저자: Mark · 외국인
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결론: 영상은 찰리 멍거의 가짜 구루·투자 사기 비판 발언을 리액션하며, 종목·가격 방향에 대한 구체적 예측은 없다. [멍거 발언 요지] 주식 트레이딩을 가르치는 행위를 헤로인 권유에 비유하며 강하게 비판한다. 텔레비전 등에서 '책 한 권으로 연 300 버는 법' 같은 주장을 하는 사람들을 사기꾼으로 규정한다. [출연자 경험담] 진행자 Mark는 여러 트레이딩 강의를 들었지만 과장된 광고에 속았다고 말한다. 본인은 아직 꾸준히 수익을 내는 트레이더가 아니며 2년 이상 안정적으로 수익을 내야 그렇게 말할 수 있다고 밝힌다. [트레이더 성공률] 트레이더의 94~96%가 실패하고 성공하는 비율은 약 4%라는 통계를 언급한다. [애널리스트·예측 비판] 애널리스트 예측은 실제 성과를 검증하지 않으면 믿기 어렵다고 말한다. Seeking Alpha 등에서 과거 예측 적중률을 확인하라고 권한다. 비트코인 10만 달러 전망 등 구루들의 예측이 빗나갔다고 언급한다. [ARK 캐시 우드 언급] 2020년 급등 후 2021~2022년 하락을 거치며 평가가 엇갈린 사례로 든다. [인내와 장기 투자] 멍거와 버핏의 방식을 언급하며 주식 성공의 핵심은 인내와 장기 보유라고 강조한다. [예고] 다음 영상으로 커버드콜 전략을 다루겠다고 예고한다. [대상 자산 예측] 대상 자산에 대한 1~3개월 가격 방향 예측 발언은 없다.
다듬은 글
foreign as you can see one of the kids was in my room clearly and left the lights on they don't respect me man this is this is the stuff I'm talking about we need to just put a regular light but literally I walked in here and it was just like lights flashing you know what I'm saying so she was in here obviously doing something I don't know what but things are not looking the same in here what's up everyone my name is Mark thank you for stopping by trading with a dummy if you're brand new thank you for stopping by click that subscribe button um I do a bunch of other stuff besides just reaction videos but shout out to my friend van who um end up telling me that this should be a good way to try to grow my channel so I'm doing it and I'm actually enjoying it I'm having fun doing these reaction videos it's easy to edit I can put out multiple a day if I want to so I really enjoy it also make sure you guys check out the interview that I did it wasn't even really interviews it's me and Van sitting down talking about stuff and you know Black America so go ahead and check it out I'm gonna put the card somewhere right here um it was an hour-long video that he posted really had a great time hopefully they invite me on again and we're gonna have a good time but it was awesome all right so today we're gonna basically react to a video by Charlie Munger it says Charlie Munger destroys fake gurus now you guys know I cannot stand fake gurus but since I just dropped this other video a couple of hours ago about a fake Guru possible fake group okay let me be very clear possible fake Guru I don't know I just the video was sent to me I reviewed it but this is Charlie Mungus my first time hearing this so um let's sit down and enjoy this together and let's see how it goes ready for the transition y'all let's get to it and treasure there you go let's get it on if you take the modern world where people are trying to teach you how to come in and trade actively in stocks well I regard that as roughly equivalent to try and inducing a bunch of young people to start off on heroin wow this is really stupid and when you're already rich to make your money by encouraging people to get rich by Trading and then there are people on the TV another wonderful place and they say I have this book that will teach you how to make 300 a year yo that's facts like I don't know like even like I I love Tony Robbins I I've read his books uh I enjoy listening to his speeches but if you kind of look behind it you know it does seem a little scammy with a lot of the stuff that they're selling and pitching to the audience clearly it helps some people I guess but for the majority does it because he's like a motivational speaker he's not really a trade or anything but he's right I've gone through so many courses literally so many courses and people who are in this space when it comes to trading and all this other stuff about how we can make your money real quick let me let me show you how you can grow 500 to a million dollars in like two days this ridiculous [ __ ] like that and it's really annoying um because I got caught up in that on the beginning stages of my journey as a Trader and like I'm very transparent yo I'm not a profitable Trader yet like I have my good months and I have my bad months but you know I don't consider myself a consistent profitable Trader until I could do this two years and actually make a significant amount of money that surpasses my monthly income from like the jobs in a various business that I have so um he's 100 right man I it is somewhat like heroin because I I saw so many people especially in 2020 who got hooked onto that that drug of I can teach you how to create wealth in a matter of minutes and then you can be successful and you can do this as well so it's very interesting because statistically it actually states that I believe it's is he a 94 or 96 percent of Traders are unsuccessful so that means only four percent are actually successful and I guarantee you those four percent are not the people on Twitter so just think about that there's a lot of people out there lying lying let's get back to it now all you have to do is pay