what made me make this profit what made me turn from red to Green on the day it was the understanding of my technical levels it was the understanding of my strategy and it was trusting it right previous High trusting that that could turn into a low Trust the break and retest and playing it with patience it took a lot of time right and you'll see that in the live trade today guys I have it live you'll watch it after this clip you're it's going to it took time it took time it took patience right you can see this Consolidated for about uh for about an hour right about an hour we were just chopping around chopping around not really doing much but we stayed above that level and everything that's above your level is noise this is all noise it's terrible hand writing absolutely terrible noise right this is all noise if it's above your level if it's above your stop and your stop is correct with the retest level then this is all noise that should not be paid attention to Until It Breaks that level you stay in the trade and you get rewarded sometimes right not all the time sometimes you're going to get your nice entry here right maybe a little risk reward something like this under the 20 rewarding back to the high of day right maybe that was your risk reward there sometimes you're going to see this where it trades through your stop and you get stopped out sometimes you're going to get that to move higher just like broadcom did today but what's the key here guys right what is the key thing to understand about this right now if you can set up these trades consistently off key levels meaningful levels that actually mean something right not just noise levels that are not inflection points in the market but real levels right and good risk rewards even if broadcom stops you out here today and maybe stops you out again tomorrow and stops you out again on Friday and on Monday right the one time it doesn't should pay for all of these losses and that my friends is risk reward and why it is so important now before we jump into the live trade the last thing I want to go ahead and point out just a little trading tip for you you have to stick to your stop loss there okay just a little trading tip to sort of add on to the the education here if you have your stop loss here and you're looking at a risk reward like this right if broadcom does go against you and you do not stop out right there that is when you see risk reward trading not work right that is when you do not become profitable because if you don't stop out here and you let this go here then this trade is no longer a good risk reward right it's worse and worse so a little tip and a little little must if you're going to set up these types of Trades and you're going to set up WS off these key demands or key supplies you need to stick to your stop if not it totally invalidates everything that you are trying to set up okay really beautiful trade today on broadcom break and retest key level I hope you saw how I found it and why I trusted it let's go ahead and roll the live recording I almost forgot before we jump into the live recording we have to go over Nvidia Nvidia today up 5.2% who would have guessed it right all the Bears everyone that's telling me I'm an idiot 5.2% today on Nvidia and it's looking much better so let's go ahead and do a quick breakdown on Nvidia and what I'm seeing here the weekly chart what a weekly candle we are seeing right now we can see right here on the weekly chart we have a low we have a low and that Weekly low has held very very clear that Weekly low around that 115 level strong strong Step Up around that 115 and that Weekly uptrending move now on top of that let's go ahead and draw at our levels which will go to our um actually know we'll just draw it on the weekly right here around that 115 we're going to have to drop down to the daily chart though but right here you can see that 115 which has been a very key daily chart demand I'll go into that right now on the daily chart you guys can see that we had a very clear 115 low some 115 lows here and just recently we had a very strong bid back above 115 aligning with that oh we don't want that aligning with that uptrend on the weekly chart right there a major Confluence right there right there right there right we can see that 115 lining up with that Weekly Trend this looks very interesting we still have that Gap to fill above we need to get over $130 per share in my opinion it's right around 129 to 130 is really going to be the key break we can see right here on the daily we have that very clear 130 to 129 Supply that has kept Nvidia lower if we can get above that I truly believe Nvidia will try to fill this Gap and that would be a fantastic move here to pay attention to now the last thing I want to go ahead and talk about right I'm not going to get into too much detail here guys you know I'm long Nvidia you know I'm going to stay in Long Nvidia you know my thesis obviously I'm looking for The Gap fill obviously I'm looking for the 115 hold I'm looking for the uptrend hold the weekly uptrend hold the last thing I'm going to go ahead and point out here guys is something that I spotted and I've seen some people talking about online and that my friends is a weekly or I'm sorry a bullish Divergence on The Daily on the daily chart we have a bullish Divergence and what is that what is a bullish Divergence this is when we see price make a lower low while the RSI makes a higher low this is something right here you you guys can see from back in July July 30th to August 5th right here we can see a lower low on price action on the RSI we have a higher low this bullish Divergence led to a 42% upside move on Nvidia in the following month this is the only other time I have seen Nvidia have this bullish Divergence and that is my friends right now okay right now you have a very similar read here's a low here's a lower low take a look at the RSI that's a higher low that is very interesting and you are starting to see some push out of this read could this result in a major push on Nvidia after that gap down and some bullish Divergence we shall see we shall see that's all I'm going to say remember this let's see what happen if you want to trade live with me every single day check out the link Down Below in the description and if you want to get more detail education and Hands-On education there is something that I'm building right now called the options Insider mentorship program if that's something that interests you hours and hours of content really hands-on experience from me I really want to make this something that is individualized and I can really help people and build relationships this is something I've been trying to do for a long time I've gotten a lot of interest from you guys and I think it's time that I take advantage of my skills and my knowledge and the niche that I've been able to build to try to help others so if that's something that does interest you check it out down below options Insider mentorship something that's coming it's not going to be anytime soon it's something I'm building it's going to take a lot of time to build a lot of hours of content creation but hopefully it's meaningful and hopefully it's valuable to some of you out there so I hope you enjoy it hope you enjoyed today's video if you did press that like button subscribe to the channel and enjoy the live trade yeah guys I'm going to take a little bit of broad com AC here stop loss under 227 in the 20 SMA I like the little curl at our 227 level I'm going to give it a small little shot I took this week just took five contracts looking to just scalp it off that low see if I can get a scalper off 227 today this week 230 calls broadcom looking good would Lov to see the broadcom curl actually play out here that would be a very nice broadcom curl can it get over vwap though uh es es 6050 failures though it's getting a little bit heavy up here on the ES yeah it's getting a little bit heavy up here on the es into the 602 Supply yeah broadcom still above 227 letting it be for now 20 SMA pullback is still definitely an interesting spot guys I just averaged in a little bit more on broadcom at that 227 level this broadcom hold is still very interesting to me but the market and ability to move higher is just making it a little bit not interesting like sort of just making me think it's going to ultimately fail at this point I think broadcom's at a Tipping Point here I think it could see this start to push if the market can stay relatively strong right here right off that 20 SMA 227 retest still w but if that market dies again here it's just not going to go anywhere unfortunately okay come on let's do it let's do it broadcom let this pullback be the Gap fill level need this 23135 break now nasdaq's right at the 50 SMA yeah we're getting now we see like now we're getting back towards Supply on markets which might make this be about all you're going to get okay TM still holding 67 meta what a pullback long Jesus watch meta off vwap you could try to get a pullback long off vwap on meta but nasdaq's now right at the 50 SMA and rejecting es is right back in the 6050 and rejecting that might be all you're going to get right there just flipped very nicely green on the day though so you know part of me is like oh do I just take that win G to try not to trade with the pinl here keep an eye on this 230 spot on broadcom I think that's really where you want to see get hold right here oh o o oh yep yep it is 230 yeah it's broadcom 230 all right I'm out half there beautiful nice man nice level nice patience just using the chart not using a Motion beautiful let's start profit taking and let's start letting this baby run come on now this should run I don't see why it wouldn't run to 234 here Nvidia is squeezing over that 200 too come come on now
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