저자: NickMarson · 외국인
요약 보기
뉴스 요약: 2021년 4월 기준 NIO(니오)는 약 38달러 부근에서 등락 중이며 36달러대 지지선을 세 차례 지켰다. 주요 주장: 진행자 Nick은 글로벌 반도체 부족으로 전기차 공급이 제한되고 있으며, 니오도 월 7,500대 수준 인도 가이던스를 갖고 있다고 설명했다. 4월 인도량은 7,000대 이상을 예상했다. 주가 배경: 최근 하락은 기술·성장주 이탈, 미중 긴장, 외국기업 책임법(HFCAA) 통과가 복합적으로 작용한 결과라고 봤다. 펀더멘털은 크게 바뀌지 않았다고 판단했다. 포지션 및 전망: 진행자는 현재 신규 매수는 하지 않지만 상당량을 장기 보유 중이며, 단기 급락 시 더 좋은 진입 기회가 올 수 있다고 봤다. 장기적으로 니오에 매우 강세적이다. 짐 크레이머 비판: 크레이머가 니오를 '중국판 테슬라는 테슬라만큼 좋지 않다'고 트윗한 것을 인용하며, 크레이머는 중국 EV처럼 치열한 격전지를 피하는 성향이라고 설명했다. 진행자는 중국 전기차 시장은 충분히 커서 여러 업체가 공존할 수 있다고 반박했다. 테슬라와의 관계: 테슬라는 더 성숙한 기업이지만 니오도 빠르게 따라가고 있으며, 배터리 교환 인프라 확장과 국영 인프라 파트너십이 강점이라고 평가했다. 니오는 10만 대 생산을 달성했고 배터리 교환 200만 회를 넘겼다. 일론 머스크 발언: 머스크는 중국의 저탄소 목표(2030년 이전 탄소 정점, 2060년 지속가능 에너지 경제)를 높이 평가했다. 중국이 향후 10년 내 세계 최대 경제가 될 것이라 낙관했고, 중국을 테슬라의 장기 최대 시장으로 꼽았다. 비교 및 이정표: 테슬라는 모델S 출시 후 약 3년 6개월 만에 10만 대를 달성했고, 니오는 ES8 출시 후 약 3년 미만에 같은 기록을 세웠다. 진행자는 니오가 이정표를 더 빠르게 달성하고 있다고 평가했다. 결론: 진행자는 니오와 테슬라가 중국 시장에서 함께 성장할 수 있다고 보며 두 회사 모두에 장기 강세 입장이다. 영상 설명란의 무료 주식 프로모션과 디스코드 홍보는 광고성 내용으로 판단했다.
다듬은 글
the past few weeks and months on the stock market has granted a chance to unveil the steadfast calculated and true long-term investors while weeding out these short-term chumps selling at losses we have seen broad market volatility in turmoil in virtually every single sector however the way forward appears to be increasingly clear in today's episode we're going to be taking a look at what some major names are saying regarding neo its place in the chinese landscape amongst powerhouse tesla and its future ability to survive and thrive the no need introduction elon musk and jim cramer have recently spoken up about neo let's see what they think and what neo's future projections look like my name is nick welcome to the show let's dive right in before we get to it today weeble has extended their promo for two free stocks worth up to one thousand eight hundred and fifty dollars for free you could trade before and after hours markets they are zero percent commission it really is a no lose situation the link is in my description you do not want to sleep on this one check out our discord channel it's completely free the link is in the description the chat is always popping off there's really great stuff in there and if you want to support the page check out our patreon page anyways ladies and gentlemen without further ado let's get right into it so let's start off by taking a look at neo's share price neo is currently sitting at 3812 down 54 cents on friday's trading period down 1.40 not too bad we do appear to be running into some fairly stable support around the 36 range having bounced off of it three times previously at this point we are seeing some broad eevee uncertainty in the markets currently and this is for a number of reasons firstly alongside the global chip shortage through no fault of their own electric vehicle automakers are delivery capped through strains and supply neo has guided for around 7 500 units per month moving into the summer months and there have been reports out of china suggesting that the semiconductor supply could be slightly mitigated in the latter half of the year we will have to keep a close eye on this as it develops a lot of you have been asking if i'm currently purchasing neoshares at this point and no i'm currently not purchasing at this point i do have a relatively large quantity of shares already i'm holding these for the long term with all of this broad market uncertainty the semiconductor shortage i would not be surprised in the least to see more quick single or double day dips which could present much more enticing entry points in the coming weeks you can follow all of my trades in real time on the discord channel i am as always though very bullish on the long-term prospects of this company i'm very interested to see how neo's april deliveries pan out for them we do know that the five-day facility pause due to semiconductor shortage led into the early working days of april however i do expect a figure above 7 000.
