저자: JonasBuki · 외국인
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NVDA 차트 분석 중심 영상(2018년 9월 25일). 결론: 엔비디아는 주간 상승 패턴 속 단기 조정 중이며 단기 저항선을 넘지 못하면 하락 가능성. 엔비디아: 일봉상 $272 부근, 20일선·추세선 저항 확인. 주간 차트상 상승 패턴이 유효하며 $285~$286 돌파 시 상승 가능. 단, 20일선 이탈 시 추세선 붕괴 우려. AMD: 과거 $9에서 약 $32까지 급등 후 단기 과열로 보고 숏 포지션 보유. 월봉 추세선 확인하며 $15 목표 하락 전망. 테슬라: 최근 뉴스 영향이 커 변동성 우려, 200일선 지지 여부에 주목. 300 저항 돌파 전까지 관망 성향, 하락 시 $180 부근 재매수 고려. 마이크론: 단기 반등 시도 중이나 $40 이탈 시 $28 부근까지 하락 가능성. 과거 급등 후 급락 패턴 언급. 리스크 관리: 개별 포지션은 소액(전체 포트폴리오 10% 이내)으로 분산하라고 강조. 출연자 전망: 엔비디아 단기 조정 후 상승 여부 불확실, AMD·마이크론 단기 하락 전망, 테슬라 중립.
다듬은 글
hello traders Jonas Buki right right hand bottom l right guys let's get into the charts Nvidia a daily chart we had six point nine million on the day two dollars and seventy one cents up fifteen cents up after hours and this was actually one point zero two percent green on the day we did come into some support down in this area we pulled this out and then we also have the trend line here which is connecting these highs and that's where this one stalled out again right there so got above it it was looking good everyone is getting excited this thing was breaking out came right back in kissed the twenty bounced out came in bounced up again nice retraced up and to pry the seventy five of all right back down to the 50 ma we're getting the bounce what would you expect guys buy the dip mentality still alive and well to sixty even number 50 ma you get the slight bounce but now we're down and we're sideways stick a Fibonacci in here see what we're holding for anything yeah so we're at the 500 retrace on the fib we're holding the 50 percent and/or the 50 ma here so we're still above the 200 and the 50 still okay but man 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 up right back down chop chop a little bit of a pullback and a little bit of a bounce up to day nice little gap up held how the 382 level but could not get past a - 68 69 area or these high wicks on these two candles so and any of the gap fill up here right around there where are we - 72 area as well as the 273 12 which is the 20 ma so you have great resistance up here made a high lower high kind of watching that as well but let's see what happens with this one and video you know stock of the year last year going up just pull this thing back a little more though so we had this trendline too and that's exactly what's going on here look at that J's can't get much perfect than that every time he gets below right back up gets below right back up gets below right back up this one never even confirm right back up 200 ma I still think is your target let's see what happens guys so we came up a little bit high came back so if we can't get above this 20 MA and continue going I think the next wave will be down and we'll be kissing down in this area right here so just be careful with NVIDIA guys volume was okay seven million traded you can see it here I think they had earnings back in this area then slowly drifts and I'm surprised we're still pulling back so that's the big trend line though right here guys that's the one to look out if you want higher prices it has to go then you have this lower trend line which has been pretty much the line in the stand for this one every time it hits it goes right back up that starts to crack you know because we made a low higher low higher low higher low higher low high or low that start if that starts to go away and we will be trending lower - unbelievable it's cuz of the weekly on this one weekly Wow that's pretty incredible but that's that's a trend line right here that's the big one let's see what happens but even though the weekly we're up and we're sideways it's pretty good bullish pattern guys so look to do a breakout around the 285 those six area let's see what happens one two three four five week sideways into a into the 20ma into this trendline here getting a slight bounce so let's see if it continues to bounce or do we slip into Friday and get below the 20ma on the weekly so in video so pretty good on let's see what happens in the next couple of days see if we could catch a bid and then the overall markets move up with it - so mark has been pretty buoyant light volume just crying and higher what else would you expect AMD AMD what Abby's guys come off of a bullish pattern let's go back to that so at nine bucks guys this thing takes off its pulls back starts rolling we start adding short our average price is right around 24 bucks we're getting roasted but I don't have a huge huge position so I'm okay with that but I'm following this on the monthly guys just like TL ry just like all of them this was the big trend line here let's see is it still right there yeah it's getting there this is the monthly though guys so that's how I'm playing this nice and slow and we'll see what happens you know we showed this one a couple times back in here we got paid went back up we showed it again now we added we got we got handed to us pretty good but again if you keep these positions small even a thousand shares you're not gonna get killed I'm down 10 grand 12 grand 20 grand 30 grand what the heck's the difference the TLR why we