저자: 짐크레이머 · 외국인
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결론: 이번 실적시즌은 '예상보다 좋음(BTE)' 대신 '예상만큼 나쁘지 않음(NABF)' 기준으로 접근해야 하며, 과매도 구간에서 실적 발표 종목을 분할 매수하라는 주장이다. 시장 상황: 펩시코 실적 발표 전후로 주가가 크게 하락했다가 실적이 예상보다 나쁘지 않아 급등했다. 다우 122포인트 상승, S&P500 1.88%, 나스닥 2.12% 상승. 펩시코: 실적은 예상보다 나쁘지 않았고 음식·음료 매출이 강했으나 가이던스는 올리지 않았다. 주가는 사전 하락 후 신고가 근처까지 반등했다고 설명. JP모건(JPM): 다음 주 실적이 예상보다 좋을 가능성이 높다고 전망. 금리 인하 환경에서도 예금 기반·자문·대출 사업이 강하다고 봄. 가장 유망한 종목으로 제시. 아메리칸익스프레스(AXP): 중국 등 해외 사업 둔화 우려가 있으나 실적이 예상보다 나쁘지만 않으면 된다는 입장. 주가는 고점 대비 크게 하락. 애보트 래버러토리스(ABT): 꾸준한 실적과 혁신 당뇨 모니터링 기기를 강조하며 고점 대비 약 1% 하락한 현 시점을 기회로 봄. 머크(MRK): 키트루다 등 항암제 성장으로 가이던스 상향 기대. 10월 29일 실적 발표 전 매수 기회로 제시. 스타벅스(SBUX): 과열 후 급락한 주가가 84달러 부근에서 매수 기회라고 주장. 니트로 콜드브루 성장 언급. 페이스북(META): 정치적 규제 우려에도 사용자 충성도와 인스타그램 광고 효과가 강해 약세 시 매수 권고. CVS: 3% 배당, 현금 창출력이 좋고 실적 발표 전 저점 매수 가능하다고 언급. 쇼피파이(SHOP): 이커머스 플랫폼 성장성을 강조하며 하락 시 분할 매수 권고. 기타 언급: 브로드컴 인수 관련 긍정 평가, GE는 부채와 현금 문제에도 파산 가능성은 낮고 Larry Culp 경영 정상화 중이라고 평가, 스프린트는 T-모바일 합병 관련 보유를 권하지 않고 T-모바일 선호 발언. 전망: 노동부 고용지표 발표 후 매도세가 나올 수 있으니 그때를 종목 매수 적기로 제시. 시장 변동성 속 분할 매수 전략 강조.
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n when he I'll do one my friends just trying to make you some money my job as Center Center came with educate teach you put in context call me've gotten so used so used to being afraid that we've been selling stocks for days on end in part because we're worried that the report not so hot earnings that includes earlier this morning when the market got severely oversold before rebounding Dow closing up one hundred twenty two points SPG 18.8% Nasdaq events a 21-2 percent no one wants to own a stock unless it can report what's known as a BTE a BT e-mini a better-than-expected quarter the tyranny of BTE has cast a pall over this market but now the early season has actually arrived with PepsiCo kicking things off many stocks are down big from their highs and I'm starting to think that they've fallen so far that BTE is the wrong concern instead we should be looking for quarters that are not as bad as feared or naba --the NABF for short NABBA 'the yesterday Wall Street was concerned the PepsiCo had failed to deliver better than expected numbers and the stock plunged from 137 down 133 and changed in anticipation of that bad number afterall PepsiCo missed if there was any degradation frito-lay if there was any market share lost at coca-cola you had to believe that this thing would get clubbed like a baby seal but as it turns out PepsiCo results were not as bad as feared it was an above quarter with strong sales in both food and beverages while the company didn't raise his forecast the stock had already been hit so hard going to the report that this didn't really bother anyone and that is naba for certain gets better it's better some of PepsiCo's divisions are truly on fire generations returning to the old fabulous growth trajectory used to have now food waste products are being snapped up by Millennials there was a lot to like here two days ago this quarter would have been a non-event today a cent PepsiCo is surging to a new all-time high and that's not just because it was better than feared like I told you last night when the market gets this oversold it can act like a coiled spring with stocks rallying beyond where you ordinarily expect them to go to on good news so who else can deliver an abbath quarter this is Lewis people get a pencil and paper out this is the one list you need first I expect JPMorgan has symbol J p.m.
