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2017년 7월 22일 영상으로, 'Jim Cramer 효과'가 실제로 있는지 검증하는 주간 증시 점검 방송이다. 결론: 짐 크레이머(Mad Money)에 출연한 CEO 종목은 대체로 상승(bump)하는 경향이 있었다는 것이 진행자의 판단이다. 주간 이벤트: 다음 주 주요 일정으로 기존주택판매(월), 신규주택판매 및 FOMC 금리 발표(수), GDP(금) 등이 언급되었고, 백악관 대변인 사임과 맥케인 상원의원 뇌종양 소식이 불확실성 요인으로 거론되었다. 비트코인: 최근 큰 변동을 겪었고, 8월 1일 세그리게이티드 위트니스(SegWit) 관련 업그레이드 해결 시한이 주요 촉매로 지목되었다. 진행자는 주말 변동성이 크고 달러 약세·지정학 이벤트 때 상승하는 경향을 관찰했다고 말했다. 주간 관심 종목: AMD(화요일 장 마감 후 실적 발표, 단기 변동성 기대), 마이크로소프트(실적 상회에도 가이던스 실망으로 하락 후 상승 추세 전망), 스프린트(컴캐스트·차터와 협상 종료 시점, 합병 가능성 언급), 텐엑스 파마슈티컬(캐나다 보건부 사전 미팅, 미국 FDA 사전 NDA 미팅 결과 대기), 보잉(연초 대비 40% 상승, 연말까지 추가 20% 상승 가능성 언급), 파이어 파마슈티컬(PTLA, 항응고제 승인 후 상승, 인수 가능성 언급). 크레이머 효과 검증: 최근 약 2개월간 인터뷰한 20개 종목 중 9개는 상승, 6개는 보합, 5개는 하락으로 집계되었다. 진행자는 이를 근거로 'Kramer bump'라는 표현이 타당하다고 결론지었다. 유의사항: 투자에는 위험이 따르며 감당할 수 있는 금액 이상을 투자하지 말아야 한다는 경고가 포함되었다.
다듬은 글
welcome back to another week of stocks and review for the upcoming week in this special edition we're going to do everything we normally do but I added one special feature we're going to to see if the rumor is really true that a stock dumps after a CEO interviews with Jim Kramer for mad money or does it get a bump I'm going to go back all the way to interviews held from late spring of this year up to the most recent ones this week the results will follow let's first take a look at some of the newsworthy items that might affect trading in the upcoming week OJ one is released from jail on Thursday oh wait that's not going to affect stocks the healthcare vote was delayed again and news of Senator McCain having brain cancer rocked Washington the numerous delays we've been having on healthc care equals uncertainty for the markets and is one extra unnecessary downward pressure we surely don't need it was announced late morning that Sean Spicer the White House Press Secretary resigned over a disagreement with the president over a new communication director just a little bit more drama for Washington and uncertainty for the markets but more importantly we won't see Melissa McCarthy outtakes anymore on SNL oh well on Monday numbers for existing home sales are reported then on Wednesday two big announcements in the morning we have new home sales then the fomc makes their announcement about interest rates at 2 p.m.
GDP wraps up the week on Friday it was a wild week for cryptocurrencies since last Friday's report over the weekend my little investment of $1,100 was down over $250 just over 22% at one point and then developers started making progress on activating an upgrade that they refer to as the segregated witness this needs to be resolved by August 1st otherwise digital currency will split and various exchanges like coinbase say that they will pause trading if there is a split in the currency just like the stock market uncertainty brings out the bearers in the cryptocurrency world and for example Bitcoin hit a low of about $1,862 over the last weekend a number we haven't seen since miday throughout this week with the probability of things getting resolved and more miners signaling their willingness to participate there's been quite the rally of course being busy I missed the high that had hit on Thursday of almost $2,900 at 7:00 p.m.