cleaned up on that one a couple the other trades you saw that I posted on stock - its we're clean and up or at least I'm cleaning up so but here this is the next area where you wouldn't want to get interested if you take a bigger Fibonacci I'm gonna take it from the low to this high here right into the 7500 I mean that's the last line of defense right here so in this line here so we're gonna see in the next week or so if this is gonna stay buoyant or if this thing is gonna come right back in and and possibly close below this area again I got nothing to hide here guys I'm short this one I got killed in it and I'm gonna hold on to it because this one's gonna click and come right back down right now you're going from 9 bucks to 32 in four months it's time this thing's a high-flyer it will be coming down so my members I don't know too many people took this one this is a rough one but this is great consolidation on the monthly it finally took off and we'll see what happens oh wow we shorted here we shorted here we shorted I believe it was that 20 I would at the look so we got this one for at least six seven bucks overall so even if I'm upside down on this one all these other trades made up for it it's not that big of a deal for me at least I don't know that's how I trade guys I just keep getting in positions keep trading I'm gonna hold onto this one because price target right now is around 15 bucks this thing comes back in I'll get paid and we'll be done just like TLR why it's getting roasted on that one came back in got paid big on that one so right now guys you're into good resistance up in this area let's see what happens I mean if you're in this thing long from 9 bucks you gotta be taking some off the table up here period next level might be around 42 if it continues higher big volumes still continuing on this one let's go back to the daily we did have 118 million on the day so we're at we're cranking not not as good as it was back here I mean where we were pushing 290 million so 113 million is pretty light this is a bullish pattern though we're above that all the moving averages a little bit stretched but it is you know until we get above that 34 area and continue rolling I still believe this one's gonna come crashing down it's just too far too fast it needs to gradually go up in my opinion and yeah I'm short what are you gonna do life will go on just another trade guys another trade using money management and that's all you really have to do big deal this thing goes to zero I'm still not gonna get killed those couple trays I had in the last couple of weeks where we're frickin phenomenal so you know as long as you're training as long as you're not in one position all-in on this one you're fine be in 50 positions small no more than ten percent of your total portfolio that's what I teach my members you'll be okay in one these yeah we're getting roasted don't get me wrong but this thing comes down it's gonna be lights out and we're gonna be down here at fifteen bucks again it's AMD remember that it's AMD finally they'll gosh I wish you know I saw this one right here it was tempting and you know what I just well now of course after the fact it's easy to see but it's okay guys everything's gonna be fine like Tesla short of that one plenty of times got killed plenty of times held on made money gosh you know held it the holy AMD polls you're getting killed bookie I'm getting beat down a little bit a little bit on this but that's okay just like Tesla shorted here shorted here short I think we took this short here you know I bought the shorted calls to one of the best trading stocks ever ever hundred point moves up and down how don't you trade this one everyone's holding on to it so Tesla it's bounced off this area here let's see this is more short-term you got the FIB level you know I'm gonna take it down to here now so you made the new low down in this area so hitting the 3/8 to retrace still below the 20 or the 50 and the 200m a little bit sideways so but this isn't you know a little bit news driven lately I'd most likely stay away from it if it continues to go higher well short that continues to go lower we'll be looking for a long right now not too much to do needs to get over to 300 area and these moving averages to continue higher that's gonna be the big area resistance then you have the you know the hype of it here you have gap-fill here you have gap fill their gap window so a lot of resistance going up and if this thing does turn around star head and down let me pull this a little more mm that's the big area down in here see if I can get that in there yeah look at that look at that try night boom boom and make a gap below it you know they don't want to deal with the gap a blow that day and the gap it back above and keep it going so right now it's a little bit in the weaker position but do they run this thing up into our earnings who knows maybe Elin comes out smokes another Dube and tells everybody's gonna be ok he's going to 420 you know 420 that's the that's the yeah the hashtag marijuana you know or 20 or whatever anyways it was a dollar thirty one up 68 cents down after hours 4 