reporter generally better than expected court next week Fed Funds rate may have been cut the yield curve may not be perfect but this is JP Morgan's moment the moment to shine banks gigantic deposit base is huge advisory business plain old credit lending they should all be very strong as banks generate more and more of the revenue from fees rather than from interest I'm confident the tapetum Morgan will be able to raise numbers Jamie Donald took about a fortress balance sheet that would be much better than feared so maybe even forget Navis I'm betting this one off you'd be Beatty second I'm like in the look of American Express let's not spend eviscerate here Stefan 129 in July to 112 today I don't think Amex reporter better than expected corpus of ethics cruciate in decline it doesn't have to it only needs to be not as bad as feared nah the rap here is that their business is slow worldwide because of the trade where I'm skeptical Americans press hasn't been able to crack into China any meaningful way China is the epicenter of the worldwide weightless meanwhile CEO Stephen squirt well it's where he's been new life in this business is self-effacing man is transforming American Express I'm a company with a spotty episodic track record and no company that person smooth numbers like the ones we come to expect down from MasterCard from visa and they will get those again next up there's Abbott Labs symbol abt that's a medical device maker if you watch the show for a while you know I'm a huge fan of models white the longtime CEO who's create an enormous amount of value for shareholders over the years we even buy an Abbott for my Chapel trust where you can follow all the moves before we make them by joining the action alors plus calm Club we like AB adverse incredible consistency yet the stock is down nearly I percent from its high very rare to see that I think it's an opportunity Avel also has a revolutionary new diabetes monitoring device that management should crow about on the call best of all the medical device makers are the only part of the healthcare cohort that's been flying under Washington's radar for speak in Washington the Democrats Republicans may be united in how they view the drug industry's Republic but I still think there's one drug stock that you can buy right here after this decline its Merck this company's tremendous momentum and it's reports on October 29 the stock is down about five points from its highs to me it looks like a buying opportunity I expect Merck to raise his forecast rather dramatically thanks to the incredible growth of kete Reuter their groundbreaking cancer drug it's better than naba what else here's a real naba Starbucks now Starbucks doesn't report to the 30 so you got a little timer but it's stock has been crushed you know it's been pulverized from 99 down to 84 and that's thanks to excessive enthusiasm when he got to 99 combined with a very odd one-time shade down from early September the traders well there's they felt like they were Trump chumps if they owned the stock they've been dumping it ever since maybe that makes sense when Starbucks was training in the 90s but at 84 sorry I think it's a bi don't forget they got that nitro and the Millennials love the nitro I get sick to my stomach every time I have it I mean honestly I could drink this better than Nitro six Facebook yeah Facebook can you believe it Facebook and what am I thinking right here's what I'm thinking even though the social media kingpin had a nice one today it's still down dramatically from its highs and it's only takes one statement from one politician reverse today's rally as investors have rebelled against Phii and our government has started investigating all big tech well this thing has become less toxic I know the Long Knives are certainly offer Facebook I'm not blind but honestly I think they benefit from the fact that they're no longer are the only big tech company that's been targeting this companies no longer public enemy number one now it's kind of public enemy number three or four depending upon the day that's encouraging dilution meanwhile the users will guess what they still love it they haven't been talked out of it by washing or by newspapers that attack them endlessly I don't seem to care about that stuff including the call today from the Attorney General to limit encryption stop it already when you talk to the consumer packaged goods as I do they adore Facebook because their owns Instagram and Instagram is indispensable if you're trying to reach new customers I do a facebook video program daily I can tell you that the return on investment the bang for the buck so to speak phenomenal I think you'll have plenty of opportunities to buy this one into weakness before reports on the 30th 8th even if we have an economic slowdown you're stuck the drug store that's why I like CVS that's Charlie Victor going into its quarter on November 6th now that stocks been creeping hires analyst start warming up to its merger with that not Plus CVS is spewing cash supports the 3 percent yield so they're paying for you to wait for what I bet will be a novice finally their Shopify yes this is the Oldman empowerment story a company that helps thousands of people set up their own e-commerce sites every week we hear from Shopify in three weeks we solve this thing for action alerts at about 60 points above where it is right now I think you can sink your teeth in as it goes lower into another dip look there are dozens of other stocks that could work your stocks of high quality companies that have just been shelled I don't know if the markets done going down although I think we saw an important moment of capitulation during this morning's breakdown but the oscillators still not as low as I'd like here's the bottom line when the Labor Department releases its big employment number tomorrow I bet there will be some sellers to me that's the perfect moment to pick up some of these novice names betting they'll be well not as bad as feared how about we go to Brad Nilla northeast Brad good evening Grammy's interested in the value of semantics earlier they had a failed buy out and then Broadcom came back to the table in an all-cash deal those are they're supposed to be a one-time dividend of $12 just look Rick Hills in charge here I know he's temporary but Rick is money maker and you're gonna make money in it I even at 23 I want to stand there and buy the stock how about we got Ally in Minnesota Ally hey boo yeah Jim I just have a quick question with regards to the future outlook of General Electric sure says them what's up I noticed that the stock last year lost 22 billion dollars it's got a hundred and eight billion in debt and it's only got 35 billion to pay for its cash if do you think this will be a stock that will go insolvent in the future no absolutely not as a matter of fact I would say that Larry Copas got the situation as bad as it is frankly under control 2019 to reset year 2020 will be better the problem here is not of Larry's doing and he is really cleaning things up so I don't want to bail I do think there could be more weakness but I do not want to bail and I'm going to Christian and Nevada Christian hey Jen are you doing all right my question is I'm currently down in my position and sprint should I sell now or in the role you're on the wrong horse my friend you need to be in t-mobile okay that way with the deal without you got John ledger working for you and ledger is the bomb all right watch for stocks reporting not as bad as feared numbers and stop worrying about BTE at this decline use weakness to pick up the ones that I've given you here oh man tonight constellation brave cimolestes even put an attorney say and then portable festive with better than expected numbers but the stock is still dropping feel like you need a cocktail life to the move I'm gonna talk to see you then old-time yeah face it ugly sell up but the stocks been out big up poke through food of late so where should you stand with this top on the best hit and after a wild few days and the average is wondering how you some positioning your portfolio I'm here to help when we play em hi diversifie
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