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결론: 전반적으로 시장 방향에 연동된 단기 매매 관점이며, 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라·마이크론 모두 실적 발표를 앞두고 방향성을 확인하기 전까지는 소량 포지션 또는 관망을 권함. 엔비디아: 일봉상 갭을 메우고 20·50·200일선 위를 유지해 단기 강세 구조로 보며, 실적 이후 주간 채널 상단 돌파 여부를 관건으로 봄. 주간 종가 기준 21 부근이 다음 저항이고 이를 넘으면 추가 상승을 염두에 둠. 주봉 20선 근처에서 지지 가능성을 언급하며 주봉 기준 목표가 1337 언급. 다만 이미 큰 폭 상승한 뒤라 일부 익절·리스크 관리를 강조. AMD: 실적 후 갭상승 뒤 밀린 도지 캔들 형성, 단기 저항 돌파 실패로 보고 횡보 가능성 언급. 본인은 단기 숏 포지션을 보유 중이며 손실 감수 여지를 밝힘. 방향은 장 흐름에 따름. 테슬라: 모델3 생산 목표 미달 등 뉴스 리스크가 크다며 실적 전 관망. 단기 약세 우위로 보며 250 부근 지지 이탈 시 180, 141, 116 등 하방 레벨 언급. 실적이 기대에 못 미치면 급락, 충족하면 392~400 부근 상승 가능성 제시. 본인은 이번 실적 전 포지션 없음. 마이크론: 이중 천장 구간(61~64 저항) 근처에서 조정 중이며 실적 전 50·20일선 하회 상태. 45 부근과 40 부근 지지 확인 후 매수 구간으로 제시. 상단 저항 61~85 언급. 숏 포지션 일부 보유 중이며 이익 실현 후 나머지 보유. 시장 전반: 지수가 약세면 개별 종목도 동반 하락하는 흐름으로 보고, 거래량 없는 상승은 신뢰하지 않음. 소액 분할 접근과 손절 원칙 강조. 출연자 전망: 진행자 단독 방송으로 별도 출연자 없음. 전망은 실적 발표 결과 및 시장 방향에 따라 유동적이라는 입장.
다듬은 글
hello traders China stock boki a my videos go to my website sign up they're free f com / promo / stock bookie alright so NVIDIA daily charts 7 million on the day one point one one percent down two dollars and 82 cents read on the day came right back into the 6:28 retrace filled the gap just chopping around I mean this was a great bull bearish pattern here pops up becomes a little bit micro bullish on this inside bar bullish pattern as well tries to break out looks like it's gonna break out right here six one eight holds it comes right back in markets were weak on Friday so this one pretty much followed the market trade on Friday spy everything else down this one was down as well still holding the 50 the 20 and the 200 ma stolen a bullish stance so still okay but going into earnings next week so when it'll be interesting guy stock of the year and all-time highs for the most part still will this one finally break out of this channel weekly channel this is this is this really tells the tale guys moves up never gets follow through after this weekly close right back down right below to the bottom trendline gets right back up tries to make another break right back down another break right back down another great trading vehicle right back up can't hang on right back down guys so now we're down sideways still inside these bars filled the gap like I said holding strong above the mas let's see what happens on earnings that's it that's what's gonna drive this stock up or down I will trade it if it pops I will trade it if it drops don't really care so let's keep an eye on NVIDIA ample some big earnings coming up Tesla Nvidia this one here that's gonna give us some direction but if the spy the IWM and the queues continue to sell off you know off this move today or yesterday we're gonna see what happens with the rest of these it will be a market trade markets move higher everything will move higher markets move lower everything will move lower I don't care what stock it is other than I don't earn explai if the markets are bombing on you know 300 down on the Dow whatever down on the Nasdaq and you have an earnings play like Chipotle yesterday or the other day that was green on a big red day so it all depends on news of course but if a stock doesn't have news and the markets are really dumping it's all going down just like the markets grind higher and no volume same scenario different you know up or down doesn't matter AMD AMD another great trading vehicle guy says this is another point let's go to the daily chart real quick we had earnings on this one I know we did do we yeah I think we did have earnings and it pops up almost it's the 2020s the big area of resistance comes back in nice little doji candle so we're gonna see what happens here I mean a crazy day on earnings so we pop up we come right back in we come in drop and we end up right in the middle there so so nothing too great you know all the Bulls get in they're all getting excited let me go through my time temp let me do Auto see a little bit better yeah so gap up falls down with the market tries to get up again that's talking to me right here guys nice gap up get some more Bulls on board and then then flush it down sideways can't get above this inside bar so let's see how this thing holds up guys I did have a short position right here in and out for a nice nice gain I am into this thing short again up right around I think 18 10 or so so I'm a little bit upside down but the money we made on here I'm willing to take another risk I'm still not you know if it if you made say you made 5,000 on this trade I'm upside down a couple thousand on this trade you know just to say so I'm okay still so say if you're trading this one you made a thousand make sure when you take this trade it's only a maybe two three hundred shares so if it goes up another three bucks or so there will be a $900 loss but you made a thousand in this one so you got to know your risk know your trading sighs and know what you're willing to do if you're gonna short this one and go long you know I know some people still long from ten eleven dollars and they're still not taking profits and then when it gets down here and their breakeven again they're all pissed off at the shorts has nothing to do with any shorts especially like me or you or anyone else that's trading in these industries guys I can't move a stock but if I had a thousand people in this going short we couldn't move this stock sorry to say guys you need billions and billions of dollars to move a stock I don't even if you had a hundred million not gonna move a stock guy sorry just not gonna happen so daily chart got a little spinner here let's see what that brings us next week if you look at the weekly chart weekly chart a big channel was here nine nine nine ninety-two fifteen sixty right