저자: CathieWood · 외국인
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결론: 캐시 우드는 테슬라를 대량 매수했고, 자율주행 시장이 최대 7조 달러 규모가 될 것이라며 테슬라를 강하게 긍정하고 있다. [시장 대응] 나스닥이 약 4% 하락하고 테슬라도 크게 빠진 날 ARK는 테슬라를 대량 매수했다고 밝혔다. 거래 내역은 매일 공개하며, 테슬라 관련 보고서를 몇 주 내 발표할 예정이다. [테슬라 자율주행·데이터 우위] 라이드헤일링 서비스가 자율주행으로 가는 교량이 될 수 있다고 보며, 자율주행 실현 가능성이 높아졌다고 판단한다. 웨이모가 도로에서 자율주행을 하고 있어 기술 구현이 가능함이 입증됐다는 근거다. 테슬라는 구글 등 경쟁사를 합친 것보다 많은 데이터를 보유하고 있다고 주장한다(약 300억 마일 대 구글 약 3천만 마일). 현재 100만~150만 대 차량이 데이터를 수집 중이다. [시장 가치 전망] 자율주행 시장 규모를 약 7조 달러로 추정하며, 그중 미국이 3분의 1~절반(약 2.3~3.5조 달러)을 차지할 것으로 본다. 이 시장은 소수 독점 구조가 될 가능성이 높다고 말한다. 현재 인간 운전 라이드헤일링 기업들의 합산 시가총액은 약 2천억 달러 수준이다. [비트코인] 비트코인에 매우 긍정적이며, 최근 조정은 건강한 조정으로 본다. 인플레이션 헤지 수단으로 금보다 낫고, 재산 몰수에 대한 보험이라고 설명한다. 자산의 약 5%는 비트코인 같은 자산에 장기 배분할 것을 권한다. [2021 빅 아이디어] 디지털 지갑, 전기차·라이드헤일링, 드론, 긴 리드 시퀀싱, 데이터센터 재발명(인텔이 데이터센터 점유율 상당 부분을 잃을 것으로 전망), 가상 세계(게임·버추얼 리얼리티·증강현실), 우주 산업 등을 꼽았다.
다듬은 글
so what are you doing on a day like today are you are you buying i mean the nasdaq was down uh almost four percent today tesla was down significantly did you buy oh yes oh yes and we uh we publish our trades at the end of every day so uh you will see them the markets closed uh we bought a lot of tesla today across any strategy that holds tesla and we will be uh publishing in a few weeks a report updating our thoughts about tesla our excitement about the potential of a ride-hailing service as a bridge to an autonomous service and our high and the higher odds that autonomous is going to happen for tesla and part of the reason for the higher odds is now that waymo is on the road autonomously we know it can be done tesla has so much more data than google or anyone else or everyone else combined uh that we think it's in the poll position well it's interesting to you know it's funny kathy people you know expecting you to be on and they were sending us tons of questions you know this whole idea of the treasure trove of data that tesla has specifically you talk about it a lot you know do other people believe it do you are you seeing other you know people kind of uh put that out as kind of one of the fundamental reasons that you want to own tesla it's not just a car company right it's a technology company it's a battery company is that thesis of it being a data company getting a lot more recognition we do not think many analysts or investors are giving tesla credit for autonomous uh if they were the stock would be a lot higher what we do think they're giving tesla credit for increasingly is you know it's electric vehicle franchise and how far ahead of the competition tesla is when it comes to battery technology to artificial intelligence both in the form of a chip through the data collection we think 30 billion plus miles compared to google's 30 million ish miles and still over-the-air software updates to uh to change performance it's it's remarkable that more are not on board even the last one yet uh so i think its franchise has legs here so so how does that translate into market value for tesla how much more opportunity is there how much how much more opportunity is left for this run-up to continue well i'll give you a sense of uh and this is from our big ideas 2021.
you can get that on our site arc-invest.com we we believe that the autonomous market so the ride-hailing market but autonomous will be a seven trillion dollar revenue opportunity and right now the ride hailing companies human-driven ride-hailing their market cap probably cumulatively is around 200 billion globally if if we're right tesla is in the poll position in the united states to become the autonomous taxi network autonomous is going to submit to natural geographic monopolies so in the us our confidence in tesla has gone up the more we understand about uh autopilot and the more data uh it's one to one and a half million robots out there including my model 3 are collecting to inform its artificial intelligence engine so that's six to seven trillion dollar market we think is going to be more in the developed world ironically than in the um emerging markets in terms of value uh for reasons we can get into if you would like so the us could be a third to a half of that of that market so think about that three and a half trillion dollar opportunity and it's it's going to be more of a monopoly that i think uh most investors and analysts understand right now i got to get your thoughts on on bitcoin right now what are you thinking we just got noticed that that square about 170 million dollars worth of bitcoin in the most recent quarter um thoughts on bitcoin yes yes uh we're very positive on bitcoin again very happy to see a healthy correction here uh no market is straight up everyone should know that everyone should have some dry powder for for days like these and and i've been saying that for a while uh we see so many use cases of uh of bitcoin but probably the the most important use case is an insurance policy around the world against confiscation of wealth and that can happen in two ways it can happen with inflation bitcoin i think is the best hedge against inflation out there bar none better than gold and uh and it can happen outright i mean when you saw in the middle east uh uh prince uh take or sees his own relatives wealth uh you know everyone should know if you think there's a five percent chance of that happening you should put five percent of your portfolio long term into or your wealth into something like bitcoin you can carry the keys in your head across the border right you think about right in terms of what that that allows you hey your big ideas for 2021 we've been talking about it a lot off air ourselves 112 pages it's on the website what are the big ideas kathy that we need to be thinking about for 2021 well the new ideas you know big ideas are not just a one idea so we've uh we've updated our our deep learning digital wallets bitcoin uh ev ride hailing some of the things with our drone work uh our sequencing long read sequencing our new uh our new uh sections are called reinventing the data center we think intel is going to lose uh is going to lose most of its share in the data center and that's what's most profitable uh division uh virtual worlds so gaming uh uh and sports uh gambling uh gaming uh becoming moving away from just a pure gaming world but with platforms like unity and unreal networks like epic we're going to be bringing virtual worlds into everyday business of course virtual reality augmented reality we are getting to the point where that uh is viable uh orbital aerospace is another one the space race we're very excited by that
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