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다음 주 실적 시즌 핵심 기업(알파벳·메타·애플·마이크로소프트·아마존 등) 실적 발표를 앞두고 시장 전망을 제시. 비농업고용 지표가 약해 연준이 금리인하를 이어가길 기대. 금리 인하 사이클에서는 홈디포 등 매수 기회로 봄. AMD는 장기적으로 엔비디아 점유율을 일부 잠식할 것으로 보고 조정 시 매수 입장. 애플 아이폰16 우려는 과도하며 보유 권장. 아마존은 실적 부진 후에도 강세를 보였다고 언급하며 실적 발표 전 매수는 지양하고 이후 매수 권장.
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here my job is not just to entertain but to educate so call me at 1 1800 743 C twet C make or break that's how I always feel about this week coming up where we here from alphabet meta Apple Microsoft and Amazon these Tech Titans all reported the same time because they're trying to give me a heart attack only Invidia is missing thank you Jensen oh and let's throw in that we have the non-farm pay report on Friday where we you know what we want we actually want a weak High in number so the FED can keep cutting race put it all together and today's action feels kind of meaningless even as a d lost 260 points has be dip .3% but the NASDAQ game.
56% I mean to me it's just kind of staging for what's going to be a huge huge week that you must watch us so let's go straight to the game plan for next week Monday begins Ford motor and I very much want to see them have a clean quarter with no warranty issues and not too much loss on electric vehicles alth although that may be too much to ask for Tuesday we're going to hear from McDonald's now listen this you have we're probably going to get a full airing of the eoli situation which has taken a turn for the worst CDC saying the outbreak has grown there are 26 new cases it's too soon to tell how much damage being done to the brand of McDonald's now look I think there'll be a short-term overhang but remember McDonald's has been on fire ever since they announced that $5 meal deal when a lot of customers really got more excited Wall Street can stay can't stay away from the stock we know whether there's going to be a moth to the flame situation or whether it's just going to be solid for the rest of the year the Cru stocks will become they've probably been the strongest most reliable names in the entire entire consumer space Royal cribbin is the number one ier a large beaten race when they report on Tuesday they keep doing that by the way I also think that both Reddit and PayPal will do ter terrifically all three are hot stocks I bet all three will remain that way after the close the playoff attitude shrouds the report it's tense you need to be ready for the Ecstasy of a clean clean beat or I'll tell you it might be the agony of a forecast cut we're starting to see a few of those this week first year from Alit now the sock's been all over the map but rarely in a good way now we've trimmed our position in what you know is Google and for the travel trust because it's hard to trust too often alfit fails to impress I think it's great company okay but it's not a great stock because management often seems indifferent to the things that investors and analysts want to here they really need to talk also about breaking out Whos somehow they've lost a ton of money and they don't J they don't have enough cars not enough cars on the road and that has to change in order for them to show that they are not Niche which is pretty much how Elon Musk described them in his Tesla conference call hey you want some controversy just say you like AMD as we do for the child trust we know that AI is big big big big enough for the more than just one ship maker AMD won't catch Nvidia but it will do enough to take chunks of the business plus it has tremendous PC exposure right into the teeth of a big PC refresh cycle we're buying more AMD and any weakness for the trust because this is a long-term terrific story Chipotle reports too without Brian Nichols who moved in to try to fix Starbucks I think Chipotle will be fine I don't know if it can break out from the 50s the stock feels trapped doesn't it but the announcement of a permanent CEO could work some wonders here now Wednesday morning Eli Lily one of our best picks for the charal trust okay and that's had quite a run thanks to the gop-1 weight loss drugs this morning Ste broker CH put out a note that talks about the impact of these drugs on the food stocks I like pretty much everyone else all the analysts and the people in the food industry these guys say it's going to impact the food companies negatively well that means it's going to impact L positively when we walked around the floating platform in the Gulf of Mexico yesterday I peed at all the name plates on every machine I saw and the predominant one it was caterpillar which makes solar turbine we we call them turbines that would power a great deal of activity on the platform Chevon coo Mike worth reminded me that Jim umbleby the COO of caterpillar actually came from that division cat reports in the morning I think it could be very very strong I just don't know if it'll be strong enough to move what has been an incredibly hot stock if you take a look at that runup I wouldn't be surprised it actually gave up some of that it's up 30% for the year after the close we got two stores of the mag 7 we got meta platforms and Microsoft meta p a stellar quarter last time I think they can do it again because the whole ad Market seems to be going their way but Microsoft let's talk about how co-pilot may not be as strong as we thought somehow they have to put that story to rest or it's going to dog the stock until