저자: ConnorPollifrone · 외국인
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장 시작 전 워치리스트 영상으로, 실적 발표 후 급등한 옐프(YELP)와 로쿠(ROKU)를 중심으로 장중 매매 전략을 설명함. 전반적으로 본인의 최근 매매 성과(월~수 수익, 전날 약 2천 손실)를 언급하며 매매 일관성 부족을 반성함. 옐프: 실적 호재로 약 38달러에서 44달러 부근까지 갭상승. 프리마켓 저항 44.74달러, 지지 43~44달러, 42달러, 41.5달러 부근을 제시하며 저항 실패 시 숏, 지지 확인 후 롱 전략을 제시. 위쪽 장기 매물대가 많아 숏 스퀴즈 가능성을 언급. 로쿠: 실적 호재로 45달러에서 53달러 부근까지 상승. 프리마켓 저항 53.50달러, 지지 51.80달러 제시. 53.50 돌파 시 52주 고점 58.80달러까지 열려 있다고 보나, 방향은 확정할 수 없다고 명시하며 우선 숏 후 딥 매수 전략을 취함. 테슬라: 하락 추세 전환 조짐으로 365달러 하회 시 숏 관점, 360달러 부근을 지지로 봄. 370~371달러 부근에서 숏 대응도 언급. S&P500(SPY): 52주 고점 부근에서 도지 캔들이 나오며 방향성 불확실성이 커졌다고 진단. 9일 이동평균 추종 및 52주 고점 테스트 여부를 확인한 뒤 실패 시 숏을 고려한다고 함. 소형주 KBSF: 프리마켓 고점 8.55달러, 저유동성 종목으로 급등 후 하락 및 숏 스퀴즈 패턴을 기다리라고 설명. 과도한 추격매수 경계. IQ: 30달러 부근 저항과 지지 사이 중간 구간으로 방향성이 불분명한 50:50 구간이라고 평가. 출연자는 결론적으로 방향 예측보다는 가격 액션에 따라 대응한다는 입장을 유지함. 마지막에 유료 프라이빗 트레이딩룸·강의 가입을 홍보함.
다듬은 글
good morning everybody one second all right good morning everybody welcome back to another pre-market livestream this morning for a neither stock watchlist so sorry it wasn't on yesterday I had a late start to the morning and just did not have the time appropriate time to get online with you guys so apologize but with that being said today is going to be I think is gonna be a good day but I'm only really focusing on like two stocks Yelp and Roku Tesla's still there and Facebook and Apple and you know Netflix and all the earnings plays that were yesterday so there's still you know a lot of plays but I'm only focusing on these two for right now which is Yelp and Roku because I know that today their earnings they're gonna be volatile there will be plays to be made and then anything else if I feel is good then I'll trade that but for right now I'm only going to really talk about Yelp Roku and Tesla good morning mr.
max 500 good morning I would like today to trade a little bit better Monday Tuesday and Wednesday have been a rough start though I did come up with just shy of 7,000 Monday 400 or something 500 on Tuesday and then yesterday after I uploaded the video I ended up taking a pretty big loss so I actually ended yesterday down just shy of 2,000 so we're still up on the week pretty good but the trading for me just hasn't been consistent it's kind of in a back-and-forth where I'm getting some wins getting some losses but I'm getting out of my trades quick enough so that my win counteract my losses on the day my losing trades that is but still just not good trading for the week so I'm not really happy about it it's always good to make money but it's good to make money in a good way right I don't want to get there making it choppy right there's a saying I'm a golfer I don't know if you guys are golfers but if you are you can probably relate to this and if you're not you can probably still relate so golfing is a really hard sport for a lot of people even be good but I'm not that good it's really hard to get very consistent in golf shall we say and when you just start golfing for the first time you suck I mean you are horrible I mean you can you you can't even swing the club you'd knock the ball two feet and so if you just started golfing for the first time and then you go with someone like myself or someone used to playing golf for a long time they're usually a little bit better so there's a saying here is that nobody really cares how good or how bad or let me put this way nobody cares if you are very very bad at golf or nobody cares how bad you suck at golf as long as you don't play slow and there's another term that no matter how ugly your golf game is it all looks the same on the scorecard meaning no matter how bad and how ugly it looks when you play when you give the scorecard to someone they won't be able to tell how bad you played the only bill to see the results which means that one way or the other you're gonna get to the finish line but in trading and engulfing you'd rather have a good score playing a good round of golf rather than having a good score and playing a shitty round of golf and what I'm relating that to is yes it's good to make money but it's good to make money in a good fashion not an ugly choppy fashion remember that just because you're making money doesn't mean you're trading very well okay so not only you want to make money you want to trade well and that is something that I haven't done very good this week so I would like to turn their round for the last two days of the week handicapped I shoot with handicapped I'm like a ninety so I'm right in the 85 like you know nineties area why is my computer lagging out give me one second my computer is going on and off all right cool so I'm gonna go ahead and start sharing the screen and we're gonna get into it get me just half a second here all right all right let's share this guy this one here we are alright guys so the first talk of the watch list is what to be you know so we'll talk about Yelp as you can see it is an earnings fight that it gapped up yeah gapped up from about $38 to a high of 44 so it's currently up roughly $6 a share from yesterday it's after-hours trading okay good morning to you from home so Yelp earnings play it's gapping up this looks pretty strong it is currently trending up and it is coming up to its pre market level resistance which is 44 74 now as I've stated before any time I'm watching a stock like Yelp in the morning that's gapping up I'm always looking for it for both long and both short