저자: NigelCroft · 외국인
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2017년 3월 16일 기술적 분석 영상으로, 미국 5개 종목(어도비·오라클·넷플릭스·사우스웨스턴에너지·엔비디아)을 차트 기반으로 점검하며 어도비·오라클·넷플릭스는 상승 가능성, 사우스웨스턴은 추가 관찰, 엔비디아는 단기 조정 가능성을 제시함. 어도비: 신고가권 돌파 후 횡보(플래그) 이탈 상승, RSI·MACD 반등으로 추가 상승 기대. 실적 발표 예정으로 단기 횡보 가능성 언급. 지지 20일선 약 119.9, 저항은 명확치 않음. 오라클: 장기 하락추세를 돌파한 뒤 조정을 마치고 상단 돌파 예상. 주봉 RSI 긍정, 저항 44.8 제시. 지지 42.55~42.25, 저항 43.26. 넷플릭스: 횡보 플래그를 상향 이탈, RSI·MACD 상승 전환. 저항 145.95, 지지 142.15 및 138.26 제시하며 추가 상승 기대. 사우스웨스턴에너지: 전일 상향 조정 후 이중바닥 가능성, 하락추세선 상단 접근. 20일선(약 19.92) 돌파 시 22~24 수준까지 상승 여지, 저항 21.76, 지지 18.5~18.56. 엔비디아: 횡보 지속, 20일 이동평균선(약 106.8 부근 50일선 언급)이 핵심 레벨. 이동평균선 지지 실패 시 94.7 테스트 가능성 제시, 저항 106.18·111.8, 지지 95.7·87.54. 출연자 전망: 기술적 관점에서 조건부 상승·조정 시나리오 제시. 영상은 교육 목적이며 투자 권유가 아니라고 고지.
다듬은 글
good morning I'm Nigel Croft and this is TA for Traders on Thursday the 16th of March in this video we'll be looking at five US Stocks Adobe where we've got results out this evening and we're expecting a consolidation Oracle and Netflix we expect further upside Southwestern Energy which has had an upgrade yesterday and now looks interesting in after yesterday's move and finally Nvidia where we see the shares are up at the resistance of the 20-day move in average and if they don't um get further upside from here further consolidation is expected so on Adobe let's make the screen big there we go um you can see that we we've pushed into new High Ground the shares did move into High Ground Consolidated a nice flag here found um hit the 20-day moving average which gave the support and now we're pushing again into High Ground we can see the RSI which had on the consolidation being starting to signify a bit of negative momentum is now broken to the upside and likewise the macd which had been indicative of downside momentum during that consolidation phase has now turned upwards again um so one would expect further move to the upside looking at the longer term picture um you can see that we're bouncing up at the upper Ballinger band um that's quite usual in a in a bullish looking chart uh RSI um slightly overbought but as as we saw back in 2014 it has actually been uh higher than this and the macd are also positive on the support resistances obviously we're in new High Ground so there's no resistance and the support would come in at the 20day as as we saw happen last week that's at 19 19 spot 9 and then the next supports at 119 spot1 on and on a do just to co just to clarify the figures are coming out after the market tonight and um so that' be quite interesting on Oracle we are expecting further upside similar to Adobe um bullish Trend it did break a long-term um downtrend uh with the move move up that we saw in February we've had another consolidation now and it's breaking to the upside one would expect with the RSI ticking back up um for the resistance to to be broken to the upside macd because of the consolidation similar to Adobe still indicative of slight downside momentum but that will turn around quickly on the weekly chart um you can see that if we do break there is further resistance on to the upside at the 44.8 level um macd positive RSI indicative on the weekly of positive momentum um if there were to be downside pressure you can see that the 20day 20 we Sorry moving average has just crossed the 50 we moving average that's the yellow crossing the blue which is a positive medium-term indicator so that would give gives support on the support resistance levels um the resistance from last week at 40 or sorry in the February 43.2 six and then the support um on any downside at the 20day initially 42.5 five and 4 2.25 Netflix um again looking positive had a nice flag sideways again broken to the upside RSI likewise broken to the upside macd all already turned um looks like it will break the the slight resistance we have and and uh go into new high ground on the longer term picture again you can see the slight resistance that we saw from the start of February um given the uh the size the upside momentum indicated by the RSI and the macd one wouldn't expect this to really be a significant factor and we expect further upside on the oh actually I've got a fe I'll just go back to um to Netflix because I don't think that was on the video sorry about that um so you can see the daily and you can see the break up here um and what I was talking about was this downtrend in the RSI is broken and on the weekly um you can see the minimum resistance there RSI very positive macd very positive on the um support resistances there's that slight resistance at 145 spot 95 and then the support coming in at 142 spot 15 and support coming in at 38 spot 26 moving on to Southwestern you can see that yesterday there was an upgrade in the stock and um that it's found it's made it f support uh potential double bottom here and the move up has taken it to the top of the downtrend the RSI is now indicative of positive momentum and the macd is turning so if it can actually get through the resistance seen at the 20day moving average one could see quite a quick uptick towards the next resistance which is seen at the 22 to 24 level on the weekly um you can see the that the downtrend has gone into slight overs so territory on the weekly macd still negative but if we do get a break on that daily above the 20day on The Daily then you can see that we will maybe go up to the 20 we moving average which is a resistance level at the 24 on the support resistances um as I said resistance at the 20-day moving average 19 spot 92 and then 21 .76 with support coming in at 18.5 n and 1856 finally moving on to Nvidia a a stock that um we follow most weeks you can see that the consolidation has continued the shares have just moved sideways we're now at a key level in that the 20day moving average is right on the spot level um but the RSI is starting to start show signs of slight positive momentum likewise the macd is um is turning around if it can break through the 20day in the next day or so the next resistance level will be at the 50 day which is 106.8 that would be a a key these These are the key tests for NVIDIA over the next few days if it can break through that then it could have confirmed this as a flag and then we could be seeing further upside but my inclination at the moment is that the moving averages will hold and that likely further downside could be expected and the key support about 94.7 will be tested um but it's interesting times in the video on the weekly um you can see that we're bouncing around the 20 we moving average and that's given the support did break slightly last week has held this week um again quite interesting the RSI there and the macd are starting to indicate negative momentum coming into this market so um you know be careful on the uh support resistances the resistance is at 10618 and 111 spot 8 with the support at 95.7 and at 87 spot 54 this has been ta for Traders on Thursday the 16th of March I hope you enjoyed the video I'll be back shortly with a another video on covering five UK stocks so please uh do look back um please remember that all the information in this video is for educational purposes only only and represents my own opinions and are not investment recommendations and to this end please do read the disclaimer thank you
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