저자: RadiesRajakulam · 외국인
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테슬라(TSLA)는 장기적으로 매우 긍정적이며 2,000달러(시점 불명, 보통 주식분할 전 가격 기준 표현으로 추정)까지 갈 수 있으나 단기 변동성은 큼 [핵심 주장 및 근거] 테슬라는 전기차뿐 아니라 태양광 지붕 등 에너지 사업을 하는 기업이며, CEO 일론 머스크의 혁신성이 강점이라고 평가 전기차 시장 지배력: 모델3는 미국에서 매출 기준 1위 판매 차량이라고 언급(단위 판매량 기준으로는 5위라고 정정) 태양광 지붕은 기존 패널이 아닌 지붕 일체형 태양전지라 미관이 좋고 전기요금 절감 효과가 있다고 소개 [주가 및 수치] 영상 당시 주가 약 287달러, 최고 약 380달러 부근까지 상승 후 하락한 상태 분기 초마다 10~12% 하락 후 분기 말 회복하는 반복 패턴이 있다고 관찰하며 변동성이 크다고 설명 배당 없음, PER 없음(수익성 미확정) [수익성 및 리스크] 수익성 부족이 가장 큰 문제, 2019년 1분기 적자 전망 언급, 2018년 4분기 흑자 달성 여부는 지켜봐야 한다고 함 수요는 폭발적이나 공급(생산) 능력이 부족한 상태 머스크의 트위터 발언(테슬라 비공개 전환 트윗, SEC 제소 및 벌금)은 투자 심리에 부정적 영향 가능 [향후 계획 및 전망] 상하이 공장 건설 중이며 중국 무역분쟁 영향은 변수 유럽 공장 및 러시아 공장 가능성 언급 저가형 모델Y(SUV) 및 3만5천달러 모델3로 대중화 기대 로드스터(0→100km/h 1.9초), 세미트럭, 픽업트럭 출시 계획 소개 향후 자율주행 차량을 이용한 승차공유 서비스 구상(우버·리프트 대비 우위 주장) [전망] 5년 내 2,000달러 도달은 어렵다고 보며, 10년·20년 내 가능성은 에너지 사업 확장 등 다각화 성공 여부에 달림 단기 목표 600~800달러 범위는 본인 견해로 제시(개인 의견이며 투자 권유 아님) 출연자는 장기 투자자로서 단기 변동성은 개의치 않는다고 밝힘
다듬은 글
today we're going to be talking about my favorite stock we're going to be looking at why I'm extremely bullish on it we're going to be looking at all the long-term factors the few short-term factors we can talk about the CEO and we're also going to talk about some bearish factors so without further ado let's get straight into tassel stock so if you've been following me on instagram you know that I'm super bullish on Tesla and there are a few reasons yes I may be a bit biased but I'm going to try and keep this video as unbiased as possible so to get straight into it we all know Tesla and if you don't that's fine Tesla is a automaker company as well as an energy company and people usually think that Tesla only makes cars although this is very untrue Tesla's business has gone through solar roofing energy they also do cars and that's a huge part of their business but it's not to say that they're not also an energy company Tesla CEO is the genius himself Elon Musk and Elon Musk he's a very controversial person in the sense that he's in the news a lot and usually they're for negative reasons and the CEO of Tesla Elon Musk he is a genius if you guys don't know about him he actually created PayPal he was doing stuff with SpaceX working with NASA obviously he's the CEO of Tesla he does stuff with neural link and he just has so many things going on he's just a genius people often refer to him as the real-life Tony Stark I don't know having made that comparison before it's just because he's a genius and everything he's doing is kind of modernizing the world he's in a sense making the world a better place a much better place super eco-friendly and just modernizing everything so yeah I'm like mentioned I am going to be talking about the positives as well as the negative so with the negatives like I said Elon Musk isn't the news for a lot of wrong reasons he has a twitter account which if you haven't been following he likes to tweet a lot and this often pisses off people such as the SEC in which he recently tweeted that Tesla was gonna go private and well he got sued and Tesla got sued they lost a decent amount of money but again Elon Musk he makes so much that for him that's probably pocket change but again this does scare off investors that are looking at Tesla for the long-term me personally I don't really mind because there's so many other factors that outweigh as Twitter but again this is something to look forward to looking at Tesla stock at the time I'm recording this they are trading at about two hundred and eighty seven dollars the high to 80s again the stock did see a huge drop-off that was training around the three hundred and sixty mark but again Tesla kind of has this pattern going on where every quarter at the start of the quarter they kind of dropped ten twelve percent and they ended up coming back at the end of the quarter and then just repeats as a cycle over and over again so yeah the stock is pretty volatile so if you're an investor that doesn't like volatility I would personally stay away but for me I'm okay with the volatility and again long term I see the stock doing very well and I'm gonna explain why and just to talk about the fundamentals really quickly Tesla unfortunately does not pay a dividend which for me I'm okay with that I'm not really heavily invested in dividend stocks at the moment I do plan on getting a bunch of dividend stocks in the future but at the moment I'm just not too into it and as it's only because I have so much other things going on also Tesla does not have a p/e ratio but this to me is kind of confusing because in the last shareholder meeting Elon Musk did actually say that Tesla is profitable and that they will be profitable in the coming future although recent news did say that Tesla will not be profitable in q1 of 2019 so they that's our biggest problem profitability and that's something that is holding them back and we're gonna talk about that in a bit so yeah just to finish that Elon Musk sec talk so what he did was he tweeted that funding is secured and they're going private at four hundred and twenty dollars and he did this during trading hours which obviously pissed off the SEC so the whole meaning behind this is he thought it would be funny to tweet for twenty because his girlfriend thought it would be funny cuz obviously for twenty represents weed and I don't know like to me that's kind of like wow like did you really have to do that but I don't know Elon waspy kind of does whatever he wants again he did get fined by the sec lost a bit of money again something to look out for it's Elon Musk will definitely tweet whatever he wants and he really does not care now there are a bunch of new rules I think people kind of double-check what he's doing