for shipping and I will mail it to you How likely is the person who had suddenly found a way to make 300 a year would be trying to sell books on the internet do you yeah it's ridiculous and yet I've described modern Commerce and the people who do this all day think they're useful citizens the advertising agents invent the lingo and so insurance they say well they say the two people who shifted from GEICO to mcguats insurance company save 400 each but they don't tell you is there are only two such people in the whole United States and they were both nuts but they mislead you on purpose not gonna lie for a second there I thought he was actually coughing his laugh sound like a cough slash heart attack I wasn't sure I was I thought this was like an old man's cough because yo Charlie Munger is old I don't know how how old is he you know let me go look this up real quick because I didn't know how old Charlie Munger is but these are the people you should be listening to like for I know that trading style is it's very old school and archaic to some people but clearly it worked right clearly it worked at one point and it made them millions of dollars and obviously you know uh patience is is key it's key 100 but this guy is holy [ __ ] this guy is 98 years old wow wow y'all I did not know that I did not know this dude was 98 years old so he's seen some he's seen some [ __ ] might want to listen to him I want to listen to him just saying you know at least he has at least 80 years 70 to 80 years of experience that you don't have think about that for a second wow 98 now that makes sense and and I get tired of it and I don't think it's right that we deliberately mislead people as much as we do let me tell you another story that I think is an interesting one about the Modern Life but this goes back to a different time and his man has this wonderful horse it's just a marvelous horse got an easy gate and good looking and everything it just works wonderfully but also occasionally just got so he's dangerous ambitious and causes enormous damage and trouble and pay attention metaphors and legs for others right here and so on and he goes to the vet and say what can I do about this horse maybe it says that's a very easy problem and I'm glad to help you because what should I do and the mountains is the next time your horse is behaving well sell it well that is and haven't I just described what private Equity has to do when private Equity has to sell something that's really troublesome they hire an investment banker and what does the investment banker do he makes a projection you can't I I have never seen such expertise in my whole life as is created in making projections and as my banking there is no business so lousy it can't get a wonderful projection and but is that a great way to make a living to have phony projections and use it to make money um people you don't 100 look listen um there is a uh famous Guru within a black community that had a projection right of square being the next JP Morgan didn't work out I just did the Bitcoin um reaction video where it was supposed to go to 100K which that group also by the ways that same group said it was gonna go to 100K everyone was talking all that stuff right so it's a projection even analysts man if you really think about it at least you have expertise and have somewhat of a background but the good thing is with a lot of these Wall Street um analysts you can actually look them up on Seeking Alpha for example you could see how many times they've been writing how many times they've been wrong and there's a lot of people out there that may just hit every blue moon and people think they're Geniuses but they don't look at all their past predictions that have been wrong and I don't know about y'all but typically in a business if you're wrong consistently people would fire you they would fire you like like no shade to um Kathy Wood I don't know if y'all know who she is she runs the arkk fund just go look it up on the charts it's pretty depressing because she it was kind of moving sideways for many years and then 2020 happened and it just skyrocketed like to the Moon basically and everyone's like she's a genius she's a genius she's a genius and then we started selling off in 2021 and it's been in Bear Market in 2022 and now everyone's like she's an idiot she doesn't know what she's doing and when you look at this stuff that she's doing sometimes you question it like yo what are you doing are you in the business of making money are you in a business of losing money and any other business now imagine if you go to your job at McDonald's and you suck at making Burgers you think they're gonna keep you around no they're gonna fire you imagine if I go to my job and I'm I'm wrong about everything everything I do I I completely mess up you think they're Gonna Keep Me No but I could say you know guess what you could put I'm projecting