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JPMorgan Chase T3 2026 : $15,3 Mds de Bénéfice, Résultats Récords et Avertissement de Jamie Dimon !

Margin Finance · 2026-10-22 · 유튜브 시청 8 · Board Views 12 · International

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Alright, let's get started with our analysis of the quarterly results. Today, the spotlight is on JP Morgan Chase's Q3 2026. And let's be clear, analyzing these results isn't just about scrutinizing the accounts of a single bank. In fact, it's about taking the pulse of the entire global financial system.

This is an absolutely crucial indicator for the global economy, and understanding the mechanics behind these figures really gives you a head start on major macroeconomic trends to come. Hold on tight, we're diving straight into the deep end with a number that will make your head spin. $15.3 billion .

This is the net profit generated in a single quarter. To truly grasp what this represents, bring it down to a daily scale. Generating 15.3 billion in 90 days literally means generating approximately $170 million in pure profit every single day . This is a colossal performance which clearly shows that we are dealing with an economic machine running at full speed.

On the menu today, we take a look at the overall results, we closely examine their famous financial fortress, we dissect the divisions, we isolate the exceptional elements and we finish with what all this foreshadows for the future. Let's start right away with the overview. The key indicators are very strong right from the start.

We're talking about managed revenues reaching $50.9 billion, a jump of 8 % compared to last year. Net profit, meanwhile, climbed 6% to reach the famous $15.3 billion with earnings per share of $5.57. But take a second to think about it. 8% growth in the rather complex macroeconomic climate of late 2026.

Finding new levers of growth on such a scale, is real high-wire acting. This surge in profits proves that such a giant can still optimize its margins in an ultra-aggressive way. And when we separate these 50.9 billion in revenues, the dynamics become fascinating. Look closely. 27.1 billion comes from net interest income.

And 23.8 billion come from non-interest income. In contrast to that, we have 27.3 billion in expenses. Do you see it? Net interest income alone covers almost all of the bank's monumental expenses. This means in concrete terms that the remaining 23.8 billion in revenue acts almost like pure profit fuel .

That's truly the definition of a financial superpower. Let us now turn to the concept of the financial fortress. So, what makes this fortress so special? Well, it starts with what's called the CET1 ratio. Okay, it sounds like very technical jargon, but in fact, it's simply the ultimate measure of the bank's shield against financial shocks.

With a ratio of 13.9% they are far, very far above the minimum requirements imposed by regulators. They are deliberately maintaining this wall of capital in order to be able to withstand the worst-case catastrophic scenarios. That's really their first line of defense. But the figure that leaves one speechless is that of liquidity.

The total loss absorption capacity is 599 billion. All right. But add to that $1.5 trillion in cash and marketable securities. 1.5 trillion. You don't keep such a mountain of cash just to pay the regular bills. It's the ultimate weapon. This allows them to absorb cracks, to buy up struggling competitors for a pittance during a crisis, or to deploy funds the second others are paralyzed.

It's security incarnate. Alright, let's get into the engine. Performance by division. If you compare the major pillars of the bank, it tells a really interesting story. The investment bank is the undisputed heavyweight with 8.2 billion in profits. But it's on the side of return on equity, the famous ROE, that things become captivating.

Retail banking generates an impressive 36% and asset and wealth management peaks at 45 %. Why such a person? This is because managing assets requires far less tied-up capital than lending billions to businesses. It's an extremely effective business model . And if we zoom in on what really boosted this quarter, that's where things get crazy.

Equity market revenues jumped by 49%. It didn't come out of nowhere. This reflects enormous volatility in global markets. An uncertainty that traders were able to capture and transform into solid gold. Basically, they turn chaos into revenue. Alongside that, traditional investment banking and payments are doing the job with very solid growth of 15 and 14 %.

On the public side, digital adoption is not slowing down with 7% more active mobile customers. But the real highlight is that assets under management have crossed the monumental threshold of $5.2 trillion. The key takeaway is the $51 billion in net long-term inflows this quarter. Why is that? Because it's what we call sticky liquid.

This is money that will generate commissions for years to come. This shows that customers have blind faith, regardless of short-term noise in the markets. Let's now talk about the exceptional elements of this quarter. It's super important to make the distinction here. We have the 15.3 billion published and the 15.8 billion net profit excluding exceptional items.

Why is Wall Street scrutinizing this figure? Because they want to see how the main engine runs without the background noise of big, one-off accounting events. In short, without a specific one-off loss , the quarter would have brought in 15.8 billion. To understand the true health of operations, this is the figure we need to base our analysis on.

So, where does this 500 difference come from? Well, that stems from a $658 million loss related to investment securities. And this loss is located in the corporate division. This is a classic strategy of mega banks. The idea is to let the divisions that are in contact with customers shine through their performance and to use the corporate segment to absorb strategic costs or portfolio adjustments.

This allows us to keep our balance sheets clean for investors while absorbing shocks internally. We finish with the perspectives. Towards what? The outlook for the end of 2026 gives us our direction. Net interest income excluding market activity is expected to be around 97.2 billion with expenses of 108.6 billion.

But beware, the real macroeconomic data hidden here, is the net loss rate on credit cards, estimated at 3.2%. Concretely, it is the barometer of consumer health. A rate of 3.2% indicates the level of anticipated default among individuals. It really shows the precarious balance between sustained consumption and increasingly strained budgets.

And then there was that very noteworthy remark from CEO Jamie Dimon during the conference. He stated that he expected in the 4th quarter to escape the usual seasonal decline. Why has this simple sentence been dissected by everyone? Because it's an incredibly bullish signal. Predicting that we will defy the gravity of a standard seasonal cycle suggests that the company's momentum is exceptionally strong for this end of the year.

To conclude our analysis, here is the real question to keep in mind. The global interest rate environment is undergoing a major transformation. The challenge now is to see how these huge macroeconomic changes will test this fortress next year. Will this war machine be able to maintain 45% returns in wealth management in a completely different economic climate?

This is the whole challenge of this new financial era. We will be following this very closely.

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