now this loss in valuation is also due to the movement out of tech and growth positions and the chinese us tensions compounded by the passing of the holding foreign companies accountable act these were the main drivers plummeting neo's valuations in the past month neo's fundamentals have virtually not changed however as i did state before we do appear to be leveling off quite nice i will have more on this later this weekend now before we get into what our boy elon musk stated regarding the chinese economy and neo let's first take a look at what the one and the only mad money host jim cramer has said about neo now we know how jim cramer feels about tesla once a skeptic no longer and now a true believer however cramer has stated that he famously avoids battlegrounds if you have followed my channel and the broad ev space for some time now you will be more than aware that there are fewer fierce battlegrounds than the electric vehicle industry currently and this is especially true when considering the chinese ev space now kramer is bullish on tesla not primarily because they are an electric vehicle company but more so because they are a tech company not unlike he states microsoft google or amazon now on the subject of strictly vehicle companies electric vehicle companies primarily positioned within the fierce battleground of china things are not so bullish for kramer in a tweet yesterday he states that quote neo the chinese tesla isn't as good as tesla which now is the chinese tesla so enough with neo it's had a great move but why trust the country's tesla unquote now we know jim cramer based on other eevee tweets in the past such as an x-punk tweet where he describes it as being untrustworthy and opaque is maybe we could say skeptical about the dominance of these young eevee companies we also know that he isn't a fan of battlegrounds well i hate to break a tia gym this stock market is a battleground nothing is a runaway neo is quickly emerging as victorious within the new young emerging ev companies based out of china the chinese market is an absolutely behemoth one that is only growing by the year month week and even day there is plenty and i mean plenty of room for healthy competition and a market share that can easily support many vehicle companies new and old now yes i do agree that tesla is a much more mature company with a larger market share superior margins and a powerhouse cash position that can be reckoned with but neo is following in its footsteps i think a lot of investors aren't fully grasping just how much neo has accomplished in such a short period of time when we zoom out we notice that we are still in the earliest of early days in the eevee race it has barely begun yes tesla has a monstrous lead but we are seeing other companies emerge i think with neo's increasing partnerships with state-owned infrastructure within china and the relentless expansion of the battery swapping infrastructure they too will become a staple in the chinese eevee battle now because neo isn't currently using third-party swapping infrastructure this is inherently going to make their worldwide expansion more strenuous than a plug and charge method using third parties however i do think that the battery swap could become the norm in the future of electric vehicles but that's a video for a different day now let's not forget that neo just recently produced its 100 thousandth of vehicle and has now performed over 2 million battery swaps more on this later it's clear that the technology and business plan is coming together and i do think neo and tesla are different enough that the two can perfectly co-exist and thrive simultaneously i am invested in both companies and am extremely bullish on their long-term futures we are also watching neo slowly deliver an increasingly larger proportion percentage of vehicles quarter over quarter when compared to tesla we've seen old jim pull this stunt before it's good for his viewership i don't think this is drastically affecting neo's share price and i think it can be boiled down to kramer not fully understanding the massive future and potential of neo and the fact that it can coexist with other large already established companies now let's move into the other main man of today's subject the dogecoin messiah the twitter king the meme lord elon musk now a bit of context we know china has been and will likely continue dominating the electric vehicle race for quite some time they were an early adopter of this technology and heavily pushed evs through subsidies seeing long-term economic benefits now to deliver a total of 100 000 vehicles is by no means an easy feat tesla crossed this feat selling over 100 000 model s's by q4 in only 2015 and we can see that the exponential growth curve really only then began to kick in for the company on april 7th neo announced that it had successfully produced its 100 000th vehicle off of their joint partnership hafee advanced manufacturing center's production line in response to this musk tweeted and one of my favorite tweets congrats to neo that is a tough milestone that tweet makes me so happy on so many levels china has become the crucial battleground country for ev companies let's listen into what musk thinks about the chinese space what attracts me most about china's five year plan is the tremendous commitment to a low carbon economy and ultimately to a sustainable energy economy china china's committed to reach peak carbon emissions sooner than 2030 and to be uh to have a sustainable energy economy by 2060.
these are very aggressive goals and i think they're great goals and i i wish more countries actually had these goals the chinese economy i think is going to do extremely well over the next decade and will become the biggest economy in the world and it's also committed to a sustainable energy future china i think long term will be uh our biggest market but both where we make the most number of vehicles and where we have the most number of customers i would like to strike an optimistic note and say that i'm very confident that the future in china is going to be great and that china is headed towards being the biggest economy in the world and a lot of prosperity in the future and this five-year plan is going to be a part of making that prosperity happen now it took tesla three years and six months after the model s's launch in june 2012 to reach that milestone and it took neo a similar yet slightly shorter duration at just under three years this is from when they first rolled out their es8 in may 2018.
now this shouldn't hold too much weight so much has changed in the ev landscape since 2015 and tesla really was breaking new ground however it is indeed a fantastic accomplishment for the company and a great milestone moreover i think they will break their next 100 000 in less than one year's time really showing the industry is taking off and neo and tesla's co-existing capabilities in the chinese landscape there really is just so much to love about both of these companies they are extremely fascinating right now and i think it's their future to win don't forget about the weevil promo two free stocks worth up to one thousand eight hundred and fifty dollars for free you could trade before and after hours markets the link is in my description they are zero percent commission you really do not want to sleep on this one check out our patreon page for more content under the radar stocks and exclusive access into our private discord channels this is where you can see all of my trades in real time and the chat is always popping off anyways gang i'll see you all in the next video take care happy trading cheers
Comments 0