the long-term view is usually us are the the day approach is usually that this is going to be a good long play because of the good earnings in the gap but usually as I always stay you usually see the the pullback or you see the sell-off first okay Roku is also on the wash to so we've already done this plenty of times this week and last week about the earnings plays and how I intend to trade them I will be looking to either short Yelp out of the game if it fails to push up and I will look so first I will usually look just short these big gap ups and then when they find support and start curling around then I'll look to long them okay so right now we have a pre market high resistance at forty four seventy four you have a pre market support at 43 44 you have another pre market support at forty two and another one at about forty one fifty so you should do is you should mark off all these key level support areas that you see here on my chart exactly the same so that you have those levels mapped off as well when you have a big earnings win like this it's very common to see it sell off out of the gates because of profit taking and early-morning short sellers trying to push that short down when the short sellers give up and there are no more sellers and buyers start to come in then it starts to get bought back up for a dip by on the way back up it'll start squeezing out any of the short sellers that had previously gotten in the stock which then can result in it going from a red to a green move okay so Yelp will be watching long shorting around the pre market high if it fails possibly longing around 4345 which is a pre market support if in fact that holds up if that breaks the next level of support would probably somewhere in the forty to fifty to forty two dollar price point okay so that is yelled if you look at the yearly chart okay Yelp is up to 44 so currently right now Yelp is like right here it's basically right at this yellow arrow okay and then it has all this resistance above it so there's a lot of overhead resistance on Yelp which can be good and it can be bad because if there's a lot of overhead resistance we know that there are a lot of long term short sellers that were probably in on any of these drops so today it's very possible that as it starts pushing higher it will start squeezing the short sellers and we might have a good run to the upside on Yelp so we'll be watching Yelp for long by astrayed here alright next here on the watch is Roku so Roku another one on the watch here this morning if you see it is an earnings winner from 45 to a high of 53 pre markets so we have a pre market resistance here at 53 50 we have a pivot point support at 51 80 so you can see here the top here and after market trading has now become the pivot point support here in premarket treating with that being said we'll be watching Roku to the long side today but it is the same exact outlook as Yelp I will be looking to see if Roku fails around the 53 50s price we take it short down to the support line see if we get a bounce and then I might take it long okay granted they don't always work that way okay they could just start squeezing up and continuing to run but that's usually less likely than seeing them pop up fail then run okay so again it's the same outlook that I had on Yelp we'll be watching Roku long today but first for a short in then for a dip by to the long side and if you look at the yearly chart you will see that Roku has a 52 week high of $58 whereas the price right now the price is at 52 so there's six dollars a share that Roku could run to the upside today before reaching the 52 week high will it run six hours here today I don't know if you have a crystal ball please let me know I'll give you my phone number or we can get in touch but chances are you don't have a crystal ball and neither do I so I could not tell you whether or not this is gonna run six dollars or share to the upside today or not what it could tell you is it can possibly we just don't know so we're gonna trade the price action what we do know 52 week high is at 58 dollars and 80 cents and we know that right now the price is at about 53 which means that there is all of the reasons since at the 52 be kind to go through so once we can break above the pre-market high which was what exactly fifty three fifty okay so at fifty three fifty once Roku can get over fifty three fifty then it has the possibility of running up to the 52-week high but this is all going to be a resistance possibly which could affect the stock from going higher granted there could also offend long term short sellers from the 50s you a guy that have been holding for a long time may be pretty surprised but it's possible and if there is we might start squeezing them out secondly there could be a lot of long term shorts that have been in from this drop and they're holding as well they could in fact start squeezing up so all in all Roku is a long today and I will be watching it long but first for a short alright last one we'll talk about is Tesla TSLA and there might be some other great plays out there today but I'm just going off of based off of what I'm seeing so far Tesla for Tesla traders and people watching Tesla watch Tesla short on this appears to be the first red day set up or well kind of but this looks like it could be a first read they said of what we're gonna have a pretty good sell-off on Tesla it is trending down it had the