저자: BrotherhoodFinance진행자—출연자소속미상,사회자본인발언중심 · 외국인
요약 보기
2021년 증시 대폭락 가능성을 강조하는 영상. 진행자는 마이클 버리와 로버트 기요사키가 대형 폭락을 경고했다고 소개하며, 버리는 과거 2008년 주택시장 폭락을 예측한 이력이 있다고 설명한다. 버리 관련 주장: 투기 열풍이 가상화폐나 밈주식 하락 시 소매투자자 손실을 키우고, 그 손실 규모가 국가 규모에 근접할 수 있다고 경고한다. 연준과 정부의 과도한 통화 발행이 주식시장 밸류에이션 거품을 키우고 있다고 본다. 기요사키 관련 주장: 역사상 가장 큰 폭락이 온다고 예상하며, 비트코인이 24,000달러까지 하락할 수 있다고 전망한다. 폭락 시 비트코인을 더 매수하겠다는 입장이다. 밸류에이션 지표: 야데니리서치 자료를 인용해 대형주 선행 PER은 22.2배로 높고 소형주는 20.8배로 상대적으로 낮다고 설명한다. 일반적 정상 범위를 13~18배로 보고, 20배 이상은 위험하다고 본다. 부채 지표: 신용거래(마진 부채) 증가 추세가 과거 고점 패턴과 유사하며, 미국 국가부채가 약 28조 달러 수준이라고 언급한다. 진행자 전략: 현금 비중을 40~50%로 유지하고, 소형주 투자를 선호하며 플랜트13, 드롭박스 등을 언급한다. 폭락 시 저가 매수 기회를 노린다는 입장이다. 단, 투자자문이 아니라고 고지한다.
다듬은 글
what's going on brothers the stock market 2021 will it crash charts data analytics we're going to be diving into all that today what are some of the top entrepreneurs and investors saying michael brewery warns of a 2021 stock market crash robert kiyosaki best-selling author of rich dad poor dad so there's going to be a biggest crash in history that's coming uh let's dive into all this information make sure to leave a like make sure to smash the thumbs up button sub to our youtube channel we just had a podcast that recently came out so if you want to dive into that check that out as well i appreciate you stopping by and let's dive into the information right now brother all right brother so now let's dive into what these entrepreneurs have to say let's look at some charts from yardani research the forward p e ratios the price to earning ratio so we can get an understanding of where the market levels currently are and let's dive in again what michael bury and robert kiyosaki has to say and why they have reputation or knowledgeable in the stock market so again let's dive into what michael bury so michael bury is an american investor hedge fund manager and he founded the hedge fund scion capital which he ran from 2000 until 2008 which was when obviously there was a huge crash in 2008 and uh he shored the housing market and he's very well known for being able to tell when the crashes are occurring so again um what did michael bury say and what is he saying about the crash so big short investor michael bury is worrying of an impending market crash losses the size of countries are coming michael bury the investor whose big bet against mortgage-backed securities prior to the great recession which i said was in 2008 the big short warned thursday that mothers of all crashes are coming and you also stated mainly that hedge fund uh manager michael bury fame for forecasting again the 2008 crisis warned that there's a big crash coming and what he's saying is that all hype speculation is doing is drawn in retail before the mother of all crashes when crypto falls from trains or meme stocks fall from tens of billions main street losses will approach the size of countries and he said history ain't changed and history is going to repeat itself and he notices that the fed and the government are printing all this massive amount of money which is flooding into the markets which is making these stock these current stock market valuations and over you know overpriced valuation and making them into a bigger bubble now guess what the other entrepreneur that agrees with him is robert kiyosaki robert kiyosaki obviously he's one of our favorite other entrepreneurs of brotherhood finance him and also grant cardone who is also very um you know influential in the real estate industry is an american businessman and author and a kiyosaki is the founder of rich global llc and the rich dad company a private financial education company that provides personal finance and business education to people through books and videos so what robert kiyosaki is also saying is he has predicted that the biggest crash in world history and he expects bitcoin to fall to the 24 000 price target now if that was to occur i would be accumulating more bitcoin and more satoshis at a lower price so i could accumulate more and get an increased return on investment when that asset price goes back up in price now what he tweeted was the biggest bubble in world history is getting bigger and the biggest crash world history is coming buying more gold and silver waiting for bitcoin to drop to 24k and again crashes are the best time to get rich again at brotherhood finance we always speak that the best time to get rich is to buy when the crashes occur so now let's dive into some charts let's dive into some some some data from yardani research and let's look at what i think is going to happen and let's look at some stats some charts and some statistics so we can get a very good overall understanding of where the markets currently are at okay blair so in this slide show presentation we're going to be looking at the ford p e ratios like i said before so the price to earning ratio so if you look right here in large capitalization companies is that 22.2 which is real rich it's a high valuation for the ford p e ratios and then if you look at the small capitalization companies it's a little rich but not out of control and it's at 20.8 so that's not as bad as the large capitalization companies which is one of the reasons why i'm investing in these smaller capitalization companies because they have less risk and they're not as overpriced as the other higher priced assets alright brother so the median forward p e ratio is uh you know currently it's around 20 and normally 13 to 18 is normal but 20 or higher is pretty risky and then if you look at marginal debt if you notice that this chart right here it shows you know throughout history obviously each peak fouled is usually followed by a huge dump and if you look at 2021 our marginal debt yearly change in billions of dollars has been substantially increased so we're you know obviously people are borrowing more and more money to invest in assets and obviously our government is printing more and more money making us a larger debt nation i think we're currently at around 28 trillion dollars in debt um so we are just you know at a massive amount of debt and we're going to eventually have to pay that money through taxes so again obviously like another chart right here marginal debt is through the roof and you know the the amount of money that we're putting is outrageous so if you look at smp 600 small capitalizations it's high but it's not as crazy as a large capitalization stock so that's why i've been investing in smaller cap companies like plant 13 and other companies like that like dropbox as well um again like i said right here 13 to 18 is a normal p e ratio 20 is a little substantially high so what do you do in this situation how should you be investing your money what are we doing our brother finance llc so what we're doing is i'm holding about 40 to 50 cash on hand and the reason i'm doing that is because when these stock markets do crash like robert kiyosaki was saying the best time to get rich is by buying the crashes so that's what i'm doing um so yeah brothers that's what i would recommend that's what i'm doing this is not financial advice but i like to provide a lot of value and i hope you found a lot of value out of this video if you have any comments leave those down below again make sure to follow us on instagram and tick tock at brotherhood finance i appreciate all the love and support and if there's any videos or any questions you have about how you prepare for this market crash if you agree or if you disagree with what's occurring in the economy right now make sure to leave that down below i appreciate all the love and support take it easy brothers peace you
Comments 0