in there finally broke up my next area was the fist 17 - 17 83 got - it retraced blasted through on earnings closed above it never got past the 20 20 is the next big one and then of course the next big one is 21 35 so 1894 was the close let's see if this was true we got a nice push on the weekly I want to see it close next week above 20 and then possible higher prices if this clicks over on the weekly comes right back in bulls you better watch out a little bit stretched on the 20 ma on the weekly chart 20 this is my price target target on the weekly right now 13 37 20 ma will curl up it might be 15 again who knows but this will give us support as this comes up bowl so beware of that 50 ma - so if it does come down you're adding more support to the picture this support starts to crack though we're gonna go right back down to this bottom channel I'll be out of this trade I don't care just like this 117 215 I'm done two bucks on it $17 stock good enough for me so right now Bulls are in charge you're in this thing from $10 you have no business being in this thing anymore you should have been done on Friday as this thing was pushing 220 100% move you're not selling this especially in four months you're out of your mind so Bulls hang on trail that stop bears if you took it up here like I did just hold on let's see what this thing gives us market sell this thing will give us another two three bucks and I will be done great support here at 1565 as well so watch that two so again if I get to three bucks on this one I'm done out see you later I'm shorted here shorted it here we shorted it here and then we gave it a shot here and I got room to add so if it goes up guys I don't care I know my risk small positions slow and steady it's a marathon for me not a sprint so let's go to Tesla the world's greatest trading stock with hundred point moves up in town and sometimes more so we're just chop and chop and chop and chop and it's all it's always about news guys this this was the model three this was the oh we're not hitting the model three numbers this is the model three we're there again we're building no no this is we're building plants in China you better give us some money back our parts suppliers you know it's out of control better not short my stock oh my gosh let's just tweet it higher and you know blah blah blah wow it's pretty amazing but let's get the technicals let's just you know put the news aside and the tweeting aside down sideways we have we had short calls on this one got paid handsomely on that comes in look at that down sideways below the mas gaps down again side waist 20 ma common but this is one where earnings could pop it so let's keep an eye on earnings right now bears are somewhat in charge if we create if we stay below this 300 I think we're gonna keep sliding market sell-off or it start to sell next week maybe before the jobs report we're just gonna start bleeding the gun big areas for this one to 60 to 75 and then you got this 245 250 area and then of course you still got a gap fill here to around 291 so that could possibly hold this too but look at this Islands gonna make a plan in China eelain's gonna make a plant in his backyard eelain's gonna ask parts suppliers for more money back oh hell don't short my stocky that's what healin said today you know it's like oh my gosh I mean guys don't get me wrong Tesla is a cool car they're doing great with the electric and stuff like that I hats off to the guy but my gosh when you're bleeding billions of dollars of cash every every year something's up guys there's only so much bleeding you could do and then you and then you do what a stock options or what the heck is it call right now but anyway you know we're gonna we're gonna put more shares stock shares out there and we're gonna raise another you know 100 million in capital or whatever he's doing it's uh it's pretty amazing so we're gonna see what happens on earnings if he if he misses those model 3 earnings it's gonna be lights out for this thing I don't care and if even if he just makes it I don't know if it's even gonna be good enough so again I am staying away from this one I don't want to be stuck in a you know a tweet war or something that drive this up or down if it does go back up I'll be shortened again if it goes back down guys I'll be I'll be shorting it again I'll go short I'll go long I don't care we went we went long right here guys I preached this 250 area for months all the way as it was just chopping around this thing comes back to this area I will go long we took calls came back in chopped around I wish we would have taught that this uh every time look at that that was a massive move and we got caught in that one we shorted calls but we added we went slow and steady I'm not doing 500 calls on this I'm doing maybe five calls maybe six I'll go I'll add one I'll add two I'll add maybe two more up here big position for me I you know especially when you're short and caught naked calls came back in came back and you know stuff I think we took it up here I would have to see my she I trade so many stocks guys I don't know what I trade anymore so but anyways um this one here no position in the earnings I'll open one up long or short I don't care I just want to get a good trade on this and make some money so Tesla guys right now it's a little bit weak but I think next week is earning so who knows what's gonna happen with this one if you have to trade earnings just go light with the position don't don't have a huge heavy position because right now we're kind of in the middle I mean we're a little bit lower from this high to that low we're at the 6.8 and we close below it this can easily go down to 250 and I think if they miss their numbers guys it's going to 201 80 if