저자: KenFisher · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 집 매입이 좋은 투자인지는 일반 규칙으로 말할 수 없고, 사람·집·지역·향후 상황에 따라 달라진다. 주장 1: 집은 자가 거주용으로 소유하는 것 자체는 괜찮지만, 투자로 볼 거라면 모든 비용을 포함해 평가해야 한다. 주장 2: 사람들은 보통 집값 상승분만 보고 수익을 판단하는데, 이는 이자 비용, 재산세, 유지보수, 공과금 등 누적 비용을 빠뜨린 잘못된 계산이다. 주장 3: 지역에 따라 집의 수익률 편차가 매우 커서 전국적으로 일괄 적용 가능한 법칙은 없다. 주장 4: 집을 팔기 전까지는 실제 가치를 정확히 알 수 없고, Zillow 같은 추정치는 참고용일 뿐이다. 주장 5: 집을 사서 수리해 되팔아 이익을 내는 것은 실력이 있는 사람에게만 유효하며, 수리가 실질적 가치 상승인지 개인 취향 지출인지 구분해야 한다. 주장 6: 집 투자의 결과는 단순 증권 투자와 비교해 더 나았을 수도, 못했을 수도 있으며 역사적으로도 나라 안에서 편차가 컸다. 출연자 전망: 구체적인 가격 방향이나 목표가, 기간에 대한 예측은 제시되지 않았다. 리스크: 누적 보유비용 과소평가, 자산 간 기회비용 무시, 개인 사정 변화에 따른 불확실성.
다듬은 글
in this coveted year of 2020 home sales have been booming and a question that keeps popping up is is buying a house a good investment now that's a little bit like saying is getting married a good idea it depends a lot on you and it depends a lot on how you do it and who you're doing it with and where and all the rest of those things the fact of the matter is that i've always owned the house i live in and i think that's just fine but it's important to remember that if you're thinking about it as an investment you need to account for it fully which few people ever do what most people do is they buy the house on a morgue usually with a mortgage maybe they put 20 percent down and they borrow 80 percent and they think of that 20 or they think of the price they bought it at and then they think of the price later they look at the difference and they determine from that if they think it's been a good investment which of course misses a tremendous amount of central points it doesn't include the costs that are necessary maintaining the house which should be accounted for it including the interest cost property tax deferred maintenance the utilities necessary to do everything from keeping the lawn up and what have you when you factor those in the return on a home varies hugely across the spectrum of this country and it's very hard to make a general rule that says you will come out ahead with buying a house which you may or may not compared to other alternative investments which is really the definition of is it a good idea or not people tend to be more comfortable with home prices because they're not in their face the fact is you buy the house you envision what you think it's worth after that and you don't really know what it's worth after that until the day comes that you finally may move to sell it you have things like zillow you can look at to try to triangulate what it might be worth but you don't really know and you find out only really when you move to sell it but that's the price you sold it for this is the price you buy it for you still have to do that accounting to get a real return on investment and what people tend to do is say ah but it went up so much based on what i paid before my mortgage that i must have done really great on it and they're actually often surprised how big those accumulated costs are over time because they just keep running year after year after year after year and again sometimes the house is a good investment sometimes the house is a bad investment because it could have done much better just buying simple securities much better and that in history is varied all over the board in this country the fact is people also think things like well i'll buy it and fix it up but then you have to actually ask are you really good at that is that really something where you bring value at it or are you just fixing it up the way you like it which is a form of consumer expenditure to your taste which is fine but may not be to the taste of others there are people that are really good at buying a house doing things to it and turning around and selling it for a profit in a big hurry if you're good at that then it's good if you like doing that then it's even better but the fact of the matter is there's no blanket rule you can make about whether buying a home is a good investment or isn't a good investment partly about you partly about the home and it's partly about your future circumstances after you've bought that hom you
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