저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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결론: 석유는 헤지 차원에서 유지하고, 소매·외식·반려동물 관련 저평가 종목 중심으로 매수 관점을 유지한다. 에너지: 유가는 100달러 부근에서 유지될 것으로 보이며, 이 수준에서 석유 기업들이 큰 이익을 낸다. 배당을 받으면서 유럽 발 원자재 급등 위험에 대한 헤지로 석유 종목을 보유하는 전략을 제시했다. 중국 수요: 상하이 코로나 정상화와 베이징 대면 수업 재개를 근거로 중국 수요 회복 가능성을 언급했다. 중국 수요가 돌아오면 휘발유 가격이 크게 오르고 스타벅스를 사야 한다고 봤다. 홍콩 기술주는 4개월 최고치, 중국 증시는 5주 연속 상승을 언급했다. 스타벅스: 하워드 슐츠가 다음 단계 전략을 고민 중이며, 그에 반대로 베팅하는 것은 어리석다고 평가했다. 과거 경기 침체를 겪은 경영진이 회사를 이끌어야 한다고 주장했다. 아이스 커피 수요 급감 등 어려움도 언급했다. 외식: 다든(Darden)은 올ive Garden 외 사업도 양호하다고 평가했고, 주가는 당일 4% 상승했다. 일부 외식주에 대한 매도 의견도 존재한다고 언급했다. 반려동물: 체위(Chewy)에 대해 니덤(Needham)이 목표가 55달러 매수 의견을 냈고, 지난 분기 고객 이탈이 없었다고 평가했다. 팬데믹 이후 반려동물 가구 증가와 펫스마트 조사의 긍정적 수치를 근거로 제시했다. 기타 저평가 언급: 아마존은 프라임 관련 긍정적 기사 이후 저평가로 보고 있으며, 애플은 PER 21배 수준으로 싸다고 언급했다. 메타와 구글 관련 주식도 대차대조표 대비 저평가라고 주장했다. 리스크: 유럽 전쟁 등 원자재 급등 가능성과 중국 수요 회복 실패 가능성이 제시됐다.
다듬은 글
i had mark zuckerberg yes and we were in the metaverse and that stocks down a lot it doesn't reflect anything good about the metaverse i met with the google people lastly that stock doesn't reflect any of the balance sheet and things those stocks are cheap i mean amazingly those stocks are cheap apple has gotten to be say 21 times earnings even tony saginay has a piece today about how apple plus is good the bargains are the ones that i actually question whether amazon didn't get cheap there's a nice piece about amazon today yeah in the journal about prime yes maybe that's where the well i can't say the values but those stocks have come down mightily and they're very interesting to me right you think if you had to right now would you take off a long oil trade in favor of some fang um my chapel trust has an oil hedge and scott sheffield regardless the dean of the group came out last week and said listen it's going to hang around at 100.
and at 100 they make a fortune so i i think that what you want to do is you want to be in the oils that make a fortune and generally take that dividend but use that as a hedge against uh an exp a commodity explosion that we could have if something terrible happens in europe which is certainly a possibility right on the flip side though uh shanghai basically declaring victory over kovid we're going to resume in person school in beijing if china demand comes back jim well china damn man comes back then gasoline goes substantially higher and you buy starbucks and by the way nike everyone is ignoring nike what what a great story you have you have nike after the bell and if they come out and say you know what we're seeing advanced orders and people are back then you're going to say why did i why didn't i buy it at 111 when it was at 179 i mean look at fedex i mean fedex was another one that there are some stocks that are working so well that got so cheap and then there's a lot of other stocks that are just that came probably wow warby parker but to your broader point about china china is up five straight weeks hong kong tech four month high because that that has been working right macau uh x mccall let's see yeah macau band yeah uh but look i i actually think i know that howard schultz is trying to figure out the next next level of starbucks but you bet against howard schultz here you're a fool got 28 percent yield i know he's trying to figure out how to make it so that the workers are well compensated because that's in his nature he will pick a great ceo they will fix china and i am all in my chapel just has to get starbucks it's you know what's been great is to hear him turn away from third place hang out use your use the wi-fi and chill and and he's about throughput now right yeah it's about it's a chipotle-ish kind of let's get the people through and in and out and let's get you know they have to pivot so uh dramatically to iced coffee now uh iced coffee has fallen off a cliff at dutch bros uh but dutch bros is having its own problems i think howard is very involved uh do you know it was their anniversary they just came public at the end really just yesterday 30 years i actually just think that that may be the bargain and like the fact that my child just doesn't own it is just simply because i didn't expect china to turn like this china china had decent numbers listed yeah yeah uh by the way speaking of restaurants and consumer b of a bearish on eat a brinker a couple bearish uh notes on on restaurants garden reported last week i did a pro in column darden uh darden did pretty well there's a there's a there's a sell on darden today and the stock is up four percent yield uh had a lot of good things to say it wasn't just uh uh olive garden that was good i i i am convinced that when you you know here's another guy gene lee i mean he's a smart guy i mean some of these companies whether it be howard schultzwer they have seen downturns they're not worried because they've lived through downturns that's who you want to run companies that's who you want you don't want these new companies the unicorns they've never seen a downturn and just say hey you know what what do you do and they're like they're under the desk like i don't know i don't know where he went uh one name to watch today chewie uh needham goes to buy target 55 jim that's the highest since mid april that's that's companies made a nice recovery that last quarter was kind of business as usual uh there hasn't been they've not lost customers uh it's impressive you know there's there's a company that is that's paid its dues so to speak yeah and uh i can see maybe onion not my favorite but pets remain something that uh the the great the great what can i say the the great disease made it so you have pets i mean everybody's got a couple too one of the things that that they did some work for me uh at petsmart and they they said that listen the number of people have won who went to two was was the highest ever oh my god yeah i believe it yeah so i mean i think maybe you can take it
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