저자: Dr.Stock · 외국인
요약 보기
영상은 11월 JOLTS 고용 지표 호조 이후 증시 반등을 기대하며, 내일 연준 금리 결정과 경제전망요약(SEP), 파월 발언을 앞둔 상황을 다룬다. 진행자는 SPY·QQQ·IWM 차트의 불확실성을 언급하고, 연준이 완화 신호를 주면 양자컴퓨팅 테마주(QBTS, QUBT, RGTI, IONQ)가 크게 오를 수 있다고 전망한다. 비트코인은 9만4천달러 지지 여부와 9만6천달러 돌파를 주목하고, 결과에 따라 변동성이 클 것으로 본다. 영상 말미에는 디스코드·아카데미 강의 홍보가 포함되어 있다.
다듬은 글
All right, everyone. I got my rally cap on and I am ready to go. I'm not just hiding a bad hair day after wearing this hat all darn day. Matter of fact, I should wear it all month long. The Jolts data coming in very favorably for us up above the 7.2 million that was expected, getting about 400,000 jobs more on top of that.
So, a surprise to the upside. The market rallied. Bitcoin absolutely loved it. And those quantum stocks, I'll tell you what, we're going to give an update on the quantum stocks in this video. All of it has that caveat of what Jerome P has to say. Do not do not undo the magic of the hat there, Jerome.
I'm telling you, stick with it today. So, let's pop this up here. We're going to talk about the charts that we see for SPY and we see the nervousness that's expected for today. Uh when we look at today's candle, tried rising up a little bit, sold down anyway. Well, what does the cues look like when we go to QQQ?
Uh actually we had a bit of a green candle closing up just a little bit about uh little bit above even and then the spy was a little bit below even and IWM actually was like hey you know maybe this isn't going to be so bad. Uh and so those underperforming small caps could start outperforming and that's why I want to be still at this point just hopeful for what we could see tomorrow.
Jerome Pal definitely has the power to help push those quantum stocks and those penny stocks that I've been covering on this channel up a bit higher from where they're at right now. So if we go to Bitcoin, we can see how much Bitcoin absolutely loved that strong jolts numbers that we got there and hopefully going to make that strong recovery.
Has to sit on top of 94,000. It hasn't so far. 96,000 is that next number to overcome if it's able to do it. And tomorrow 2 o'clock and 2:30 are the hours we want to be paying attention to when we get the Fed numbers for the interest rate decision along with the summary of economic projections to that tells us what to expect from GDP, what to expect from inflation data.
I should say what the Fed expects because they will tell you that they're not forecast. They're their own expectations of how they see uh the economy going, how inflation's going, how employment's going. and fingers crossed that they actually give us something worthwhile that they see things saying pretty much stable, but they're going to continue to soften those rates anyway.
That's exactly what we want. So, strong GDP numbers, low unemployment rate, low inflation numbers as well, and then also low federal funds rate. We want them to signal soft lining is what they're after and that they're going to continue to make those cuts to ease us into into 2026. So uh quantitative easing would be uh very bullish for markets even if it might be a little bit foolish long-term short-term we can absolutely enjoy that ride.
So uh just uh to give a quick commentary we could see the Q's recover very strongly tomorrow if their drone is on our side or it gives us the stuff to help feed the markets. Same thing for SPY, possibly pushing up to new all-time highs if we get that good commentary. And then same thing for IWM breaking finally this triple top that man we tried.
Just pushed a little higher today. Still sold off into the close. Anyway, all right into those quantum stocks. Let's take a look at an hourly chart and see how QBTS is shaping up here. We'll reset the view and we can see a re a consolidating pattern here between the resistances. I talked about the resistance back here uh the other day.
So this is Thursday going into Friday got rejected all the way down to the resistance that we see down here that I also have marked 2637 all the way up to 2918 and we're sort of trading sideways but more narrowly in between there. When this thing moves it's probably going to move big. Keep QBTS the ticker symbols in the background back here for you.
Matter of fact, I'll shift my chart this way so you can read it even better. There you go. QBTS and we're looking at the hourly chart. Qubt. What's that one looking like? A little bit more of a rough patch if you will, but it it's nice. It could have a nice cup and handle shape for us, especially we reject off 1372 again and then start to tail off.
