저자: ColaFinance진행자 · 외국인
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결론: 애플 주가는 2021년에도 상승을 이어갈 것이며 120~125달러 매수, 목표가 150달러(약 20% 수익)를 제시. 과거 성과: 2020년 애플 주가 약 70% 상승으로 S&P500(13%)과 나스닥(38%)을 크게 상회. 진행자는 ARK의 캐시 우드가 애플을 5,300만 달러어치 보유·지속 매수 중이라고 언급. 단기 리스크: 공급 부족으로 12월 분기 수요 충족에 제약, 부품·공급업체 부족 우려, 항공 축소로 운송 차질 가능성. 구글 기본 검색 계약, 앱스토어 30% 수수료, 빅테크 독점 규제 논의가 주가 조정 요인이 될 수 있다고 봄. 수요 근거: 재택근무·재택학습 수요로 아이패드·맥 등 고가 제품 품절 사례 언급. 애널리스트 데이터상 소비자 수요는 여전히 강하다고 제시. 인도 성장: 인도 생산기지 개설로 30% 관세 회피 가능, 인도 점유율 2% 미만에서 중국 수준 10%로 올라가면 4년 내 약 4,000만 대 판매 증가, EPS 약 1달러 상승 가능성 제시. 화웨이 점유율 이전: 화웨이 점유율 10~15%가 아이폰으로 이동하면 애플 매출 약 80억 달러 증가 가능성 언급. 서비스 확장: 헬스케어(애플워치 보험사 도입), 애플페이, 청력보조기(에어팟 기술) 등 플랫폼 기업으로의 전환 강조. 애플워치 2020년 2,800만 대 판매. 애플카: 2024년 출시 가능성 뉴스가 주가 상승 재료가 될 수 있다고 언급. 진행자 전망: 2021년 주가 상승 지속 전망. 현재 주가 약 130달러, 매수 적정가 120~125달러, 목표가 150달러, 진행자 본인 평균단가 약 128달러로 포지션 보유 중.
다듬은 글
Hello everyone, welcome to Cola Finance A channel about investment and financial management Today’s topic is Apple’s stock analysis Although Apple's share price in 2020 Up 70% The S&P 500 only rose 13% Nasdaq Index Only up 38% I still I highly recommend Apple’s stock ARK female stock god And keep buying Has held a value of 53 million US dollars Apple stock Although demand was limited by supply in the December quarter But as the economy recovers I think the demand for Apple products Will continue to grow during 2021 Recently There are indeed some The risks Apple will face E.g.
apple Exclusive search agreement with Google 30% Apple Tax on Appstore And the legislative review of the monopoly of large companies Headlines like this May bring about a recent stock price correction Then, we can use this opportunity to buy Apple’s stock But when I finished this manuscript, I saw Breaking News Apple may launch a new Apple car new energy in 2024 car So the stock price is likely to soar with such news In this video I will list 2021 in detail Five reasons why Apple's stock price rose Friends who have not subscribed before we start remember to press the subscribe button Then you can be the first Time to see my video First, let’s take a look at Apple’s profile Apple has the strongest ecosystem in the world Leading supplier of mobile hardware equipment Apple is unique in innovative hardware And even recently expanded to chip design and software operating system In the 2020 fiscal year 50% of Apple's revenue From iPhone IPad accounts for about 9% PC Mac Accounted for 10% ITunes software has One service accounted for 20% Next I will list 2021 in detail Make apple Rising stock price Five reasons the first Many Apple products are sold out Many investors think High unemployment rate due to the impact of the epidemic Make consumers And the purchasing power of companies buying Apple products has declined Indeed this is a very worrying issue But i noticed Work at home and study at home Is for Xu Many apple products Of course positive changes in demand When we enter Christmas and home diary explanation Analyst data shows that consumer demand for Apple products is still strong This is most likely because Many families are unlikely to be on this holiday And allocate more budget Used in electronic products to help work at home and study at home You can also see from this chart Many of the more expensive Apple products have been sold out Such as the latest iPhone 12 Pro and 12 promax IPad Pro MacBook IMac and many more With such strong demand for Apple products, as an investor I am worried about the parts And supplier shortage This may prevent sales from rising in the December quarter So we need to pay close attention to this Happening.
I also noticed that due to the reduction in air travel Therefore, on a global scale There will be fewer and fewer transportation opportunities to speed up transportation As for the new product, Apple also launched the iPad Max worth $549 in October. I am not so optimistic The opposite of The lighter iPad Pro Will be able to attract Like running and Exercise user And the price is relatively affordable 2nd India production base opened Why is India so important?