they'd hit their numbers then most likely up in here the 392 400 cuz it's gotta you know we've been chopping in this slightly bullish manner bullish manner you can see more on the monthly chart I mean it's still I mean even this one choppy sloppy choppy sloppy and then finally this was the model 3 so maybe he comes out with uh with the Mack truck you know the 18-wheeler maybe maybe I don't even know what he could come out with maybe a moon car something I don't know but on the monthly you get this nice reversal candle guys almost engulfing this last move that's nasty they gotta have good earnings so they could pop this thing right back up so again let's wait for earnings let's see what this brings no position for me again pops I'll go short drops I'll go long pretty simple and long though they have bad news I'm gonna be real patient for this I'm waiting for the probably the two I'll see how it reacts at the 250 because that's a big area then I gotta reach the hour if it does drop more I'm gonna have to say the 180 and then you have this pivot down here 141 and then this pivot here 116 not that it's going to 116 guys but gosh you just never know I mean III don't think it should have been up here I think I think this thing should be at least like a $200 stock but that's me what the hell do I know oh well good luck with Tesla next week guys let's see what this thing brings if follow me on stock too it's I might be posting some trades on there too so and then let's look at my favorite mu so mu guys still a high-flyer still up here and know man's land' been making that double top that once ignore the 64 area is the big area of resistance and then the bottom area would be this big trend line down here so this is what has been pretty much following great you know great up move guys following that trend the trend is still your friend until the end so hits that bounces up hits that bounces up hits that we're down here again MMU on earnings that's what's gonna drive this thing up or down still we shorted here we got some more here and we shorted calls we're in a trade now we pulled five bucks off the first half we're in the money on the second half a little bit trying to get a little bit more but I'm gonna keep that second half if it pops again I'll add some more shorts if it drops I'll cover it and then I'll look for areas of long you know to go long here's your area to go long around 45 if it drops 45 oops we got 50 we got 45 area and then we have we even have a gap fill around here 40 bucks and then 3759 if it goes up gosh I do like this pivot here I gotta see how it goes up into it and I like this area here to around the 61 and of course double top you know there's a lot of lines in this one but you know you got double top here double top there you have great resistance at 61 85 with this boom boom so right now down nice little retrace in the gap fill right back down we're below the 50 and the 20 ma still holding the 200 and still holding this trendline so again just like Tesla just like Nvidia we're all going to earnings on this one so who knows what's gonna happen guys 50-50 shot that it's gonna pop if like I said I still have a half position it's not a big one if it pops I'll add more if it drops I'll cover I gotta wait for earnings guys I can't get other than other than it's huge move up that I still think it's coming back down stocks from everything caught a bid in 2016 this one from ten to 64 guys 10 to 64 it needs a break sorry sorry bulls it needs a break and if you're a bull and um you in hats off to if you caught this thing from even 30 to 60 it's a hundred percent move get the hell out sell it this one here if you got lucky enough to get it from ten and you're not selling up here next to you know it's 46 next thing you know it's 37 next thing you know it's kissing the 200ma and hitting this gap-fill here and then it so I'm just gonna sell it from 10 to 30 I still made a huge profit but 10 that's 60 sounds a little better to me guys so anyways nice trend start let me look at this down sideways great bearish pattern pops down sideways pops down little bit sideways does it pop again well we're gonna find out but man what a move gets up in here comes right back in and takes off so when you get action like this guys let's get a little bit toppy I mean that that's just gosh crazy but another 163 the 46 64 250 $10 $15 moves in a $50 stock those are huge take that all day long in out in out but but holding the trendline that's your key if it cracks below that we'll have lower prices to come if it holds a trendline and pops on earnings I'm gonna look for the pop and the drop just like a lot of stocks are doing right now so follow the overall markets markets are weak these will all come in markets stay buoyant with light volume then we'll just be floating like always guys we'll just do the float that's all we do float float float on news float on buybacks flow down upgrades you know all that stuff they'll probably start upgrading this one right in the earnings or you know they'll bring the talking heads out on CNBC and all that good stuff alright guys that's about it a lot of earnings coming up on these AMD was the only one so the other ones 50/50 shots you're going into earnings small positions guys don't be going all in and getting your butt kicked look at Amazon look at Google they're just taking people out right now Google pops and then it drops and then Amazon pops and drops and if the markets are weak those are gonna even drop more and you know everyone's all-in with more and getting their butt kicked so just be careful in these markets guys small positions it's a marathon not a sprint so alright guys again thanks for watching my videos
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