they come up with a new narrative here's one that makes a big splash every time it's called booking Holdings yes the old Price Line it it's been ages since this company didn't have a smashing quarter then everybody speculates about whether the consumer is still traveling at the exact same time door Dash reports again I think it be very strong and Tra should we some more the consumer then all sorts of Traders will start to extrapolate from the results to the fed's next move time honor dog bites man stuff don't let it get you Thursday can top Wednesday because that's when Apple and Amazon report now we've heard lots of negative chatter about the iPhone 16 to launch I think that the chatter is right I think people will rush to sell I say hold on we've seen this movie before Apple's had suboptimal launches before and the best strateg has been to own it don't trade it I bet it'll be right again now I want you to G yourself for a weak number everyone's expecting a weak number when you get a weak number guess what the stock goes down and then you have to buy be ready to do so Amazon's hard people truly just likeed the last quarter and the stock was hammered mercil SE because the company somehow got linked with Echoes of a weak consumer I don't buy it I think Amazon's doing very well of course a few weeks later from when they reported that So-Cal bad quarter the stock was right back to where it was trading before it reported the quarter and then it went higher still if you don't own any again I don't want you to buy it ahead you buy it after we get two drug stocks on Thursday too we got murk and Bristol Myers uh this grrip has been castigated as the wrong place to be when the FED cutting race and the headed fund Playbook says that I think both stocks though are too low but I also know that if we get a weak employment number on Friday Merck and Bristol Myers will be two stocks that you should not have bought so put that in a little retrospect speaking of employment on the first Friday of the month we get the nonfarm payroll report I can't stress how important this number is we have an upcoming fed meeting and we're now seeing cyal really missed their numbers because of higher interest rates a lot of them are rolling over but if employment stays as strong as it's been then we're going to hear that there will be no November rate cut we also accept the fact that the 10e yield is going to be at 4.5 by the end after Flor 4.2 I'm trying to notice there's a theme here I'm trying to steal you because I know there are people who want to sell but this is a Fed rate cut cycle you want to buy I told you this week was going to have a playoff atmosphere well you can see the stakes are incredibly High finally we hear from two biggest the biggest uh oil companies Chevron and Exon we just got back from a Chevron platform the go for Mexico I got to be impressed by the way chevron's been able to return a huge amount of capital uh in dividends and buyback you know what it's still lagger it's the worst performer in the group if not for that battle over Exxon with the with hexon for the h acquisition I think this s be quite a bit harder because of its great conventional flow Exon doesn't have the earnings power that Shevon has but it's got a lot more love right now I think people should switch their allegiance and like Chevron there's Mike worth knows what he's doing bottom line huge week huge opportunity just please remember the first move's been wrong all I'd say probably maybe almost a half the time since the earning season began wait the process numbers listen to the conference call before you pull the trigger and if you don't want to do the homework yourself well guess what the cmbc investing clubs happy to do the heavy lifting for you Bill and master Bill Jimbo Boston bill here giving you a gigantic quad booah my friend holy cow that is that's a serious Booyah I mean really one of one of the more serious ones this week how can I help you listen Jim I I'm really I I got some Home Depot and uh I'm a little bit concerned as far as is is the um Fed rate going to go down it seems to be very Vol right now also I'd like to know will uh any um Caris affect the um equipment at Home Depot cost well I'll tell you what's really interesting about Home Depot is since the Fed rate cut cycle this has been trading with the tenure that's how the stock go from 420 just 10 days ago down to 398 you know what that says it's being conditioned conditioned to be able to buy for the next move and I'm not worried about the problem that you mentioned I do feel that Home Depot is the right stock to buy into a Fed rate that cycle oh oh big big busy weeks like this one are coming up please remember to slow down process the numbers if you can listen to com is even better or of course just join the CDC investing Club where we'll listen to them around the clock way have money tonight UPS might be finally turning things around wouldn't that be great with that dividend and everything and the company keep delivering on results after this nice quarter I'm digging into yesterday's earnings then Decker's outdoor was the second best perform of the S&B today I'm taking a closer look at how the company's been putting its best foot forward when it reported good numbers ra bu of Sal so why are investors sending the stock out the pasture I'm hearing from the CEO of Tractor Supply
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