that in two to three years I will be very good at this job so just keep me wrong no man people are going to fire you and this is the only business I know where sometimes it seems like analysts are not being held accountable for their bad predictions which is quite often so yeah it's got a point there Charlie Charlie's Got a point you look right into the eyes of I would say no and by and large Warren that I we never tried to make money out of the dumb say out of stupidity of our dumb buyers we tried to make money by buying and if we were selling horse [ __ ] we didn't want to pretend it was a cure for arthritis and and and I think it's better to get into life far away instead of theirs I was coughing I think it's always been this way and there's always been chicanery think of the carnivals the carne operator think how much tricky there is in a Carney operation and people just seek out the weaknesses of their pillow man and take advantage and you have to get wise enough so you you avoid them all and you can't avoid them if they're in your family I have no solution to that one but but where you have a fair uh you can't avoid them in your family we all have a family member we all have that family member that is just a con artist a leech a liar a victim ah he's so right how do you avoid those you can't you just gotta cut them off sometimes you know like realistically you have to cut them off I had to do that with several family members and it's hard it's very very hard hell I had to do with my parents it's hard it's hard it and it hurts but he is right man you gotta avoid those leeches man they're just so many people it should be avoided my father had this best friend and client and he also had this other client who is a big blowhard and and he was always working for the big blue hard and he wasn't ever working for his wonderful clown whom I admired and I said why do you do this and he said Charlie you idiot he says the big blow heart is an endless source of legal troubles he's always in trouble overreaching and misbehaving and so forth where is it Grant mcmaiden treats everybody right the employees the customers everything he gets involved with some psychotic he walks over there and makes a great immediately he's a man like that doesn't need a lawyer and my brother was trying to teach me something and it really worked I spent my whole life trying to be like Grant McFadden and I want to tell you it works it really works Peter Hoffman is always telling me if the crooks only knew how much money you could make by being honest they'd all behaved differently Warren has a wonderful saying I like he says we take the high road it's never crowded that was deep that was deep y'all and I really lived by that motto man like everything he's saying right there uh it is really easy to get rich sometimes especially if you take advantage of people because think about it um if you guys are in this space and you think about becoming Traders whatever just just think about this for a second especially with these larger groups imagine if you if these groups charge a thousand dollars right and you have I don't know let's say thirty thousand people in that group do you understand how much money you can make off of that like it's just ridiculous there's no reason for you to even trade yourself there isn't even a reason for you to really even think about teaching because if you teach they won't need you anymore people won't need you anymore so it's really hard finding honest people in this space and I like his uh his thinking on these fake gurus and it's so true there's a reason why Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett Buffett are considered like one of the best in the game and maybe people should start listening to them because I know they're like oh they're old they're archaic they're boring um you know they did this in 57 50 60 70 years ago it's the times are different I don't know I don't know man but I tell you this there is no secret sauce to you becoming successful in the stock market the easiest route is patience and just always investing and just holding really it's a game of patience more than anything and that's 100 true that's what trading that's what investing it's a game of patience something I deal with on a daily basis that was a good freaking video I'm gonna put the um Link in the description below if you guys want to watch it without me commentating on it and uh stop by for the next one until then y'all um peace out I am gonna work on a video to cover covered calls to cover cover calls if you're interested in that it's basically a way to make money with the shares that you already have without having to sell them kind of okay so I'm gonna I'm gonna do a video on it people been asking me to do it since I've been doing this for a while I'm gonna do it so until then y'all peace out foreign
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