million on the day volumes light so let's see what this gives us nothing for me to do at least weekly chart I'm still holding this area here too and that was the other reason to looking at 200 ma 200 mm a big trend line went right down held it right back up so if this thing starts to slip again 50 ma starts to curl down this thing too damn well easily click and boom right back down this will be the second time it breaches this level this time will be the third it hits it again it's going to get a little bit weaker so just remember that but Tesla guys greatest trading vehicle ever 200 100 100 100 hundred 100 100 100 how many 100 point swings 20 in a row over here - there was more over here look at these swings boom boom bow so one two three four five six seven eight nine ten eleven twelve thirteen fourteen fifteen sixteen at least sixteen fifty point swings if not more gosh can't ask for anything better than that so right now we are just watching this one again if it goes up lad it comes back in will what will look to not add if it goes back up well short if it comes back down I love this 180 area again down here then we'll buy and go long again so right now no position I am completely out of that and I'm waiting on waiting on a setup basically let's go to MU I'm you just can't get it going guys we were sure we covered went back off we were gonna do it again and then we just didn't do it came back down nicely here we didn't get all that forty bucks but we did get a couple bucks we'll take that any time of the day now let's go in sideways a little bit up a tail here so that's something to watch if you're trying to go wrong if it gets below that tail at forty seventy then it's time to get out because then we'll definitely be going towards the 28 bucks section so we have this low pivot here there are 3801 let's take this one out pick that out I see something on this one now look at that though I don't like that it's gone through price right there so hit that one bounces up let's take this retrace ounce that's more of a short-term well we could do a short-term retrace here too as well so we take it from here bring it to the top you have two to five oh three eight two so you have a lot more to go you know go up by you're below the 20 in the 50 a little bit weak you're still above the 200 so it's an old case stance if we start dribbling down here then it's gonna get weaker we surpassed this little low pivot here right about 37 81 then we're most likely going to be going to the 200 moving average right in here the to hundreds right at 28:54 so it's in the pictures guys that's a weekly chart let's go to back to the daily daily I mean we get this we get the retraced into 500 if we go image more to short-term and then one thing I don't like about this one either now let's go here we made this high on double top and then BOOM you know lower we're not really taking those out we got to get above this and definitely above that if you want higher prices if we can't get above the 53 66 area then we're just gonna probably come dumb down even if we get close to it guys so right now we're below the AMAs weak stance on the daily let's see what it gives us I mean we're holding this area this area no next big one is 30 excuse me 3781 or this low pivot then you have a gap fill here two on 34 15 so now looking pretty firm you maybe get some news maybe a buyback maybe maybe a buyout who knows how the guy do maybe enough great even you know someone's got to upgrade this thing Sam you man Sam you so all right now okay let's see if it holds these areas if it does not 40 74 and then thirty eight bucks will be the key areas if they don't hold then we'll definitely be going towards that 35 30 to 50 and a thirty dollar area remember guys it was mu rock-and-roll we're gonna go over one more TR I truly truly ray o TL ry tell ray or something like that look at this this was epic this was a dry ships moment guys everyone who bought here held on to it they're all selling here when they could have sold up here around the 295 this was a classic pump and dump we cleaned up on this one guys we were getting a hack beat out of us but I came back in just like I thought when you start getting stretched from the 20ma on the daily weekly everything else I don't even think the monthly will show on this one yes straight up like a straight up straight down my gosh that was epic epic short epic getting killed day later boom in the money day later we're cover and we're done without that you couldn't you couldn't ask for anything better than that guys if this thing comes back down maybe maybe right here 43 bucks I still like this one down here at 35 66 if it got down there I don't know if I'll do a buyer of this one this could be it for this pump and dump bet man unbeli alright guys that's going to be it for this video thanks again for coming by watching it I really do appreciate everybody who's part of smokey calm don't forget to subscribe to my video and don't forget to like the video as well I really do appreciate it but again thanks again for stopping by god bless see one charts
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