If Apple gains 5% market share in India That will reach about 8 million units Zhejiang represents approximately US$4 billion in revenue India is now the world's second largest smartphone market Has surpassed in 2016 United States Second only to China Apple's market share in India is now less than 2% Tariffs on Apple products imported into India Average about 30% This makes the price of Apple products Compared to other competitors' prices Much higher Apple’s physical stores in India are currently zero So with the opening of the Indian production base this will allow the company to avoid 30% tariffs So that Apple products More affordable Apple is about to open a company store in India And set up an online store in September This can directly cater to customers And provide the first step of the entire Apple experience such as customizing your own products Engraving products Provide loans Trade-in option The Apple Ecosystem Introduce an Indian user base If Apple will grow its share in India Similar to the current 10% share in China Then in the future In four years This will lead to an increase in sales of approximately 40 million units This would be equivalent to $1 in earnings per share of course Of course the average income difference between China and India is about 4 times and so Apple is also very smart Focus on cheaper products such as iPhone SE And the previous generation iPhone 11 3rd Apple will be the transfer beneficiary of Huawei's mobile phone share I predict Huawei About 10% to 15 share May be transferred to iPhone and so Apple will receive $8 billion Sales 4th Apple's ecosystem platform Apple has started from a product company Develop into a Platform company The company provides software Online storage Messaging App advertising Music TV and video content Digital payment Fitness game and many more I believe that Apple can not only continue to develop Service business sector Still able to Getting bigger and bigger Attractive And this time Make this attractive A few examples are Apple started in healthcare See success in the business Medical professionals include doctors, dentists Architectural designer Retail store back office And retailers throughout the supply chain More and more companies Use Apple Watch Software and products In addition, the epidemic has accelerated data applications and contactless payments Such as the adoption of Apple Pay So the company’s Apple Pay still has great potential The fifth apple has entered the medical industry Technological innovation in the healthcare industry Mature Apple Watch has begun to be deployed by some insurance companies Expect more applications in the near future I believe that Apple Watch has entered a new field So that they are accept Several health insurance companies have integrated Apple Watch Deploy to customers E.g United healthcare Devoted health Blue Cross And Blue SHIELD Medicare related products they launched Are used Apple Watch Wearing Apple Watch allows companies Monitor the health of customers and fitness applications Apple sold 28 million Apple Watches in 2020 I expect 2021 Will continue to grow Apple Watch Let’s make an appointment with Apple 5% of total sales And it will also drive sales of higher profit margin accessories Such as fashion and fitness watch bands In addition I think Hearing aids may also be the market that Apple will enter in the future Each set of hearing aids now costs about $2,000 to Between 12,000 USD Apple is likely to enter the field of hearing aids with its Airpods technology Airpods Cost more than current hearing aids At least 10 times cheaper and so Apple still has great development in this field space number 6 Many investors have misunderstood Apple's growth Many investors think Apple's sales and earnings per share are not growing anymore And they also believe that most of the EPS growth is due to Driven by stock repurchase This is actually wrong According to this chart, Apple is Achieve sales and And the growth in earnings per share This is organic and not through mergers and acquisitions of other companies or stock repurchase The growth Let's take a look Apple's upcoming new risks Which includes No.
1 Google expects to pay $10 billion to Apple every year In exchange for Apple uses Google as the default search engine for its products This is equivalent to 4% of Apple's total sales This is almost pure profit for Apple Equivalent to 15% of pre-tax income 2nd Apple on the App Store Apple tax charged 30% and 15% respectively I guess this is the biggest part of Apple's service Like 35% of Apple's service sector and 7% of total revenue 3rd Political views on the spin-off of large-cap stocks Is being discussed more frequently Despite most of Apple’s success All from organic growth The biggest acquisition is wallpaper Acquired for $3 billion This has accelerated Apple’s And the development of acoustic products If you split up Apple This may reduce Apple’s synergy But i think These three risks Will not happen in 2021 But may become headline News And increase the volatility of stock prices Let me summarize my personal views Based on the above factors Apple still has a high chance Become a growing company Even if the socket and headphones are not included I see many iPhone 12 It is still sold out in major stores Makes me feel Apple is indeed a top technology company Have you bought an IPhone 12?
You can leave a message and let me know Plus the potential of the medical field And the latest news of the Apple car I think 2021 Apple's stock price will continue to rise Finally, let’s talk about Apple’s Stock operation Apple’s current stock price is about $130 Has been this news by Apple car Pushed up I think a more reasonable buying price Is between 120 USD Up to 125 USD between Target price is about 150 150 USD This rate of return is approximately 20% But I personally have opened a position The average price is about $128 Okay, I gave the video, that's it If you like it, remember to press like, subscribers to share We will see BYE in the next issue
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