and he stills did say that he was so - whatever he wants but again that's just something to look out for so let's just talk about Tesla real quick they are dominating the electric car business if you guys don't know about Tesla they have currently available a Model S a Model X and a Model 3 I'll pop up images below beautiful cars again they're all electric you save money on gas is better for the environment and this is why I believe Tesla will be huge down the road so obviously the world is changing and people are starting to realize that we are pretty much screwed if we don't fix up global warming and all of these environmental issues and Elon Musk is literally doing that electric cars is great for the earth great for the environment and great for the future so if you guys look at his competition there's no one really doing numbers like Tesla Tesla is the number one the model 3 is actually the number one car sold in the u.s.
so guys that's just crazy right there the model 3 is the number one selling car in the u.s. that just blows my mind and this is not like this is every single car so that's kind of crazy to me good and guys just to clear that up that is based on revenue not units sold by units sold they're actually fifth and their competitors are like the Toyota Camrys the Honda Accords the Honda Civic and if you want a car person you might know that everyone has at least owned one of those cars once in their life it's just like a typical starter car best on gas and whatever so yeah they're pretty much top competitors for cars something too worth noting is that the Model S is pretty old and one thing that I see what Tesla is they don't produce yearly cars there's no 2016 model 2017 mile 2018 model the beauty about this company is that that they can actually send out updates through the car just through the internet which is crazy to think of like think about it you don't get the new iOS update on your phone what you do instead is you update your car to me that just blow my mind like this is something you would see in like space or something super futuristic which Elon Musk is actually doing now so what is Tesla's problem if they're changing the world and there's a best-selling car why aren't they making billions well this is the problem they are not able to meet the demand the supply is not there yet the demand is boomed skyrocketing people want these cars the only problem is making these cars and actually profiting is super hard to do which Elan musk has repeatedly said throughout interviews tweets whatever you name it right the problem is they are not able to make cars and profit but they're trying to get around that like mentioned they did to their profitable q4 of 2018 so we're gonna see how that plays out another thing they're doing is they have a factory built in Shanghai ER they're actually sorry they're building it in Shanghai which is gonna be huge you guys obviously may have heard about the trade war personally I'm Canadian so I haven't been keeping up with that too too much I probably should be looking into it a bit more but um yeah the trade war will 100% be a huge factor but having a factory in Shanghai will be crazy Shanghai is known for making these crazy buildings in record time so if they can do something like that that would honestly be insane Asia will just have so much more Tesla's and one thing to remember is that China and I guess Asia do have some decent competitors for the electric car industry such as neo personally obviously Tesla overtaking neo but they just have to kind of push through and actually do it properly similarly we have seen iPhones not doing super well in Asia this could be something that happens with Tesla but honestly I don't see it happening because people just honor Elon Musk and they just trust Tesla because of Elon Musk so seeing that there is gonna be a factory built in China a European factory could be a huge one maybe in the future a Russian one again all these factories just dispersed to the world would this be so crazy considering that Europeans don't even have access to the Model T's yet guys so that just completely blows my mind as well the Europeans do not have model I believe in Europe you can actually now test-drive the Model T Brown thing you can actually own one yet but um yeah so that just puts the show guys like there are people waiting in line to just get these cars the only problem is we can't tesla can't get them out to the people and that's a huge concern because obviously when you have something when you have huge demand you just want to supply but right now that's just not the case with Tesla so this is a question well Tesla hit three thousand honestly I'm not too sure in five years I do not see it happening in ten years I still don't see it happening in 20 years potentially but this is not because of their auto industry I feel like this will because this will be because of their energy their whole energy production so if you guys don't know Tesla does have solar roofing which is pretty cool and the roofing actually looks very nice so it's not like some stupid solar panels it's actually solar cells integrated into solar roofing and it honestly looks so beautiful personally in the future when I do get my own nice little house I will probably look into getting that it just saves money on electricity and it just looks super nice so more future Tesla products let's talk about that real quick along with the solar roofing that's not something that has been really brought into play it they're still experimenting with it but other than that that's why I have some nice products coming out so if you guys aren't aware they have the model Y coming out which is supposed to be a affordable SUV because right now the only SUV