so I encourage you to set a price alert for whatever your price Target is if you use coinbase just click onto the settings button then hit the price alerts then choose either Bitcoin or ethereum then hit the plus sign in the top right corner then slide the scale at the bottom of your screen to whatever number you wish and click create alert at the very bottom and that's all you do I decided to walk away with my 11% gain this morning and wanted to quickly share with you what I learned from my very limited 4 weeks of experience with Bitcoin I've noticed that it seems to go up when the dollar goes down it also seems to go up when geopolitical events occur like North Korea shooting missiles around just like in stocks averaging down when you may have bought High helped me to catch up after my first purchase in June I definitely recommend that you watch whatever cryptocurrency that you're buying to find a good entry point and then pull it trigger from what I hear a lot of investors fail to do this the last takeaway I observed was that Bitcoin seemed to hit its lows and experience its maximum beta or volatility on weekends compared to what I noticed during the work week of course my one Monon investment isn't very long but I'll continue watching it through the end of the year if you notice any other catalysts other than the obvious August 1 one that we discussed please comment below so our viewers might learn from your experience on watch this week I have Advanced Micro Devices Microsoft Sprint and tenx pharmaceuticals it's really funny to watch all the social media on AMD especially after what happened with Microsoft after they reported better than expected earnings after a shortlived 4% pop on Microsoft's stock price it then dropped 1 and a half% below Thursday's closing price because the company announced its Outlook that the street didn't quite like or think was aggressive enough of course if you don't blow the roof off on everything like Netflix recently did it just doesn't seem to matter how good everything else is to the market I expect Microsoft will continue its year-long rise this coming week and Beyond with AMD reporting earnings on Tuesday after the close it's a real gamble to hold through in my personal opinion but I think the stock will be bullish on Monday and Tuesday for an easy scalp if you can buy on the dips good luck with that Sprint's two-month period of exclusive negotiations with Charter and Comcast conclude this month could this be the week that we hear about a potential merger will there be more from Warren Buffett who knows a nice little uptrend has been forming on the stock with higher lows over the last couple of weeks I'll be watching this close I've been seeing a lot of green candles on tenx Therapeutics a very bullish chart and the company scheduled for a pre-submission meeting with health Canada before the end of the month this should also provide additional clarification for the next steps to follow for submission Canada tends to follow the drug approval processes found in Europe more so than in the US and more than 60 countries have already approved their lead calcium sensitizer drug for coronary artery bypass surgery and it's been used in over 1 million patients worldwide there's also 35 published trials supporting its safety and efficacy it has a 16-year safety record overseas their pre-nda meeting with the FDA was May 10th and a response can happen any time now fingers remain crossed but the charts are Whispering optimism only two new stocks for the week the first is the pur durable stock well-known Boeing Company ticker symbol BA year-to date the stock is up 40% and doing four times better than all of its fellow Dow components over the same time frame the charts are quite bullish right now and new buy signals are pretty evident the company has hit every earnings estimate easily for six straight years except at the beginning of 2016 and the momentum doesn't look like it's going to stop anytime soon I think if you hold this through the end of the year you'll see an upside of another 20% without blinking an eye my final stock to review is a super high biopharmaceutical company that's been getting a lot of press recently Pera Pharmaceuticals ticker symbol ptla I held this stock early in the year when it had its first Big Spike and what's happening now with its recent approval of its anti-coagulant drug is just mind-blowing I like this one too for more than just a short-term swing because of what's in the pipeline and the potential that it could be bought out the charts look good here and this drug is far superior than most of the comparable available therapies what's especially nice about this is it was recently mentioned on cnbc's Mad Money show and depending on what you already feel in terms of the Kramer bump or Kramer dump you might be able to pick up ptla on a dip this coming week what a great segue to my special feature about Jim Kramer for mad money after the disappointing drop this week when the CEO Aria pharmaceutical sat down for an interview the stock dropped significantly the next day it made me wonder is Kramer really getting a bad RP and our stocks for companies that are being featured likely to drop or not I decided to take a look going all the way back to the spring of this year key Corp CEO Beth Mooney was just on Mad Money and the stock hit a high before going on the air of $910 a share and it was also announced the second quarter profits had met while Street expectations then after airing the next day it dropped to a low $18 range so this one counts as a dump next the CEO from bison ticker symbol bzun interviewed with Jim this week and its stock hit a high of $30.7 a share before the interview then the next day it hit a respectable $32.32 a share our first bump the CEO of Edward Life Sciences wouldn't smile if he knew that his stock was going to drop the next day ticker symbol ew it hit a high before airing of $19.88 a share then the next day it went down to less than $118 I'm not counting the 3 minute Spike at 9:40 in the morning because it was so shortlived unfortunately this does count as a dump they report earnings next week by the way the CEO from arenia Pharmaceuticals met Kramer on July 17th the stock hit a high of 765 before going on air then dropped to a low of $676 cents a share the very next day I'd quantify this as a dump Herman Miller's CEO Brian Walker was on with Kramer ticker symbol mlhr he interviewed July 12th the stock had a high of 3370 a share before the interview then got a little bumped to 3435 the next day so we'll count the that as our second bump on July 11th the CEO from constellation Brands had good reason to smile their ticker symbol is stz he stopped by for an interview and the pre-interview stock price was a high of $193 then after airing it hit a high of 197 the next day this counts as another bump for Kramer July 10th Novak Cure's executive chairman of the board was interviewed ticker symbol nvcr prein price of $18.21 a share was noted post interiew hit a high of $20.73 an impressive bump equinix CEO Steve Smith met Kramer the same day ticker symbol eqx the pre-interview stock price was $427.33 a share the next day it popped to $430 62 then over $439 the very next day an impressive bump for sure at the end of June Don Wood from federal realy trust ticker symbol frt came on Mad Money the stock price was a hair over $125 a share after the interview it had a little pop to nearly $128 a share another bump for Kramer on or about June 22nd Jim met with the CEO of Entergy Corporation ticker symbol ETR pre-interview price was $79.19 a share the next day it dropped to $78.99 it had a one-day recovery to the pre-interview price then dropped continually through the end of the month sorry our fourth dump out of the 10 interviews okay let's speed things up a bit for you we know you have things to do so watch close so out of the last 20 interviews in a two-month time period nine stocks have materially gone up six basically remained the same what we're calling a draw and five dropped if you go to the casino and you come home with what you started with that's considered a win so I'd say that Jim Kramer is worthy of the phrase the Kramer bump I'll watch the numbers and see more carefully what happens through the end of the year have a great week and don't forget that investing in the the stock market carries risk never invest more than you can afford to lose or not have access to for an extended period of time if you enjoy our videos please click subscribe as well as like thank you so much and have a great week
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