Maybe it starts to pick up that way. Otherwise, we want to sit on top of 1372. We do have trouble up until 1397 is that resistance. Uh if we're able to push 1372, we should be able to take 1388 and 1397 with us if the bullishness remains on our side. Regetti, what does that look like? Very similar to what we had for QBT.
Again, a little bit more of a softening, catching some support off the 200 EMA. This is the 200 hour that we're looking at. So, RTI 1 hour chart is what we're looking at. And if we pop out to a daily basis, you can see that trouble that we're having right at that resistance line at 20 at 28.45. We got to get back up on top of it.
And we have a bullish crossover of 5 and 13. We're above the 200. We want to push back up above the 50 as well, which is just south of $30 per share. When we move over into ION Q, man, this thing tried tried tried to overtake the 5474. Once again, closed beneath it. We could were able to push just a little bit higher.
Watch for those bullish crossovers. This is one of my favorite charts that I have on here. We're above the 200, which is overall bullish. Getting the five and the 13 back over the 50, getting those bullish crossovers could continue that rally higher and should easily be able to show us $60 before we run into a lot of trouble to the upside.
Now mind you uh people get upset when all I talk about is bullishness and then maybe what if the other thing happens. Well love to be bullish and bring those opportunities because I do think that we do have a significant capacity for bullishness coming out of the Fed meeting. Now mind you it's also possible that we don't.
I think that we are on that teeter totter point of things and the market definitely expects that too. You could see it in the charts that I showed for the S&P 500, ETF, SPY, and then NASDAQ 100, QQQ, and then Russell 2000, IWM. Each one of us, each one of them showing a little bit of nervousness in their charts, just kind of tempering the expectations, kind of waiting to go either way.
And we're going to find that out in less than 24 hours. Matter of fact, uh less than uh 12 hours from right now. 12 hours, 5:00 a.m., no. So, we have a little bit more than that. So actually we have to go 3 hours back in time from where I'm when I'm recording right now is 21 hours. So it is less than 24 more than 12.
So about 21 hours from now until we get that those decisions. From the time that I record this video, uh it's been a very long day. I'll tell you what, dealing with middle schoolers, not the easiest thing in the world, especially as we are in between Thanksgiving break and Christmas break. It's a it's a pretty darn wild time to have eighth graders.
So uh putting this back up here for you. So what are we looking at then? If we happen to lose the 50, we'll probably sell back down a little bit further, but most likely we want to watch that market bias. So, if IWM sells off, if the Q's sell off, if SPY sells off, we want to watch out for where that support is.
If it sells, it might be pretty darn big. That's the one thing about the Fed with with Drum Pal coming out and speaking in the summer of economic projections. I think a lot of people expect it to be a very strong catalyst. Uh that it could move us in either direction in a big way. That is probably not going to be something that keeps us chopping sideways like we have been.
It could it could definitely happen. But I really think that there's going to be some real direction and volatility that comes along with it. And so we'll see how things open tomorrow. If we approach the Fed meeting high or I should say the conclusion of the Fed meeting with the interest rate decision, if we approach it high, most likely we'll drop low initially.
If we approach it low, then we'll probably pop off initially uh to the upside as we near that time. So, uh we could speculate on volatility all day long. It is going to be pretty wild as we get close to that 2:00 hour. The market always has its way of finding itself in just the most precarious position right before the biggest of catalysts.
And this is certainly the biggest near-term catalyst that we have is the Fed's interest rate decision with the summary of economic projections and Jerome Pal's commentary. If it does go bullish, I expect these quantum stocks to be able to catch that rocket ship and really um blast off and move us forward.
So, uh there's some trades that I'll have set up and firing away. I'll share those over at the Discord. The link's down in the description code word doctor if you sign up for Stockmo Academy courses. By the way, I know I just jumped all the links. So, down in the description for this video, you'll find a link for the Discord where you can see my transactions and the other panel experts over there as well with the offerings that they have.
Uh and then also the live trading. It's an entire ecosystem there dedicated to help you in your journey towards financial freedom building alpha in your portfolio. And if you want that course work through Stockmo Academy, trading using technicals, options, the new crypto course bundle discount if you bundle those courses together.
Code word doctor is going to save you $400 when you sign up for those courses. You could also check those out too. Otherwise, guys, we'll see you tomorrow morning as uh we'll see how we're approaching in the pre-market. Uh such a big day. I uh I'm pretty darn excited for it. I am Dr. stock doctor of education. Remember my friends that learning is hurting and I'll see you next video.
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