that they have is the model app which is extremely expensive for the average person it's more of a high-end car and people in the middle class don't usually have them they don't tend to afford them which again Tesla isn't really made the tehsils right now they're not really affordable other than the model 3 so with future Tesla products there is supposed to be a thirty five thousand dollar model 3 which would literally be super affordable for everyone that's kind of like hitting the middle class maybe the low class maybe but the high low class lower middle class middle this the middle middle it's like everyone in the middle class should be able to afford that car which is going to be huge for Tesla but yeah the model y will be an SUV that is affordable for kind of like everyone it will be an SUV that works a lot better than the Model X as it is more affordable for me the most exciting Tesla product in the future is going to be the Tesla Roadster and the roaster is crazy it is the fastest production car made it goes from 0 to 60 miles per hour in 1.9 seconds or in Canada that's 0 to 100 kilometers and that's just crazy think about it right now 1.9 seconds this a 2 second so one two and that's zero 200 kilometers that's just crazy if you actually go online there are just crazy videos about seeing the test of launching the ropes are actually and it's such a beautiful car again it's electric crazy rain it's just a crazy car a hundred percent if I was to choose over a Lamborghini or a roadster I would choose a roadster and I can see people wanting to do this in the future like people like rappers and their music videos or something like that I can see it being very popularized another thing that Elon Musk did actually say was that the Tesla Roadster will be able to kind of lift off vertically which is kind of crazy something like in Back to the Future like a DeLorean again this is kind of crazy will this happen Elon must've promise that it will so I guess we'll just wait and find out Tesla is actually also divers flying and creating semi trucks and like pickup trucks and this is honestly crazy because like trucks transport trucks they're super on efficient they're like huge trucks that are super slow eat up gas but electric versions will 100% dominate the truck industry in my opinion the truck industry will actually benefit Tesla as well and that they can use it themselves to create and transport other cars and to help themselves with their own business another thing and then this is a kind of like a service it's not really a product that Tesla or Elon Musk's did kinda announced in the last shareholder meeting was that they're gonna have a ride-sharing service so if you are super into stocks you will know that uber and lyft are set to IPO personally I will not be partaking in both of them because of Tesla so Tesla right now they only make cars based on when they get ordered so they don't bulk make cars like I said they have a problem with supply so when people order cards that's when they make them but in the future this is what Elon Musk has in mind he wants to bulk make cars and set up a ride-sharing service similar to Hoover so this ride-sharing service will be cars that drive by themselves so unlike uber they don't have to pay the drivers the cars drive by themselves and they'll be able to literally be like a taxi without a driver this will be on autopilot and they'll be electric so there's no need for like gas and some of that so that these Tesla cars will just literally be money-making machines they will just be bringing in money whether people buy them or not so that's just something crazy like cars can't like there's no car company that can do that whether it's BMW or a Honda unless you're paying a driver that car is not bringing in money and guys this is gonna honestly be crazy in my opinion long-term for Tesla so I'm gonna try and keep this video not too long I know there's just so much to talk about this company so again we talked about a lot of bearish factors and a lot of bullish actors more so bullish so again do I see Tesla hitting that $2,000 mark maybe if they diversify they do a bunch of stuff with like energy they do like more car stuff maybe buy something like that I know the electric bike industry is something that is super competitive they could try and join that as well and kind of take over similar to Amazon's they just diversify so well if Tesla can do something like that with the auto maker industry with the trucking industry with energy industry I can see them doing super well 3000 I don't know maybe in like 25 years short term maybe in like five to ten years I can't see test like 600-800 and I don't know that's just my personal opinion for I wrap things up I just do want to say this is not financial advice and everything that you see on this channel is just my opinion you should always do your own research and make your own decisions so yeah just to wrap things up that's pretty much where I see Tesla long term I am a long-term investor and I don't really care about short-term volatility I hope this video kind of explained things for you guys and kind of gave you guys my opinion on it why I see Tesla doing well again make sure you do your own research and look things up and make sure you don't not take anything as investment advice this is just for entertainment and educational purposes only well yeah I hope you guys did enjoy this video leave a comment down below hit the bell subscribe like do all that stuff and let me know what you guys want to see next if you guys want to see another sock that I cover yeah let me know how you guys think of this video yeah we'll see you guys in the next video thank you
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