good news right it's starting to break down so we'll be watching Tesla to the short side of below 365 if Tesla can break 365 we should see a pretty good sell-off probably even down as close to 360s and maybe even lower okay the reason I would pick 360 as kind of the support area is because if you look back from the day not yesterday but the previous day where it went all crazy because Elon and I'll tweeted some stuff and now he's in trouble with SEC and blah blah blah who cares and then the two billion dollar factory and all the gigafactory things whatever when it went crazy it created this consolidating shopping area right around 3:00 60 which means it could very well be a strong support that's going to hold up today if in fact Tesla does go short so we'll be watching Tesla story here we load the 365 or I would be watching Tesla short at 370 or even 371 so if this doesn't ematic oligo short it might pop up try and push higher if it hits any of these key level resistances from yesterday's closing price or some just low in a resistance we might end up seeing a sell-off so there's one of two ways I think I'll trade this it's either he's short out of the gates which I don't usually like to do I'd like to see a pop and then a fail and then take short all right and that is my outlook there on Tesla S&P 500 of the spy so what's up with the spy the spy is uh it's up there I mean we know it's getting close to that resistance and the thing is look at the days the days instead of being big green days are turning into small doji days meaning indecisiveness uncertainty not sure we don't know should we start selling or should we keep buying 50/50 who knows right that's exactly what's happening right now in the SP or the spy is just be creating doji candles here up towards its 52-week high so right now people are starting to become cautious and uncertain as to whether or not we are heading towards a drop-off the 52-week high or if we're going to try and break the 50 to a time considering we're going through DISA sideways consolidation I would first let the nine moving average catch up to the price action on the daily chart and wait to see if that nine moving average is the resulting factor of it pushing higher sorry now it's a resulting factor the main reason as to why it pushes higher I want to let this thing at least test the 52-week high if it continuously fails to get up there then yeah maybe look to short the market alright I will look it I will look at KBS F and I will look at IQ before it head on out for the day so KBS f up pretty big this is a low float stock that you have to know how to trade really so if you're gonna be trading this you're gonna be very careful and understand this could you know very easily crusher no I don't want to crush your account but again same thing is always they have a pre market high of 8 dollars and 55 cents I would be more likely to watch this fall down first and look for a red to green move short squeeze okay this is up from five dollars and fifty cents to eight dollars and 55 cents anybody who trades penny stocks knows that big monster penny stock runners tend to have massive sell offs at the end of the day that may result in a red to green short squeeze move so if I were you and your trading K BSF I would not look too long it out of the gates I would just look to be patient and wait for it to drop find support and go for a red to green move and then let's see you want an IQ IQ what's IQ done o IQ gapping up this morning IQ has not been a very promising stock recently that's okay IQ is basically border it's a 50/50 trade it's right in the middle so what I can tell you is I could say it could go long why could it go long because they put in a higher low from you know 2801 and so we're starting to trend up they tell you well it's got a trend coming down this way that if it breaks that trend we could go higher I could also tell you look at all the resistance has been built up at about $30 right here here here here and here yeah so we're like right in this fifty-fifty line so this really could go both ways thick either dumb or it could break it's really kind of a 50/50 trade at this point right in the middle it's not on a major resistance and it's not on a major support it's right in the middle of support and resistance so I could go one of two ways okay alright guys so that is all I have for you here today on the pre market watchlist so hopefully that helps some of you guys determine what it is that you might be trading and/or what it is first Aria and some stocks it might help you make a decision on what you would like to trade so than that that's all I have for you guys today so thank you guys as always for tuning and I will be here tomorrow and I will get the video uploaded of our live trading day today and once again if any of you guys would like to join our private trading room and our private course and basically to help you develop quicker as a trader and join over a few thousand traders so you can collectively talk throughout the day feel free the first link in the description of the video is the link to our website and that will essentially point you in the right direction to get you access to all the private information and groups and things like that then that guys take care and I will see you guys all tomorrow morning for another pre market watchlist all right guys take care
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