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HOW TO INVEST THROUGH A CORRECTION/BEAR MARKET 2024 | From Peter Lynch #stocksonthego

StocksOnTheGo · 2024-01-11 · 유튜브 시청 392 · Board Views 0 · International

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저자: MrStocksonGo—주출연자소속은제목·설명상PeterLynch인용형식이나실제발언자는진행자본인 · 외국인

요약 보기

Peter Lynch의 과거 투자 경험(Kaiser Industries, Taco Bell 등)과 약세장 대응 원칙을 인용. 약세장은 대략 6년에 한 번 25% 하락으로 발생하니 이를 대비하고 기업 이해 기반으로 하락을 기회로 활용하라는 주장. 기업이익이 연 8% 성장하므로 증시는 9년마다 두 배가 된다는 장기 견해 제시.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. hey what's up YouTube know it's your boy Mr stock on go we're back with a brand new video guys if you rocking with me please go ahead smash that like button let's get this video to 30 likes also guys if you would like to support the channel you can go ahead check out the link in the description for well simple trade whereas when you sign up deposit just $1 you will get $25 to help you out on your investment Journey link will also be pinned in the comment section without further Ado let's jump straight in so today guys I just wanted to do a quick video on how to invest during a be market and we're going to take some knowledge from none other than American investor Peter Lynch as he was able to not only beat the S&P 500 between 1977 and 1990 but guys he actually was able to double that average of the S&P 500 with an average return of 29.2% guys which is amazing so with all the knowledge that this guy has gained in the stock market and his success in the stock market I think it's only right guys that we sit back get our pens together get our papers together let's go and let's dig right in please remember to smash smash that like button if you didn't understand the company if you're just buying on the fact the stock had gone from 26 to 16 and then it g to 10 what would you do when went to nine what would you do when it went to eight what would you do when it went to seven this is the problem that people have is they sell stocks because they didn't know why they bought it then it went down and they don't know what to do now you flip a coin you walk around the block you know what do you do today we are learning from one of the greatest investors in history Peter Lynch was a legendary mutual fund manager of Fidel it mellan fund he achieved a 29% annual return absolutely crushing the stock market over 13 consecutive years during that period he managed to grow the fund size from $18 million to $14 billion afterwards he retired early at 46 years old and now Mr Lynch is sharing with us how to make millions during a stock market crash a very important thing to know in today's economic conditions you should study history and history is the important thing you learn from what you learn from history is the market goes down it goes down a lot the math is simple there's been 93 years to Century this is easy to do the Market's had 50 declines of 10% or more so 50 declines in 93 years about once every two years the market Falls 10% we call that a correction that means that's a euphemism for losing a lot of money rapidly but we we call it a correction and uh uh so 50 declines in 93 years about once every two years the market Falls 10% of those 50 declines 15 have been 25% or more that's known as a bare market we've had 15 declines in 93 years so every six years the Market's going to have a 25% decline that's all you need to know you need to know the Market's going to go down sometime if you're not ready for that you shouldn't own stocks and it's good when it happens if you like a stock at 14 it goes to six that's great you understand the company you look at the balance sheet and they're doing fine you're hoping to get to 22 with it 14 to 22 is terrific 6 to 22 is exceptional so you take advantage of these deels they're going to happen no one knows when they're going to happen it would be very people tell you about it after the fact that they predicted it but they predicted it 53 times and uh so you can take advantage of the volatility Market if you understand what you own one of the things I find rule I a couple rules I want to throw I find useful excuse me is a lot of times people buy on the basis the stock has gone down this much how you know how much further can it go down I remember when Polaroid went from3 to 100 people say here's this great company great record if it ever gets below 100 you know just buy every share you know and it did get below 100 a lot of people bought on that basis saying look it's going from 135 to 100 it's not 95 what a buy within a year was 18 and this company with no debt I mean this a it was just so overpriced it went down uh I did the same thing in my uh I think my first or second year Fidelity Kaiser Industries had gone from $26 this year to 16 I said how much lower can it go it's 16 so I think we bought one of the biggest blocks ever on the New York on the American Stock Exchange of Kaiser Industries at 14 I say you know it's G from 26 to 16 how much lower can it go well at 10 I called my mother and said Mom you got to uh look at the Kaiser Industries I mean how much lower can it go it's gone from 26 to 10 well it went to six it went to five it went to four it went to three and uh I fortunately this happened rapidly I would probably be still caddying or being working at the stoping shop but I it happened fast so was able to this this was compressed at uh and at three I figured out you know there's something very wrong here because Kaiser Industries owns 40% of Kaiser steel they own 40% of Kaiser Aluminum they own 32% of kais of cement they own kaisa broadcasting they own kais of Santa gravel kaiso Engineers they own G they own business after business and they had no debt now I learned this very early this might be a breakthrough for some people it's very hard to go bankrupt if you don't have any debt it's It's Tricky some people can approach that it's a real it's a real achievement but they had no debt and the whole company at three was selling it about 75 million that point it was equal to buying one Boeing 747 I said there's something wrong with this company selling for 75 million I was a little premature at 16 but uh I said everything's fine and eventually this will work out out and they what they did is they gave away all their shares to their shareholders they they passed out shares in Ka of cement they passed out shares in Ka aluminum they passed out the public shares and kais of Steel they sold all the other businesses and you get about $50 a share and but if you didn't understand the company if you're just buying on the fact the stock had gone from 26 to 16 and then it g to 10 what would you do when it went to N9 what would you do when it went to eight what would you do when it went to seven this is the problem that people have is they sell stocks because they didn't know why they bought it then it went down and they don't know what to do now do you flip a coin do you walk around the block you know what do you do are you concerned about the volatility in the uh financial markets today do you think something needs to be done to reduce it I I I love volatility I I think I remember when uh in 1972 the market went from uh uh down dramatically and Taco Bell went from 14 to 1 they had no debt they never had a restaurant closed and uh I started buying at seven but I kept on to it and it went to one and uh it was the largest position in Magellan in 1978 when was bought out by $42 by pepsicola and I think it would have gone to 400 if they didn't buy it out I think volatility is terrific I think it is very I think these callers are very important I don't think the market going up 80 points one day and down 80 the next uh is a good thing for the public I think that's not a very good thing but I think all these callers and all these other things to keep the vol down each day is important but the Market's going to go up and down of the human nature hasn't changed a lot in 25,000 years and some event will come out of left field and uh the market will go down or the market will go up so I volatility will occur markets will continue to have these ups and downs I think that's a great opportunity if people can understand what they own if they don't understand what they own they can own mutual funds try to figure out mutual funds they own and keep adding to it over basically corporate profits have grown about 8% a year historically so corporate profits double about every nine years the stock market ought to double about every nine years so I think the next Market's about 3,800 today 3700 I'm pretty convinced the next 3,800 points will be up it won't be down the next 500 points the next 600 points I don't know which way they're going so the market ought to double in the next eight or nine years it ought to double again in the eight or nine years after that because profits will go up 8% a year and and stocks will fall that's all there is to and we are back guys I hope you guys enjoy that video gain some Knowledge from that information from Peter Lynch guys you know it's your boy Mr stocks on the go stay invested stay building out that generational wealth I am out

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